BILL ANALYSIS Ó SENATE GOVERNANCE & FINANCE COMMITTEE Senator Lois Wolk, Chair BILL NO: SB 640 HEARING: 7/6/11 AUTHOR: Runner FISCAL: Yes VERSION: 5/12/11 TAX LEVY: Yes CONSULTANT: Grinnell EMPLOYMENT TAX CREDIT Enacts a credit equal to $500 for each formerly unemployed person a taxpayer employs. Background and Existing Law Current law allows tax credits designed to provide incentives for taxpayers that incur certain expenses, such as child adoption, or to influence behavior, including business practices and decisions. The Legislature typically enacts such tax incentives to encourage taxpayers to do something but for the tax credit, they would otherwise not do. California has two credit primarily directed at increasing employment: The Jobs Tax credit, equal to $3,000 per full time employee hired for an employer that employs fewer than 20 employees (AB 3x 15 (Krekorian)/SB 3x 15 (Calderon), 2009). The Legislature capped the credit at $400 million for all taxable years and allocated by the Franchise Tax Board (FTB). The credit remains in effect until the total amount is exhausted. Geographically Targeted Employment Area tax credits, such as enterprise zones. Employers inside of one of California's 42 enterprise zones may claim a tax credit based on the wages paid to employees meeting specified criteria or living in a designated neighborhood. The credit is equal to 50% of wages in the first year, diminishing 10% per year until exhausted after the fifth year, up to 150% of the minimum wage. Proposed Law Senate Bill 640 enacts the California Employment Recovery Act of 2011, a capped and allocated credit under the SB 640 -- 5/12/11 -- Page 2 Personal Income Tax and Corporation Tax of $500 for each month a qualified taxpayer employs a qualified employee in a qualified job, multiplied by the number of consecutive months the taxpayer employs the employee in the qualified job up to 12 months. A qualified taxpayer is an employer that employs 50 or fewer employees as of the last date of the preceding taxable year. The measure specifies that the 12 consecutive month limitation may include two periods when an employee worked two weeks in a month and made at least $750. To qualify: The taxpayer must hire an employee who actively received unemployment insurance benefits for not less than the last six months immediately prior to the first time the taxpayer hired the employee. The taxpayer must employ the employee for a non-seasonal, full-time job in the state that would qualify for unemployment insurance benefits. The taxpayer must pay the employee at least $1,500 for any month that the taxpayer seeks to apply the credit. The taxpayer may carry over the credit for five taxable years. The bill prevents a taxpayer claiming its tax credit from applying another one for the same employee. The taxpayer must include with the timely filed original return the title of the qualified job and the amount of wages he or she pays the employee. The measure caps the credit at $50 million, and directs the Franchise Tax Board to allocate the credit on timely filed original returns until the cutoff date, which is the last day of the calendar quarter within which FTB estimates that $50 million in credits have been allocated. FTB shall periodically provide notice on its website with respect to the amount of the credit claimed on timely filed original returns. The bill states that the date the return is received shall be determined by the FTB, and any determinations with respect to the cutoff date, the day the return is received, and whether a return is timely filed cannot be reviewed in any administrative or judicial proceeding. FTB's disallowance of any credit under this subdivision shall be treated as mathematical errors, and can assess any tax resulting from the disallowance as a deficiency assessment. FTB may issue rules, guidelines, or procedures exempt from SB 640 -- 5/12/11 -- Page 3 the Administrative Procedures Act to administer the credit and prevent the avoidance of the purposes of the section through split-ups, shell corporations, partnerships, tiered ownership structure, or otherwise. State Revenue Impact According to FTB, SB 640 results in revenue losses of $44 million in 2011-12, $18 million in 2012-13, and $9.7 million in 2013-14. Comments 1. Purpose of the bill . According to the Author, "Senate Bill 640, or the California Employment Recovery Act of 2011, provides a tax credit for a taxpayer who employs qualified employees. Specially, beginning on or after January 1, 2012, this bill would allow a tax credit in an amount equal to $500 per month for each qualified employee employed in a qualified job by the taxpayer. The maximum total amount of the credit that could be allowed may not exceed $6,000 for any qualified employee. The bill allows unused credits to be carried over for six years. SB 640 will provide a tax incentive to encourage employers to hire individuals receiving unemployment insurance benefits." 