BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                       



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                                 THIRD READING


          Bill No:  AJR 1
          Author:   Blakeslee (R)
          Amended:  5/12/09 in Assembly
          Vote:     21

           
           WITHOUT REFERENCE TO COMMITTEE OR FILE

          ASSEMBLY FLOOR  :  73-0, 5/14/09 - See last page for vote


           SUBJECT  :    Earthquake damage:  mitigation planning

           SOURCE  :     Author


           DIGEST  :    This resolution states the Legislatures support  
          of the expedient development of mitigation efforts across  
          the state by federal, state, and local governmental  
          entities, in cooperation with private enterprises and  
          individuals, to protect against earthquake damage.

           ANALYSIS  :    This resolution makes the following  
          legislative findings:

          1. The United States Geological Survey has predicted an  
             earthquake with a magnitude 6.7 or greater in California  
             within the next 30 years.
           
          2. The Hayward Fault near San Francisco is predicted to  
             certainly rupture again with greater force than the 1989  
             Loma Prieta earthquake.
           
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          3. On November 13, 2008, the Great California ShakeOut  
             organized a drill where millions of people in homes,  
             schools, businesses, government offices, and public  
             places all over southern California practiced what to do  
             during an earthquake, and called the event the Great  
             California ShakeOut Drill.
           
          4. Results of the Great California ShakeOut Drill showed  
             that a large earthquake in southern California would  
             cost approximately $213 billion, including business  
             interruption, and could result in the death of  
             approximately 1,800 people. 

          5. The last major earthquake on the Hayward Fault was 140  
             years ago, and the last five earthquakes on this fault  
             have come, on average, 140 years apart.

          6. Recent reports have confirmed that mitigation techniques  
             can greatly improve the structural stability of a  
             building and dramatically improve the safety of its  
             occupants.

          7. Mitigation against earthquake damage is dramatically  
             more cost-effective than repairing buildings after a  
             great earthquake, and economic loss from halted business  
             and interrupted services can also be avoided by  
             retrofitting buildings before an earthquake strikes.
           
          8. The astronomical costs of repair that occur after a  
             devastating national disaster often fall on the  
             government. 

          This resolution states the Legislature's support of the  
          expedient development of mitigation efforts across the  
          state by federal, state, and local governmental entities,  
          in cooperation with private enterprises and individuals, to  
          protect against earthquake damage.

           Comments  

          The Working Group on the California Earthquake  
          Probabilities, a multi-disciplinary group of scientists and  
          engineers from the United States Geological Survey and the  
          Southern California Earthquake Center, forecasts a 99  







                                                                 AJR 1
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          3

          percent chance of magnitude 6.7 or greater earthquake  
          striking California within the next 30 years.  According to  
          the author's office, if the epicenter of the earthquake is  
          in a highly populated area such as Los Angeles, the damage  
          could result in the death of 1,800 people and $213 billion  
          in property losses. 

           FISCAL EFFECT  :    Fiscal Com.:  No

           ASSEMBLY FLOOR  : 
          AYES:  Adams, Anderson, Arambula, Beall, Bill Berryhill,  
            Tom Berryhill, Blakeslee, Block, Blumenfield, Brownley,  
            Buchanan, Caballero, Charles Calderon, Carter, Chesbro,  
            Conway, Cook, Coto, Davis, De La Torre, De Leon, DeVore,  
            Duvall, Emmerson, Eng, Evans, Feuer, Fletcher, Fong,  
            Fuller, Furutani, Galgiani, Gilmore, Hagman, Hall,  
            Harkey, Hayashi, Hernandez, Hill, Huber, Huffman,  
            Jeffries, Jones, Knight, Krekorian, Lieu, Logue, Bonnie  
            Lowenthal, Ma, Mendoza, Miller, Monning, Nava, Nestande,  
            Niello, Nielsen, John A. Perez, V. Manuel Perez,  
            Portantino, Price, Ruskin, Salas, Silva, Skinner,  
            Solorio, Audra Strickland, Swanson, Torlakson, Torres,  
            Torrico, Tran, Villines, Yamada
          NO VOTE RECORDED:  Ammiano, Fuentes, Gaines, Garrick,  
            Saldana, Smyth, Bass


          CTW:mw  6/24/09   Senate Floor Analyses 

                       SUPPORT/OPPOSITION:  NONE RECEIVED

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