BILL ANALYSIS AB 1294 Page 1 Date of Hearing: April 17, 2007 ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON ELECTIONS AND REDISTRICTING Curren Price, Chair AB 1294 (Mullin) - As Amended: April 11, 2007 SUBJECT : Ranked voting: local elections. SUMMARY : Permits any city, county, or district to conduct a local election using ranked voting (RV). Specifically, this bill : 1)Defines the following terms, for the purposes of this bill: a) "Ranked voting" means an election method in which voters rank the candidates for office in order of preference, and the ballots are counted in rounds. In the case of a single-winner election, these rounds simulate a series of runoffs until only two candidates remain, with the candidate having the greater number of votes being declared the winner. In the case of a multiple-winner election, these rounds fill all seats to be elected. b) "Qualified candidate" means any candidate listed on the ballot for the election or any write-in candidate qualified for participation in the election. c) "Ranking" for a candidate on a voter's ballot is the number assigned to that candidate by the voter to express his or her preference for that candidate. The "highest ranking" is the ranking with the lowest numerical value for a qualified candidate. The "highest continuing ranking" is the ranking with the lowest numerical value for a continuing candidate. d) "Continuing ballot" means a ballot that counts towards a candidate. e) "Continuing candidate" means a qualified candidate that has not been elected or eliminated. f) "Majority of votes" means more than 50 percent of the votes coming from continuing ballots. 2)Allows any city, county, or district to conduct a local AB 1294 Page 2 election using RV. Provides that RV may be adopted for use in local elections by approval of a ballot measure submitted to the voters by the governing body, by an initiative measure, or by a charter amendment, subject to the following requirements: a) Any city, county, or district that uses RV must conduct a voter education and outreach campaign to familiarize voters with RV. Requires this education and outreach campaign to be conducted in English and in every language that a ballot is required to be made available pursuant to state and federal law. b) The RV ballot must allow voters to rank as many choices as there are candidates, unless the voting equipment cannot feasibly accommodate a number of rankings on the ballot equal to the number of candidates, in which case the elections official may limit the number of choices that a voter may rank to the maximum number allowed by the equipment. This limit may not be less than three candidates. c) A RV ballot may not interfere with a voter's ability to rank a write-in candidate. d) A mark for an unqualified write-in candidate on an RV ballot is not considered a mark for a candidate, and that ballot is advanced to the next candidate. e) A RV ballot is advanced to the next ranking if the ballot reaches a ranking with no candidate indicated. f) If two or more candidates tie for the smallest number of votes, the candidate to eliminate is chosen by lot. g) A ballot that has no candidates indicated at any ranking is declared an "undervote." If any ballot reaches a ranking with more than one candidate indicated, that ballot is declared an "overvote." If a ballot cannot be advanced because no further candidates are ranked on the ballot, that ballot is declared "exhausted." Any ballot that has been declared an undervote, an overvote, or exhausted shall not count towards any candidate in that round or in any subsequent round. 3)Provides that a RV method used to elect a single candidate to AB 1294 Page 3 office is known as "instant runoff voting" (IRV). Provides that IRV elections shall be conducted in the following manner: a) At the beginning of each round, every ballot is counted as a vote towards the candidate indicated by the highest continuing ranking on that ballot. b) If any candidate receives a majority of votes from the continuing ballots, that candidate is elected. If no candidate receives a majority of votes from the continuing ballots, the candidate receiving the smallest number of votes is eliminated, and every ballot counting towards that candidate is instead counted for the next-ranked continuing candidate on that ballot. c) If there are only two candidates remaining, and those two candidates have the same number of votes from the continuing ballots, that tie is broken by lot. d) If during the elimination stage of any round, a candidate has more votes than the combined vote total of all candidates with fewer votes, but that candidate does not have a majority of votes, all the candidates with fewer votes than the candidate are eliminated simultaneously. 