BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                       



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          |SENATE RULES COMMITTEE            |              SB 2XXXXXXX|
          |Office of Senate Floor Analyses   |                         |
          |1020 N Street, Suite 524          |                         |
          |(916) 651-1520         Fax: (916) |                         |
          |327-4478                          |                         |
           ------------------------------------------------------------ 
           
                                         
                                 THIRD READING


          Bill No:  SB 2XXXXXXX
          Author:   Cogdill (R), et al
          Amended:  11/2/09
          Vote:     27 - Urgency

           


           SUBJECT  :    Safe, Clean, and Reliable Drinking Water Supply  
          Act of 
                      2010:  water quality control plan

           SOURCE  :     Author


           DIGEST  :    This bill enacts the Safe, Clean, and Reliable  
          Drinking Water Supply Act of 2010, which, if approved by  
          the voters, authorizes the issuance of bonds in the amount  
          of $9.99 billion pursuant to the State General Obligation  
          Bond Law to finance a safe drinking water and water supply  
          reliability program.  This bill provides for the submission  
          of the bond act to the voters at the November 2, 2010,  
          statewide general election.

           ANALYSIS  :    The following is an analysis of SB 2XXXXXXX  
          provided by the Senate Natural Resources and Water  
          Committee:

          This bill enacts the Safe, Clean, and Reliable Drinking  
          Water Supply Act of 2010, and sends to the voters for  
          approval at the November 2, 2010, statewide general  
          election a $9.99 billion bond measure.  The bill also  
          implements a specified strategic plan relating to the  
                                                           CONTINUED





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          sustainable management of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta;  
          however, this policy change is not discussed in this  
          document.

          This bill proposes funding for a variety of purposes,  
          including water supply reliability, delta sustainability,  
          water system operational improvement, conservation and  
          watershed protection, groundwater protection, and water  
          recycling.  The allocations are summarized in Figure 1 and  
          a brief summary of each is included below; however, a few  
          general provisions of the bill are worth noting here.   
          First, as is somewhat customary, this bill caps bond funds  
          available for administrative costs at five percent of the  
          amount awarded to a program.  Similarly, the bill places a  
          10-percent cap on project planning and monitoring costs.   
          Second, the bill specifies that none of the bond funds  
          shall be used to pay for the design, construction,  
          operation, or maintenance of Delta conveyance facilities.   
          Third, this bill creates at least two bond issuance  
          "traunches" by authorizing the sale of no more than half of  
          the bonds ($4.7 billion) before July 1, 2015.  Finally, the  
          bill requires non-state cost shares to match many of bond  
          fund allocations.

          1.  Water Supply Reliability  .  The bill provides $1.1 billion  
            for competitive grants and expenditures to improve  
            integrated regional water management; $400 million for  
            local conveyance projects; and $400 million for local  
            drought relief projects.

             A.    Integrated regional water management funding is  
                tied to implementation of an adopted integrated  
                regional water management plan (except for $200  
                million that is set aside for interregional projects)  
                and requires a 50-percent local cost share unless the  
                project is to benefit a disadvantaged or economically  
                distressed area.  The bill specifies the share of  
                $900 million to be allocated to each of twelve  
                regions.  Of the $200 million set aside for  
                interregional projects, $50 million is to be used for  
                recreation and fish and wildlife enhancement at State  
                Water Project facilities.

             B.    Local conveyance projects must be consistent with  







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                an adopted integrated regional water management plan,  
                must provide specified benefits (e.g., mitigate  
                conditions of groundwater overdraft, or improve water  
                security from drought or natural disasters), and  
                require a 50-percent non-state cost share of unless  
                the project is to benefit a disadvantaged or  
                economically distressed area.

