BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó






                 Senate Committee on Labor and Industrial Relations
                              William W. Monning, Chair

          Date of Hearing: June 26, 2013               2013-2014 Regular  
          Session                              
          Consultant: Deanna D. Ping                   Fiscal:Yes
                                                       Urgency: No
          
                                   Bill No: AB 10
                                    Author: Alejo
                        As Introduced/Amended: June 19, 2013
          

                                       SUBJECT
          
                           Minimum wage: annual adjustment


                                      KEY ISSUE

          Should the Legislature approve a series of annual minimum wage  
          increases between 2014 and 2018? 

                                      ANALYSIS
          
           Existing federal law  sets the minimum wage at $7.25 an hour. 
          (Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938, 29 U.S.C. Chapter 8)

           Existing law  states that when state and federal laws differ, one  
          must comply with the more restrictive requirement. In  
          California, the minimum wage is $8.00 an hour. 
          (Labor Code §1182.12)
           

          This bill  increases the state's minimum wage in five separate  
          increments over the next five years.  Specifically,  this bill  :  

             1)   Increases California's minimum wage from $8.00 per hour  
               to not less than $8.25 per hour on January 1, 2014.

             2)   Increases California's minimum wage from $8.25 per hour  
               to not less than $8.75 per hour on January 1, 2015.

             3)   Increases California's minimum wage from $8.75 per hour  
               to not less than $9.25 per hour on January 1, 2016.










             4)   Increases California's minimum wage from $9.25 per hour  
               to not less than $9.50 per hour on January 1, 2017.

             5)   Increases California's minimum wage from $9.50 per hour  
               to not less than $10.00 per hour on January 1, 2018.

                                      COMMENTS

          1.  Background on Minimum Wage Federally and in Other States

             In 1938, the Fair Labor Standards Act established a national  
            minimum wage for workers in the United States. On a federal  
            level, the minimum wage has been periodically raised.  
            Beginning in the 1980s and 1990s, the federal minimum wage saw  
            few significant increases which led to more than half of the  
            states to enact higher state-level minimum wages, including  
            California. On January 1, 2013, the minimum wage increased in  
            ten states - Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Missouri, Montana,  
            Ohio, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Washington. These  
            states, except for Rhode Island, all adopted an annual  
            adjustment to their minimum wage. California's minimum wage on  
            the other hand, has remained at $8.00 an hour since 2008.   

           2.  Impact of Minimum Wage on Employment: Research Findings 

             Conventional economic theory would predict that a rise in  
            minimum wage leads perfectly competitive employers to reduce  
            their workforce. David Card and Alan Krueger authored a  
            minimum wage study in 1992 entitled "Minimum Wages and  
            Employment: A Case Study of the Fast-Food Industry in New  
            Jersey and Pennsylvania" which evaluated the effects of New  
            Jersey and Pennsylvania's minimum wage on employment. The  
            study analyzed the experiences of 410 fast-food restaurants in  
            New Jersey and Pennsylvania following New Jersey's increase in  
            minimum wage. The authors also compared employment, wages, and  
            prices at stores before and after the wage increase in both  
            states as well. Card and Krueger found no evidence that the  
            rise in New Jersey's minimum wage reduced employment at  
            fast-food restaurants in the state. 
           
             One economic study published in 2010 by Arindrajit Dube, T.  
            William Lester, and Michael Reich entitled, "Minimum Wage  
          Hearing Date:  June 26, 2013                              AB 10  
          Consultant: Deanna D. Ping                               Page 2

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            Effects Across State Borders: Estimates Using Contiguous  
            Counties," also evaluated whether minimum wages had any impact  
            on earnings and employment.  The study paired contiguous  
            counties across state-lines with differential minimum wages  
            and examined differences between the pairs in terms of the  
            number of jobs and pay for workers over a 16 year span  
            (1990-2006), primarily focusing on workers in the restaurant  
            industry. The authors of the study concluded that increasing  
            the minimum wage resulted in strong earnings effects with no  
            effect on employment. The study also explained that  
            researchers have sometimes found a negative effect on jobs  
            from minimum wage increases because previous studies have  
            failed to take into account regional differences in states'  
            economies.  Such a failure to account for these factors has  
            led some researchers to mistakenly attribute the low growth in  
            employment in some states to higher minimum wages instead of  
            the real cause, which could be deindustrialization,  
            technological change, or other causes unrelated to the  
            increased minimum wage.



          3.  Need for this bill?

            According to the author, AB 10 will address California's  
            historic income gap, which is one of the largest in the  
            nation, by increasing the state minimum wage over a five year  
            period from $8.00 to $10.00. The current federal minimum wage  
            is $7.25 and in California the minimum wage is $8.00. Over the  
            last 30 years Congress has increased the minimum wage 3 times  
            while California has not had a minimum wage increase since  
            2008. If the federal minimum wage had kept up with inflation  
            over the past 40 years it would be around $10.69. According to  
            a national poll conducted by Lake Research Partners, nearly  
            three out of four likely voters (73%) in the U.S. support  
            increasing the minimum wage to $10 per hour and indexing it to  
            inflation. In its original version, AB 10 would have indexed  
            the minimum wage on an annual basis according to the rate of  
            inflation following the set step increases described - this  
            was amended out of the bill before it reached the Senate Labor  
            Committee hearing. 

