BILL ANALYSIS Ó SB 135 Page 1 SENATE THIRD READING SB 135 (Padilla) As Amended September 6, 2013 Majority vote SENATE VOTE : 39-0 GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATION 15-0 APPROPRIATIONS 17-0 ----------------------------------------------------------------- |Ayes:|Hall, Nestande, Bigelow, |Ayes:|Gatto, Harkey, Bigelow, | | |Campos, Chesbro, Cooley, | |Bocanegra, Bradford, Ian | | |Gray, Hagman, Roger | |Calderon, Campos, | | |Hernández, Jones-Sawyer, | |Donnelly, Eggman, Gomez, | | |Levine, Medina, V. Manuel | |Hall, Holden, Linder, | | |Pérez, Salas, Waldron | |Pan, Quirk, Wagner, Weber | |-----+--------------------------+-----+--------------------------| | | | | | ----------------------------------------------------------------- SUMMARY : Requires the Office of Emergency Services (OES), in collaboration with various entities, to develop a comprehensive statewide earthquake early warning system in California. Specifically, this bill : 1)Requires OES, in collaboration with the California Institute of Technology (Caltech), the California Geological Survey, the University of California, the United States Geological Survey, the Alfred E. Alquist Seismic Safety Commission and other stakeholders, to develop a comprehensive statewide earthquake early warning system in California through a public-private partnership, which shall include: a) Installation of field sensors. b) Improvement of field telemetry. c) Construction and testing of central processing and notification centers. d) Establishment of warning notification distribution paths to the public. e) Integration of earthquake early warning education with general earthquake preparedness efforts. SB 135 Page 2 2)Requires OES, in consultation with stakeholders to develop an approval mechanism to review compliance with earthquake early warning standards as they are developed. 3)Requires that the development of the approval mechanism shall include input from a broad representation of earthquake early warning stakeholders. The approval mechanism shall accomplish all of the following: a) Ensure the standards are appropriate. b) Determine the degree to which the standards apply to providers and components of the system. c) Determine methods to ensure compliance with the standards. d) Determine requirements for participation in the system. 4)Requires OES to identify funding for the system through single or multiple sources of revenue that shall be limited to federal funds, funds from revenue bonds, local funds, and private grants. 5)Specifies that OES shall not identify as a funding source any state funds or expend state funds for the purpose of establishing the statewide earthquake early warning system. 6)Specifies that the earthquake early warning system shall not become operative until OES identifies funding for the system. 7)Specifies that if funding is not identified by January 1, 2016, the provisions of this bill shall be repealed. 8)Requires OES to file with the Secretary of State its determination that funding was not identified by January 1, 2016. 9)Makes various legislative findings. FISCAL EFFECT : According to the Assembly Appropriations Committee: 1)The development of an early warning system could cost up to $100 million over approximately five years. SB 135 Page 3 2)On-going workload costs to maintain and oversee the system are unknown but could exceed $15 million per year. 3)This bill requires OES to identify funding for the system and prohibits the use of General Fund or any other state fund source. COMMENTS : Purpose of the bill : According to the author, while earthquakes cannot be predicted or prevented, using advanced science and technology we can detect seismic activity to provide an advanced warning, save lives and help mitigate damage. The author further states, that the objective of earthquake early warning is to rapidly detect the initiation of an earthquake, estimate the level of ground shaking to be expected, and issue a warning before significant ground shaking begins. The warnings allow people to take cover, assist loved ones, pull to the side of the road or exit a building. Earthquake early warning systems not only alert the public, they also speed the response of police, fire and other safety personnel by quickly identifying areas hardest hit by the quake. Background : California is a hotbed for earthquake activity. Ninety percent of the world's earthquakes and over 80% of the world's largest earthquakes occur along the Circum-Pacific Belt, also known as the Pacific Ring of Fire for its ever present earthquake activity. The Pacific Rim of fire includes the very active San Andreas fault zone in California. Predictions from the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast released in 2008 found that there is a 99.7% likelihood of a magnitude 6.7 earthquake and a 94% chance of a 7.0 magnitude earthquake in California within the next 30 years. In January 2013, the California Institute of Technology and the Japan Agency for Marine Earth Science and Technology published a study concluding for the first time that a statewide California earthquake involving both the Los Angeles and San Francisco metropolitan areas may be possible. While earthquakes cannot be predicted or prevented, using advanced science and technology has in the past detected seismic SB 135 Page 4 activity and provided advanced warning. The objective of earthquake early warning is to rapidly detect the initiation of an earthquake, estimate the level of ground shaking to be expected, issue a warning before significant ground shaking begins, and estimate the location and the magnitude of the earthquake. This is then used to estimate the anticipated ground shaking across the region to be effected. The system would effectively detect the strength and progression of earthquakes, alert the public within seconds and provide up to 60 seconds advanced warning. Earthquake Early Warning Systems : When an earthquake occurs seismic waves radiate from the epicenter like waves on a pond - it is these waves we feel as earthquake shaking which causes damage to structures. The technology exists to detect moderate to large earthquakes so quickly that a warning can be sent to locations outside the area where the earthquake begins before these destructive waves arrive. The amount of warning time at a particular location depends on the distance from the earthquake epicenter. Locations very close to the earthquake epicenter will receive relatively little or no warning whereas locations far removed from the earthquake epicenter would receive more warning time but may not experience damaging shaking. For those locations in between, the warning time could range from seconds to minutes. The network approach utilizes many seismic sensors that are distributed across a wide area where earthquakes are likely to occur. This network of sensors sends data to a central site where ground motion signals are analyzed, earthquakes are detected and warnings are issued. The network approach is considered to be slower, but more reliable than the on-site approach. This is because it uses information from many stations to confirm that the ground motion detected is actually from an earthquake and not from some other source of vibration. Analysis Prepared by : Felipe Lopez / G. O. / (916) 319-2531 FN: 0002575 SB 135 Page 5