               Figure 1 - Allocation of Bond Proceeds under SB 2
           ------------------------------------------------------------ 
          |Purpose                                   |   Amount (in    |
          |                                          |    millions)    |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |Water Supply Reliability                  |           $1,900|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Integrated regional water management |         ($1,100)|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Local regional conveyance projects   |           ($400)|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Local drought relief projects        |           ($400)|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |Delta Sustainability                      |           $2,000|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Public benefits - including water    |           ($500)|
          |  supply protection; water flow/quality   |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Delta protection, conservation, and  |         ($1,500)|
          |  restoration projects (no lead agency    |                 |
          |  specified)                              |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |Water System Operational Improvement*     |           $3,000|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |Conservation and Watershed Protection     |           $1,500|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Invasive species control (Dept of    |            ($65)|
          |Fish & Game)                              |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Coastal county watersheds (State     |           ($200)|
          |Coastal Conservancy)                      |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Water for migratory birds (Wildlife  |            ($20)|
          |Conservation Board)                       |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Protection/restoration of watersheds |           ($100)|







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          |  for endangered and threatened species   |                 |
          |  (Wildlife Conservation Board)           |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Various conservancies (various       |           ($400)|
          |  conservancies)                          |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Forest fuel reduction (Department of |           ($100)|
          |Forestry & Fire Protection)               |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Klamath River dam removal (Resources |           ($250)|
          |Agency)                                   |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Siskyou County economic development  |            ($10)|
          |(BT&H Agency)                             |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Waterfowl habitat (Dept of Fish &    |             ($5)|
          |Game)                                     |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Salmon fish passage (Resources       |            ($60)|
          |Agency)                                   |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Unallocated                          |           ($290)|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |Groundwater Protection and Water Quality  |             $500|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Groundwater cleanup for drinking     |           ($170)|
          |water (Dept Public Health)                |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Disadvantaged communities (Dept of   |            ($45)|
          |Public Health)                            |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Small community wastewater treatment |            ($95)|
          |  (State Water Resources Control Board -  |                 |
          |  SWRCB))                                 |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Stormwater management (SWRCB)        |           ($145)|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Ocean protection (State Coastal      |            ($45)|
          |Conservancy)                              |                 |
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |Water Recycling                           |             $500|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |     Water recycling projects             |           ($250)|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|







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          |     Water conservation and efficiency    |           ($250)|
          |------------------------------------------+-----------------|
          |Total                                     |$9,400           |
          |                                          |                 |
           ------------------------------------------------------------ 
          *Continuously appropriated to the California Water  
          Commission (all other amounts subject to legislative  
          appropriation to the Department of Water Resources (DWR)  
          unless an alternative lead agency is identified).

             C.    Local drought relief projects must be consistent  
                with an adopted integrated regional water management  
                plan, and must include one or more of certain  
                specified types of projects (e.g., water efficiency  
                and conservation projects, water recycling and  
                related infrastructure, stormwater capture, or  
                groundwater cleanup).  Additionally, projects must  
                provide a sustainable water supply that does not  
                contribute to groundwater overdraft or increase  
                surface diversion, and must be capable of being  
                operational within two years of receiving funding.   
                Applicants that can demonstrate substantial past and  
                current investments in conservation and local water  
                projects are to receive funding preference; however,  
                a 50-percent non-state cost share is also required  
                unless the project is to benefit a disadvantaged or  
                economically distressed area (with no more than $50  
                million eligible to be awarded to disadvantaged  
                communities and economically distressed areas  
                experiencing economic impacts from drought and from  
                disruptions in delivery from the State Water Project  
                and the federal Central Valley Project).  For the  
                purposes of this pot of funds, the bill specifies  
                that "drought relief projects" include those that  
                mitigate the impacts of reduction in Delta  
                diversions.

          2.  Delta Sustainability  .  The bill provides (1) $500 million  
            for projects that provide public benefits and support  
            Delta sustainability options; (2) $1.5 billion for Delta  
            protection, conservation, and restoration projects.

             A.    Projects that provide public benefits and support  
                Delta sustainability options, include projects and  







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                supporting scientific studies and assessments that  
                meet specified requirements (e.g. improve levee and  
                flood control facilities; or assist in preserving  
                economically viable and sustainable agriculture and  
                economic activities in the Delta; or provide or  
                improve water quality facilities and other  
                infrastructure).  Project grant awardees may include  
                Delta counties and cities.  The bill specifies that  
                at least $50 million is to be available for matching  
                grants for improvements to wastewater treatment  
                facilities upstream of the Delta to improve Delta  
                water quality.  Additionally, a project receiving  
                funding from this pot would only be eligible for  
                other bond funding pursuant to SB 2 to the extent  
                that combined state funding from this pot did not  
                exceed 50 percent of total projects costs.

