BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                              1
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                SENATE ENERGY, UTILITIES AND COMMUNICATIONS COMMITTEE
                                 ALEX PADILLA, CHAIR
          

          SB 695 -  Kehoe                                   Hearing Date:   
          April 21, 2009             S
          As proposed to be amended               FISCAL           B
                                                                        
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                                      DESCRIPTION
           
           Current law  freezes the rates for investor-owned utility (IOU)  
          residential electric usage up to 130% of baseline quantities  
          until the California Department of Water Resources (CDWR) has  
          recovered all its cost of supplying power.

           This bill  replaces the freeze with two rate indexes, one for  
          residential customers and a different index for low-income  
          residential customers.

           Current law  freezes the participation in the direct access  
          program until CDWR no longer supplies power.  

           This bill  abolishes the freeze if specified conditions are met,  
          allowing customers to purchase electricity from non-utility  
          providers up to specified quantities.

           This bill  requires electric utilities to target energy  
          efficiency and solar programs to heavy residential users of  
          energy and to multifamily customers.  It also requires electric  
          utilities to develop programs that target new construction by,  
          and new and retrofit appliances for, nonprofit affordable  
          housing developers.

                                      BACKGROUND
           
          The 2000/2001 electricity crisis, brought about by the 1996  
          deregulation of electric markets, elicited a number of  
          legislative responses designed to bring some order to chaotic  
          markets and to protect residential customers from the worst of  
          the rate increases.  Responding quickly to the crisis, the  
          Legislature authorized the CDWR to purchase electricity on  










          behalf of California's nearly broke utilities, froze residential  
          electric rates for specified quantities of usage, and suspended  
          direct access, the program which permitted customers to purchase  
          electricity from providers other than the utility.  This bill  
          revises all three of those legislative actions.
           
          Electric Rates  - Since 2001 the rates and baseline quantities  
          for residential electric usage up to 130% of baseline have been  
          frozen until CDWR recovers the costs of power it has procured on  
          behalf of the utilities.  (The baseline quantity of electricity  
          is the amount needed to meet roughly 60% of the typical  
          residential customer's usage, adjusted for climate and season.)   
          Without a change in law, the rate freeze will continue through  
          at least the middle of the next decade and perhaps into the  
          decade after that.  This provision shielded some usage of all  
          residential customers from the worst effects of the electricity  
          crisis.  But it has led to large rate differences within the  
          residential class because while overall costs have increased,  
          much of the residential usage is within the 130% of baseline  
          rate freeze, leaving those costs to be recovered only from the  
          upper tiers<1>:  

                    CURRENT RESIDENTIAL RATES
                cents per kwh            PG&E      SCE  SDG&E
                Tier 1                   12        12        13
               Tier 5                   44        31   33 

          This is a rate design which encourages conservation, as the  
          Legislature intended.  But the large rate disparity makes these  
          rate schedules a bit onerous to high users.  And during a heat  
          wave when usage spikes customer bills go up very quickly as  
          customers get into the tier 4 and 5 rates.  The 130% of baseline  
          quantity rate freeze also means that the residential customer  
          share of the increased costs resulting from the Renewable  
          Portfolio Standard implementation, AB 32 implementation, and new  
          transmission lines will be recovered solely from the higher  
          residential usage tiers.

           Direct Access/Deregulation  - The effects of California's  
          deregulation debacle have been largely managed.  Customers have  
          figured out how to cope with much higher electric rates, the  
          ---------------------------
          <1>   For SCE in 2007, roughly 2/3 of their residential usage  
          was within the 130% of baseline quantity.  Therefore, any  
          residential rate increase was born only by the remaining 1/3 of  
          residential usage.








          IOUs have been returned to financial health, and adequate  
          electric supplies have been procured.  This period of relative  
          calm is probably attributable to a number of actions including  
          the CDWR electricity contracts, the freezing of direct access,  
          better coordination of powerplant outages, longer term  
          electricity contracting by the IOUs, and the bankruptcy of Enron  
          and the imprisonment of many of its officers, to name the most  
          obvious.  However, a comprehensive analysis of the causes of the  
          electricity crisis and the steps taken to avert a repeat has not  
          been performed by the CPUC.  California will continue to rely on  
          the federal government, though the Federal Energy Regulatory  
          Commission, to intervene if electricity markets malfunction  
          again.  Unfortunately, in 2001 our reliance on the FERC was  
          badly misplaced.<2>

          Other states have deregulated electric markets with results that  
          are similar to California's.  Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania,  
          Montana, Illinois, Delaware, Connecticut, and others have found  
          that deregulation increased rates, not decreased them.<3>   When  
          asked to cite examples of where electric deregulation has worked  
          in a hearing of this committee last year, the witness from the  
          UC Energy Institute said he could not cite one in the United  
          States.<4>  Huge rate increases have occurred as the rate  
          freezes, which were often a part of the deregulation "deal",  
          expire, leaving customers exposed to markets which are not  
          competitive.<5>  The backlash has caused most of these states to  
          rethink the wisdom of deregulation.