4)Provides that a RV method used to elect two or more candidates to office is known as "choice voting" (CV). Provides that CV elections shall be conducted in the following manner: a) The minimum threshold of votes necessary to be elected is determined by dividing the total number of votes cast for that office by one plus the number of seats to be filled, then by adding one vote to that total and ignoring any fraction. b) Each ballot is allocated to the candidate with the highest ranking on that ballot. c) Each candidate that receives the minimum threshold of votes to be elected is declared elected. d) If a candidate on the first count has a number of highest ranking votes exactly equal to the minimum number of votes needed to be elected, the candidate is declared elected and the counted ballots indicating that candidate AB 1294 Page 4 as a highest ranking are put aside and the other rankings on the ballots are not examined. e) If a candidate on the first count gains more than the minimum number of votes needed to be elected, the candidate is declared elected and the number of votes in excess of the number of votes needed to be elected (or the number of surplus votes) is recorded. All the ballots on which that candidate had the highest ranking are reexamined and assigned to candidates not yet elected according to the highest continuing ranking on those ballots. Those ballots are allocated according to a "transfer value," which is determined by taking the number of surplus votes cast for the elected candidate divided by the total number of votes received by the elected candidate, calculated to four decimal places. f) If two or more candidates on the first count gain more than the minimum number of votes needed to be elected, all those candidates are declared elected. Each of the ballots of the candidate with the largest number of highest ranking votes are reexamined first and assigned (at the transfer value) to candidates not yet elected. g) If a candidate receives more than the minimum number of votes needed to be elected as the consequence of a transfer of votes from an elected candidate, the number of votes in excess of the number of votes needed to be elected are transferred to the other candidates at a transfer value. In this case, the transfer value for ballots transferred to the candidate from one or more elected candidates is determined pursuant to the following formula: Surplus votes cast for the elected candidate, divided by the total number of votes received by the elected candidate, multiplied by the previous transfer value of the ballot received by that candidate, calculated out to five decimal places and rounded to the fourth decimal place. The transfer value for other ballots is determined by taking the number of surplus votes cast for the elected candidate divided by the total number of votes received by the elected candidate, calculated to four decimal places. AB 1294 Page 5 h) At any stage at which no candidate has a number of votes equal to or greater than the minimum number of votes needed to be elected, the candidate with the smallest number of votes is eliminated, and ballots that were transferred to that candidate from other candidates are transferred at the transfer value at which the ballots were received. All other ballots are transferred at full value. i) When all but one of the candidates to be elected have been elected, and only two candidates remain in the count, the candidate with the most votes is elected, even though the candidate may not have reached the minimum threshold of votes necessary to be elected. 5)Requires the instructions for voters in an election that uses RV to read substantially as follows: To vote in this election, indicate by selecting or marking a '1' in the voting square to the right of your first choice, a '2' in the voting square to the right of your second choice, a '3' in the voting square to the right of your third choice, and so on. Do not give the same number to more than one candidate. You may rank as many or as few of the candidates as you choose, up to the limit specified, if any. Your second choice will not hurt your first choice, your third choice will not hurt your first two choices, and so on. You may include one or more qualified write-in candidates in your rankings by writing each person's name in one of the blank spaces provided for that purpose after the names of the other candidates for the same office, and then writing the desired ranking in the voting square to the right of that name. 6)Allows the above instructions for voters to be modified as appropriate for the specific voting equipment used, as long as the intent is preserved. 7)Requires the following information to be reported after each RV election: a) A "summary report" listing the candidate vote totals in each round, along with the cumulative number of undervotes, overvotes, and exhausted ballots in each round. AB 1294 Page 6 b) A "ballot image report" listing the candidate or candidates indicated at each ranking for each ballot, along with the precinct of the ballot and whether the ballot was cast absentee. c) A "comprehensive report" that breaks down the numbers in the summary report by precinct. 