BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó



                                                                      



           ------------------------------------------------------------ 
          |SENATE RULES COMMITTEE            |                  AB 1497|
          |Office of Senate Floor Analyses   |                         |
          |1020 N Street, Suite 524          |                         |
          |(916) 651-1520         Fax: (916) |                         |
          |327-4478                          |                         |
           ------------------------------------------------------------ 
           
                                         
                                 THIRD READING


          Bill No:  AB 1497
          Author:   Assembly Budget Committee
          Amended:  6/25/12 in Senate
          Vote:     21

           
           SENATE BUDGET & FISCAL REVIEW COMMITTEE  :  9-2, 6/25/12
          AYES:  Leno, Alquist, DeSaulnier, Hancock, Liu, Lowenthal, 
            Negrete McLeod, Wolk, Wright
          NOES:  Anderson, La Malfa
          NO VOTE RECORDED:  Emmerson, Evans, Fuller, Gaines, 
            Simitian
           
          ASSEMBLY FLOOR  :  Not relevant


           SUBJECT  :    2012-13 Budget Trailer Bill

           SOURCE  :     Author


           DIGEST  :    This bill amends the Budget Bill adopted by the 
          Legislature on June 15, 2012.  Overall, this version of the 
          Budget prioritizes K-12 education, higher education, and 
          public safety.  Significant reductions were made in the 
          health and human services areas, but in many cases, 
          alternative cuts were found that mitigate the harshest of 
          these reductions.  Most areas of the Budget saw significant 
          expenditure reductions.  The overall Budget solution is 
          distributed among expenditure reductions (48%), revenue 
          increases (37%), and other solutions (15%).  This plan 
          includes $8.0 billion in expenditure reductions by adopting 
          the vast majority of the Governor's proposed cuts.  The 
                                                           CONTINUED





                                                               AB 1497
                                                                Page 
          2

          plan leads to an improved fiscal position for the state in 
          the out-years, with almost 80% of the solutions ongoing or 
          multi-year.  

           ANALYSIS  :    On May 14, the Governor released his May 
          Revision for budget year 2012-13.  The Governor indicated 
          the General Fund deficit was $16.7 billion for the two-year 
          period ending June 30, 2013, representing an increase in 
          the deficit of $6.5 billion since the Governor's initial 
          Budget proposal in January.  This included a $1 billion 
          reserve.  The deficit increased due to a reduced revenue 
          outlook, higher costs to fund schools, and decisions made 
          by the federal government and courts to block 
          previously-approved budget cuts.

          This Budget relies heavily on the Governor's May Revision 
          framework that was predicated primarily on expenditure 
          reductions, as well as passage of a tax initiative on the 
          November 2012 ballot, and additional "trigger" reductions 
          if the initiative is not successful.  Since the passage of 
          the Budget Bill on June 15 there have been additional 
          changes within the overall Budget framework.  This Budget 
          includes $7.9 billion in expenditure cuts, $6.0 billion in 
          additional revenues, and $2.5 billion in other solutions 
          for a total of $16.5 billion in solutions.  The Budget 
          amendments included in this bill and the accompanying 
          trailer bills will result in approximately $91.5 billion in 
          expenditures and an available reserve of around $788 
          million in the 2012-13 budget year.

          Overall, this Budget adopts the Governor's May Revision 
          framework, with the additional changes since the passage of 
          the Budget Bill on June 15.  The Budget solution continues 
          to largely hinge on expenditure reductions, the tax 
          initiative, and 'trigger' cuts.  Some one-time solutions 
          such as additional special fund borrowing have been 
          eliminated in favor of additional expenditure reductions 
          and the continuation of revenue shifts to the General Fund. 
           In addition, the proposal to use property tax 
          "pass-through" payments to offset Proposition 98 
          expenditures was rejected, and the Budget adopts additional 
          solutions through the use of mortgage settlement moneys.  
          The bullets below delineate the major changes to the Budget 
          plan since June 15.







                                                               AB 1497
                                                                Page 
          3

          
              CalWORKs  .  The proposed Budget maintains the reduction 
             of approximately $430 million from the June 15 plan, 
             versus the Governor's $880 million reduction, and makes 
             significant program alterations.  Notably, the Budget 
             includes no grant cuts.  Under the proposal, the current 
             array of welfare-to-work services would be prospectively 
             available for eligible adults for up to 24 months, but 
             "useable" anytime during the 48-month lifetime time 
             limit.  Participants would be able to access the 
             remaining 24 months of the 48-month limit if meeting 
             specified, stricter federal work requirements.  In 
             addition, counties could extend services for up to 20% 
             of those who reach the 24-month time limit, under 
             specified circumstances that indicate satisfactory 
             progress toward employment.  There are also changes in 
             the earned income disregard to encourage work 
             participation.  Additionally, the Budget includes a 
             transfer of federal TANF funding to the California 
             Student Aid Commission for Cal Grants and a 
             corresponding increase of General Fund resources for 
             specified CalWORKs child-only cases.