          Hearing Date:  June 26, 2013                              AB 10  
          Consultant: Deanna D. Ping                               Page 3

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          4.  Proponent Arguments  :
            
            Supporters argue that this bill will strengthen and  
            depoliticize California's minimum wage by providing a modest  
            increase to millions of struggling Californians.  According to  
            proponents, over recent decades workers at the bottom of the  
            wage scale have been struggled while the real value of their  
            earnings has collapsed.  In support of this, proponents cite  
            that the California Budget Project has calculated that between  
            1968 and 2008, the purchasing power of California's minimum  
            wage fell by 24.8%. Proponents also bring attention to the  
            Public Policy Institute of California's findings that  
            California is experiencing the largest income gap in at least  
            30 years which is exacerbated by the fact that California's  
            current minimum wage, when adjusted for inflation, is less  
            than the minimum wage workers earned in 1979. 

            Further, proponents believe the bill will kick start  
            California's lagging economy over the next five years with  
            predictable increases to the minimum wage.  Just the $.25 wage  
            increase in 2014, according to proponents, is estimated to  
            provide two million Californians an additional $520 annually  
            and a billion additional dollars. Proponents argue that  
            raising the minimum wage would put more money in the pockets  
            of workers struggling to provide for their families, and when  
            workers have more money to spend, they spent it - generating  
            more consumer spending. 

            Proponents believe the current method of determining  
            California's minimum wage rate is unconscionable because  
            workers are forced to watch the minimum wage languish year  
            after year until legislators decided to act. Lastly,  
            proponents argue that AB 10 will address the current historic  
            income gap, help California's economy bounce back, and bring  
            the citizens of California back to prosperity. 

          5.  Opponent Arguments  :

            Opponents argue that AB 10 is unprecedented as it locks in an  
            automatic 25% increase in the minimum wage over the next five  
            years, regardless of any other economic factors or costs that  
            employers may face, and exceeds any historical average rate of  
          Hearing Date:  June 26, 2013                              AB 10  
          Consultant: Deanna D. Ping                               Page 4

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            inflation (an average of 2.5% rate a year for California).  
            They contend that given the unpredictability of the economy,  
            the duration and amount of the minimum wage increase fails to  
            take into consideration other economic factors of cumulative  
            costs to which employers may be subjected. 

            Opponents state that California's economic recovery is still  
            in the infancy stage and that an increase in the minimum wage  
            in 2014 will negatively impact any economic recovery by either  
            limiting available jobs, or worse, creating further job loss.   
            Opponents argue that although the initial $0.25 increase may  
            seem minimal, combined with the unknown increased costs  
            associated with the implementation of the Affordable Care Act,  
            the tax increases approved under Proposition 30, and the  
            partial reduction in federal tax credit in 2014, could force a  
            struggling employer to reduce their costs in other areas, such  
            as labor, or pass such increased costs onto the consumers  
            through higher prices.

            Lastly, opponents bring attention to a study conducted by the  
            National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) which found  
            that depending upon the rate of inflation in future years,  
            enacting this bill could result in 46,000 to 68,000 lost jobs  
            in California by 2023, and a reduction in real output  
            somewhere between $4.7-$5.7 billion.  Opponents note that the  
            NFIB study also claims that the increase in minimum wage might  
            cause employees currently earning above the minimum wage to  
            put pressure on their employer for a raise in order to  
            maintain the wage premium between them and the lowest-earning  
            individuals in the economy, causing this bill to have an  
            emulation effect. 

          6.  Prior Legislation  :

            AB 1439 (Alejo) of 2012 would have increased the minimum wage  
            to $8.50 per hour and provided for the automatic adjustment of  
            the wage each year by the rate of inflation as measured by the  
            California Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers. The  
            bill was held in the Assembly Appropriations Committee. 

            AB 196 (Alejo) of 2011 would have increased the minimum wage  
            to $8.50 per hour and provided for the automatic adjustment of  
          Hearing Date:  June 26, 2013                              AB 10  
          Consultant: Deanna D. Ping                               Page 5

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            the wage each year by the rate of inflation as measured by the  
            California Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers. The  
            bill was held in the Assembly Labor and Employment Committee. 

            AB 1835 (Lieber), Chapter 230, Statutes of 2006, increased the  
            minimum wage to $7.50 per hour effective January 1, 2007, and  
            to $8.00 per hour, effective January 1, 2008.

            AB 1844 (Chavez) of 2006 would have increased the state  
            minimum wage in 2006 of $6.75 per hour to $7.25 per hour as of  
            July 1, 2007, and to $7.75 as of July 1, 2008, and provided  
            for the automatic adjustment of the minimum wage each year by  
            the rate of inflation as measured by the California Consumer  
            Price Index for All Urban Consumers, beginning January 1,  
            2009. This bill was held in the Assembly Appropriation  
            Committee.

