BILL ANALYSIS Ó ----------------------------------------------------------------- |SENATE RULES COMMITTEE | ACA 1X2| |Office of Senate Floor Analyses | | |1020 N Street, Suite 524 | | |(916) 651-1520 Fax: (916) | | |327-4478 | | ----------------------------------------------------------------- THIRD READING Bill No: ACA 1X2 Author: John A. Pérez (D), et al. Amended: 5/12/14 in Assembly Vote: 27 ASSEMBLY FLOOR : Not available SUBJECT : State Budget Reserve Fund SOURCE : Author DIGEST : This bill alters the state's existing budget reserve requirements; mandates annual deposits of 1.5% of General Fund revenues (plus, in specific circumstances, capital gains-related tax revenues) to a budget reserve up to an amount equal to 10% of General Fund revenues; and diverts, for the initial fifteen years it is in effect, 50% of funds that would otherwise be deposited to the budget reserve to the payment of debt or outstanding liabilities. This bill also sets forth provisions regarding the withdrawal of funds from the reserve fund and the suspension of otherwise required deposits; creates the Public School System Stabilization Account; supplants the current language governing the existing Budget Stabilization Account (BSA) as specified in the Constitution; results in the withdrawal of ACA 4 (Gatto and Niello); and serves as a substitute for that measure on the November 2014 ballot. This bill goes into effect beginning with the 2015-16 fiscal year. ANALYSIS : CONTINUED ACA 1X2 Page 2 California currently has two principal General Fund reserve accounts, specifically: Special Fund for Economic Uncertainties (SFEU) . Article XIII B, Section 5.5 of the California Constitution directs the Legislature to establish a 'prudent' reserve that it deems reasonable and necessary. However, the Constitution does not specify the size of the reserve or the conditions under which funds must be placed into the reserve. The reserve for 2013-14 was budgeted at $1.1 billion upon the adoption of the budget, and later reduced to approximately $700 million based on additional budget actions related to corrections. This general reserve is known as the SFEU. BSA . In addition to this regular annual reserve, voters established an additional reserve account, the BSA, with the passage of Proposition 58 in March of 2004. The proposition requires that 3% of estimated annual General Fund revenues be transferred into the BSA, beginning in 2008-09, and continuing thereafter. Transfers to the BSA are required until the account balance reaches $8.0 billion or 5% of General Fund revenues, whichever is greater. The annual transfer requirement is in effect whenever the balance in the BSA falls below either the $8.0 billion or the 5% threshold. During the time the Economic Recovery Bonds are outstanding, 50% of the annual transfers to the BSA are to be used for paying off the bonds. Spending from the fund may occur by transferring monies from the BSA to the General Fund through a majority vote of the Legislature and approval of the Governor. In addition, there is significant flexibility regarding transfers to the BSA, with the ability to suspend or reduce such transfers for a fiscal year by an executive order. The state deposited funds to the reserve twice (in 2006-07 and 2007-08) but subsequently used the funds during each of those years. The state has suspended the transfer of monies to the BSA since that time and the BSA currently has a zero balance. The budget proposed by the Governor includes a deposit of 3% of General Fund revenues, to bring the balance in the BSA to $1.6 billion. In the January budget, the Governor proposed a constitutional amendment to revise California's budget reserve policy. The Governor's initial proposal included the following provisions that would revise the BSA: CONTINUED ACA 1X2 Page 3 1.Reserve Deposits . Require deposits to the reserve of capital gains tax revenues in excess of 6.5% of General Fund tax revenues (after funding of Proposition 98 and certain other payments). The deposit would be estimated in year one, then subject to subsequent true-ups (positive or negative) in years two and three in order to square the original estimate with actual tax liability data. 2.Proposition 98 Reserve . Create a Proposition 98 reserve equal to 10% of the Proposition 98 guarantee, whereby spikes in funding related to capital gains would be retained for future years of decline, smoothing school spending to prevent damaging cuts, while making no changes to the Proposition 98 guarantee. Deposits would be made after required increases in enrollment growth and cost-of-living and the current maintenance factor has been paid. 3.Size of Reserve . Double the maximum size of the Rainy Day Fund from 5% to 10% of revenues, and allow supplemental payments to the "wall of debt," or other long-term liabilities, in lieu of a year's deposit. Restrict uses of revenues that would otherwise be available to certain onetime uses, such as debt obligations, in the event the reserve fund reaches the maximum funding level. 