BILL ANALYSIS AB 1404 Page 1 Date of Hearing: May 6, 2009 ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS Kevin De Leon, Chair AB 1404 (De Leon) - As Amended: April 13, 2009 Policy Committee: Natural ResourcesVote:5-3 Urgency: No State Mandated Local Program: No Reimbursable: No SUMMARY This bill would limit the Air Resources Board's (ARB) use of offsets to achieve required reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Specifically, this bill: 1)Directs ARB to limit use of "compliance offsets" to no more than 10% of GHG emissions reductions expected from market-based mechanisms in any given compliance period. 2)Requires that any compliance offset approved by ARB meet certain criteria: offsets must be a) verified by an independent, third-party verifier certified by ARB; b) meet protocols established by ARB; c) be assigned a unique serial number, d) be entered into a tracking database maintained by ARB; e) be permanently retired by ARB; and f) not significantly harm human health or the environment. 3)Directs ARB to establish incentives or guidelines that prioritize offsets that, among other things, result in air quality benefits to communities disproportionately impacted by air pollution, as determined by the state board, and benefit air quality in the same air district where the facility claiming the offset credit is located. 4)Requires ARB to impose an offset verification fee on emitters using such mechanisms in order to cover costs associated with implementation of this bill. FISCAL EFFECT 1)One-time costs of approximately $500,000 to ARB to establish a AB 1404 Page 2 program for third-party verifier certification, offset use protocols, incentives, and guidelines, and a database to track offsets. (Air Pollution Control Fund (APCF)) 2)Ongoing annual costs of about $300,000 to approve and track offsets. (Because the bill requires ARB to undertake actions that result in the costs, this analysis attributes those costs to the bill, even though ARB may choose to undertake those same or similar actions absent this bill.) 3)Annual fee revenue sufficient to cover much of the costs listed in 1) and 2). (APCF) COMMENTS 1)Rationale . The author contends GHG reductions required by AB 32 provide the opportunity to reduce other harmful "copollutants" that oftentimes are produced along with GHGs. The author is concerned that use of offsets in place of actual emissions reductions will diminish the opportunity to address copollutants along with GHGs. The author contends that the limits included in this bill will allow ARB to use compliance offsets, while ensuring that GHG reductions also lead to reduction of copollutants, especially in those areas of the state already suffering from the dirtiest air. 2)Background. AB 32 (N??ez, Chapter 455, Statutes of 2006) requires California to limit its emissions of GHGs so that, by 2020, those emissions are equal to what they were in 1990. To that end, AB 32 requires ARB to quantify the state's 1990 GHG emissions and to adopt, by January 1, 2009, a "scoping plan" that describes the board's plan for achieving the maximum technologically feasible and cost-effective reductions of GHG emissions reductions by 2020. In keeping with AB 32, ARB adopted its AB 32 scoping plan in December of 2008. Consistent with AB 32, the scoping plan includes both direct regulatory measures and market-based compliance mechanisms. Direct regulatory requirements of the type that have typified California's regulation of environmental quality, such as efficiency and emissions standards, account for over AB 1404 Page 3 three-quarters of the plan's GHG emissions reductions. The remainder of the plan's GHG emissions reductions-about 20%-result from a cap-and-trade market in which regulated emissions sources buy and sell credits that give the holder the right to emit a quantity of GHGs. The scoping plan indicates ARB's intent to link California's cap-and-trade program to that of the Western Climate Initiative (WCI)-a collaboration of several western states and Canadian provinces. 3)Use of Offsets is Controversial. In keeping with WCI guidelines, ARB states that no more than 49% of the cap-and-trade program emissions reductions will be allowed from offsets. "Offsets" refer to projects that reduce GHG emissions by sources not subject to a cap-and-trade program's GHG emissions cap. These projects are in lieu of emissions reductions by a capped emissions source. Offsets have the potential to result in a reduction in overall GHGs, but at a cost that is lower than if only regulated emissions sources were to directly realize those reductions themselves. Use of offsets is controversial, however, because it can be difficult to verify that offsets represent a "real" reduction in GHG emissions. It also can be difficult to verify that the emissions reductions represented by the offset are truly "additional"-meaning they would not have occurred absent the payment made by the regulated emission source. These difficulties become more pronounced as the eligible geographic location of potential offset projects is broadened. In addition, offsets allow an emissions source to avoid reducing its own emissions, a fact that some find objectionable for ethical reasons. AB 1404 Page 4 ARB notes the potential to reduce emissions reduction costs by incorporating low-cost emissions reductions from nonregulated emissions sources into the cap-and-trade program. ARB also notes, for similar reasons, the desirability of recognizing offsets from as wide a geographic area as possible. 4)Supporters of this measure , including some environmental and environmental justice groups, contend the bill's restriction on offsets will ensure that use of offsets to achieve the state's GHG reduction goals will not cause the state to miss opportunities to simultaneously reduce other types of air pollution in those communities most severely effected by air pollution. 5)Opponents, including some industry groups, claim the bill is unnecessary and will add to the cost of achieving required reductions in GHGs. Opponents note that the AB 32 scoping plan already limits the use of offsets so that they achieve no more than about 10% of overall emissions reductions. (Offsets can represent no more than 49% of cap-and-trade GHG emissions reductions, which themselves represent about 20% of ARB's overall GHG emissions reductions). Opponents additionally contend that offsets represent the opportunity to reduce GHGs at a substantially lower cost than would otherwise be possible, so restricting their use can only add to the cost of GHG reduction. Opponents also claim that the bill, by requiring ARB to develop guidelines for the use of offsets, creates implementation costs for ARB. The bill allows ARB to charge a fee to GHG emissions sources that use offsets, revenue from which could cover the cost of developing the guidelines. However, because those very guidelines will severely restrict the use of offsets, opponents argue that ARB will not recover those costs because few, if any GHG emitters will actually be able to use offsets. Analysis Prepared by : Jay Dickenson / APPR. / (916) 319-2081