BILL ANALYSIS AB 23 X3 Page 1 Date of Hearing: March 11, 2009 ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS Kevin De Leon, Chair AB 23 X3 (Coto) - As Amended: March 9, 2009 Policy Committee: Insurance Committee Vote: 8-2 Urgency: Yes State Mandated Local Program: Yes Reimbursable: Yes SUMMARY : This bill conforms specified unemployment insurance (UI) eligibility and benefits administered by the Employment Development Department (EDD) to federal American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) requirements. Specifically, this bill: 1)Establishes an alternate base period (ABP) for UI benefit determinations if an unemployed worker does not meet income eligibility requirements under current law. Implementation of an ABP requires review of more recent wages than conducted under current law for otherwise income-eligible beneficiaries. 2)Modifies existing high-unemployment triggers in federal and state law (Statutes of 1970) to enable California to take full advantage of a 20-week federal UI extension contained in the ARRA. 3)In the absence of additional federal action and 100% federal funding, this bill sunsets the emergency benefit extension in December 2009. FISCAL EFFECT One-time increase of $840 million in federal funds into the UI Trust Fund as a result of establishing the ABP. Increased federal funding in the range of $2.5 billion to $3 billion for 20 weeks of additional emergency UI benefits during 2009. The increased federal funding is offset by ongoing ABP benefit payments beginning in 2009-10 from the UI Trust Fund of $50 million to $70 million. Potential, likely minor, GF costs to state and educational agencies (schools and colleges) related to ABP and emergency benefit increases. Unknown impacts to local AB 23 X3 Page 2 public agencies to the extent increased federally funded benefits require an increased employer contribution. Federal Relief Provided to California 1)ABP . One-time $840 million increase in federal funds to the UI Trust Fund as a result of establishing an ABP as required by ARRA. 2)Emergency Benefits . An increase of federally funded emergency UI benefits in the range of $2.5 billion to $3 billion during calendar year 2009 (100% federal). 3)Economic Activity Generated . The infusion of $3 billion dollars of federal funding into California creates a significant amount of related economic activity. Because UI benefits are used by beneficiaries and their families for basic necessities including food, shelter, and clothing, the extension of benefits translates into continued spending in the general economy. Spending feeds local economies. Estimates of local economic effects are quantified in a multiplier effect and vary widely in terms of magnitude and timing. Recent estimates by the Congressional Budget Office indicate that between one dollar and two dollars in economic output is generated for each dollar of payment in UI benefits. Spending in this way also generates local sales tax, which in turn generates public revenues. In addition to economic activity, increased UI support reduces pressures on publicly funded programs such as Food Stamps, CalWORKs, and Medi-Cal. Costs and Cost Pressures 1)ABP . Annual ABP benefit payments paid, starting in 2009-10, from the UI Trust Fund of $50 million to $70 million. Actual ABP spending depends on the unemployment rate and the number of beneficiaries who qualify under ABP eligibility determinations. More than 30,000 workers statewide starting in 2009-10 will likely be eligible for the ABP-related benefits. ABP benefits paid by state or other public education employers (schools and colleges), may generate annual GF costs and pressures in the range of $1.5 million to $2 million. Unknown costs to cities and counties to pay increased UI benefits under ABP. AB 23 X3 Page 3 2)Emergency Benefits . For the vast majority of employers, any emergency benefits paid during calendar year 2009 will be fully federally funded. If the federal government extends the 100% funding available into calendar year 2010, this bill authorizes California to take advantage of the additional extension with no further legislative action. In the case of most public employers, including the state, local agencies and educational institutions, the emergency extension will be a 100% employer obligation because these employers do not pay payroll taxes. Instead, they pay 100% of benefits when an eligible worker becomes unemployed. Weekly UI payments range from $40 and $450, with an average weekly benefit of $307. Therefore a 20-week extension at the average benefit rate is $6,000. 