BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    




                   Senate Appropriations Committee Fiscal Summary
                           Senator Christine Kehoe, Chair

                                           1404 (De Leon)
          
          Hearing Date:  07/23/2009           Amended: 06/30/2009
          Consultant:  Brendan McCarthy   Policy Vote: EQ 5-2














































          AB 1404 (De Leon)
          Page 2


          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____
          BILL SUMMARY: This bill limits the Air Resources Board's  
          authority to use compliance offsets as part of any market based  
          mechanism for achieving the state's greenhouse gas emission  
          reduction goals. The bill imposes additional requirements on the  
          potential use of compliance offsets. The bill directs the Board  
          to assess a fee to pay for the costs of administering the bill.
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____
                            Fiscal Impact (in thousands)

           Major Provisions         2009-10      2010-11       2011-12    Fund
           
          Air Resources Board               $500        $300      Special  
          *
             oversight

          Air Pollution Control Fund. Ultimately offset with fees.
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____

          STAFF COMMENTS: This bill meets the criteria for referral to the  
          Suspense file. 
          
          Under the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (commonly  
          referred to as AB 32), the Air Resources Board is required to  
          approve a statewide greenhouse gas emission limit such that  
          total statewide emissions in 2020 are equivalent to the emission  
          level in 1990. AB 32 authorizes the Air Resources Board to  
          include market based mechanisms as a means of reaching the  
          state's emission goals. 

          In furtherance of AB 32, the Board has developed a Scoping Plan  
          which lays out the various regulatory strategies that will be  
          used to achieve the state's goals. One of the measures included  
          in the Scoping Plan is a market based mechanism known as "cap  
          and trade." Under a cap and trade mechanism, the Air Resources  
          Board would set a declining overall emission cap and award  
          permits to emitters. Emitters would be allowed to trade emission  
          permits. Emitters that can easily or inexpensively reduce  
          emissions could sell their permits to those that have greater  
          challenges in reducing emissions. In theory, this will lead to  
          the required emission reductions at the lowest cost by  
          encouraging greater reductions from those that can reduce  







          AB 1404 (De Leon)
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          emissions at the least cost. One element of a cap and trade  
          system being evaluated by the Air Resources Board is the use of  
          compliance offsets. Compliance offsets allow an emitter to pay a  
          third party to take an action that "offsets" the emission of  
          greenhouse gasses. For example, rather than reducing greenhouse  
          gas emissions from a power plant directly, the operators of the  
          plant could pay a landowner to plant trees that would capture  
          and store greenhouse gasses equivalent to the emission reduction  
          required of the plant.

          The Scoping Plan proposes that the state achieve 20 percent of  
          its overall emission reductions through the cap and trade  
          program. As part of the cap and trade program, the Air Resources  
          Board is considering allowing the use of compliance offsets to  
          make up as much as 49 percent of the emission reductions from  
          cap and trade (about 10 percent of the total emission reductions  
          required under AB 32).

          One of the concerns raised about a cap and trade program in  
          general, and compliance offsets, in particular, is that they may  
          not lead to a reduction in other pollutants that are associated  
          with greenhouse gasses. For example, a power plant that emits  
          carbon dioxide (a greenhouse gas) would likely also emit  
          particulate matter (a local pollutant that may have impacts on  
          local air quality). In the absence of a cap and trade program, a  
          power plant operator may be required to directly reduce  
          greenhouse gas emissions which would also likely result in a  
          reduction of local air pollutants. However, under a cap and  
          trade program (particularly one that includes offsets) a power  
          plant operator could purchase emissions permits or pay for  
          offsets that reduce or offset overall greenhouse gas emissions,  
          but does not provide any local air pollution reductions.

          Under this bill, if the Air Resources Board does ultimately  
          allow market-based mechanisms to be a part of the state's  
          strategy for addressing greenhouse gas emissions, the Board  
          would be required to take certain actions. Specifically, the  
          Board would be limited to using compliance offsets to achieve 10  
          percent of the emission reductions from market mechanisms. In  
          addition, the 10 percent limit would apply to each regulated  
          party's emissions. The Air Resources Board would be required to  
          ensure that any compliance offsets are verifiable and permanent,  
          are tracked by the board for ongoing compliance, have not been  
          claimed by any other emitter, shall not contribute to air  
          pollution or have impacts on public health or the environment,  







          AB 1404 (De Leon)
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          and have not been registered under an existing offset registry.

          Under the bill, the Air Resources Board is required to develop  
          incentives or guidelines to prioritize offsets that result in  
          air quality improvements in communities that are  
          disproportionately impacted by air pollution and that provide  
          air quality benefits in the same air district as the emitter is  
          located. 

          The bill directs the Air Resources Board to impose a fee to pay  
          for the administration of the program.

          The Air Resources Board indicates that it will require  
          additional resources for developing guidelines and protocols and  
          for ongoing monitoring of compliance with the requirements of  
          the bill. In the long-term, these costs will be offset with fee  
          revenues.

          To the extent that this bill limits the potential uses of  
          compliance offsets, it may increase the statewide costs of  
          achieving the state's greenhouse gas emission reduction goals.  
          On the other hand, to the extent the bill results in reduced  
          local air pollution, it may improve air quality and reduce  
          health care costs. The scope of either of these impacts is  
          unknown.