8)Requires preliminary versions of the summary report and ballot image report to be made available as soon as possible after the commencement of the official canvass of the vote and prior to the one percent manual tally. EXISTING LAW does not allow a district, a general law city, or a general law county to conduct local elections using RV. FISCAL EFFECT : Unknown COMMENTS : 1)Purpose of the Bill : According to the author: Despite growing public interest in using ranked voting systems such as Instant Runoff Voting, most local jurisdictions are not able to use ranked voting systems under current law. Today only charter counties or charter cities can use ranked voting, but over three-fourths of cities and counties - and nearly all districts - are general law jurisdictions and don't have these options. Over half of all Californians live in a general law city, a general law county, or both, and are currently denied the opportunity to benefit from these better voting systems. In addition, there are no statewide standards for how ranked voting elections should be conducted, creating both the possibility of inconsistent implementations, as well as additional burdens on local officials. Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) ensures that the winner on a single-winner election has the support of the majority of voters in a single election. By eliminating the need for a costly runoff election it saves local governments a lot of money-about $2 million per election in San Francisco alone. IRV also eliminates vote-splitting and spoiler effects, AB 1294 Page 7 both of which undermine the public's confidence in the political process. Numerous other general law cities and counties are exploring using ranked voting methods, and the Legislature should allow these cities the flexibility they need to serve their voters. Cities and counties deserve the opportunity to use the electoral systems that best address their unique needs. 2)Instant Runoff Voting in San Francisco : Proposition A, a charter amendment approved by the voters of the City and County of San Francisco at the March 5, 2002 statewide primary election, requires elections for the offices of Mayor, City Attorney, District Attorney, Public Defender, Sheriff, Assessor-Recorder, Treasurer, and Board of Supervisors to be conducted by IRV. Prior to the approval of that ballot measure, San Francisco held the first round of its local elections in November, with a runoff election (if necessary) about a month later. Turnout at a runoff elections typically was much lower than the turnout at the first round of that election. Since the approval of Proposition A, San Francisco has conducted three elections using IRV (November 2004, November 2005, and November 2006). San Francisco has not yet conducted a mayoral election using IRV, though it is scheduled to do so in November of this year. Prior to the first election conducted using IRV in San Francisco, the city spent $776,000 for outreach and education efforts, with $210,000 of that allocated to community organizations to work in partnership with the city to educate voters. Voter education materials were translated into Spanish, Chinese, Tagalog, Russian, and Vietnamese. The city conducted over 700 outreach events, sent a citywide educational mailer, and placed public service announcements and newspaper advertisements, among other outreach efforts. Since the first election conducted using IRV in San Francisco, a number of studies, surveys, and reports have been issued evaluating the impact of IRV. A May 2005 report prepared by the Public Research Institute (PRI), an institute housed at San Francisco State University, found that 86% of polling place voters and 89% of absentee voters indicated that they AB 1294 Page 8 understood IRV fairly well or perfectly well, although levels of understanding were lowest among voters with little education and low income. African American (23%) and Latino (20%) voters were more likely to report a lack of understanding than Asian (13%) or White (12%) voters. A majority of both polling place (61%) and absentee (77%) voters said that they preferred the IRV system to holding a runoff election a month later. A July 2006 report prepared by PRI analyzing the November 2005 election found similar results, although a smaller percentage of voters (51%) said that they preferred the IRV system to holding a runoff election a month later. Thus far, San Francisco is the only governmental body within the state to have conducted an election using IRV. To the committee's knowledge, no jurisdiction in the state has ever conducted an election using CV. 3)Lack of IRV-Ready Certified Voting Systems : There are no voting systems currently certified for use in California that have the capability to tabulate ballots cast in an IRV or CV election. The voting system used in San Francisco for its elections conducted using RV was first conditionally approved by the Secretary of State (SOS) for use in San Francisco's elections on April 30, 2004, which permitted San Francisco to use the system on a one-time basis for the November 2004 General Election. After receiving reports on the system's performance in that election at a public hearing on February 17, 2005 the SOS conditionally recertified the system for use