                                           

                                      COMMENTS
           
              1.   An Agreement  - The IOUs have been concerned about the  
               consequences of the 130% of baseline residential rate  
             --------------------------
          <2> See, for example,  Attorney General's Energy White Paper, A  
          Law Enforcement Perspective on the California Energy Crisis  ;  
          Attorney General Bill Lockyer, April 2004.
          <3>  Shocking Electricity Prices Follow Deregulation  , USA Today,  
          September 14, 2007.  From 2002 to 2006 average prices rose 21%  
          in regulated states and 36% in deregulated states.
          <4> March 4, 2008.
          <5>  Decade of Deregulation Felt in Climbing Bills  , Washington  
          Post, April 18, 2008.  In Maryland, customers of Baltimore Gas  
          and Electric, a subsidiary of Constellation Energy, received a  
          72% rate increase in 2007.








               freeze on bills for large residential electric consumers.   
               The residential consumer representatives have been  
               concerned about the reopening of direct access and the  
               effect on electric prices and reliability.  This bill  
               represents an agreement between the IOUs, the residential  
               consumer representatives, and some of the competitive  
               electric providers.  

              2.   Proposed Amendments; Low Income Gas Customer Program  -  
               The author will propose amendments in committee which are  
               reflected in this analysis.  Those amendments are mostly  
               technical.  However, there is one provision which deals  
               with low-income customers.  The bill provides that the cost  
               of the low income electric customer program shall be  
               recovered from all classes of customers on an equal cents  
               per kilowatt-hour basis.  The amendments expand this  
               provision to require that the cost of the low income gas  
               customer program shall also be recovered from all classes  
               of customers on an equal cents per therm basis for those  
               customers of combined electric and natural gas  
               corporations.  The effect is to exempt Southern California  
               Gas from this provision.  Recovery of these costs was the  
               subject of a recent CPUC case.  Small consumer groups  
               wanted these costs recovered on an equal cents per therm  
               basis, as has been the case historically.  The utilities  
               wanted to change the historic practice.  The CPUC decision  
               kept the historic practice.

               Large customers argue that the cost of low income programs  
               will expand under this bill, and prefer that the increased  
               cost of these programs be recovered exclusively from  
               residential customers.  But under this bill the cost of the  
               low income programs won't increase, and could decrease, in  
               the medium term compared to current law because low income  
               rates could increase, thereby reducing the necessary  
               subsidy.

             3.   Electric Rates  - The rate freeze for usage up to 130% of  
               the baseline quantity has protected lower usage residential  
               customers from rate increases by shifting costs to higher  
               usage residential customers.  The intent was to establish a  
               rate design which encouraged conservation and provided some  
               additional protection to lower income customers.  An  
               analysis of residential bills of SCE customers shows a  
               general correlation between high usage and income,  









               confirming that the intent of the legislation was achieved.  
                

               The other reason behind the 130% of baseline rate freeze  
               was the notion that the CPUC would be reluctant to raise  
               electric rates because the residential rate increases would  
               be concentrated on higher income customers.  This notion  
               has proven false.  Since 2001 rates for the highest tier of  
               electric usage have at least doubled and for some IOUs more  
               than tripled, while rates for usage up to 130% of baseline  
               have not changed.   Some consider these large rate  
               differences unfair, and can cause bills to spike during  
               heat storms.

               This bill replaces the rate freeze with rate caps and  
               indexes.  For CARE (e.g. low-income) customers, the CPUC is  
               authorized to raise rates for usage up to 130% of baseline  
               quantities by the same percentage increase as the CalWORKs  
               grant, but not more than 3% per year.  These provision  
               sunsets in 2019.  In no event may the CARE rate exceed 80%  
               of the non-CARE residential rate.  