             B.    Delta protection, conservation, and restoration  
                project funds are intended to enhance the  
                sustainability of the Delta ecosystem and, among  
                other things, may develop and implement the Bay Delta  
                Conservation Plan, reduce greenhouse gas emissions  
                from exposed delta soils, or reduce the impacts of  
                mercury contamination of the Delta and its  
                watersheds.  Funds are to be made available to, among  
                other entities, the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta  
                Conservancy (subject to its establishment in other  
                legislation).

          3.  Statewide Water System Operational Improvement  .  The bill  
            continuously appropriates $3 billion to the California  
            Water Commission (Commission) for public benefits  
            associated with water storage projects that (a) improve  
            the operation of the state water system; (b) are cost  
            effective; and (c) provide a net improvement in ecosystem  
            and water quality conditions. The Commission is to  
            develop and adopt, by regulation, methods for  
            quantification and management of "public benefits," in  
            consultation with DWR, the Department of Fish and Game,  
            and the SWRCB.  Eligible public benefits include, but are  
            not limited to, ecosystem improvements such as  
            temperature and flow improvements, water quality  
            improvements in the Delta or other river systems, flood  
            control benefits, or recreational purposes.







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            Project selection is to be competitive and based on a  
            public process that ranks potential projects based on the  
            expected return-on-investment as measured by the  
            magnitude of certain public benefits criteria, as  
            specified.  Eligible projects include (a) surface storage  
            projects identified in the CALFED Bay-Delta Program  
            Record of Decision (ROD), dated August 28, 2000; (b)  
            groundwater storage projects and groundwater  
            contamination prevention or remediation projects that  
            provide water storage benefits; (c) conjunctive use and  
            reservoir reoperation projects; and (d) local and  
            regional surface storage projects that improve the  
            operation of water systems in the state and provide  
            public benefits.

            Other funding requirements for water system operational  
            improvement projects include the following:

             A.    No project may be funded that does not provide  
                ecosystem improvements that are at least 50 percent  
                of total public benefits.

             B.    By January 1, 2018, a project must meet all of the  
                following conditions to be eligible for funding:  (1)  
                all feasibility studies are complete and draft  
                environmental documentation is available to the  
                public; (2) the Commission finds the project is  
                feasible and will advance certain long-term  
                objectives in the Delta; and (3) commitments are in  
                place for not less than 75 percent of the nonpublic  
                benefit cost share of the project.  If a project  
                fails to meet these conditions in a timely manner  
                because of litigation, the Commission must extend the  
                deadline accordingly.

             C.    Except for the costs of environmental  
                documentation and permitting, no funds are to be made  
                available for projects before December 15, 2012.

             D.    Except for environmental documentation and  
                permitting projects (mentioned above), the public  
                benefit cost share of the project may not exceed 50  
                percent of total costs.







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          The bill also specifies that:

          1.A joint powers authority subject to this section of the  
            bill shall own, govern, manage, and operate a surface  
            storage project.

          2.Surface storage projects receiving funding may be made a  
            unit of the Central Valley Project.

          3.Funds approved for surface water storage projects  
            consistent with the CALFED Program ROD, dated August  
            2000, may be provided to local joint powers authorities,  
            as specified.

            Finally, this chapter of the bill (addressing statewide  
            water system operational improvements) may only be  
            amended by voter approval or a two-thirds vote of both  
            houses of the Legislature.

          4.  Conservation and Watershed Protection  .  The bill provides  
            $1.5 billion for watershed protection and restoration  
            projects to be allocated to each of at least 11 different  
            pots (as detailed below), and requires that amounts  
            allocated to projects in certain watersheds must be used  
            in a manner consistent with specified plans or programs  
            associated with that watershed.

             A.    Invasive species control funding ($65 million) is  
                to be administered by the Department of Fish and  
                Game, with $35 million to be made available for  
                grants to public agencies to pay for capital  
                expenditures associated with invasive species control  
                (e.g., chlorination facilities, habitat  
                modifications, or monitoring equipment).  The bill  
                also specifies that the California Conservation Corps  
                or community conservation corps are to be used for  
                restoration and ecosystem protection projects  
                whenever feasible.

             B.    Coastal county watersheds funding ($200 million)  
                is to be administered by the State Coastal  
                Conservancy, with not less than $20 million to be  
                made available for grants to San Diego County and $20  







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                million for the Santa Ana River Parkway.