from March 7, 2005 until December 31, 2005 only in the City and County of San Francisco. On August 3, 2006 the SOS received an application requesting a one-time, final approval of the system for use in the November 2006 General Election. That application was approved, under the condition that the system not be used again for any election in California. As a result, while San Francisco has been able to conduct elections using IRV, it is currently in negotiations with a new vendor to provide a voting system that has the capability to tabulate ballots cast in an IRV election. Unless the SOS once again provides a "one-time" recertification of the system previously used by San Francisco, San Francisco will be unable to conduct future elections using IRV unless the state certifies a new voting system that is able to conduct IRV elections. While at least one county other than San Francisco is believed AB 1294 Page 9 to be in negotiations to procure an IRV-capable voting system, no such systems are currently certified for use in the state of California, nor have any such systems been submitted for certification, and the timeline for any such certification is unclear. Furthermore, there has never been a CV-capable voting system certified for use in California. Given the lack of certified voting equipment that is capable of conducting an election using RV, and given the lack of certainty about the availability of such equipment in the immediate future, the committee may wish to consider whether it would be desirable to delay consideration of this measure until such equipment is available. 4)IRV in Other Jurisdictions : Although San Francisco is the only jurisdiction in California that has used IRV for an election, a number of other jurisdictions have approved IRV for use in future elections. The cities of Oakland, Berkeley, and San Leandro have all approved charter amendments to conduct city elections using IRV. To the committee's knowledge, no jurisdiction in California has plans to conduct an election using CV. Given that only three elections have ever been conducted anywhere in the state using IRV, and given that all three of those elections were conducted in the same jurisdiction (San Francisco), it is difficult to evaluate how voters around the state might respond to IRV. On the other hand, three more cities are scheduled to use IRV for city elections in the next two years, which will provide a greater amount of information about how voters in California respond to IRV. The committee may wish to consider whether the three IRV elections conducted in San Francisco provide enough information about that voting method to authorize any city, county, or district to choose to use that method. Similarly, the committee may wish to consider whether it is appropriate to allow any city, county, or district to conduct an election using CV given that there have not been any elections in the state that have been conducted using CV. 5)Charter vs. General Law Jurisdictions : As noted above, three cities and the City and County of San Francisco have all chosen to conduct local elections using IRV. These jurisdictions were able to choose to use IRV because they are charter cities. Certain home rule provisions in California's AB 1294 Page 10 state constitution allow cities and counties to exercise a greater degree of control over local affairs by adopting a charter. According to information from the League of California Cities, 108 of California's 478 cities are charter cities, and according to information from the California State Association of Counties, 14 of California's 58 counties are charter counties. Cities and counties that are not charter jurisdictions are commonly known as "general law" jurisdictions. This bill would allow any general law city or county, and any district, to choose to use IRV or CV for local elections, a choice that is already available to charter cities and counties. If a general law city or county wants to use IRV or CV for local elections under existing law, that city or county could adopt a charter pursuant to the provisions of the California Constitution. The committee should consider whether this bill is necessary, given that charter jurisdictions are already permitted to conduct elections using RV, and given that general law cities and counties have a method to become charter jurisdictions. 