BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó



                                                                  AB 999
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          ASSEMBLY THIRD READING
          AB 999 (Yamada)
          As Amended  May 11, 2011
          Majority vote 

           INSURANCE           7-5         APPROPRIATIONS      11-6        
           
           ----------------------------------------------------------------- 
          |Ayes:|Solorio, Carter, Feuer,   |Ayes:|Fuentes, Blumenfield,     |
          |     |Hayashi, Skinner, Torres, |     |Bradford, Charles         |
          |     |Wieckowski                |     |Calderon, Campos, Davis,  |
          |     |                          |     |Hall, Hill, Lara,         |
          |     |                          |     |Mitchell, Solorio         |
          |     |                          |     |                          |
          |-----+--------------------------+-----+--------------------------|
          |Nays:|Hagman, Charles Calderon, |Nays:|Harkey, Donnelly, Gatto,  |
          |     |Grove, Miller, Olsen      |     |Nielsen, Norby, Wagner    |
          |     |                          |     |                          |
           ----------------------------------------------------------------- 
           SUMMARY  :  Modifies the long-term care (LTC) insurance rate 
          development process.  Specifically,  this bill  :  

          1)Requires every LTC insurer to make available a specimen of 
            each individual or group policy form it sells.

          2)Requires the Insurance Commissioner (IC) to post on the 
            Department of Insurance (DOI) Web site an outline of coverage 
            for each LTC policy in connection with the rate comparison 
            page already available on the Web site.

          3)Provides that if the loss ratio calculated pursuant to 
            existing law produces a ratio that is less than the highest 
            lifetime expected loss ratio for that policy form in all 
            previous filings, then premiums must be reduced so that the 
            loss ratio is equal to or higher than the previously filed 
            highest loss ratio.

          4)Prohibits reliance on asset investment yields as a 
            justification for rate increases, subject to limited 
            exceptions.

          5)Requires that loss experience on an insurer's policy forms be 
            pooled for purposes of measuring loss ratios, as specified.









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          6)Limits the approval of rate increases on pre-stabilization 
            policies to no more than once every five years.

          7)Limits the approval of rate increases on post-stabilization 
            policies to no more than once every 10 years.

          8)Provides that, notwithstanding any provision of law, the IC 
            may approve rate filings if an insurer demonstrates that the 
            rates are necessary to protect the financial condition of the 
            insurer, including avoidance of further reductions in capital 
            and surplus.

           EXISTING LAW  :

          1)Regulates both the rates and marketing of LTC insurance.

          2)Provides that, for pre-stabilization LTC policies, premiums 
            are deemed reasonable if there is an expected loss ratio of 
            60%, provided that this loss ratio increases to 70% for rate 
            increases filed on or after December 31, 2009.

          3)Specifies the criteria that shall be used in evaluating 
            expected loss ratios.

          4)Provides that no rate increase may be implemented without the 
            prior approval of the IC, based on specified actuarial 
            criteria.

          5)Includes, among the specified actuarial criteria, that the 
            insurer's actuarial certification include a statement that the 
            premium rate schedule is sufficient to cover anticipated costs 
            under moderately adverse experience, and that the rates are 
            reasonably expected to be sustainable over the life of the 
            policy form with no future premium increases expected.

          6)Requires the IC to post an LTC rate comparison page on the DOI 
            internet website.

           FISCAL EFFECT  :  According to the Assembly Appropriations 
          Committee:

          1)Minor and absorbable costs to the DOI.

          2)Potential minor increased costs to Medi-Cal in the event that 








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            fewer people buy LTC insurance.

           COMMENTS  :   

          1)According to the author, this bill is intended to modify the 
            LTC insurance ratemaking process to protect consumers from the 
            excessive rate volatility that has characterized the LTC 
            insurance market.  Despite the "rate-stabilization" efforts 
            enacted in 2000, and implemented in 2002 and 2003, insurers 
            have continued to underestimate the real cost of LTC 
            insurance, and consumers who purchase policies they expect to 
            pay premiums on for many years before needing the coverage 
            have faced unexpectedly large rate increases.  The goal of 
            this bill is to have LTC rates more accurately reflect the 
            actual costs so that consumers will know what they are buying. 
             The author is concerned that too many consumers become locked 
            into high-priced policies that they purchased with the 
            expectation of lower premiums.

          2)LTC insurance is a relatively new, albeit very important, 
            insurance product.  As life expectancies have increased, a 
            growing number of people find the need to have late-in-life 
            LTC services, which can be very expensive.  Thus, an insurance 
            product to help pay for these expenses has developed.  But LTC 
            insurance is different in many ways from most other insurance 
            products.  While it is possible that a catastrophic event will 
            result in LTC needs in the early years of a policy, the 
            general expectation is that a policyholder will pay premiums 
            for many years before ever needing to make a claim.  The 
            incentive to pay premiums for many years before needing the 
            insurance is based on the pricing mechanism that rewards those 
            who purchase during their relatively younger, healthier years. 
             As people age, and begin to have health problems, they either 
            face extremely high premiums or do not qualify at all for this 
            type of insurance.

          The nature of LTC insurance - the expectation that claims will 
            occur only years in the future - has made predicting what the 
            claim costs will be very difficult.  It is widely accepted 
            that the insurance industry did a poor job prior to the early 
            2000's of predicting these costs.  There are a number of 
            factors:  increasing life expectancies; life extending 
            technology; poor assumptions on how many policies would lapse; 
            and, even basic predictions about what nursing home care would 








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            cost.  The result was that people who bought LTC insurance 
            products based on an evaluation of what they could afford 
            found themselves faced with very sharp and repeated premium 
            increases as the industry began to see actual costs develop.

          The industry and regulators in the late 1990's began to address 
            these problems by adopting new rate-making rules.  These rules 
            have been termed "rate stabilization."  Policies sold 
            pre-2002-03 are termed "pre-stabilization" policies, and 
            policies sold since then are termed "post-stabilization" 
            policies.  According to the author and sponsor, the Department 
            of Insurance (DOI), the post-stabilization reforms have not 
            worked well, and the same issues that plagued the 
            pre-stabilization market continue to plague the 
            post-stabilization market.  LTC insurers are not entirely in 
            agreement with this assessment, noting that most of the rate 
            increases in recent years have been for pre-stabilization 
            policies.  Nonetheless, the LTC insurance industry has 
            acknowledged that some changes are needed.

          3)This bill proposes to limit the frequency of rate increases to 
            once every five years for pre-stabilization policies, and once 
            every 10 years for post stabilization policies.  The purpose 
            of this rule is to encourage LTC insurers to take care to 
            estimate their expected costs so that policies are not sold to 
            unsuspecting consumers at enticing but unrealistically low 
            prices.  In this regard, proponents note that LTC insurers 
            selling post-stabilization policies are already required to 
            assume, and build into their rates, that moderately adverse 
            circumstances will prevail in relation to the actuarial 
            assumptions used to build the rates.

          LTC insurers have objected to this rule, arguing that it is 
            unrealistic to preclude any rate increases for such a duration 
            due to the myriad uncertainties that can arise in that time 
            period.  They also argue that, with the prior approval 
            requirement, the IC already has the tools to prevent 
            unrealistically low rates.  In lieu of this rule, the LTC 
            insurers have proposed that each insurer have a choice between 
            a five-year limitation for both pre- and post-stabilization 
            policies, and complying with an annual actuarial certification 
            that shows rates are at an appropriate level, and requiring an 
            action plan in the event the actuarial analysis shows 
            problems.








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          Analysis Prepared by  :    Mark Rakich / INS. / (916) 319-2086


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