BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                  AB 23 X3
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          Date of Hearing:   March 11, 2009

                        ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS
                                Kevin De Leon, Chair

                    AB 23 X3 (Coto) - As Amended:  March 9, 2009 

          Policy Committee:                              Insurance  
          Committee    Vote:                            8-2

          Urgency:     Yes                  State Mandated Local Program:  
          Yes    Reimbursable:              Yes

           SUMMARY  :   This bill conforms specified unemployment insurance  
          (UI) eligibility and benefits administered by the Employment  
          Development Department (EDD) to federal American Recovery and  
          Reinvestment Act (ARRA) requirements. Specifically, this bill:

          1)Establishes an alternate base period (ABP) for UI benefit  
            determinations if an unemployed worker does not meet income  
            eligibility requirements under current law. Implementation of  
            an ABP requires review of more recent wages than conducted  
            under current law for otherwise income-eligible beneficiaries.  


          2)Modifies existing high-unemployment triggers in federal and  
            state law (Statutes of 1970) to enable California to take full  
            advantage of a 20-week federal UI extension contained in the  
            ARRA. 

          3)In the absence of additional federal action and 100% federal  
            funding, this bill sunsets the emergency benefit extension in  
            December 2009. 

           FISCAL EFFECT   

          One-time increase of $840 million in federal funds into the UI  
          Trust Fund as a result of establishing the ABP. Increased  
          federal funding in the range of $2.5 billion to $3 billion for  
          20 weeks of additional emergency UI benefits during 2009. The  
          increased federal funding is offset by ongoing ABP benefit  
          payments beginning in 2009-10 from the UI Trust Fund of $50  
          million to $70 million. Potential, likely minor, GF costs to  
          state and educational agencies (schools and colleges) related to  
          ABP and emergency benefit increases. Unknown impacts to local  








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          public agencies to the extent increased federally funded  
          benefits require an increased employer contribution.
          
           Federal Relief Provided to California 
           
           1)ABP  . One-time $840 million increase in federal funds to the UI  
            Trust Fund as a result of establishing an ABP as required by  
            ARRA. 

           2)Emergency Benefits  . An increase of federally funded emergency  
            UI benefits in the range of $2.5 billion to $3 billion during  
            calendar year 2009 (100% federal).

           3)Economic Activity Generated  . The infusion of $3 billion  
            dollars of federal funding into California creates a  
            significant amount of related economic activity. Because UI  
            benefits are used by beneficiaries and their families for  
            basic necessities including food, shelter, and clothing, the  
            extension of benefits translates into continued spending in  
            the general economy. 

          Spending feeds local economies. Estimates of local economic  
            effects are quantified in a multiplier effect and vary widely  
            in terms of magnitude and timing. Recent estimates by the  
            Congressional Budget Office indicate that between one dollar  
            and two dollars in economic output is generated for each  
            dollar of payment in UI benefits. Spending in this way also  
            generates local sales tax, which in turn generates public  
            revenues. In addition to economic activity, increased UI  
            support reduces pressures on publicly funded programs such as  
            Food Stamps, CalWORKs, and Medi-Cal. 

           Costs and Cost Pressures 
           
           1)ABP  . Annual ABP benefit payments paid, starting in 2009-10,  
            from the UI Trust Fund of $50 million to $70 million. Actual  
            ABP spending depends on the unemployment rate and the number  
            of beneficiaries who qualify under ABP eligibility  
            determinations. More than 30,000 workers statewide starting in  
            2009-10 will likely be eligible for the ABP-related benefits.  
            ABP benefits paid by state or other public education employers  
            (schools and colleges), may generate annual GF costs and  
            pressures in the range of $1.5 million to $2 million. Unknown  
            costs to cities and counties to pay increased UI benefits  
            under ABP. 








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           2)Emergency Benefits  . For the vast majority of employers, any  
            emergency benefits paid during calendar year 2009 will be  
            fully federally funded. If the federal government extends the  
            100% funding available into calendar year 2010, this bill  
            authorizes California to take advantage of the additional  
            extension with no further legislative action. In the case of  
            most public employers, including the state, local agencies and  
            educational institutions, the emergency extension will be a  
            100% employer obligation because these employers do not pay  
            payroll taxes. Instead, they pay 100% of benefits when an  
            eligible worker becomes unemployed. Weekly UI payments range  
            from $40 and $450, with an average weekly benefit of $307.  
            Therefore a 20-week extension at the average benefit rate is  
            $6,000. 

           3)Public Employees Not Likely to Qualify for 20 week Extension  .  
            California has not imposed layoffs on the state workforce or  
            in the education arena. In addition, when civil service  
            employees are laid off, many are absorbed into another agency  
            or position. Therefore, few state workers are unemployed for  
            more than one year and would not qualify for the 20-week  
            extension addressed in this bill. Hence, GF costs are likely  
            to be minor. In the case of school districts, layoffs could  
            occur this summer. However, by the time these laid-off  
            teachers join the ranks of the long-term unemployed and  
            exhaust 59 weeks of current law benefits, the federal benefit  
            extension recently enacted and addressed by this bill will  
            have ended. 

