BILL ANALYSIS AB 1404 SENATE COMMITTEE ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY Senator S. Joseph Simitian, Chairman 2009-2010 Regular Session BILL NO: AB 1404 AUTHOR: De Leon AMENDED: June 30, 2009 FISCAL: Yes HEARING DATE: July 6, 2009 URGENCY: No CONSULTANT: Randy Pestor SUBJECT : GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION OFFSETS SUMMARY : Existing law , under the California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (CGWSA): 1) Requires the California Air Resources Board (ARB) to determine the 1990 statewide greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions level and approve a statewide GHG emissions limit that is equivalent to that level, to be achieved by 2020, and sets various requirements to meet this requirement. (Health and Safety Code 38500 et seq.). 2) Requires ARB to prepare and approve a scoping plan by January 1, 2009, for achieving the maximum technologically feasible and cost-effective reductions in GHG emissions from sources or categories of sources of GHGs by 2020. ARB must evaluate the total potential costs and total potential economic and noneconomic benefits of the plan for reducing GHGs to the state's economy and public health, using the best economic models, emission estimation techniques, and other scientific methods. The plan must be updated at least once every five years. (38561). 3) Requires ARB to adopt GHG emission limits and emission reduction measures by regulation on or before January 1, 2011, and meet certain requirements in adopting the regulations. ARB may include the use of market based mechanisms to comply with these regulations. (38562, 38570). AB 1404 Page 2 This bill : 1) Provides that if ARB allows market-based compliance mechanisms: a) ARB must limit use of compliance offsets to no more than 10% of GHG emission reductions expected from market mechanisms for the compliance period. ARB must apply the limit to each regulated party's reported emissions in a compliance period. b) ARB must approve compliance offsets only if certain criteria are met (e.g., offset has been verified by an independent third-party verifier certified by the ARB, offset is entered into tracking system and permanently retired). c) Compliance offsets must meet GHG emission reduction requirements. d) ARB must establish incentives or guidelines that prioritize compliance offsets (i.e., result in air quality benefits to California communities disproportionately impacted by air quality and disadvantaged communities, result in cobenefits to public health and the environment in the state). e) ARB must establish a fee with revenues to be placed into the Air Pollution Control Fund and be available upon appropriation by the Legislature to pay for expenses related to ARB administration of the compliance offset program. General Fund moneys cannot be expended for program administration. 2) Defines "compliance offset" as a quantified GHG emission reduction in a sector different than the sector regulated by an ARB adopted GHG emission limit for which a market based-compliance mechanism has been adopted, that is used for specified compliance purposes. COMMENTS : AB 1404 Page 3 1) Purpose of Bill . According to the author and sponsor, ARB is considering use of compliance offsets to meet the state's emission reduction targets. They note that "Compliance offsets are credits based on estimated global warming emission reductions made outside the sectors directly covered by California's emission reduction regulations. Polluters in regulated sectors can buy offsets to substitute for cuts that they otherwise would have made directly in capped sectors." It is also noted that while ARB has committed to implementing policies to achieve about 80% GHG emission reductions, the remaining 20% of reduction would be achieved through a cap-and-trade program - and ARB "has proposed that offsets could substitute for up to 49 percent of the total emission reductions below the 2012 cap - which could encompass all of the emission reductions expected to be achieved through the cap-and-trade program." According to the author and sponsor, smog-forming and toxic air pollutants are often reduced when electricity generators, fuel providers, refineries, and other regulated sources reduce GHG emissions - air quality cobenefits of climate change actions that are "critically important." They note that "The use of offsets can jeopardize the reduction of air pollutants in many of California's most heavily polluted communities . . . The use of offsets also out-sources projects that could otherwise have created green jobs in California." The author and sponsor also note that, "The California LAO has recommended that the legislature give [ARB] direction on the issue of offsets. The US Government Accountability Office has also recently affirmed the need for strict limits on offsets." 