4.Budget Emergency . Require a finding by the Governor of a budget emergency (natural disaster, fiscal emergency, or an inability to fund programs at the current year level accounting for population and cost-of-living changes). Limit the maximum amount that may be withdrawn during the first year of a recession to half of the fund's balance, ensuring that the state does not overly rely on the fund at the start of a downturn. This bill works from the same basic framework as the original January proposal, but contains several specific modifications. The proposal changes the existing constitutional requirements of the BSA to reflect the following: Reserve Fund Deposits . This bill requires annual deposits to the reserve fund equal to the sum of: (a) 1.5% of General Fund revenues; plus, (b) an amount equal to revenues derived from tax liabilities associated with capital gains realizations if, and CONTINUED ACA 1X2 Page 4 only to the extent, such associated revenues are in excess of 8.0% of General Fund revenues, less any amount required to be transferred to the Public School System Stabilization Account, as described below. The deposits to the reserve would be made no later than October 1 of each year, beginning October 1, 2015. Deposits to the reserve fund would be made until or unless, the account balance reaches an amount equal to 10% of General Fund revenues. Deposits to the budget reserve would be subject to other provisions discussed below. Diversion for Debt Payments . For fiscal years 2015-16 until 2029-30, 50% of the revenues that would otherwise be deposited in the budget reserve must be used to pay for unfunded prior year General Fund obligations, budgetary loans to the General Fund, payable claims for mandates incurred prior to 2004-05, and unfunded liabilities of state-level pension plans. After this period, up to 50% of revenues that would otherwise be deposited in the reserve fund may be used to pay such specified obligations in lieu of being deposited. Revenues in Excess Balance Requirement . In the event the reserve fund reaches a balance equal to 10% of General Fund revenues, addition revenues that would otherwise be deposited in the reserve fund may be expended only for infrastructure costs, as defined by Section 13101 of the Government Code, including any associated deferred maintenance. Reserve Withdrawals and Deposit Suspensions . If the Governor declares a budget emergency, the Legislature may take action to suspend or reduce required deposits to the reserve fund and return and appropriate funds that have been deposited in the reserve fund. These withdrawal and suspension provisions also apply to the Public School System Stabilization Account, as defined below. No more than 50% of the reserve fund balance may be withdrawn for appropriation (unless a withdrawal occurred in the immediately prior year). A budget emergency is defined as: 1.Conditions of disaster or extreme peril, such as a natural disaster, as set forth in paragraph (2) of subdivision (c) of Section 3 of Article XIII B of the California Constitution. 2.A determination by the Governor that estimated resources are inadequate to fund General Fund expenditures equal to the highest amount of such expenditures over the most recent three CONTINUED ACA 1X2 Page 5 prior years, after accounting for cost-of-living adjustments and population growth. Proposition 98 Reserve . This bill establishes the Public School System Stabilization Account ("Proposition 98 Reserve"), funded by a transfer of that portion of tax revenues derived from capital gains realizations that are in excess of 8.0% of General Fund revenues and allocable to the Proposition 98 guarantee. Transfers would occur if the state: has met total school funding requirements as increased for enrollment growth and the higher of two cost-of-living factors; has repaid and allocated the current Proposition 98 maintenance factor amount; is in a Proposition 98 Test 1 funding level and the transfer is no more than the difference between the Test 1 and Test 2 level of funding; is not accruing Proposition 98 maintenance factor; and, has not suspended Proposition 98 in the year of the transfer. Such transfers are subject to true-up calculations and may not result in a balance in the reserve in excess of 10% of the Proposition 98 guarantee. Funds in the Proposition 98 Reserve may be used for General Fund cash-flow requirements to the extent that such use does not interfere with the