           COMMENTS  

           1)Rationale  . This bill changes state UI law to meet the ABP  
            requirement contained in the federal ARRA legislation.  
            Establishing an APB will enable California to draw down $840  
            million in a one-time federal allocation for UI reform and  
            modernization activities. California's current base period  
            makes some low-income or intermittent workers ineligible for  
            benefits even if their more recent earnings meet eligibility  
            thresholds. An ABP provides an alternate eligibility  
            determination for some of these workers to qualify for  
            benefits or qualify more expeditiously. In addition, this bill  
            modifies state law to maximize the amount of federal funding  
            available to California for extended emergency UI benefits.  
            This bill provides up to 20 weeks of benefits to the long-term  








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            unemployed who current receive 59 weeks of benefits. The  
            actual number of weeks provided will depend on the interaction  
            of this bill's trigger relative to the current law trigger for  
            emergency benefits. 

           2)Current UI Benefits . During relatively low rates of  
            unemployment, eligible individuals receive weekly UI payments  
            for up to 26 weeks. Due to current high rates of unemployment  
            the federal government has provided emergency extensions to  
            these benefits. California, a state with one of the highest  
            unemployment rates nationally (now over 10% and twice as high  
            as a year ago), provides workers with up to 33 additional  
            weeks of extended benefits. These additional benefits are paid  
            by the federal government. Therefore, under current law,  
            long-term unemployed individuals are eligible for 26 weeks,  
            plus 33 weeks, for a total of 59 weeks of UI benefits. 

           3)Rarely Pulled Emergency Trigger  . Distinct from the emergency  
            benefit extension of 33 weeks available under current law, the  
            Federal-State Extended Unemployment Compensation Act of 1970  
            is codified in state law. Although this emergency extension  
            has been available for almost 40 years, the trigger on has  
            only been pulled once, in 1983. Because state eligibility  
            relies on higher than historic unemployment rates over a  
            sustained period of time, the trigger is difficult to for  
            states to achieve. Only nine states have accessed these  
            benefits during the current economic downturn. California is  
            expected to join this group of states in late April 2009. 

          State eligibility under the 1970 statute provides 13 additional  
            weeks of UI benefits at a federal cost for most employers and  
            without any legislative action. AB 23 makes additional  
            statutory changes to ensure the availability of seven  
            additional weeks of UI emergency benefits, for a total of 20  
            weeks of extended benefits. This extension means some  
            long-term unemployed workers will gain access to 79 total  
            weeks of UI benefits.  

           4)Federal Funding for Administration  . In addition to the  
            numerous and significant fiscal effects discussed above, the  
            federal ARRA includes several other funding features for state  
            UI relief. A one-time $60 million allocation is provided to  
            EDD for administrative workload and system modernization. No  
            state legislation is necessary to draw down this funding. 









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           5)UI Trust Fund Deterioration  . Due to chronic underfunding of  
            the UI Trust Fund, California faces UI insolvency for the  
            foreseeable future, absent corrective action. The UI program  
            is financed by employers who pay taxes each year on wages paid  
            up to $7,000 for each employee. California's tax rate for UI  
            is the lowest allowed by federal law and has not been  
            increased since the 1980s. Other large states have taxable  
            wage bases that range up to $12,500. Almost 20 states have a  
            taxable wage base of more than $15,000 and range up to  
            $35,000. Taxable wages in California are neither indexed nor  
            inflation-adjusted. These factors and the major increases in  
            unemployment have generated the UI Trust Fund insolvency. 

           6)Federal Relief for Loan Interest Accrual  . When the UI Trust  
            Fund becomes insolvent, California must borrow from the  
            federal government. California currently has the authority to  
            borrow up to $1.6 billion from the federal government to pay  
            benefits through March of 2009. At this point, $500 million,  
            or less than half of this authority has been used.  
            Historically, loans repaid within a fiscal year are  
            interest-free. When loans are not repaid in a timely manner,  
            however, interest accrues. Generally, the payment of interest  
            on these loans creates a GF risk, as neither UI Trust Funds  
            nor federal administrative grants may be used for interest  
            payments. ARRA waives interest payments of $22 million in  
            2009-10 and $150 million in 2010-11. These interest waivers do  
            not require legislation.
           
          7)ABP  . A UI base period describes the duration over which  
            earnings are reviewed to determine a weekly UI benefit level.  
            Under current law, UI eligibility is based on earnings prior  
            to the most recent three to five months of wages. For example,  
            if a worker becomes unemployed in February of 2009, the  
            worker's wages from September 2007 to September 2008 are used  
            for UI benefit calculations. Sufficient wages are required in  
            the base period to receive UI benefits. An ABP requires review  
            of more recent wage data than is currently collected for  
            eligibility determinations. Adopting an ABP will reduce the  
            number UI benefit denials of low-wage workers and employees  
            with uneven earnings who are otherwise income-eligible. 
           
           
          Analysis Prepared by  :    Mary Ader / APPR. / (916) 319-2081