BILL ANALYSIS REVISED SENATE REVENUE & TAXATION COMMITTEE Senator Lois Wolk, Chair SB 49 - Dutton Amended: May 6, 2009 Hearing: May 13, 2009 Tax Levy Fiscal: Yes SUMMARY: Extends Period to Qualify for California House Purchase Tax Credit; Removes $100 million Limit on Credit. EXISTING LAW provides various tax credits designed to provide incentives for taxpayers that incur certain expenses, such as child adoption, or to influence behavior, including business practices and decisions, such as research and development credits and Geographically Targeted Economic Development Area credits. The Legislature typically enacts such tax incentives to encourage taxpayers to do something but for the tax credit, they would otherwise not do. EXISTING LAW authorizes a $10,000 tax credit for taxpayers purchasing qualified homes after March 1st, 2009 and before March 1st, 2010. A qualified home has never been lived in before and must serve as the purchaser's primary place of residence. The taxpayer must apply the credit in equal amounts over the next three tax years, and must return a certification to Franchise Tax Board (FTB) from the seller certifying that the house has never been lived in within one week of the sale. The credit shall be disallowed if the taxpayer does not occupy the house for three years, and FTB will collect any underpayments from the taxpayer. The Legislature appropriated $100 million SB 49 - Dutton Page 5 for the credit, which the FTB allocates on a first-come, first-served basis (SBx2 15, Ashburn). EXISTING LAW also requires: Upon receipt of a certification jointly signed buy the taxpayer and seller, FTB reserves a credit for the taxpayer. FTB determines the date it receives the certification, and any decision it makes regarding certification dates and whether the taxpayer timely filed the return cannot be reviewed administratively or judicially. If the FTB disallows the credit, the inclusion of the credit is treated as a mathematical error. FTB may issue rules, guidelines, and procedures to administer the credit. The credit is not subject to the 50% of liability cap enacted as part of last year's budget (AB 1452, Committee on Budget). THIS BILL pushes back the end date for house purchases to qualify for the credit from March 1, 2010 to December 1, 2010; for purchases made between these dates must be executed by enforceable contract prior to March 1, 2010. The measure also specifies that the one-week deadline for submitting the certification to the FTB starts at the close of escrow. THIS BILL removes the current restriction of $100 million on total credits. Because FTB no longer must certify and allocate credits under an uncapped tax credit, the measure removes provisions in existing law guiding FTB's process for receiving certifications, allocating credits, and resolving disputes, and instead requires taxpayers to retain the certification and provide it to FTB upon request. SB 49 - Dutton Page 5 FISCAL EFFECT: According to FTB, SB 49 results in revenue losses of $18 million in 2009-10, $20 million in 2010-11, and $18 million in 2011-12. COMMENTS: A. Purpose of the Bill According the author: California is facing an economic crisis. Unemployment rates have reached a 26 year high. The housing industry is also being hit hard by declining sales and record foreclosures. California's housing industry accounts for 11% of the state's output and new housing construction contributes nearly $40 billion per year to the California economy and supports over 266,000 jobs statewide. Providing tax credits for new homes will increase the number of new homes sold, thus providing a needed lift to the economy. The tax credit has been successful so far. As of early April, a total of $30,559,124 tax credits have been claimed. If the current cap remains in effect, the credits will be depleted as early as June 2009. Removing the cap will allow more homebuyers to take advantage of the tax credit and allow the tax credit to continue to help revitalize California's housing market. B. Existing Tax Credit for New Home Purchases The Legislature enacted SBx2 15 (Ashburn) in February, providing a tax credit of up to $10,000 for taxpayers buying never before lived in houses between March 1, 2009 and March 1, 2010. As of April 29th, FTB received 4,880 applications requesting $47.4 million in tax credits, although FTB cautions that these figures are based on claims amounts, not the amount of credit applied. FTB accepts applications only by fax, and has not yet sent SB 49 - Dutton Page 5 notifications to taxpayers of credit allocations because it must first develop a system to capture and verify application information, allocate credits, and send letters. Taxpayers may only claim the credit after FTB allocates it. SB 49 removes this restriction, thereby allowing taxpayers to claim the credit without the certification, negating the need for a certification and allocation process; instead, taxpayers will claim the credit on their returns, keep the certification, and the credit will be treated like any other uncapped tax credit. The measure also lifts the $100 million limit on credits and extends the deadlines, thereby allowing all taxpayers purchasing new homes in 2009 and most of 2010 to qualify. C. Benefits of Homeownership Just as investors want the companies they hold equity in to do well, homeowners have a financial interest in the success of their communities. If neighborhood schools are good, if property taxes and crime rates are low, then the value of the homeowner's principal asset--his home--will rise. William Fischel calls this the "home voter advantage;" and states that through buying homes, homeowners become watchful citizens of local government, not merely to improve their quality of life, but also to counteract the risk to their largest asset, a risk that cannot be diversified. Meanwhile, their vigilance promotes a municipal governance that provides services more efficiently than do the state or national government. Furthermore, the federal government recently apportioned $6.6 billion for new homebuyers in the economic stimulus package; the intent is to increase homeownership thereby stimulating the economy by putting more people to work through the construction and sale of the home. According to a study by the Association of Realtors, home buyers also help carry the economy. California's housing construction contributes $40 billion per year to the State's economy. Home building, they state, is responsible for 359,000 jobs statewide and every dollar spent on new SB 49 - Dutton Page 5 housing construction generates approximately $1.95 in total economic activity. D. Most Tax Subsidized Asset Class in History? In the United State, federal and state government subsidies