2) Background . Under a cap and trade mechanism, ARB could establish a declining cap on GHG emissions. Regulated entities, such as powerplants, would obtain permits or allowances to emit emissions up to their cap. Those allowances could then be traded among regulated entities with a purported result that those entities that could lower their GHG emissions least expensively will do so and sell their "excess" allowance to those who find it more AB 1404 Page 4 costly to lower their GHG emissions. An issue with such a program is how regulated entities obtain the emission allowances. A broader concern is whether the auctioning of allowances is enforceable, transparent, and allows public participation - and whether many will simply experience the same shortcomings that affected personal portfolios when it was determined that derivatives and other financial instruments were essentially unregulated market mechanisms. A part of some cap and trade programs is the creation of offsets whereby a regulated entity can pay another entity for its GHG reductions, which can then be used by the regulated entity to meet its GHG cap. Examples may include planting trees, or developing landfill gas capture and windfarm projects. Firms currently sell carbon offsets which are used by those who want to "green" their activities. A major concern with offsets is the validity of their activities - yet legislation seeking to ensure the legitimacy of offsets is also opposed by those advertising their use. According to the Climate Change Scoping Plan (December 2008), "The foundation of the Scoping Plan's strategy is a set of measures that will cut greenhouse gas emissions by nearly 30 percent by the year 2020 as compared to business as usual and put California on a course for much deeper reductions in the long term." The Scoping Plan also notes that "In December 2007, ARB approved a greenhouse gas emissions target for 2020 equivalent to the state's calculated greenhouse gas emissions level in 1990. ARB developed the 2020 target after extensive technical work and a series of stakeholder meetings. The 2020 target of 427 MMTCO2E [million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents] requires the reduction of 169 MMTCO2E, or approximately 30 percent, from the state's projected 2020 emissions of 596 MMTCO2E (business-as-usual) and the reduction of 42 MMTCO2E, or almost 10 percent, from 2002-2004 average emissions . . . The total reduction for the recommended measures slightly exceeds the 169 MMTCO2E of reductions estimated in the Draft Scoping Plan. This is the net effect of adding several measures and adjusting the emission reduction estimates for some other measures." AB 1404 Page 5 ARB proposes to achieve 34.4 MMTCO2E through a cap and trade program, or about 20% of a total 174 MMTCO2E reduction. The CGWSA does not reference offsets, but focuses on GHG emission reductions and only authorizes market based mechanisms if certain conditions are met. As noted above, the Scoping Plan includes cap and trade provisions, and references the use of offsets to "no more than 49% of the required reduction of emissions [within the 20% cap and trade program]." Within this 20%, AB 1404 would set a 10% limit on the use of compliance offsets from reductions outside the regulated sector. AB 1404 also sets criteria for using offsets, as well as priorities for use of those offsets in California that are intended to increase environmental and public health benefits in the state. AB 1404 provisions would apply if ARB uses market-based mechanisms as authorized under the CGWSA. 3) Opposition and support concerns . According to opponents, "Of the 19% of reductions through cap and trade, [ARB] suggests that 49% of the reductions could be satisfied by offsets. AB 1404 would allow only 10% to be satisfied by offsets, which will result in higher costs for California's employers, the economy and consumers." Opponents also note that this bill "would prematurely determine important elements of the cap and trade program prior to expert analysis and review" and offsets "are an important cost-containment mechanism for the cap and trade program." According to supporters, "AB 1404 establishes an offsets limit that ensures that at least 90% of the global warming pollution reductions promised by AB 32 occur in our state's electricity and transportation sectors - the sectors with the highest levels of global warming pollution. This will help stimulate green technology innovation, boost markets for renewable energy, and create green collar jobs." Supporters note that "Offsets could drain funding renewable energy development in California" and "limits on offsets help spur innovation and drive venture capital investment in California." 