              Child Care  .  The Governor proposed major reductions to 
             the state's subsidized child care programs, totaling 
             $452 million.  From the Legislature's June 15 Budget 
             plan, there would be an additional across the board 
             reduction equal to about $80 million (versus the $50 
             million previously included), resulting in a reduction 
             in the number of available slots.  In addition, the 
             revised plan calls for the suspension of cost of living 
             adjustments in both 2013-14 and 2014-15.
           
              Cal Grants  .  The Governor proposed a total of $292 
             million in cuts to the Cal Grant higher education 
             student financial assistance program.  The Budget plan 
             adopts a total of $53 million in cuts to Cal Grants by 
             accepting the Governor's proposal setting stricter 
             limitations on eligibility for Cal Grants based on 
             institutions' graduation and loan default rates.  In a 
             departure from the Governor's plan, the Budget reduces 
             new Cal Grant awards beginning in 2013-14 -- by 17% (in 
             two steps over two years) for non-profits and for-profit 
             institutions that are accredited by the Western 







                                                               AB 1497
                                                                Page 
          4

             Association of Schools and Colleges, and by 59% for all 
             other for-profit institutions.  In addition, beginning 
             in 2013-14, there would be no renewal awards for 
             returning students choosing to remain at institutions 
             that do not meet graduation or loan default thresholds.

              Other Alterations  .  The revised plan maintains 
             restoration of amounts for other proposed cuts to the 
             AIDS Drug Assistance Program and community health 
             clinics.  The revised plan would allow for a slower 
             phase-in for the transition to Medi-Cal next year of the 
             Healthy Families program and would require the 
             Administration and health plans to demonstrate 
             'readiness' prior to this transition.  In addition, the 
             Budget provides $18 million in mortgage settlement money 
             for enforcement and counseling, provides $50 million for 
             charter school growth funding, and includes funding for 
             routine High-Speed Rail Authority staffing and planning 
             functions.  If the tax measure passes, the plan would 
             provide $50 million to community colleges.  

          This plan relies on the Department of Finance revenue 
          estimates, and is predicated on the passage of the 
          Governor's tax proposal.  The Governor's tax proposal is a 
          Constitutional amendment that would raise the personal 
          income tax and the sales and use tax on a temporary basis.  
          Together, the proposed increase in the two taxes is 
          expected to raise an additional $8.4 billion through the 
          budget year, representing $2.9 billion to schools and 
          community colleges and $5.5 billion for General Fund 
          benefit.  This bill also permanently dedicates revenues to 
          local governments to pay for public safety programs 
          realigned in 2011. 
          
          The plan assumes the state will receive $8.4 billion in 
          additional personal income tax and sales tax revenue from 
          the Governor's tax initiative on the November ballot, of 
          which $5.5 billion will be used to balance the Budget.  
          (The remaining $2.9 billion will grow the Proposition 98 
          guarantee for schools.)  In the event that the voters do 
          not approve the Governor's tax proposal in November, the 
          Legislature's joint plan, like the Governor's, includes a 
          series of trigger cuts.  These cuts are detailed below:








                                                               AB 1497
                                                                Page 
          5

                       2012-13 Trigger Cuts (in millions)


           ------------------------------------------------------ 
          |               Program Area                |   May    |
          |                                           | Revision |
          |                                           |  Amount  |
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |K-14 Education (Proposition 98)            |  $5,356.0|
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |University of California                   |     250.0|
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |California State University                |     250.0|
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |Developmental Services                     |      50.0|
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |Local Public Safety Grants                 |      20.0|
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |Department of Forestry and Fire Protection |      10.6|
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |Flood Control                              |       6.6|
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |Local Water Safety Patrol                  |       5.6|
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |Public Safety-Fish & Game, Lifeguards and  |       6.0|
          |Rangers, Dept. of Justice                  |          |
          |-------------------------------------------+----------|
          |Total                                      |$5,954.8  |
          |                                           |          |
           ------------------------------------------------------ 

           FISCAL EFFECT  :    Appropriation:  Yes   Fiscal Com.:  Yes   
          Local:  No

          According to the Senate Budget and Fiscal Review Committee 
          staff, the fiscal impact of the contents of this and 
          associated trailer bills is to achieve $16.5 billion in 
          Budget solutions.  As of the May Revision, the Governor 
          estimated that the state had a deficit of $16.7 billion, 
          which includes a $1 
          billion reserve.  This Budget results in approximately 
          $91.5 billion in expenditures and approximately a $788 
          million reserve.








                                                               AB 1497
                                                                Page 
          6


          DLW:k  6/26/12   Senate Floor Analyses 

                       SUPPORT/OPPOSITION:  NONE RECEIVED

                                ****  END  ****