BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    




                   Senate Appropriations Committee Fiscal Summary
                           Senator Christine Kehoe, Chair

                                           30 (Price)
          
          Hearing Date:  8/27/2009        Amended: As Introduced
          Consultant:  Maureen Ortiz      Policy Vote: ER&CA 3-2
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____
          BILL SUMMARY:   AB 30 authorizes a person who is 16 years of age  
          to pre-register to vote, and requires the county registrar of  
          births and deaths to notify the county elections officials of  
          all deceased persons 16 years of age and over.
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____
                            Fiscal Impact (in thousands)
           Major Provisions         2009-10      2010-11       2011-12     Fund
                                                                  
          SOS voter cards                             $0                    
          $0                  $43             General

          County vital statistics                   -----unknown,  
          potentially minor-------          General*

          County elections processing         ----unknown, potentially  
          over $70---          General*

          *Reimbursable state mandate
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____

          STAFF COMMENTS:  SUSPENSE FILE.
          
          The exact costs for implementation of this bill are unknown and  
          will depend on the number of 16 and 17 year olds that choose to  
          participate in the pre-registration program.  There will be  
          offsetting savings in future years only if some of the  
          pre-registrants would have registered to vote upon turning age  
          18 anyway.  To the extent that this program is successful and  
          captures a population of new voters who would not have otherwise  
          registered to vote, there will be reimbursable costs from the  
          General Fund.  The above cost estimates are based on only a 5%  
          participation rate, however, actual costs could be much higher.

          AB 30 provides that the pre-registration process will not begin  
          until the Secretary of State certifies the completion of a  










          statewide voter registration database.  Known as "VoteCal", this  
          system is expected to be completed during 2012, therefore, there  
          will be no costs associated with this bill until that time.   
          VoteCal is a statewide voter database as required under the  
          federal Help America Vote Act of 2002.  Although counties will  
          have their own election management systems, those systems will  
          easily interface with the SOS VoteCal program. 

          The Secretary of State (SOS) will incur costs for printing and  
          mailing registration cards and voter notification cards which  
          would be partially offset in future years by the savings from  
          those who would have otherwise registered to vote at the age of  
          18.  The voter registration cards are predominantly distributed  
          at schools and Department of Motor Vehicle offices.  According  
          to the SOS, estimates for printing and mailing out these cards  
          are about $0.57 each, and costs for printing and mailing voter  
          notification cards are $0.30 each.   Estimates for processing  
          the voter pre-registration cards and 

          Page 2
          AB 30 (Price)


          maintaining the database to update changes such as addresses and  
          party affiliations can be as high as $1.40 in larger counties,  
          while smaller counties indicate much lesser costs. There are an  
          estimated 1 million persons who are age 16-17 living in  
          California.  
          If only 5% (or 50,000 people) pre-register to vote, costs for  
          processing voter registration cards by local election officials  
          would be about $70,000 annually.   It should be noted that some  
          of these costs may be offset by savings in future years if a  
          portion of the people who pre-register to vote would have  
          registered in later years.  However, the intent of this program  
          is to register persons who may not ordinarily register, thereby,  
          increasing voter participation.  Therefore, not all costs will  
          be offset by savings in future years.  Staff notes that AB 30  
          does not contain any provisions for voter outreach programs to  
          educate teens of their eligibility to participate in this new  
          program which would increase the likelihood of its success.

          AB 30 authorizes any person who is at least 16 years of age and  
          otherwise meets all eligibility requirements to vote to submit  
          an affidavit of registration.   The person will then  
          automatically be eligible to vote upon turning age 18 as long as  
          the information on the affidavit is still current, such as  










          address.  He or she will automatically begin receiving voting  
          materials and will be eligible to vote at the next election.

          When a person fills out an affidavit of registration, the county  
          elections official sends that voter a confirmation card  
          notifying the person that their eligibility to vote has been  
          confirmed.  Although not specifically required in AB 30, it is  
          anticipated that counties will send a second confirmation card  
          to each person who pre-registers to vote upon turning age 18,  
          confirming that their address is still current, and notifying  
          them that they are officially eligible to vote.  There are  
          approximately 1 million Californians age 16-17.  The current  
          state registration rate is 70%, however, it is not known how  
          many teens will opt to participate in the pre-registration voter  
          program.  According to the sponsor, other states which have  
          implemented pre-registration programs have realized a  
          participation rate of as little as 4% and as high as 34%.  The  
          uncertainty of those percentages makes the costs of  
          implementation very difficult to estimate.

          Existing law requires the county registrar of births and deaths  
          to notify county elections officials each month on the deaths of  
          persons age 18 and older that were recorded during the preceding  
          month.  County elections officials then cancel the affidavit of  
          registration of the deceased voter.  AB 30 will require the  
          monthly notifications to include persons who died that were at  
          least age 16, which will require county registrars to make  
          programming changes to accommodate this new level.  Staff notes  
          that this provision in the bill may not be necessary and that  
          the current process of notifying elections officials when a  
          person over age 18 dies will likely be sufficient since any 16  
          or 17 year old that pre-registers will not be eligible to vote  
          until turning age 18.

          AB 30 specifically prohibits any person age 16 or 17 who  
          pre-registers to vote from signing any petition until that  
          person reaches age 18.   Existing law permits a person who is a  
          United States citizen, a resident of California, is not in  
          prison or on parole for 

          Page 3
          AB 30 (Price)


          the conviction of a felony, and who will be 18 years of age at  
          the time of the next election to register to vote by completing  










          an affidavit of registration.

          This bill is similar to AB 1819 (Price) which was held on the  
          Suspense File in this committee last year.