            AB 48 (Lieber) of 2005 would have increased the minimum wage  
            to $7.25 per hour effective on and after July 1, 2006, and to  
            $7.75 per hour effective on and after July 1, 2007, and  
            provided for the automatic adjustment of the minimum wage on  
            January 1 of each year thereafter, beginning in 2008, by  
            multiplying the minimum wage by the previous year's rate of  
            inflation as measured by the California Consumer Price Index.   
            AB 48 was vetoed by the Governor.


                                       SUPPORT

          American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees,  
          AFL-CIO 
          California Applicants' Attorneys Association 
          California Catholic Conference of Bishops 
          California Communities United Institute
          California Conference Board of the Amalgamated Transit Union 
          California Conference of Machinists
          California Employment Lawyers Association 
          California Federation of Teachers, AFL-CIO 
          California Immigrant Policy Center
          California Labor Federation, AFL-CIO
          California National Organization for Women
          California Nurses Association
          Hearing Date:  June 26, 2013                              AB 10  
          Consultant: Deanna D. Ping                               Page 6

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          California Public Defenders Association
          California Rural Legal Assistance Foundation
          California State Association of Electrical Workers 
          California State Pipe Trades Council 
          California Teamsters, Public Affairs Council 
          City of Berkeley 
          City of Lathrop 
          Congress of California Seniors 
          Engineers and Scientists of California 
          Glendale City Employees Association 
          International Longshore and Warehouse Union 
          Laborers' International Union of North America Locals 777 and  
          792
          Legal Aid Association of California
          Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund 
          National Association of Social Workers - California Chapter  
          Organization of SMUD Employees
          Peace & Freedom Part of California 
          Professional & Technical Engineers, Local 21 
          Restaurant Opportunities Center of Los Angeles 
          San Bernardino Public Employees Association 
          San Diego Court Employees Association
          San Luis Obispo County Employees Association 
          San Mateo County Central Labor Council, AFL-CIO 
          Santa Rosa City Employees Association 
          Service Employees International Union 
          Services, Immigrant Rights and Education Network 
          St. Anthony Foundation 
          UNITE HERE 
          United Auto Workers, Local 5810
          United Domestic Workers of America, AFSCME Local 3930
          United Food and Commercial Workers Union, Western States Council  

          Utility Workers Union of America, Local 132
          Western Center on Law and Poverty 
          Western States Council of Sheet Metal Workers 
          
                                     OPPOSITION

          Acclamation Insurance Management Services
          Air Conditioning Trade Association 
          Allied Managed Care
          Hearing Date:  June 26, 2013                              AB 10  
          Consultant: Deanna D. Ping                               Page 7

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          Brea Chamber of Commerce
          California Agricultural Aircraft Association
          California Association of Collectors 
          California Association for Health Services at Home
          California Association of Health Facilities 
          California Association of Nurseries and Garden Centers
          California Association of Wheat Growers
          California Association of Winegrape Growers
          California Bean Shippers Association
          California Chamber of Commerce
          California Citrus Mutual 
          California Cherry Export Association
          California Cotton Ginners Association
          California Cotton Growers Association
          California Dairies, Inc.
          California Farm Bureau Federation 
          California Framing Contractors Association
          California Grain and Feed Association
          California Grape & Tree Fruit League
          California Grocers Association
          California Hotel and Lodging Association
          California Independent Grocers Association 
          California League of Food Processors
          California Lodging Industry Association
          California Manufacturers and Technology Association
          California Pear Growers Association
          California Professional Association of Specialty Contractors
          California Restaurant Association
          California Retailers Association
          California Seed Association
          California Spa & Pool Industry Education Council
          California State Floral Association
          California Tomato Growers Association
          California Warehouse Association
          Camarillo Chamber of Commerce
          Culver City Chamber of Commerce
          Far West Equipment Dealers Association
          Fullerton Chamber of Commerce
          Gilroy Chamber of Commerce 
          Greater Conejo Valley Chamber of Commerce
          Greater Fresno Area Chamber of Commerce
          Grater San Fernando Valley Chamber of Commerce 
          Hearing Date:  June 26, 2013                              AB 10  
          Consultant: Deanna D. Ping                               Page 8

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          National Federation of Independent Business
          Orange County Business Council
          Oxnard Chamber of Commerce
          Pacific Egg and Poultry Association
          Rancho Cordova Chamber of Commerce
          Redondo Beach Chamber of Commerce
          San Gabriel Valley Regional Chamber of Commerce
          Santa Clara Chamber of Commerce and Convention-Visitors Bureau
          Simi Valley Chamber of Commerce
          Southwest California Legislative Council
          The Tulare Chamber of Commerce
          Valley Industry and Commerce Association
          Western Agricultural Processors Association
          Western Electrical Contractors Association
          Western Growers Association
                                          
          
























          Hearing Date:  June 26, 2013                              AB 10  
          Consultant: Deanna D. Ping                               Page 9

          Senate Committee on Labor and Industrial Relations