BILL ANALYSIS Ó ----------------------------------------------------------------- |SENATE RULES COMMITTEE | AB 1257| |Office of Senate Floor Analyses | | |1020 N Street, Suite 524 | | |(916) 651-1520 Fax: (916) | | |327-4478 | | ----------------------------------------------------------------- THIRD READING Bill No: AB 1257 Author: Bocanegra (D) Amended: 6/25/13 in Senate Vote: 21 SENATE ENERGY, UTIL. & COMMUNIC. COMMITTEE : 8-0, 7/2/13 AYES: Fuller, Corbett, De León, DeSaulnier, Hill, Knight, Pavley, Wolk NO VOTE RECORDED: Padilla, Cannella, Wright SENATE APPROPRIATIONS COMMITTEE : 7-0, 8/30/13 AYES: De León, Walters, Gaines, Hill, Lara, Padilla, Steinberg ASSEMBLY FLOOR : 77-0, 5/29/13 - See last page for vote SUBJECT : Energy: State Energy Resources Conservation and Development Commission: natural gas SOURCE : Author DIGEST : This bill requires the California Energy Commission (CEC) to prepare a report on or before January 1, 2015, and every four years thereafter, regarding natural gas, as specified. ANALYSIS : Existing law: 1. Requires CEC to conduct assessments and forecasts of all CONTINUED AB 1257 Page 2 aspects of energy industry supply, production, transportation, delivery and distribution, demand, and prices. The CEC uses these assessments and forecasts to develop energy policies that conserve resources, protect the environment, ensure energy reliability, enhance the state's economy, and protect public health and safety. The CEC is required to adopt and publish a comprehensive assessment of energy markets, trends, forecasts, and impacts on the public and the environment every two years in the Integrated Energy Policy Report (IEPR). 2. Requires the CEC to develop and adopt a state plan to increase the use of alternative transportation fuels, including natural gas. This bill: 1. Requires CEC, on or before January 1, 2015 and every four years after, prepare and submit a report to the Legislature on natural gas use and its potential in regards to various aspects of the energy industry including an analysis of economic and environmental costs and impacts. 2. Requires the report to identify both near- and long-term policy strategies to maximize the benefits of natural gas. Background A study by Massachusetts Institute of Technology from June 2011 examined the natural gas market in the United States. Unlike other fossil fuels, natural gas plays a significant role in most sectors of the modern economy, including power generation, industrial, commercial, and residential. The study found that natural gas can play a significant role in supporting efforts to reduce greenhouse gasses nation-wide. This conclusion should be modified slightly for the case of California, because as explained below, California has a different power mix and energy use profile from the U.S. as a whole. CEC assessments . The CEC conducts regular assessments of energy markets and issues, including natural gas, which are adopted and published every two years as part of the IEPR. In May 2012, the CEC published a supplemental report specifically on natural gas market trends in which it examined trends related to natural CONTINUED AB 1257 Page 3 gas supply, pricing, demand, and infrastructure. Supply has increased in recent years, driving prices lower. Natural gas production in the lower 48 United States has increased from 50 billion cubic feet per day in 2005 to 63 billion cubic feet per day in 2011, as production has shifted from conventional sandstone basins to shale and tight sandstone formations. The monthly spot-price for natural gas increased by an average of 29% per year between 2000 and 2008. However, from January 2009 to April 2012, spot prices decreased at an average annual rate of 19%. Demand, however, has remained relatively constant over the last 10 years. Demand in the commercial sector increased, while decreasing in the industrial sector. There is also an emerging issue in California related to natural gas demand in the transportation sector. Natural gas continues to be a major contributor to electricity generation, but varies from year to year depending on the availability of hydroelectric resources and weather. Natural gas electric generation . Natural gas has significant benefits over coal in terms of its emissions profile when combusted. While coal combustion releases large amounts of black carbon (ash), particulate matter, and other toxins into the atmosphere, natural gas is primarily composed of