BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó




                     SENATE GOVERNANCE & FINANCE COMMITTEE
                            Senator Lois Wolk, Chair
          

          BILL NO:  SB 640                      HEARING:  6/29/11
          AUTHOR:  Runner                       FISCAL:  Yes
          VERSION:  5/12/11                     TAX LEVY:  Yes
          CONSULTANT:  Grinnell                 

                             EMPLOYMENT TAX CREDIT
          

           Enacts a credit equal to $500 for each formerly unemployed 
                           person a taxpayer employs.


                           Background and Existing Law  

          Current law allows tax credits designed to provide 
          incentives for taxpayers that incur certain expenses, such 
          as child adoption, or to influence behavior, including 
          business practices and decisions.  The Legislature 
          typically enacts such tax incentives to encourage taxpayers 
          to do something but for the tax credit, they would 
          otherwise not do.  California has two credit primarily 
          directed at increasing employment: 
                 The Jobs Tax credit, equal to $3,000 per full time 
               employee hired for an employer that employs fewer than 
               20 employees (AB 3x 15 (Krekorian)/SB 3x 15 
               (Calderon), 2009).  The Legislature capped the credit 
               at $400 million for all taxable years and allocated by 
               the Franchise Tax Board (FTB).  The credit remains in 
               effect until the total amount is exhausted.   
                 Geographically Targeted Employment Area tax 
               credits, such as enterprise zones.  Employers inside 
               of one of California's 42 enterprise zones may claim a 
               tax credit based on the wages paid to employees 
               meeting specified criteria or living in a designated 
               neighborhood.  The credit is equal to 50% of wages in 
               the first year, diminishing 10% per year until 
               exhausted after the fifth year, up to 150% of the 
               minimum wage.  


                                   Proposed Law  

          Senate Bill 640 enacts the California Employment Recovery 
          Act of 2011, a capped and allocated credit under the 




          SB 640 (Runner) -- 5/12/11 -- Page 2



          Personal Income Tax and Corporation Tax of $500 for each 
          month a qualified taxpayer employs a qualified employee in 
          a qualified job, multiplied by the number of consecutive 
          months the taxpayer employs the employee in the qualified 
          job up to 12 months.  A qualified taxpayer is an employer 
          that employs 50 or fewer employees as of the last date of 
          the preceding taxable year.  The measure specifies that the 
          12 consecutive month limitation may include two periods 
          when an employee worked two weeks in a month and made at 
          least $750.  To qualify:
                 The taxpayer must hire an employee who actively 
               received unemployment insurance benefits for not less 
               than the last six months immediately prior to the 
               first time the taxpayer hired the employee.
                 The taxpayer must employ the employee for a 
               non-seasonal, full-time job in the state that would 
               qualify for unemployment insurance benefits.
                 The taxpayer must pay the employee at least $1,500 
               for any month that the taxpayer seeks to apply the 
               credit.

          The taxpayer may carry over the credit for five taxable 
          years.  The bill prevents a taxpayer claiming its tax 
          credit from applying another one for the same employee.   
          The taxpayer must include with the timely filed original 
          return the title of the qualified job and the amount of 
          wages he or she pays the employee.  

          The measure caps the credit at $50 million, and directs the 
          Franchise Tax Board to allocate the credit on timely filed 
          original returns until the cutoff date, which is the last 
          day of the calendar quarter within which FTB estimates that 
          $50 million in credits have been allocated.  FTB shall 
          periodically provide notice on its website with respect to 
          the amount of the credit claimed on timely filed original 
          returns.  

          The bill states that the date the return is received shall 
          be determined by the FTB, and any determinations with 
          respect to the cutoff date, the day the return is received, 
          and whether a return is timely filed cannot be reviewed in 
          any administrative or judicial proceeding.  FTB's 
          disallowance of any credit under this subdivision shall be 
          treated as mathematical errors, and can assess any tax 
          resulting from the disallowance as a deficiency assessment. 
           FTB may issue rules, guidelines, or procedures exempt from 





          SB 640 (Runner) -- 5/12/11 -- Page 3



          the Administrative Procedures Act to administer the credit 
          and prevent the avoidance of the purposes of the section 
          through split-ups, shell corporations, partnerships, tiered 
          ownership structure, or otherwise.


                               State Revenue Impact
           
          According to FTB, SB 640 results in revenue losses of $44 
          million in 2011-12, $18 million in 2012-13, and $9.7 
          million in 2013-14.


                                     Comments  

          1.   Purpose of the bill  .  According to the Author, "Senate 
          Bill 640, or the California Employment Recovery Act of 
          2011, provides a tax credit for a taxpayer who employs 
          qualified employees.  Specially, beginning on or after 
          January 1, 2012, this bill would allow a tax credit in an 
          amount equal to $500 per month for each qualified employee 
          employed in a qualified job by the taxpayer.  The maximum 
          total amount of the credit that could be allowed may not 
          exceed $6,000 for any qualified employee.  The bill allows 
          unused credits to be carried over for six years.  SB 640 
          will provide a tax incentive to encourage employers to hire 
          individuals receiving unemployment insurance benefits."