2. Sure, but will it work ? Governments across the world are changing public policies in the hopes of increasing employment during the current economic recession. Theoretically, reducing taxes by allowing employers tax credits for hiring people should lead to higher employment levels. Because tax credits lead to lower supply costs, each additional employee has a lower marginal cost than without the tax credit, so employers should hire more. Demonstrating the empirical link between state taxes and employment is much more difficult; no clear data exists demonstrating the positive effect of lower state tax rates on state employment. The ten states with the highest rates of employment include some of the highest tax states, lowest tax states and middling tax states. Nevada has the nation's highest unemployment rate, but has no corporate or personal income tax. California has one of the nation's highest unemployment rate and ranks 12th in state and local SB 640 -- 5/12/11 -- Page 4 tax revenue collected per capita, according to the United States Department of the Census and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. While taxes always matter, the lack of a connection between taxes and employment rates suggests that other factors have a greater effect. States such as California rode the housing market and the housing construction wave more than many others, and suffered more when it collapsed. California is a top tourist destination, but in a global depression, fewer people have the dispensable income necessary to travel. The Committee may wish to consider whether enacting a tax credit will achieve the desired increases in employment, and worth the budgetary sacrifices necessary to pay for it. 3. Of one-handed economists . SB 640's general approach is not without heavyweight academic support, albeit with warnings. A recent study by David Neumark at the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) suggests two direct job creation policies: hiring credits and worker subsidies such as the federal Earned Income Tax Credit. At the February 16th hearing of this committee, Mr. Neumark presented his findings. He argues that hiring credits act to increase the demand for labor and are the best policy response to spur a recovery from the recession. He suggests that hiring credits should focus broadly on the recently unemployed and establish incentives for new hires rather than increases in the work hours of existing employees. Unlike SB 640, Neumark suggests the credits equal to $9,100 to $75,000 per employee to achieve the desired effect. Even then, Neumark cautions that state funding would contribute only modestly to unemployment rates. Neumark additionally warns that research shows that even the most well-designed tax credits have 92-95% "deadweight loss," when a taxpayer gets a tax credit for hiring someone they would've without the credit. The Committee may wish to consider that even though a credit may have some merit, there are significant drawbacks to enacting it. 4. Rebalancing the portfolio . To the extent that state taxes do influence employment, research shows that what California's primary program to spur economic development and job growth doesn't work. Jed Kolko and Neumark found SB 640 -- 5/12/11 -- Page 5 that California's enterprise zones have no effect upon employment and business formation in zones, and Joel Elvery of Cleveland State found no evidence that EZs increase employment of zone residents, although Charles Swenson of USC shows that unemployment rates are lower in census tracts in enterprise zones than those that aren't. The Legislative Analysts' Office has long recommended that the Legislature repeal the program, which was proposed as part of Governor Brown's 2010-11 Budget released in January. Should the Committee believe that SB 640 will create jobs, it may wish to consider substituting it for a program that doesn't. 5. Working it . As introduced, SB 640 enacted a tax credit of $500 for each month a taxpayer employed a person that received unemployment benefits for not less than the last six months. The measure allowed credits for any employer until the first calendar year after the first year in which California's unemployment rate fell below 10%. The May 12th, 2011 amendments changed the credit in the following way: Limited the credit to taxpayers employing less than 50 employees. Capped the credit to $50 million. Required taxpayers to include the title of the job and the wages paid to the employee qualifying the taxpayer for the credit. Restricted the credit to original returns. Imported procedural requirements from the Small Business Jobs Tax Credit to assist FTB to administer the credit. 6. Stay tuned . As part of the May Revision, the Governor proposed expanding and extending the jobs tax credit by: Increasing the number of employees that a taxpayer can employ from 20 to 50 to qualify for the credit, the same threshold that SB 640 includes. The Committee approved SB 156 (Emmerson) earlier this year which makes an identical change. Enhance the credit amount from $3,000 to $4,000 per employee. Sunset the credit in 2012, instead of allowing it to sunset when the $400 million allocation expires. 7. Amendments Needed . FTB and Committee Staff recommend the following technical amendments. SB 640 -- 5/12/11 -- Page 6 On Page 2, lines 35 and 36, and page 5, lines 15 and 16, strike out "in which a qualified taxpayer seeks to apply the credit authorized" and insert "for which the credit is allowed." Support and Opposition (06/22/11) Support : Unknown. Opposition : California Tax Reform Association.