BILL ANALYSIS Senate Appropriations Committee Fiscal Summary Senator Christine Kehoe, Chair 1404 (De Leon) Hearing Date: 07/23/2009 Amended: 06/30/2009 Consultant: Brendan McCarthy Policy Vote: EQ 5-2 AB 1404 (De Leon) Page 2 _________________________________________________________________ ____ BILL SUMMARY: This bill limits the Air Resources Board's authority to use compliance offsets as part of any market based mechanism for achieving the state's greenhouse gas emission reduction goals. The bill imposes additional requirements on the potential use of compliance offsets. The bill directs the Board to assess a fee to pay for the costs of administering the bill. _________________________________________________________________ ____ Fiscal Impact (in thousands) Major Provisions 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Fund Air Resources Board $500 $300 Special * oversight Air Pollution Control Fund. Ultimately offset with fees. _________________________________________________________________ ____ STAFF COMMENTS: This bill meets the criteria for referral to the Suspense file. Under the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (commonly referred to as AB 32), the Air Resources Board is required to approve a statewide greenhouse gas emission limit such that total statewide emissions in 2020 are equivalent to the emission level in 1990. AB 32 authorizes the Air Resources Board to include market based mechanisms as a means of reaching the state's emission goals. In furtherance of AB 32, the Board has developed a Scoping Plan which lays out the various regulatory strategies that will be used to achieve the state's goals. One of the measures included in the Scoping Plan is a market based mechanism known as "cap and trade." Under a cap and trade mechanism, the Air Resources Board would set a declining overall emission cap and award permits to emitters. Emitters would be allowed to trade emission permits. Emitters that can easily or inexpensively reduce emissions could sell their permits to those that have greater challenges in reducing emissions. In theory, this will lead to the required emission reductions at the lowest cost by encouraging greater reductions from those that can reduce AB 1404 (De Leon) Page 2 emissions at the least cost. One element of a cap and trade system being evaluated by the Air Resources Board is the use of compliance offsets. Compliance offsets allow an emitter to pay a third party to take an action that "offsets" the emission of greenhouse gasses. For example, rather than reducing greenhouse gas emissions from a power plant directly, the operators of the plant could pay a landowner to plant trees that would capture and store greenhouse gasses equivalent to the emission reduction required of the plant. The Scoping Plan proposes that the state achieve 20 percent of its overall emission reductions through the cap and trade program. As part of the cap and trade program, the Air Resources Board is considering allowing the use of compliance offsets to make up as much as 49 percent of the emission reductions from cap and trade (about 10 percent of the total emission reductions required under AB 32). One of the concerns raised about a cap and trade program in general, and compliance offsets, in particular, is that they may not lead to a reduction in other pollutants that are associated with greenhouse gasses. For example, a power plant that emits carbon dioxide (a greenhouse gas) would likely also emit particulate matter (a local pollutant that may have impacts on local air quality). In the absence of a cap and trade program, a power plant operator may be required to directly reduce greenhouse gas emissions which would also likely result in a reduction of local air pollutants. However, under a cap and trade program (particularly one that includes offsets) a power plant operator could purchase emissions permits or pay for offsets that reduce or offset overall greenhouse gas emissions, but does not provide any local air pollution reductions. Under this bill, if the Air Resources Board does ultimately allow market-based mechanisms to be a part of the state's strategy for addressing greenhouse gas emissions, the Board would be required to take certain actions. Specifically, the Board would be limited to using compliance offsets to achieve 10 percent of the emission reductions from market mechanisms. In addition, the 10 percent limit would apply to each regulated party's emissions. The Air Resources Board would be required to ensure that any compliance offsets are verifiable and permanent, are tracked by the board for ongoing compliance, have not been claimed by any other emitter, shall not contribute to air pollution or have impacts on public health or the environment, AB 1404 (De Leon) Page 2 and have not been registered under an existing offset registry. Under the bill, the Air Resources Board is required to develop incentives or guidelines to prioritize offsets that result in air quality improvements in communities that are disproportionately impacted by air pollution and that provide air quality benefits in the same air district as the emitter is located. The bill directs the Air Resources Board to impose a fee to pay for the administration of the program. The Air Resources Board indicates that it will require additional resources for developing guidelines and protocols and for ongoing monitoring of compliance with the requirements of the bill. In the long-term, these costs will be offset with fee revenues. To the extent that this bill limits the potential uses of compliance offsets, it may increase the statewide costs of achieving the state's greenhouse gas emission reduction goals. On the other hand, to the extent the bill results in reduced local air pollution, it may improve air quality and reduce health care costs. The scope of either of these impacts is unknown.