methane. Natural gas produces far fewer pollutants than coal when burned. California has largely removed coal from its generation portfolio. Existing law prohibits long term contracts for power from plants with emissions profiles worse than combined cycle natural gas power plants. This statute effectively prohibits future contracts with coal plants. The CEC reports that in 2011, coal made up 8.2% of the California power mix, while natural gas contributed 35.6%. The Renewables Portfolio Standard is also having a significant impact on natural gas powered electric generation. Major renewable sources (e.g., wind, solar) are intermittent in nature, and the power output depends on season, weather, and time of day. Modern natural gas plants have quick start times, and can be ready to deliver power in as little as 15 minutes. T his makes them an attractive resource to balance the needs of renewables as they come online. Additionally, the recent closure of the San Onofre Nuclear Generation Station leaves a CONTINUED AB 1257 Page 4 2200 megawatt deficit in power capacity. While some of this power deficit may be filled by renewable energy, quick-start natural gas plants are another option for providing baseload generation in the region. FISCAL EFFECT : Appropriation: No Fiscal Com.: Yes Local: No According to the Senate Appropriations Committee, on-going costs of at least $140,000 from the Energy Resources Programs Account (General) for developing the information required in a quadrennial report. SUPPORT : (Verified 8/30/13) American Handforge American Lung Association, California Antelope Valley Board of Trade Association of California Cities, Orange County Breathe California Breathe California of Los Angeles County California Asian Pacific Chamber of Commerce California Chamber of Commerce California Contract Cities Association California Die Casting California Manufacturers & Technology Association California Municipal Utilities Association California Natural Gas Vehicle Coalition Calpine CALSTART Cities of Beaumont and Murrieta Coachella Valley Association of Governments Coachella Valley Economic Partnership Congress of California Seniors David Couch, 4th District Kern County Supervisor Economic Development Collaborative-Ventura County Environmental Defense Fund Fontana Wood Preserving Inc Foothill Transit Glendale Chamber of Commerce Industry Manufacturers Council Inland Empire Economic Partnership John C. Zaragoza, 5th District Ventura County Supervisor Kern Economic Development Corporation CONTINUED AB 1257 Page 5 Kings County Economic Development Corporation Latin Business Association Los Angeles Conservation Corps Los Angeles County Business Federation Miguel A. Pulido, City of Santa Ana Mayor Millennium Biltmore Hotel, Los Angeles Mojave Desert Air Quality Management District Mothers of East Los Angeles Natural Resources Defense Council Orange County Business Council Orange County Hispanic Chamber of Commerce San Diego Gas and Electric Company San Gabriel Valley Economic Partnership San Gabriel Valley Regional Chamber San Joaquin Valley Air Pollution Control District Santa Barbara Technology and Industry Association Southeast Community Development Corporation Southern California Gas Company Southern California Minority Supplier Development Council Southern California Public Power Authority Southwest Gas Corporation The Valley Economic Alliance United Chambers of Commerce Waste Management Western States Petroleum Association Zack Scrivner, 2nd District Kern County Supervisor OPPOSITION : (Verified 8/30/13) Sierra Club California ASSEMBLY FLOOR : 77-0, 5/29/13 AYES: Achadjian, Alejo, Allen, Ammiano, Atkins, Bigelow, Bloom, Blumenfield, Bocanegra, Bonilla, Bonta, Bradford, Brown, Buchanan, Ian Calderon, Campos, Chau, Chávez, Chesbro, Conway, Cooley, Dahle, Daly, Dickinson, Donnelly, Eggman, Fong, Fox, Frazier, Beth Gaines, Garcia, Gatto, Gomez, Gonzalez, Gordon, Gorell, Gray, Grove, Hagman, Hall, Harkey, Roger Hernández, Jones, Jones-Sawyer, Levine, Linder, Logue, Lowenthal, Maienschein, Mansoor, Medina, Melendez, Mitchell, Morrell, Mullin, Muratsuchi, Nazarian, Nestande, Olsen, Pan, Patterson, Perea, V. Manuel Pérez, Quirk, Quirk-Silva, Rendon, Salas, Stone, Ting, Wagner, Waldron, Weber, Wieckowski, Wilk, Williams, Yamada, John A. Pérez CONTINUED AB 1257 Page 6 NO VOTE RECORDED: Holden, Skinner, Vacancy JG:k 8/31/13 Senate Floor Analyses SUPPORT/OPPOSITION: SEE ABOVE **** END **** CONTINUED