purposes of the reserve. Funds would be appropriated from the Proposition 98 Reserve in circumstances when the amount required to be applied by the state for the support of K-14 education exceeds the allocation of General Fund revenues, allocated local property taxes, and other available resources. These funds could be used all at once and would be used to fund enrollment growth and cost-of-living adjustments. Funds transferred to the Proposition 98 Reserve are considered Proposition 98 revenues in the year of transfer, not the year in which such funds are appropriated from the reserve. Administrative Provisions . The measure relies on various estimation and deposit responsibilities by the Administration. These include an estimate (and notification to the Legislature) of General Fund proceeds of taxes, tax revenue derived from capital gains realizations and subsequent follow-up calculations, and schedules related to debt payments in lieu of deposits to the reserve. Because of the estimation issues related to forecasting tax revenues on capital gains realizations, the Administration would be required to make so-called "true-up" calculations in the two subsequent years CONTINUED ACA 1X2 Page 6 following the initial estimate of tax revenues derived from capital gains realizations. Over-estimation or under-estimation amounts would generate debits or credits against the reserve fund, with offsetting debits and credits to the General Fund. Fiscal Effect: Could result in a reduction in annual expenditures in initial years by the retention of funds in the budget reserve that might otherwise be expended. Potential increase in spending that would otherwise occur in years using such retained funds when available resources are insufficient to support General Fund expenditures. The Department of Finance estimates the following deposits to the proposed budget reserve: Source: Department of Finance Comments The revised budget reserve proposal addresses a number of issues that had been identified in legislative hearings and over several months of discussion. These modifications will result in improved ability of the state to restore or maintain necessary program funding, provide a more stable and predictable source of deposits for the reserve fund, and improve the budgeting process by reducing the frequency and magnitude of unanticipated required reserve deposits. The modified proposal incorporates two important changes that should allow for additional flexibility in maintaining public services. First, the bill specifically carves out 50% of deposits that would otherwise go to the budget reserve and diverts these to the payment of debt. This avoids the potential of a 'double hit' on the General Fund. Second, the bill allows for a three-year 'look-back' in determining whether a withdrawal or suspension can occur and potentially allow for a higher level of funding. This could increase the chances of 'locking-in' artificially low spending levels. The requirement to deposit 1.5% of General Fund revenues in the budget reserve moves away from the problematic concept in the original proposal that relied exclusively on "excess" capital gains revenues. While the measure provides for a supplemental deposit to the reserve of revenues derived from capital gains income in excess of 8.0% of General Fund revenues, less amounts CONTINUED ACA 1X2 Page 7 deposited to the Proposition 98 Reserve, this source is estimated to be a subordinate component of contributions to the budget reserve, as shown in the table above. This revision implicitly recognizes that revenue components other than capital gains income (bonuses, stock options, corporation taxes) are also quite volatile by incorporating these revenues in the 1.5% deposit. In addition, the reduced reliance on capital gains as a source for reserve funding-which would only be operative in robust periods of capital gains spikes-would eliminate or reduce the impact of a number of technical and fiscal issues that have been raised. Specifically, the bill would in most years: (1) lessen the effect on the budget reserve of any changes in federal (or state) tax rates or tax policy that would affect the capital gains base or the realization of these gains; (2) reduce the impact of inevitable misestimations of capital gains tax revenues, thus avoiding large capital gains true-ups and facilitating a more certain budgeting process; and (3) make the selection of the capital gains as a percent of General Fund revenues threshold less significant given the reduced importance of these revenue sources to the funding of the budget reserve. FISCAL EFFECT : Appropriation: No Fiscal Com.: Yes Local: No JA:e 5/14/14 Senate Floor Analyses SUPPORT/OPPOSITION: NONE RECEIVED **** END **** CONTINUED