6)Voter Education : This bill requires any county, city, or district that chooses to use IRV or CV to conduct a voter education and outreach campaign to familiarize voters with RV, and requires that this effort be conducted in English and in every language that a ballot is required to be made available pursuant to state and federal law. The requirement does not, however, specify how extensive the voter education program must be. Because IRV and CV have not been widely used in the United States, it is likely that very few voters will be familiar with those voting methods absent a substantial voter education campaign. If it is the committee's desire to move this bill forward, it may wish to consider whether this bill should provide minimum standards for voter education campaigns conducted in jurisdictions that choose to adopt IRV or CV. 7)CV or "Single Transferable Vote" : CV, as provided for in this bill, is also sometimes referred to as a "Single Transferable Vote" system. In an electoral system that uses CV, each voter only has one vote, regardless of the number of candidates to be elected. For instance, on a school board with three candidates to be elected at large, a CV system allows each voter to rank any or all candidates, but each voter effectively only has one vote in filling those three seats. AB 1294 Page 11 If a voter's first choice is elected to the board with exactly the number of votes necessary to be elected, that voter's ballot is not used in determining which candidates will fill the other two seats. If a voter's first choice receives more than the number of votes necessary to be elected, only a portion of that voter's vote is transferred to the candidates who are ranked lower on the voter's ballot in determining how to fill the other two seats. Consider, for instance, an election with four candidates (Washington, Adams, Jefferson, and Madison) running for three seats on a board. Suppose that there are 100 voters-40 of which prefer Washington, Adams, Jefferson, and Madison, in that order, 34 of which prefer Washington, Jefferson, Adams, and Madison, in that order, and the other 26 of which prefer Madison, Jefferson, Adams, and Washington, in that order. Under the way that such an election has traditionally been conducted in California, each voter would be able to vote for up to three candidates. If all 100 voters voted for three of their top choices, the ballot count in this election would be as follows: Adams: 100 votes Jefferson: 100 votes Washington: 74 votes Madison: 26 votes As such, Adams, Jefferson, and Washington would be elected. Under CV, however, the election results would be very different. Pursuant to this bill, the first round count would be as follows: Washington: 74 Madison: 26 Adams: 0 Jefferson: 0 The minimum number of votes necessary to be elected is based on the following formula: 1+ (# of votes / (# of seats to be filled +1)) or, in this case: 1+ (100/ (3+1)) = 1+ (100/4) = 1+25 = 26 AB 1294 Page 12 In this case, both Washington and Madison have received at least the minimum number of votes necessary to be elected (26). Because Madison has exactly the minimum number of votes necessary to be elected, all the ballots indicating Madison as the highest ranked candidate are put aside and the other rankings are not examined. Washington, on the other hand, has more than the minimum number of votes necessary to be elected, so his surplus votes are transferred at the appropriate transfer value to the other candidates. The number of "surplus votes" to be transferred is equal to the difference between the number of votes received by Washington (74) and the minimum number of votes needed to be elected (26), which is 48 votes. Those votes are transferred at the appropriate transfer value, which is determined by the following formula: (# of surplus votes for Washington / total number of votes received by Washington), or: (48/74) = 0.6486 Of the 74 voters who ranked Washington first on their ballot, 40 preferred Adams second, and 34 preferred Jefferson second. So, pursuant to the transfer value, those ballots are transferred as follows: 40 ballots for Adams times the transfer value of 0.6486 = 25.9440 votes 34 ballots for Jefferson times the transfer value of 0.6486 = 22.0524 votes Even though neither Adams nor Jefferson has the minimum number of votes necessary to be elected (26 votes), because there are only 2 candidates remaining, and because Adams has more votes than Jefferson, Adams is elected. As such, the three candidates elected to the board would be Washington, Madison, and Adams. In a sense, then, CV acts as a form of proportional representation. In this case, a candidate who was the last choice of 74 percent of the voters is elected because that candidate was the first choice of the remaining 26 percent of the voters. As a result, CV can allow a cohesive minority to elect a candidate of their choice to a board at a multi-seat election, even if the majority of voters are not inclined to AB 1294 Page 13 vote for that candidate. 8)Arguments in Support : According to the sponsor of this bill, Californians for Electoral Reform: AB 1294 is an important step towards improving our democracy at the local level by giving local jurisdictions additional options in how they elect their representatives. Charter cities already have the option to use ranked voting systems like Instant Runoff Voting and Choice Voting, but general law cities, which constitute the vast majority of jurisdictions, have not such flexibility. By giving local governments the ability to use these systems, AB 1294 gives local governments the tools they need to respond to the needs of their citizens. AB 1294 simply allows local jurisdictions to use IRV and Choice Voting, but does not mandate that any jurisdictions use these systems. In