BILL ANALYSIS Ó 1 SENATE ENERGY, UTILITIES AND COMMUNICATIONS COMMITTEE ALEX PADILLA, CHAIR AB 1257 - Bocanegra Hearing Date: July 2, 2013 A As Amended: June 25, 2013 FISCAL B 1 2 5 7 DESCRIPTION Current law requires the California Energy Commission (CEC) to conduct assessments and forecasts of all aspects of energy industry supply, production, transportation, delivery and distribution, demand, and prices. The CEC uses these assessments and forecasts to develop energy policies that conserve resources, protect the environment, ensure energy reliability, enhance the state's economy, and protect public health and safety. The CEC is required to adopt and publish a comprehensive assessment of energy markets, trends, forecasts, and impacts on the public and the environment every two years in the Integrated Energy Policy Report (IEPR). (PRC §§25301-25302) Current law requires the CEC to develop and adopt a state plan to increase the use of alternative transportation fuels, including natural gas. (HSC §43866) This bill directs the CEC to conduct an analysis every four years of natural gas use and consider its potential in regards to various aspects of the energy industry and including an analysis of economic and environmental costs and impacts. The report will identify both near- and long-term policy strategies to maximize the benefits of natural gas. BACKGROUND A study by Massachusetts Institute of Technology from June 2011 examined the natural gas market in the U.S.<1> Unlike other fossil fuels, natural gas plays a significant role in most sectors of the modern economy, including power generation, industrial, commercial, and residential. The report found that natural gas can play a significant role in supporting efforts to reduce greenhouse gasses nation-wide. This conclusion should be modified slightly for the case of California, because as explained below, California has a different power mix and energy use profile from the U.S. as a whole. CEC Assessments - The CEC conducts regular assessments of energy markets and issues, including natural gas, which are adopted and published every two years as part of the IEPR. In May 2012, the CEC published a supplemental report specifically on natural gas market trends<2> in which it examined trends related to natural gas supply, pricing, demand, and infrastructure. Supply has increased in recent years, driving prices lower. Natural gas production in the lower 48 United States has increased from 50 billion cubic feet per day in 2005 to 63 billion cubic feet per day in 2011, as production has shifted from conventional sandstone basins to shale and tight sandstone formations. The monthly spot-price for natural gas increased by an average of 29 percent per year between 2000 and 2008. However, from January 2009 to April 2012, spot prices decreased at an average annual rate of 19 percent. Demand, however, has remained relatively constant over the last 10 years. Demand in the commercial sector increased, while decreasing in the industrial sector. There is also an emerging issue in California related to natural gas demand in the transportation sector. Natural gas continues to be a major contributor to electricity generation, but varies from year to year depending on the availability of hydroelectric resources and weather. Natural Gas Electric Generation - Natural gas has significant benefits over coal in terms of its emissions profile when combusted. While coal combustion releases large amounts of black carbon (ash), particulate matter, and other toxins into the atmosphere, natural gas is primarily composed of methane. --------------------------- <1> The Future of Natural Gas: An Interdisciplinary MIT Study. June, 2011. <2> 2012 Natural Gas Market Trends, CEC-200-2012-004 Natural gas produces far fewer pollutants than coal when burned. California has largely removed coal from its generation portfolio. Current law prohibits long term contracts for power from plants with emissions profiles worse than combined cycle natural gas power plants (PUC §§8340-8341). This statute effectively prohibits future contracts with coal plants. The CEC reports that in 2011, coal made up 8.2% of the California power mix, while natural gas contributed 35.6%. The Renewables Portfolio Standard is also having a significant impact on natural gas powered electric generation. Major renewable sources (e.g., wind, solar) are intermittent in nature, and the power output depends on season, weather, and time of day. Modern natural gas plants have quick start times, and can be ready to deliver power in as little as 15 minutes. This makes them an attractive resource to balance the needs of renewables as they come online. Additionally, the recent closure of the San Onofre Nuclear Generation Station leaves a 2200 megawatt deficit in power capacity. While some of this power deficit may be filled by renewable energy, quick-start natural gas plants are another option for providing baseload generation in the region. COMMENTS 1. Author's Intent . The author argues that natural gas holds a great deal of potential for use in multiple sectors and that the current IEPR from the CEC does not sufficiently consider this potential. The author notes that California lacks a long-term strategy to maximize the benefits of natural gas as part of its portfolio of energy sources in a low-carbon future. As a result, no agency is pursuing a clear set of actions to optimize those benefits, and state agencies are not collaborating to ensure consistency on a natural gas policy. 2. Cleaner than coal, not exactly spotless . It is important to reiterate that natural gas is not a renewable resource. It is still a fossil fuel, and using it as a power source emits greenhouse gasses to the atmosphere, a significant cause of global climate change. This bill proposes to study the best uses of natural gas as a compliment to other resources within California, and to develop a policy to inform the state-wide usage of natural gas. As part of this study, the CEC is directed to consider the environmental and economic impacts of natural gas use using a lifecycle perspective. Thus, the CEC should consider natural gas production methods, including hydraulic fracturing, distribution methods, and greenhouse gas emissions of natural gas combustion and their effects on the environment and economy. ASSEMBLY VOTES Assembly Floor (77-0) Assembly Appropriations Committee (17-0) Assembly Natural Resources Committee (9-0) POSITIONS Sponsor: Author Support: American Handforge American Lung Association, California Antelope Valley Board of Trade Association of California Cities, Orange County Breathe California Breathe California of Los Angeles County California Asian Pacific Chamber of Commerce California Chamber of Commerce California Contract Cities Association California Die Casting California Manufacturers & Technology Association California Municipal Utilities Association California Natural Gas Vehicle Coalition Calpine CALSTART City of Beaumont City of Murrieta Coachella Valley Association of Governments Coachella Valley Economic Partnership Congress of California Seniors David Couch, 4th District Kern County Supervisor Economic Development Collaborative-Ventura County Support: (Cont.) Environmental Defense Fund Fontana Wood Preserving Inc Foothill Transit Glendale Chamber of Commerce Industry Manufacturers Council Inland Empire Economic Partnership John C. Zaragoza, 5th District Ventura County Supervisor Kern Economic Development Corporation Kings County Economic Development Corporation Latin Business Association Los Angeles Conservation Corps Los Angeles County Business Federation Miguel A. Pulido, City of Santa Ana Mayor Millennium Biltmore Hotel, Los Angeles Mojave Desert Air Quality Management District Mothers of East Los Angeles Natural Resources Defense Council Orange County Business Council Orange County Hispanic Chamber of Commerce San Diego Gas & Electric Company San Gabriel Valley Economic Partnership San Gabriel Valley Regional Chamber San Joaquin Valley Air Pollution Control District Santa Barbara Technology and Industry Association Southeast Community Development Corporation Southern California Gas Company Southern California Minority Supplier Development Council Southern California Public Power Authority Southwest Gas Corporation The Valley Economic Alliance United Chambers of Commerce Waste Management Western States Petroleum Association Zack Scrivner, 2nd District Kern County Supervisor Oppose: Sierra Club California Kyle Hiner AB 1257 Analysis Hearing Date: July 2, 2013