BILL ANALYSIS Ó SENATE COMMITTEE ON BUDGET AND FISCAL REVIEW Mark Leno, Chair Bill No: AB 1464 Author: Blumenfield As Amended: June 13, 2012 Consultant: Keely Martin Bosler Fiscal: Yes Hearing Date: June 14, 2012 Subject: Budget Act of 2012. Summary: This bill contains the contents of the 2012-13 Budget Act. Background: On May 14, the Governor released his May Revision for budget year 2012-13. The Governor indicated the remaining and adjusted General Fund (GF) deficit was $16.7 billion for the two-year period ending June 30, 2013. This included a $1 billion reserve. In January, the estimated GF shortfall was $10.3 billion - including a $1.1 billion reserve. The budget deficit increased by $6.5 billion since the Governor's initial budget proposal in January. The deficit has increased due to a reduced revenue outlook, higher costs to fund schools, and decisions made by the federal government and courts to block previously-approved budget cuts. This budget relies heavily on the Governor's May Revision framework that relied primarily on expenditure reductions, as well as passage of a tax initiative on the November 2012 ballot, and additional "trigger" reductions if the initiative is not successful. This budget includes $8 billion in expenditure cuts, $5.9 billion in revenues, and $2.3 billion in other solutions for a total of $16.2 billion in solutions. The budget amendments included in this bill and the accompanying trailer bills will result in approximately $92 billion in expenditures and a reserve of around $500 million in the 2012-13 budget year. Proposed Law: Overall, this budget adopts the Governor's May Revision framework, with the exception of $1.2 billion in expenditure reductions, primarily to the CalWORKs -1- program, child care, In-Home Supportive Services, Healthy Families, and Medi-Cal. The $1.2 billion in cut restorations are offset by about $900 million in new solutions in this budget plan. The largest alternative solutions include capturing additional property tax increment funds to offset Proposition 98 expenditures pursuant to last year's dissolution of redevelopment agencies (about $250 million), capturing unspent Proposition 98 "reversion" funds to support education programs in the budget year (about $200 million), and adopting a more consistent "rebenching" method for the Proposition 98 budget (about $100 million). The bullets below delineate the major changes to the Governor's May Revision embedded in this budget plan: CalWORKs: The Governor proposed a major restructuring of CalWORKs and major cuts to grants, totaling $880 million. The joint plan does not adopt the restructuring, but cuts a total of $428 million from the CalWORKs program. The cuts include continuing reductions to the single county allocation that have been in place since 2010-11 (these reductions exempt recipients with young children from some requirements of the program, thus saving expenses for child care) and by instituting annual reporting in child-only cases. Child Care: The Governor proposed major reductions to the state's subsidized child care programs, totaling $452 million. The joint plan reduces General Fund expenditures by $271 million. The bulk of this savings is achieved by consolidating funding for the part-day part-year preschool program funded within the Proposition 98 guarantee and making a commensurate General Fund reduction to the General Child Care Program. In addition, the plan includes $50 million of across-the-board reductions to child care slots that would reduce 6,600 slots. In-Home Supportive Services (IHSS): The Governor proposed $225 million in reductions to the IHSS program through a 7 percent across-the-board reduction in hours of service provided to recipients, and reductions to services for recipients in shared-living -2- arrangements. The joint legislative plan cuts a total of $90 million from IHSS through continuation of existing 3.6 percent reduction in hours, which was set to expire on June 30 and other proposals to reduce caseload and maximize federal funding. In addition, the budget assumes larger savings in the out-years from the state being successful in appeals of previously-authorized cuts that are currently before the federal courts. Cal Grants: The Governor proposed a total of $292 million in cuts to the Cal Grant higher education student financial assistance program. The joint plan adopts a total of $55 million in cuts to Cal Grants by accepting the Governor's proposal which would set limitations on eligibility for Cal Grants based on an institution's graduation and loan default rates. In addition, the joint plan accepts the Governor's proposal to reduce the Cal Grant award levels for private institutions (non-profit and for-profit), but the joint plan phases the implementation of the cut beginning in 2013-14 so that it would apply only to future Cal Grant recipients. Other Restorations: The joint plan restored much smaller amounts for some other proposed cuts, including cuts to the Healthy Families program, the AIDS Drug Assistance Program, and community health clinics. In addition, the joint Legislative budget also restores $10 million to open two new veterans' homes. This plan relies on the Department of Finance revenue estimates, and is predicated on the passage of the Governor's tax proposal. The Governor's tax proposal is a Constitutional amendment that would raise the personal income tax and the sales and use tax on a temporary basis. Together, the proposed increase in the two taxes is expected to raise an additional $8.4 billion through the budget year, representing $2.9 billion to schools and community colleges and $5.5 billion for General Fund benefit. The measure would also permanently dedicate revenues to local governments to pay for public safety programs realigned in 2011. -3- The plan assumes the state will receive $8.4 billion in additional personal income tax and sales tax revenue from the Governor's tax initiative on the November ballot, of which $5.5 billion will be used to balance the budget. (The remaining $2.9 billion will grow the Proposition 98 guarantee for schools.) In the event that the voters do not approve the Governor's tax proposal in November, the Legislature's joint plan, like the Governor's, includes a series of trigger cuts. These cuts are detailed below: 2012-13 Trigger Cuts (in millions) ---------------------------------------------------- |Program Area | May | | |Revision | | | Amount | |------------------------------------------+---------| |K-14 Education (Proposition 98) | $5,493.6| |------------------------------------------+---------| |University of California | 250.0| |------------------------------------------+---------| |California State University | 250.0| |------------------------------------------+---------| |Courts | 0.0| |------------------------------------------+---------| |Developmental Services | 50.0| |------------------------------------------+---------| |Department of Forestry and Fire | 10.6| |Protection | | |------------------------------------------+---------| |Local Water Safety Patrol | 10.6| |------------------------------------------+---------| |Flood Control | 6.6| |------------------------------------------+---------| |Public Safety-Fish & Game, Park | 6.0| |Lifeguards and Rangers, Department of | | |Justice | | |------------------------------------------+---------| |Total |$6,076.8 | ---------------------------------------------------- -4- Fiscal Effect: The fiscal impact of the contents of this and associated trailer bills is to achieve $16.2 billion in budget solutions. As of the May Revision, the Governor estimated that the state had a deficit of $16.7 billion, which includes a $1 billion reserve. This budget would result in approximately $92 billion in expenditures and approximately a $500 million reserve. Support: Unknown Opposed: Unknown Comments: Overall, this version of the budget prioritizes K-12 education, higher education, and public safety. Significant reductions were made in the health and human services areas, but in many cases, alternative cuts were found that mitigate the harshest of these reductions. Most areas of the budget saw significant expenditure reductions. Expenditure reductions are 50 percent of the overall solution to balancing the budget. This plan includes $8.0 billion in expenditure reductions by adopting the vast majority of the Governor's proposed cuts. -5-