          2.   Sure, but will it work  ?  Governments across the world 
          are changing public policies in the hopes of increasing 
          employment during the current economic recession.  
          Theoretically, reducing taxes by allowing employers tax 
          credits for hiring people should lead to higher employment 
          levels.  Because tax credits lead to lower supply costs, 
          each additional employee has a lower marginal cost than 
          without the tax credit, so employers should hire more.  

          Demonstrating the empirical link between state taxes and 
          employment is much more difficult; no clear data exists 
          demonstrating the positive effect of lower state tax rates 
          on state employment.  The ten states with the highest rates 
          of employment include some of the highest tax states, 
          lowest tax states and middling tax states.  Nevada has the 
          nation's highest unemployment rate, but has no corporate or 
          personal income tax.  California has one of the nation's 
          highest unemployment rate and ranks 12th in state and local 





          SB 640 (Runner) -- 5/12/11 -- Page 4



          tax revenue collected per capita, according to the United 
          States Department of the Census and the Bureau of Economic 
          Analysis.  

          While taxes always matter, the lack of a connection between 
          taxes and employment rates suggests that other factors have 
          a greater effect.  States such as California rode the 
          housing market and the housing construction wave more than 
          many others, and suffered more when it collapsed.  
          California is a top tourist destination, but in a global 
          depression, fewer people have the dispensable income 
          necessary to travel.  The Committee may wish to consider 
          whether enacting a tax credit will achieve the desired 
          increases in employment, and worth the budgetary sacrifices 
          necessary to pay for it.

          3.   Of one-handed economists  .  SB 640's general approach is 
          not without heavyweight academic support, albeit with 
          warnings.  A recent study by David Neumark at the Public 
          Policy Institute of California (PPIC) suggests two direct 
          job creation policies: hiring credits and worker subsidies 
          such as the federal Earned Income Tax Credit.  At the 
          February 16th hearing of this committee, Mr. Neumark 
          presented his findings.  He argues that hiring credits act 
          to increase the demand for labor and are the best policy 
          response to spur a recovery from the recession.  He 
          suggests that hiring credits should focus broadly on the 
          recently unemployed and establish incentives for new hires 
          rather than increases in the work hours of existing 
          employees.   

          Unlike SB 640, Neumark suggests the credits equal to $9,100 
          to $75,000 per employee to achieve the desired effect.  
          Even then, Neumark cautions that state funding would 
          contribute only modestly to unemployment rates.  Neumark 
          additionally warns that research shows that even the most 
          well-designed tax credits have 92-95% "deadweight loss," 
          when a taxpayer gets a tax credit for hiring someone they 
          would've without the credit.  The Committee may wish to 
          consider that even though a credit may have some merit, 
          there are significant drawbacks to enacting it.

          4.   Rebalancing the portfolio  .   To the extent that state 
          taxes do influence employment, research shows that what 
          California's primary program to spur economic development 
          and job growth doesn't work.  Jed Kolko and Neumark found 





          SB 640 (Runner) -- 5/12/11 -- Page 5



          that California's enterprise zones have no effect upon 
          employment and business formation in zones, and Joel Elvery 
          of Cleveland State found no evidence that EZs increase 
          employment of zone residents, although Charles Swenson of 
          USC shows that unemployment rates are lower in census 
          tracts in enterprise zones than those that aren't.  The 
          Legislative Analysts' Office has long recommended that the 
          Legislature repeal the program, which was proposed as part 
          of Governor Brown's 2010-11 Budget released in January.  
          Should the Committee believe that SB 640 will create jobs, 
          it may wish to consider substituting it for a program that 
          doesn't.

          5.   Working it  .  As introduced, SB 640 enacted a tax credit 
          of $500 for each month a taxpayer employed a person that 
          received unemployment benefits for not less than the last 
          six months.  The measure allowed credits for any employer 
          until the first calendar year after the first year in which 
          California's unemployment rate fell below 10%.  The May 
          12th, 2011 amendments changed the credit in the following 
          way:
                 Limited the credit to taxpayers employing less than 
               50 employees.
                 Capped the credit to $50 million.
                 Required taxpayers to include the title of the job 
               and the wages paid to the employee qualifying the 
               taxpayer for the credit.
                 Restricted the credit to original returns.
                 Imported procedural requirements from the Small 
               Business Jobs Tax Credit to assist FTB to administer 
               the credit.

          6.   Stay tuned  .  As part of the May Revision, the Governor 
          proposed expanding and extending the jobs tax credit by:
                 Increasing the number of employees that a taxpayer 
               can employ from 20 to 50 to qualify for the credit, 
               the same threshold that SB 640 includes.  The 
               Committee approved SB 156 (Emmerson) earlier this year 
               which makes an identical change.
                 Enhance the credit amount from $3,000 to $4,000 per 
               employee.
                 Sunset the credit in 2012, instead of allowing it 
               to sunset when the $400 million allocation expires.  

          7.   Amendments Needed  .  FTB and Committee Staff recommend 
          the following technical amendments.





          SB 640 (Runner) -- 5/12/11 -- Page 6



                 On Page 2, lines 35 and 36, and page 5, lines 15 
               and 16, strike out "in which a qualified taxpayer 
               seeks to apply the credit authorized" and insert "for 
               which the credit is allowed."


                        Support and Opposition  (06/22/11)

           Support  :  Unknown.

           Opposition  :  California Tax Reform Association.