BILL ANALYSIS Ó AB 999 Page 1 ASSEMBLY THIRD READING AB 999 (Yamada) As Amended May 11, 2011 Majority vote INSURANCE 7-5 APPROPRIATIONS 11-6 ----------------------------------------------------------------- |Ayes:|Solorio, Carter, Feuer, |Ayes:|Fuentes, Blumenfield, | | |Hayashi, Skinner, Torres, | |Bradford, Charles | | |Wieckowski | |Calderon, Campos, Davis, | | | | |Hall, Hill, Lara, | | | | |Mitchell, Solorio | | | | | | |-----+--------------------------+-----+--------------------------| |Nays:|Hagman, Charles Calderon, |Nays:|Harkey, Donnelly, Gatto, | | |Grove, Miller, Olsen | |Nielsen, Norby, Wagner | | | | | | ----------------------------------------------------------------- SUMMARY : Modifies the long-term care (LTC) insurance rate development process. Specifically, this bill : 1)Requires every LTC insurer to make available a specimen of each individual or group policy form it sells. 2)Requires the Insurance Commissioner (IC) to post on the Department of Insurance (DOI) Web site an outline of coverage for each LTC policy in connection with the rate comparison page already available on the Web site. 3)Provides that if the loss ratio calculated pursuant to existing law produces a ratio that is less than the highest lifetime expected loss ratio for that policy form in all previous filings, then premiums must be reduced so that the loss ratio is equal to or higher than the previously filed highest loss ratio. 4)Prohibits reliance on asset investment yields as a justification for rate increases, subject to limited exceptions. 5)Requires that loss experience on an insurer's policy forms be pooled for purposes of measuring loss ratios, as specified. AB 999 Page 2 6)Limits the approval of rate increases on pre-stabilization policies to no more than once every five years. 7)Limits the approval of rate increases on post-stabilization policies to no more than once every 10 years. 8)Provides that, notwithstanding any provision of law, the IC may approve rate filings if an insurer demonstrates that the rates are necessary to protect the financial condition of the insurer, including avoidance of further reductions in capital and surplus. EXISTING LAW : 1)Regulates both the rates and marketing of LTC insurance. 2)Provides that, for pre-stabilization LTC policies, premiums are deemed reasonable if there is an expected loss ratio of 60%, provided that this loss ratio increases to 70% for rate increases filed on or after December 31, 2009. 3)Specifies the criteria that shall be used in evaluating expected loss ratios. 4)Provides that no rate increase may be implemented without the prior approval of the IC, based on specified actuarial criteria. 5)Includes, among the specified actuarial criteria, that the insurer's actuarial certification include a statement that the premium rate schedule is sufficient to cover anticipated costs under moderately adverse experience, and that the rates are reasonably expected to be sustainable over the life of the policy form with no future premium increases expected. 6)Requires the IC to post an LTC rate comparison page on the DOI internet website. FISCAL EFFECT : According to the Assembly Appropriations Committee: 1)Minor and absorbable costs to the DOI. 2)Potential minor increased costs to Medi-Cal in the event that AB 999 Page 3 fewer people buy LTC insurance. COMMENTS : 1)According to the author, this bill is intended to modify the LTC insurance ratemaking process to protect consumers from the excessive rate volatility that has characterized the LTC insurance market. Despite the "rate-stabilization" efforts enacted in 2000, and implemented in 2002 and 2003, insurers have continued to underestimate the real cost of LTC insurance, and consumers who purchase policies they expect to pay premiums on for many years before needing the coverage have faced unexpectedly large rate increases. The goal of this bill is to have LTC rates more accurately reflect the actual costs so that consumers will know what they are buying. The author is concerned that too many consumers become locked into high-priced policies that they purchased with the expectation of lower premiums. 2)LTC insurance is a relatively new, albeit very important, insurance product. As life expectancies have increased, a growing number of people find the need to have late-in-life LTC services, which can be very expensive. Thus, an insurance product to help pay for these expenses has developed. But LTC insurance is different in many ways from most other insurance products. While it is possible that a catastrophic event will result in LTC needs in the early years of a policy, the general expectation is that a policyholder will pay premiums for many years before ever needing to make a claim. The incentive to pay premiums for many years before needing the insurance is based on the pricing mechanism that rewards those who purchase during their relatively younger, healthier years. As people age, and begin to have health problems, they either face extremely high premiums or do not qualify at all for this type of insurance. The nature of LTC insurance - the expectation that claims will occur only years in the future - has made predicting what the claim costs will be very difficult. It is widely accepted that the insurance industry did a poor job prior to the early 2000's of predicting these costs. There are a number of factors: increasing life expectancies; life extending technology; poor assumptions on how many policies would lapse; and, even basic predictions about what nursing home care would AB 999 Page 4 cost. The result was that people who bought LTC insurance products based on an evaluation of what they could afford found themselves faced with very sharp and repeated premium increases as the industry began to see actual costs develop. The industry and regulators in the late 1990's began to address these problems by adopting new rate-making rules. These rules have been termed "rate stabilization." Policies sold pre-2002-03 are termed "pre-stabilization" policies, and policies sold since then are termed "post-stabilization" policies. According to the author and sponsor, the Department of Insurance (DOI), the post-stabilization reforms have not worked well, and the same issues that plagued the pre-stabilization market continue to plague the post-stabilization market. LTC insurers are not entirely in agreement with this assessment, noting that most of the rate increases in recent years have been for pre-stabilization policies. Nonetheless, the LTC insurance industry has acknowledged that some changes are needed. 3)This bill proposes to limit the frequency of rate increases to once every five years for pre-stabilization policies, and once every 10 years for post stabilization policies. The purpose of this rule is to encourage LTC insurers to take care to estimate their expected costs so that policies are not sold to unsuspecting consumers at enticing but unrealistically low prices. In this regard, proponents note that LTC insurers selling post-stabilization policies are already required to assume, and build into their rates, that moderately adverse circumstances will prevail in relation to the actuarial assumptions used to build the rates. LTC insurers have objected to this rule, arguing that it is unrealistic to preclude any rate increases for such a duration due to the myriad uncertainties that can arise in that time period. They also argue that, with the prior approval requirement, the IC already has the tools to prevent unrealistically low rates. In lieu of this rule, the LTC insurers have proposed that each insurer have a choice between a five-year limitation for both pre- and post-stabilization policies, and complying with an annual actuarial certification that shows rates are at an appropriate level, and requiring an action plan in the event the actuarial analysis shows problems. AB 999 Page 5 Analysis Prepared by : Mark Rakich / INS. / (916) 319-2086 FN: 0000990