other words, this bill is strictly permissive and not proscriptive. It empowers local elected officials and voters in these cities and counties to do what they know will work best for them. We believe Instant Runoff Voting provides significant advantages over plurality elections or two-round runoff elections. IRV elects a candidate with the support of the majority of voters in a single election. This saves local governments a significant amount of money-upwards of $2M per election for San Francisco alone. At the same time, IRV increases voter turnout and also reduces negative campaigning. Choice Voting, a ranked system like IRV but for legislative bodies, ensures that all constituencies achieve fair representation, and also allows more voters to cast effective votes, i.e. votes that actually help to elect someone. It gives minority communities a chance to be represented in areas where they traditionally have not been represented. 9)Concerns Raised : While not taking a position on this bill, the California Association of Clerks and Election Officials raises the following concerns about this bill: There are currently no voting systems certified for AB 1294 Page 14 use in the State of California that can accommodate alternative forms of voting. Though one voting system was conditionally certified for use in an alternative voting method election, most voting systems cannot accommodate such methods of voting. The one system that was certified only tabulated single office contests. County elections officials are obligated to administer elections for school and special districts, and administer many elections on behalf of cities. Many of these elections are consolidated with statewide elections. Allowing local jurisdictions the option of conducting elections by ranked choice would obligate counties financially and force the acquisition of new voting equipment (that does not exist at this writing). Alternative voting methods add another layer of complexity to the administration of elections and, due to the highly complex computer programs required to tabulate such votes, force counties to be totally reliant on vendors for the tabulation of votes cast. It would not be possible for independent verification of the election results, including the 1% manual tally that is performed as part of the canvass of votes. These forms of voting are confusing to voters, particularly in consolidated elections, where most contests would be tabulated using the regular voting method and others by ranked choice, and possibly others by choice voting. None of the calculations needed to determine the majority or the threshold can be made until all absentee and provisional votes are counted, further delaying election results, and jeopardizing the counties' ability to meet statutory canvass deadlines. 1)Technical Errors : This bill contains technical errors that should be corrected if this bill passes out of this committee. The technical corrections that should be made include the following: On page 2, line 22, the word "voters" should be replaced by "votes". On page 2, line 29, the word "their" should be replaced by "his or her". On page 6, line 31, strike out the second occurrence of the AB 1294 Page 15 words "shall be". Additionally, the text on page 4, lines 16-38 and lines 1-8 on page 5 is confusing, and appears to be duplicative. Committee staff recommends replacing that text with the following: (a) The ballots shall be counted in rounds pursuant to the following: (1) In the first round, every ballot shall count as a vote towards the candidate indicated by the highest continuing ranking on that ballot. (2) After every round, if a candidate receives a majority of votes from the continuing ballots, that candidate shall be declared elected. (3) If no candidate receives a majority, the candidate receiving the smallest number of votes shall be eliminated, and every ballot counting towards that candidate shall be advanced to the next-ranked continuing candidate on the ballot. If there is a tie between two or more candidates for the smallest number of votes, the tie shall be resolved by lot. All the ballots shall be counted again in a new round. (4) If there are only two candidates remaining, and those two candidates have the same number of votes from the continuing ballots, the tie shall be resolved by lot. AB 1294 Page 16 REGISTERED SUPPORT / OPPOSITION : Support Californians for Electoral Reform (sponsor) Asian Americans for Civil Rights & Equality California Public Interest Research Group City Clerks Association of California Democracy for America FairVote Kevin McKeown, Councilmember, City of Santa Monica Latinos for America League of Women Voters of California Los Angeles Voters for Instant Runoff Elections Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund New America Foundation San Mateo County Democracy for America Secretary of State Debra Bowen Warren Slocum, Chief Elections Officer & Assessor-Clerk-Recorder, San Mateo County 3 individuals Opposition None on file. Analysis Prepared by : Ethan Jones / E. & R. / (916) 319-2094