for house purchases may be unmatched throughout the world. Homeownership is clearly a public goal because similar benefits are not afforded to any other asset class. Tax subsidies include: Mortgage Loan Interest: Taxpayers may deduct interest payments on up to $500,000 single/$1 million joint of indebtedness used to purchase a first and second home. Taxpayers may also deduct interest payments on up to $100,000 in home improvement loans. The Department of Finance estimates that this tax benefit results in more than $5.4 billion in foregone revenue in 2009-10. Capital Gains Exclusion: Taxpayers may exclude up to $250,000 single/$500,000 joint in income resulting from the sale of their principal residence. The Department of Finance estimates that this tax benefit results in more than $3.7 billion in foregone revenue in 2009-10. Deductibility of Property Taxes: Taxpayers may deduct property taxes from federal income, although California's low property tax rates limit the benefit for Californians compared to residents of other states. Federal and State House Purchase Tax Credits: Both Congress and the Legislature enacted tax credits for taxpayers who purchase house in 2009. Specifically the stimulus plan will provide first-time home buyers with a refundable tax credit of up to $8,000, up $500 from the original credit enacted last year, for purchases made this year (before Dec. 1). The credit phases out for single taxpayers with adjusted gross incomes that exceed $75,000 (or $150,000 for married couples filing jointly). The buyer will forfeit the credit if he or SB 49 - Dutton Page 5 she sells the house within three years. E. Most Subsidized Asset Class in History? Tax subsidies are just the beginning of government subsidies for housing. In addition to other state and federal efforts to assist first-time homebuyers and administer down payment assistance, the Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA, or Fanny Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (also known as Freddy Mac), are government-sponsored entities (GSEs), but owned until recently by its shareholders who received all after-tax income and valuation changes. GSEs purchase loans from lenders that conform to specified guidelines, then issue mortgage backed securities (MBS), securitizing the revenue streams from these conforming loans to investors. Part of the attraction of GSE MBS is that the GSE guarantee MBS investors timely payment of principal and interest, providing mortgage market liquidity and offering investors a fixed rate of return without credit risk. Before this year, GSE MBS traded very much like U.S. Treasuries because of the lack of credit risk and the implicit federal guarantee. GSEs issued between $1.2 and $1.3 trillion in MBS from 2004 and 2007. Two key events necessitated changes in GSE MBS in 2008. First, increasing loan defaults and deterioration in collateral values corroded the GSE balance sheets, necessitating federal conservatorship of the GSEs. The U.S. Treasury now funds the GSEs' guarantee. Essentially, the functionally insolvent GSEs now partially rely on the U.S. taxpayer (and its credit rating) for its MBS guarantee, thereby ensuring that mortgage lenders have sufficient liquidity to keep the house purchase market functioning. Second, demand for private MBS disappeared. Now known as "toxic assets," issuance exceeded $900 billion in 2006 and 2007 but less than $1.5 billion in the last nine months. Soon after, worldwide investors sold off GSE MBS, pushing spreads against treasuries to 20-year highs earlier this year, spurring the Federal Reserve Bank to authorize purchases of $1.2 trillion of GSE MBS and up to $200 billion in GSE debt "to provide support to mortgage SB 49 - Dutton Page 5 lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets," according to its March 18th and April 29th statements. Without MBS purchasers, GSEs cannot buy loans from lenders, liquidity dries up, and house prices fall as purchases are limited to bank-held loans and cash purchasers. Recent accounts from bond traders indicate that the Federal Reserve Bank is dominating purchasing on the GSE MBS market. Given existing tax subsidies, GSE-spurred liquidity, the federal GSE backstop, and the Federal Reserve printing money to pour more than one trillion into the U.S. mortgage financing market, will yet another tax reduction actually accomplish anything more than rewarding purchasers for a decision they would make anyway? The Committee may wish to consider whether another tax credit is merited given the unprecedented scale of government intervention in the housing market. F. Of Free Markets After a tumultuous period, California real estate markets are showing signs of life. Statewide, median house sales prices have declined approximately 50% from the peak in mid-2007, and far more in other areas. News reports indicate that particularly among lower-priced houses in select markets that buyers are emerging according to news reports, supporting long-standing economic theory that posits as prices fall, quantity demanded increases. Increasing foreclosures add to supply, further pushing house prices down and increasing measures of housing affordability. Even with the price changes in housing markets in recent years, markets again show that they work, and that the best incentive for house purchasing is low prices. With housing markets finally clearing and setting prices to guide future transactions, what is the problem that SB 49 seeks to address? The bill increases demand for houses by giving buyers an $8,000 subsidy (shifting the demand curve to the right); just as a tax credit for buying apples would increase apple prices (producers can charge SB 49 - Dutton Page 5 more knowing that the government is subsidizing buyers) and decrease orange prices (as the substitute product must now lower prices to compete with the subsidized product.) Buyers could demand lower house prices without the credit. Housing tax credits then serve as little more than subsidies from the taxpaying public to prospective house purchasers, allowing house prices to clear at amounts above what markets will currently bear. While home sellers (and their neighbors) benefit from higher prices, is there sufficient gain to the general public to justify the costs? Does the benefit to existing homeowners in the form of high prices justify the costs of the credit? The Committee may wish to consider whether SB 49 leads to windfalls for house sellers at a time of a severe fiscal stress. Support and Opposition Support:California Bankers Association California Chamber of Commerce California Association of Realtors Oppose:California Tax Reform Association --------------------------------- Consultant: Colin Grinnell