               For non-CARE residential customers, the bill authorizes the  
               CPUC to raise rates for usage up to 130% of baseline by the  
               rate of inflation, as measured by the CPI, plus 1%, but in  
               no event less than 3% or more than 5%.  These provision  
               sunsets in 2019.  A second limitation is that baseline  
               rates may not exceed 90% of the system average rate until  
               2019, and then 92.5% thereafter.  This section puts the  
               CPUC in a bit of a bind in that it can choose to raise  
               rates by 3% or to not raise rates at all, but it cannot  
               raise rates any amount between 0% - 3%.    The author and  
               committee may wish  to clarify this odd point.

               Note that this bill authorizes the CPUC to raise  
               residential rates for usage below 130% of baseline every  
               year and even if costs decline.  However these rate  
               increases would be offset by rate reductions for usage  
               above 130% of baseline and be subject to the overall  
               limitation of 92.5% of the system average rate.  The rate  
               cap provision will shift costs from heavy residential users  
               to light residential users.  It should be revenue-neutral  
               to the IOUs.

              4.   Direct Access  - This bill authorizes the CPUC to reopen  









               direct access but does not require it.  Prior to reopening  
               direct access the CPUC is required to take specific steps  
               to ensure a level playing field between the direct access  
               sellers and the utilities.  These provisions include  
               ensuring that all electric sellers are subject to the same  
               requirements regarding the Renewable Portfolio Standard, AB  
               32 greenhouse gas reduction compliance, and having adequate  
               electric supplies to meet the customers' needs.

               This bill allows additional direct access sales up to the  
               historically highest amount of kilowatt-hours of annual  
               direct access sales for each utility.  This provides  
               substantial new opportunities for direct access sellers;  
               with PG&E this means about a 50% increase. If the CPUC  
               decides to reopen direct access it must allow direct access  
               providers to sell up to the cap pursuant to a schedule that  
               phases in between three and five years, at the CPUC's  
               discretion.

              5.   Lessons Learned?  - Though California's electricity  
               crisis, with the skyrocketing bills, shaky electric  
               reliability, and vanishing shareholder equity, is still a  
               recent memory, deregulation of electric markets has never  
               been completely rejected.  The appeal of deregulation is  
               strong.  There are countless examples of deregulated  
               markets that are a spectacular success, where lower prices,  
               many choices, and frequent innovation provide huge consumer  
               benefits (e.g. clothing, restaurants, electronics, home  
               building, travel).  The policy question is whether  
               deregulation of electric markets can be a spectacular  
               success or a dismal failure, as it was in 2001.  Have  
               regulators become smart enough to create and police  
               electric markets to ensure that competitive forces provide  
               benefits to customers without shifting costs to others, or  
               is electric deregulation the same folly as the financial  
               services deregulation, which is causing a global recession  
               of historic proportions?   

               Perhaps not accounted for in California's 1996 electric  
               deregulation debate was adequate consideration of a few  
               basic principles.  A competitive market requires ease of  
               entry so that new companies can compete to provide a lower  
               price.  Do California's tough environmental laws and  
               legendary NIMBYism make it possible for new, competitive  
               electric generation to be created?  The deregulation  









               reinstated by this bill is the opening of retail markets to  
               competition.  (Wholesale market competition was never  
               suspended.)  One of the basic principles of competitive  
               markets is that buyers and sellers must be held accountable  
               for their actions, providing the discipline to ensure that  
               those market participants make responsible decisions.  If a  
               customer makes a bad decision, say signing a contract with  
               an electricity seller who provides unreliable service or  
               who simply goes out of business, are we willing to let that  
               customer suffer the consequences?

               The residential customer advocates are not supporters of  
               electric deregulation, but they believe that the trade off  
               of constrained low-income and residential customer rate  
               increases is a reasonable compromise.  The IOUs, which were  
               so financially battered by deregulation, believe that the  
               bill contains adequate safeguards and fair competition  
               provisions, while relieving pressure on rates for the  
               highest residential users.  And they believe that this bill  
               reduces their risk by eliminating the uncertainty of  
               whether, when, and how electric markets will be deregulated  
               again. 

              6.   Recent History  - Much of the content of this bill was  
               negotiated last year and contained in SB 1536 (Kehoe).   
               That bill was never heard in the Assembly.

                                       POSITIONS
           
           Sponsor:
           
          Author

           Support:
           
          Pacific Gas and Electric Company
          Sempra Energy
          Southern California Edison
          The Utility Reform Network

           Oppose:
           
          None on file

          















          Randy Chinn 
          SB 695 Analysis
          Hearing Date:  April 21, 2009