             C.    Water for migratory birds funding ($20 million) is  
                to be administered by the Wildlife Conservation Board  
                (WCB)-either directly or via grants-for acquisition  
                of water rights and the conveyance of water for the  
                benefit of migratory birds on wildlife refuges and  
                wildlife habitat areas (subject to applicable federal  
                laws).  The bill specifies that all costs associated  
                with acquisition of water rights by the WCB must be  
                paid out of the funds designated for the WCB (i.e.,  
                no other funding streams may be used to supplement  
                the costs of acquisitions funded by this bond).

             D.    Protection/restoration of watersheds for  
                endangered and threatened species funding ($100  
                million) is to be administered by the WCB consistent  
                with specified portions of the Fish and Game Code  
                (including requirements to implement or develop a  
                natural community conservation plan).

             E.    Various conservancies are to receive specified  
                portions of a $400 million allocation.  The  
                allotments are as follows:

                (1)      $75 million to the San Gabriel and Lower Los  
                   Angeles Rivers and Mountains Conservancy and the  
                   Santa Monica Mountains Conservancy (for projects  
                   in the San Gabriel and Los Angeles River  
                   watersheds subject to the San Gabriel and Los  
                   Angeles River Watershed and Open Space Plan and/or  
                   the Los Angeles River Revitalization Master Plan)

                (2)      $10 million to the Baldwin Hills Conservancy

                (3)      $15 million to Santa Monica Bay watershed  
                   projects

                (4)      $50 million to the State Coastal Conservancy  
                   (for coastal salmon restoration projects)

                (5)      $100 million to the Lake Tahoe Conservancy  
                   (for the Lake Tahoe Environment Improvement  
                   Program)







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                (6)      $75 million to the Sierra Nevada Conservancy  
                   (for various purposes, as specified)

                (7)      $75 million to Salton Sea restoration  
                   projects

             F.    Forest fuel reduction funding ($100 million) is to  
                be administered by the Department of Forestry and  
                Fire Protection for direct expenditures or grants for  
                fuel treatment and forest restoration projects to  
                protect watersheds tributary to dams or reservoirs  
                from adverse impacts of fire and erosion, to promote  
                forest health in those watersheds, to protect life  
                and property, to provide for climate change  
                adaptation, and reduce total wildfire costs and  
                losses.  The funds are to be allocated as follows:

                (1)      $67 million for technical assistance and  
                   grants to public agencies and nonprofits for the  
                   purpose of fuel treatment.

                (2)      $25 million for technical assistance and  
                   grants and loans for fuel treatment and  
                   reforestation projects to eligible landowners, as  
                   specified, consistent with the California Forest  
                   Improvement Act of 1978.

             G.    Klamath River dam removal funding ($250 million)  
                is to be available if, and when, a dam removal  
                agreement has been executed between the relevant  
                parties, appropriate determinations have been made by  
                California, Oregon, and the United States under the  
                agreement, ratepayer funds required by the agreement  
                                                                  have been authorized and provided, and all other  
                agreement conditions have been met.

             H.    Siskyou County economic redevelopment funding ($10  
                million) is to be available, with up to an additional  
                $10 million available to the county upon submission  
                of materials to the Secretary of Business,  
                Transportation and Housing Agency demonstrating that  
                more is necessary to offset the removal of the dams.








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             I.    Water fowl habitat funding ($5 million) is to be  
                administered by the Department of Fish and Game for  
                the purposes of implementing the California Waterfowl  
                Habitat Program, the California Landowner Incentive  
                Program, and the Permanent Wetland Easement Program.

             J.    Salmon fish passage funding ($60 million) is to be  
                administered by the Natural Resources Agency for  
                specified projects authorized in the Central Valley  
                Project Improvement Act that improve salmonid fish  
                passage in the Sacramento River watershed.

             K.    The bill leaves $290 million of the monies for  
                conservation and watershed protection unallocated.

          5.  Groundwater Protection and Water Quality  .  The bill  
            provides $500 million for groundwater protection and  
            water quality, including (a) $170 million for groundwater  
            cleanup for drinking water; (b) $45 million for safe  
            drinking water in disadvantaged communities; (c) $95  
            million for wastewater treatment in small communities;  
            (d) $145 million for stormwater management; and (e) $45  
            million for ocean protection.