3)Public Employees Not Likely to Qualify for 20 week Extension . California has not imposed layoffs on the state workforce or in the education arena. In addition, when civil service employees are laid off, many are absorbed into another agency or position. Therefore, few state workers are unemployed for more than one year and would not qualify for the 20-week extension addressed in this bill. Hence, GF costs are likely to be minor. In the case of school districts, layoffs could occur this summer. However, by the time these laid-off teachers join the ranks of the long-term unemployed and exhaust 59 weeks of current law benefits, the federal benefit extension recently enacted and addressed by this bill will have ended. COMMENTS 1)Rationale . This bill changes state UI law to meet the ABP requirement contained in the federal ARRA legislation. Establishing an APB will enable California to draw down $840 million in a one-time federal allocation for UI reform and modernization activities. California's current base period makes some low-income or intermittent workers ineligible for benefits even if their more recent earnings meet eligibility thresholds. An ABP provides an alternate eligibility determination for some of these workers to qualify for benefits or qualify more expeditiously. In addition, this bill modifies state law to maximize the amount of federal funding available to California for extended emergency UI benefits. This bill provides up to 20 weeks of benefits to the long-term AB 23 X3 Page 4 unemployed who current receive 59 weeks of benefits. The actual number of weeks provided will depend on the interaction of this bill's trigger relative to the current law trigger for emergency benefits. 2)Current UI Benefits . During relatively low rates of unemployment, eligible individuals receive weekly UI payments for up to 26 weeks. Due to current high rates of unemployment the federal government has provided emergency extensions to these benefits. California, a state with one of the highest unemployment rates nationally (now over 10% and twice as high as a year ago), provides workers with up to 33 additional weeks of extended benefits. These additional benefits are paid by the federal government. Therefore, under current law, long-term unemployed individuals are eligible for 26 weeks, plus 33 weeks, for a total of 59 weeks of UI benefits. 3)Rarely Pulled Emergency Trigger . Distinct from the emergency benefit extension of 33 weeks available under current law, the Federal-State Extended Unemployment Compensation Act of 1970 is codified in state law. Although this emergency extension has been available for almost 40 years, the trigger on has only been pulled once, in 1983. Because state eligibility relies on higher than historic unemployment rates over a sustained period of time, the trigger is difficult to for states to achieve. Only nine states have accessed these benefits during the current economic downturn. California is expected to join this group of states in late April 2009. State eligibility under the 1970 statute provides 13 additional weeks of UI benefits at a federal cost for most employers and without any legislative action. AB 23 makes additional statutory changes to ensure the availability of seven additional weeks of UI emergency benefits, for a total of 20 weeks of extended benefits. This extension means some long-term unemployed workers will gain access to 79 total weeks of UI benefits. 4)Federal Funding for Administration . In addition to the numerous and significant fiscal effects discussed above, the federal ARRA includes several other funding features for state UI relief. A one-time $60 million allocation is provided to EDD for administrative workload and system modernization. No state legislation is necessary to draw down this funding. AB 23 X3 Page 5 5)UI Trust Fund Deterioration . Due to chronic underfunding of the UI Trust Fund, California faces UI insolvency for the foreseeable future, absent corrective action. The UI program is financed by employers who pay taxes each year on wages paid up to $7,000 for each employee. California's tax rate for UI is the lowest allowed by federal law and has not been increased since the 1980s. Other large states have taxable wage bases that range up to $12,500. Almost 20 states have a taxable wage base of more than $15,000 and range up to $35,000. Taxable wages in California are neither indexed nor inflation-adjusted. These factors and the major increases in unemployment have generated the UI Trust Fund insolvency. 6)Federal Relief for Loan Interest Accrual . When the UI Trust Fund becomes insolvent, California must borrow from the federal government. California currently has the authority to borrow up to $1.6 billion from the federal government to pay benefits through March of 2009. At this point, $500 million, or less than half of this authority has been used. Historically, loans repaid within a fiscal year are interest-free. When loans are not repaid in a timely manner, however, interest accrues. Generally, the payment of interest on these loans creates a GF risk, as neither UI Trust Funds nor federal administrative grants may be used for interest payments. ARRA waives interest payments of $22 million in 2009-10 and $150 million in 2010-11. These interest waivers do not require legislation. 7)ABP . A UI base period describes the duration over which earnings are reviewed to determine a weekly UI benefit level. Under current law, UI eligibility is based on earnings prior to the most recent three to five months of wages. For example, if a worker becomes unemployed in February of 2009, the worker's wages from September 2007 to September 2008 are used for UI benefit calculations. Sufficient wages are required in the base period to receive UI benefits. An ABP requires review of more recent wage data than is currently collected for eligibility determinations. Adopting an ABP will reduce the number UI benefit denials of low-wage workers and employees with uneven earnings who are otherwise income-eligible. Analysis Prepared by : Mary Ader / APPR. / (916) 319-2081