4) Technical consideration . SB 722 (Steinberg), currently AB 1404 Page 6 with the Assembly Natural Resources Committee, addresses GHG emission representations in an advertisement or other promotional materials. If SB 722 is approved by that committee, it may be necessary to ensure that AB 1404 and SB 722 do not contain conflicting provisions. AB 1404 and SB 104 (Oropeza) amend Public Resources Code 38505, so double-jointing amendments will be needed to avoid chaptering out problems. SOURCE : Union of Concerned Scientists SUPPORT : African American Environmentalist Association American Lung Association of California Ausra, Inc. Bayview Hunters Point Breast Cancer Fund Breathe California California Apollo Alliance California Interfaith Power and Light California Labor Federation California League of Conservation Voters California Pan-Ethnic Health Network California State Building and Construction Trades Council, AFL-CIO California State NAACP California Thoracic Society California Wind Energy Association Catholic Charities, Stockton Diocese Center for Biological Diversity Center for Environmental Health Central Valley Air Quality Coalition Global Warming and Air Quality Committee Clean Air Now Clean Power Campaign Cleantech America Coalition for Clean Air Communities for Clean Ports Community Action to Fight Asthma Ella Baker Center End Oil AB 1404 Page 7 Engineers and Scientists of California, Local 20 IFPTE, AFL-CIO & CLC enXco Development Corporation Environment California Faith2Green Forests Forever Fresno-Madera Medical Society Global Green USA International Rivers Large Scale Solar Association Latino Coalition for a Healthy California Latino Issues Forum Mark Z. Jacobson, Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Stanford University Medical Advocates for Healthy Air Merced/Mariposa County Asthma Coalition Moms CAN (Clean Air Network) National Parks Conservation Association Natural Resources Defense Council New Voice of Business Orange County Interfaith Coalition for the Environment Our Children's Earth Foundation Physicians for Social Responsibility-Bay Area Planning and Conservation League Public Health Institute Public Health Law and Policy Recurrent Energy Regional Asthma Management and Prevention Santa Cruz County Board of Supervisors Sharp, USA Sierra Club California Sierra Club, Loma Prieta Chapter Solaria Solar Millennium SolFocus Suntech America Sustainable Energy Partners LLC Sungevity Vote Solar Union of Concerned Scientists AB 1404 Page 8 110 Individuals including: David Roland-Holst, U.C. Berkeley; Dean Baker, M.D., MPH (Professor, UC Irvine School of Medicine, Director, Center for Occupational Health and Environment); Rajiv Bhatia, MD, MPH (Director, Occupational & Environmental Health, San Francisco Department of Public Health, Assistant Clinical Professor of Medicine, UCSF); Curtis Eckhert, Ph.D. (Professor, Environmental Health Sciences (Chair), University of California, Los Angeles); Julia Faucett, RN, PhD, FAAN (Professor Emerita, UCSF); John Froines, Ph.D. (Director, Southern California Particle Center); Robert Harrison, MD, MPH (Professor of Medicine, Division of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, University of California, San Francisco); Richard J. Jackson, M.d., MPH (Professor and Chair, Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, UCLA); Rob S. McConnell, M.D. (Professor, Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine University of Southern California); Anthony Molina, M.D. (Staff Physician, Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Southern California); Suzanne Paulson, Ph.D. (Professor Atmospheric Chemistry, UCLA); Kent E. Pinkeron, Ph.D. (Professor and Director, Center for Health and the Environment, University of California, Davis); Beate Ritz, M.D., Ph.D. (Vice Chair, Department of Epidemiology & Professor of Epidemiology, Environmental Health Sciences and Neurology, Schools of Public Health and Medicine, UCLA); Linda Rosenstock, MD,MPH (Dean, UCLA School of Public Health); Robert Schiestl, Ph.D. (Department of Pathology, UCLA) OPPOSITION : Azusa City Council BOMA California California Association of Small and Multi-jurisdictional Utilities California Building Industry Association California Business Properties Association AB 1404 Page 9 California Chamber of Commerce California Council for Environmental and Economic Balance California Forestry Association California Grocers Association California Independent Petroleum Association California League of Food Processors California Manufacturers & Technology Association California Retailers Association California Taxpayers Association Ecosecurities Industrial Environmental Associates International Council of Shopping Centers NAIOP of California Sacramento Municipal Utility District Santa Barbara Technology & Industry Association Western States Petroleum Association