             A.    Groundwater cleanup for drinking water funding is  
                to be administered by the Department of Public Health  
                (DPH) for direct expenditures, grants, and loans for  
                projects to prevent or reduce contamination of  
                groundwater that serves as a source of drinking  
                water.  Projects are to be prioritized based on the  
                threat posed by the contamination, the potential for  
                it to spread, the potential of the project to enhance  
                the local water supply reliability, and the potential  
                of the project to increase opportunities for  
                groundwater recharge and optimization of groundwater  
                supplies.  The bill requires the DPH give special  
                consideration to other specified factors (e.g., the  
                need to import water in the absence of remediation;  
                or the degree to which the project will serve and  
                economically disadvantaged or distressed community).

                Of the $170 million available in this section of the  
                bill, $130 million is to be allocated as follows:








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                (1)      $80 million to projects that meet all other  
                   requirements, but also (a) are part of a basinwide  
                   management and remediation plan for which federal  
                   funds have been allocated; and (b) the project  
                   addresses contamination identified on lists  
                   maintained by the Department of Toxics Substances  
                   Control or the National Priorities List, as  
                   specified.

                (2)      $50 million to the DPH for grants and direct  
                   expenditures to finance emergency and urgent  
                   actions on behalf of disadvantaged and  
                   economically distressed communities to ensure safe  
                   drinking water supplies.

             B.    Safe drinking water in disadvantaged communities  
                funding is to be administered by DPH for grants and  
                direct expenditures to finance emergency and urgent  
                actions on behalf of disadvantaged communities to  
                ensure that safe drinking water supplies are  
                available.

             C.    Small community wastewater treatment funding is to  
                be administered by the SWRCB for grants for small  
                community wastewater treatment projects to protect  
                water quality that meet the following criteria:  (1)  
                the project is for specified wastewater treatment  
                infrastructure; (2) the project will service a  
                community of no more than 20,000 people; and (3) the  
                project meets other standards that may be established  
                by the SWRCB.

             D.    Stormwater management funding is to be  
                administered by the SWRCB for competitive grants and  
                loans for stormwater management and water quality  
                projects that assist in compliance with total maximum  
                daily load implementation plans are consistent with  
                all applicable waste discharge permits.  Eligible  
                projects include facilities and infrastructure (e.g.,  
                detention and retention basins; dry weather diversion  
                facilities, trash filters, and screens; or treatment  
                wetlands creation and enhancement).  Competitive  
                grants shall be considered based on the following  
                criteria:







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                (1)      Water quality benefits
                (2)      Cost effectiveness
                (3)      Public health benefits

                Except for disadvantaged and economically distressed  
                communities, the projects must provide at least a 50  
                percent local cost share for grants funds.  Finally,  
                local public agencies and joint powers authorities  
                are eligible recipients.

             E.    Ocean protection funding is to be administered by  
                the State Coastal Conservancy for projects that meet  
                the requirements of the California Ocean Protection  
                Act, with funds to be allocated by the Ocean  
                Protection Council to public agencies for projects to  
                protect and improve water quality in areas of special  
                biological significance.

          6.  Water Recycling  .  The bill provides $500 million for  
            water recycling, including (a) $250 million for water  
            recycling and advanced treatment technology projects; and  
            (b) $250 million for water conservation and efficiency  
            projects and programs.

             A.    Water recycling and advanced treatment technology  
                funding is to be available for grants and loans for  
                projects including, but not limited to, contaminant  
                and salt removal projects, dedicated distribution  
                infrastructure for recycled water, and groundwater  
                recharge infrastructure related to recycled water.   
                Projects are to be selected on a competitive basis  
                considering specified criteria, such as water supply  
                reliability improvement, water quality and ecosystem  
                benefits related to decreased reliance on diversion  
                from the Delta or instream flows, and cost  
                effectiveness.

                Not less than 40 percent of the funds are to be  
                available for grants for advanced treatment projects  
                that produce at least 10,000 acre feet of water per  
                year, and projects must have at least a 50-percent  
                local cost share (except for disadvantaged or  
                economically distressed communities).







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             B.    Water conservation and efficiency funding is to be  
                available for direct expenditures, grants, and loans  
                for urban, and agricultural projects and programs  
                including, as specified. For urban/regional  
                conservation projects and programs, priority is to be  
                given for various specified reasons, including  
                whether a conservation effort is not otherwise  
                locally cost-effective.  Grants and loans are to be  
                awarded in a competitive process that considers as  
                primary factors the local and statewide conservation  
                and water use efficiency benefits of the measures  
                proposed.  Additionally, agencies that are required  
                to implement only limited conservation requirements  
                under specified law are not eligible for this  
                funding.

