BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    �



                                                                  AB 54
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          Date of Hearing:   April 23, 2013

                  ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON ELECTIONS AND REDISTRICTING
                                  Paul Fong, Chair
                   AB 54 (Gorell) - As Introduced:  January 7, 2013
           
          SUBJECT  : Elections: ballot measure.

           SUMMARY  : Moves ACA 4 of the 2009-2010 Regular Session from the  
          November 2014 statewide general election ballot to the June 2014  
          statewide primary election ballot.

           EXISTING LAW  requires ACA 4 of the 2009-2010 Regular Session to  
          be submitted to the voters at the November 2014 statewide  
          general election.

           FISCAL EFFECT  : Unknown

           COMMENTS  :   

           1)Purpose of the Bill  : According to the author:

               Originally scheduled for a public vote in June of  
               2012, SB 202 (2011) changed the date of the public  
               vote on ACA 4, delaying the vote for more than two  
               years. However, in November of 2012, the Legislative  
               Analyst's Office reported that in light of the passage  
               of Proposition 30's tax increases and a forecasted  
               economic recovery, there is "a strong likelihood that  
               the state will have budgetary surpluses" by the  
               2014-15 budget year. If the state is headed for budget  
               surplus, voters should be able to decide in June of  
               2014, if not before, how the state will forever handle  
               surplus revenue.

               The rainy day fund in ACA 4 would allocate three  
               percent of the General Fund revenues into the reserve  
               account. At the end of each year, any profits  
               exceeding the expected income for that year will also  
               be placed into the reserve. Additionally, ACA 4  
               restricts reserve fund transfer to the General Fund  
               for years in which the state experiences low revenues  
               and must not exceed half the amount of funds in the  
               reserve account.








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               A public vote on ACA 4 immediately prior to the  
               legislature's approval of a state budget in June of  
               2014 will help the legislature understand the public's  
               spending priorities. AB 54 gives the Legislature ample  
               time to decide how the state will manage future  
               budgetary surpluses by placing the rainy day  
               proposition on the ballot at an earlier election.   
               Furthermore, in January 2013, the Public Policy  
               Institute of California, released a report showing  
               that 68% of Californians and likely voters consider a  
               strict spending limit a good idea.  AB 54 provides a  
               vehicle for the People of California to convey their  
               will for the state budget as the economy recovers. 

           2)ACA 4 "Rainy Day" Fund & Previous Legislation  :  ACA 4 (Gatto  
            and Niello), Res. Chapter 174, Statutes of 2010, proposes  
            various changes to the state budget process and to the state's  
            Budget Stabilization Fund.  As with all constitutional  
            amendments, ACA 4 requires the approval of the voters to take  
            effect.  AB 1619 (Budget Committee), Chapter 732, Statutes of  
            2010, required ACA 4 to be submitted to the voters at the 2012  
            statewide presidential primary election, among other  
            provisions.

          At the time ACA 4 and AB 1619 were approved by the Legislature,  
            the 2012 statewide presidential primary election was scheduled  
            to be held in February 2012.  Subsequently, the Legislature  
            approved and the Governor signed AB 80 (Fong), Chapter 138,  
            Statutes of 2011, which moved the presidential primary  
            election to June and consolidated it with the statewide direct  
            primary, which consequently moved the scheduled vote on ACA 4  
            from February 2012 to June 2012.  Shortly thereafter, the  
            Legislature approved and the Governor signed SB 202 (Hancock),  
            Chapter 558, Statutes of 2011, which moved ACA 4 from the 2012  
            presidential primary election ballot to the November 2014  
            statewide general election ballot, among other provisions.

          This bill proposes to ask voters whether to approve ACA 4 at the  
            June 3, 2014 statewide primary election, an election that  
            takes place less than two weeks prior to the constitutional  
            deadline for the Legislature to pass a budget for the 2014-15  
            fiscal year.  If ACA 4 were approved by the voters at that  
            election, the budget adopted by the Legislature for the  
            2014-15 fiscal year would be required to comply with the  
            provisions of ACA 4, which includes new restrictions on  







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            transfers to and from the state's "rainy day" fund and new  
            restrictions on the use of "unanticipated revenues," as  
            defined.  As a result, at the time that the Legislature is  
            making crucial decisions about the budget for the 2014-15  
            fiscal year, the constitutional requirements that govern those  
            decisions will be unclear.  Even after the June 2014 statewide  
            primary election is conducted, there could be uncertainty over  
            whether the requirements of ACA 4 applied to the budget for  
            the 2014-15 fiscal year if the vote on that constitutional  
            amendment was close, and the final result could not be  
            determined until provisional ballots were processed weeks  
            after the election.  In light of these circumstances, it is  
            unclear how the Legislature would prepare to adopt a budget if  
            this bill were enacted.

          By contrast, when ACA 4 originally was scheduled to appear on  
            the presidential primary election ballot in 2012, there was  
            less potential for disruption of that year's budget process,  
            since the more substantive requirements of ACA 4 would not  
            impact the budget until the 2013-14 fiscal year.

           3)Primary vs. General Election Participation  :  As noted above,  
            SB 202 (Hancock) of the 2011-12 session moved the vote on ACA  
            4 from the 2012 presidential primary election to the 2014  
            statewide general election.  In addition, SB 202 provided that  
            state initiative measures-that is, measures that qualified to  
            appear on the ballot by virtue of a petition signed by a  
            specified number of registered voters-would appear on the  
            ballot only at statewide general elections and statewide  
            special elections.  Part of the rationale for SB 202 is that  
            its passage would allow state ballot measures to be decided at  
            higher turnout elections, when the voters participating in the  
            election would more accurately represent the needs,  
            priorities, and desires of the population at large.

          If this bill were enacted, and the vote on ACA 4 were moved from  
            the November 2014 general election to the June 2014 primary  
            election, it appears likely that one consequence of that  
            change would be to significantly reduce the number of voters  
            who cast a ballot on this proposed budgetary change.  In the  
            last 20 years, the turnout at gubernatorial general elections  
            has been 11 to 20 percent higher than in the corresponding  
            gubernatorial primary elections. 

           REGISTERED SUPPORT / OPPOSITION  :   







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           Support 
           
          None on file.

           Opposition 
           
          None on file.
           
          Analysis Prepared by  :    Ethan Jones / E. & R. / (916) 319-2094