           Overview of General Obligation Bonds and State Bond Debt  
          and SB 2 (7th Extraordinary Session) Debt Service  
          Implications and Considerations

          Overview  .  Bond financing is a type of long-term borrowing  
          that the state uses to raise money for various purposes.   
          The state obtains this money by selling bonds to investors  
          and, in exchange, agrees to repay the investors their  
          money, with interest, according to a specified schedule.   
          This approach is traditionally used to finance major  
          capital outlay projects (e.g., roads, educational  
          facilities, prisons, parks, water projects, and office  
          buildings)-projects that generally provide services over  
          many years, but whose up-front costs can be difficult to  
          pay for all at once.

          General obligation bonds (GO bonds) must be approved by the  
          voters and are most often paid off from the state's General  
          Fund, which is largely supported by tax revenues.  Because  
          GO bonds are guaranteed by the state's general taxing  
          power, they provide investors with greater certainty of  
          return on their investment, and generally require a lower  
          interest rate, compared to other debt instruments available  
          to the state (e.g., lease-revenue bonds or traditional  
          revenue bonds). However, GO bond repayments are essentially  
          the first funding priority of the General Fund (after K-12  
          education) and, for this reason, bonded debt service takes  







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          precedence over other spending priorities, be they  
          education, health, social services, prisons, etc.

           SB 2 Debt Service Implications and Considerations  .  The  
          state's cost for using bonds depends on a number of  
          factors, including the amount sold, their interest rates,  
          the time period over which they are repaid, and their  
          maturity structure, but a useful rule of thumb is that each  
          $1 borrowed will cost the state about $2 (assuming a bond  
          issue carries a tax-exempt interest rate of 5 percent and  
          level payments are made over 30 years).  This cost,  
          however, is spread over a 30-year period, so the cost after  
          adjusting for inflation is more like $1.30 for each $1  
          borrowed.  Thus, unadjusted for inflation, the $9.4 billion  
          bond contained in SB 2xxxxxxx (henceforth, SB 2 or "the  
          bill") would cost the state roughly $18.8 billion over the  
          next 30 years (or $12.2 billion adjusted for inflation-that  
          is, in "2009 dollars"), requiring annual payments in the  
          neighborhood of $600 million to $675 million.

          To put this in the larger context, according to the latest  
          data from the Department of Finance (DOF), total annual  
          debt service for the current fiscal year (2009-10) is  
          approximately $6 billion.  This equates to a debt-service  
          ratio (DSR) of approximately 6.7 percent-meaning that $6.70  
          out of every $100 in annual state revenue must be set aside  
          for debt-service payments on bonds.  Recognizing that there  
          is currently over $130 billion of outstanding bonds and  
          authorized, unissued bonds, and making certain assumptions  
          about their future issuance, DOF estimates that in the  
          absence of additional bond authorizations (e.g., SB 2), the  
          state's DSR will continue to rise for several more years  
          before peaking at around 9.4 percent of revenues, in fiscal  
          year 2014-15 (see Figure 1 below).

          By way of comparison, based on the cashflow projections  
          contained in Appendix D, the DOF projects the $9.99 billion  
          in water bonds proposed under SB 2 would push peak DSR to  
          about 9.5 percent in 2014-2015, a debt burden increase in  
          that year of about 1.5 percent compared to the "allow  
          present trends to continue" scenario.  Although, assuming  
          no other bond authorizations, the DSR would begin to  
          decline after 2014-15, staff notes that the "present trends  
          continuing" scenario would see a more rapid decline,  







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          whereas the DOF projections for SB 2 would result in a  
          long-term DSR increase of around 7 percent for the  
          remainder of the forecast period.

           ---------------------------------------------------- 
          |                                                    |
          |Projected Infrastructure Debt-Service Ratios (DSRs) |
          |                                                    |
          |----------------------------------------------------|
          |                                                    |
          |(Dollars in Millions)                               |
          |                                                    |
           ---------------------------------------------------- 
           ---------------------------------------------------- 
          |       |      |                | |                  |
          |       |Genera|Authorized Debt | | With SB 2xxxxxxx |
          |       |  l   |                | |                  |
          |       | Fund |                | |                  |
          |       |      |                | |   (Water Bond)   |
          |       |Revenu|                | |                  |
          |       | esa  |                | |                  |
           ---------------------------------------------------- 
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          |              |              |              |              |              |              |              |
          |              |              | Debt Service |     DSR      |              |  Additional  |     DSR      |
          |              |              |              |              |              | Debt Service |              |
          |              |              |              |              |              |              |              |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2009-10      |88,805        |5,945         |6.69%         |              |-             |6.69%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2010-11      |90,656        |6,877         |7.59%         |              |-             |7.59%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2011-12      |87,951        |7,549         |8.58%         |              |4             |8.59%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2012-13      |95,049        |8,121         |8.54%         |              |26            |8.57%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2013-14      |99,801        |9,208         |9.23%         |              |78            |9.30%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2014-15      |104,791       |9,825         |9.38%         |              |149           |9.52%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2015-16      |110,031       |10,054        |9.14%         |              |228           |9.34%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2016-17      |115,532       |10,254        |8.88%         |              |326           |9.16%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|







                                                          SB 2XXXXXXX
                                                                Page  
          17

          | 2017-18      |121,309       |10,461        |8.62%         |              |427           |8.97%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2018-19      |127,374       |10,239        |8.04%         |              |523           |8.45%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2019-20      |133,743       |10,170        |7.60%         |              |607           |8.06%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2020-21      |140,430       |9,907         |7.06%         |              |650           |7.52%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2021-22      |147,452       |9,831         |6.67%         |              |677           |7.13%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2022-23      |154,824       |9,862         |6.37%         |              |677           |6.81%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2023-24      |162,565       |9,227         |6.01%         |              |677           |6.43%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2024-25      |170,694       |9,789         |5.73%         |              |677           |6.13%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2025-26      |179,228       |9,770         |5.45%         |              |677           |5.83%         |
           -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
          | 2026-27      |188,190       |9,455         |5.02%         |              |677           |5.38%         |
           -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
          | 2027-28      |197,599       |9,459         |4.79%         |              |677           |5.13%         |
          |--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
          | 2028-29      |207,479       |9,330         |4.50%         |              |677           |4.82%         |
           -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
           ---------------------------------------------------- 
          |                                                    |
           ---------------------------------------------------- 
          | a DOF projections.                                 |
          |----------------------------------------------------|
          |                                                    |
          |                                                    |
           ---------------------------------------------------- 

          The DSR is often used as a general indicator of a state's  
          debt burden and provides a helpful perspective on the  
          affordability of debt; however, it is important to note  
          that there is no "right" level for the DSR.  Rather, the  
          right level depends on such things as the state's  
          preferences for infrastructure versus other priorities, and  
          its overall budgetary condition.  The critical thing to  
          bear in mind is that each additional dollar of debt service  
          out of a given amount of revenues comes at the expense of a  
          dollar that could be allocated to some other program area.  
          Thus, the "affordability" of more bonds has to be  







                                                          SB 2XXXXXXX
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          18

          considered not just in terms of their marketability and the  
          DSR, but also in terms of whether the dollar amount of debt  
          service can be accommodated on both a near- and long-term  
          basis within the state budget.


           FISCAL EFFECT  :    Appropriation:  No   Fiscal Com.:  Yes    
          Local:  No

           SUPPORT  :   (Per Senate Budget and Fiscal Review Committee  
          analysis)

          Association of California Water Agencies
          California Chamber of Commerce
          California Cotton Growers Association
          California Groundwater Coalition
          California Farm Bureau
          Friant Water Authority
          Kern County Water Agency
          Metropolitan Water District of Southern California
          State Building and Construction Trade Council of California
          Wateruse Association
          Westlands Water District

           OPPOSITION  :    (Per Senate Budget and Fiscal Review  
          Committee analysis)

          California Rural Legal Assistance Foundation
          California School Employees Association
          Contra Costa Water District
          Environmental Justice Coalition for Water
          Friends of the River
          Planning and Conservation League
          Restore the Delta
          Service Employees International Union
          Sierra Club California
          Yolo County Board of Supervisors

          TSM:do  11/2/09   Senate Floor Analyses 

                         SUPPORT/OPPOSITION:  SEE ABOVE

                                ****  END  ****