BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    �          1





                SENATE ENERGY, UTILITIES AND COMMUNICATIONS COMMITTEE
                                 ALEX PADILLA, CHAIR
          

          SB 448 -  Leno                Hearing Date:  April 16, 2013       
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          As Amended:         April 1, 2013            FISCAL       B
                                                                        
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                                      DESCRIPTION
           
           Current law  mandates the California Energy Commission (CEC) to  
          monitor gasoline pricing throughout the state and report on  
          price volatility under the Petroleum Industry Information  
          Reporting Act of 1980. (PRC ��25350-25366)

           Federal law  prohibits market manipulation of crude oil gasoline,  
          petroleum, or natural gas. (42 U.S.C. �17301; 15 U.S.C. �717c-1)

           This bill  establishes the Office of Price Investigation and  
          Manipulation Prevention (Office) within the CEC. The main duties  
          of this office would be to define concepts of market  
          manipulation, obtain data relevant to fuel markets, to perform  
          an analysis of those data addressing any suspected market  
          manipulation, and report to the Legislature recommendations to  
          limit price volatility. The establishment of the Office would be  
          contingent on funding from royalty payments from oil and gas  
          leases.

                                      BACKGROUND
           
          May and October 2012 Fuel Price Spikes - Recent spikes in  
          gasoline and diesel prices have renewed concerns regarding  
          potential market manipulation by gas companies. In 2012, two  
          gasoline price spikes were blamed in media reports on oil  
          refinery issues that occurred prior to the spikes. The BP Cherry  
          Point refinery had a fire on February 17, 2012. Subsequently, in  
          May 2012, gasoline prices rose by about 15 cents per gallon.  
          Another refinery fire, this time at the Chevron Richmond  
          facility occurred on August 6, 2012. It, along with an  











          electrical outage at Exxon's Torrance refinery on October 1  
          2012, was reportedly linked to a 50 cent per gallon price spike  
          in October 2012. The October spike sent gas prices to near  
          record levels. To alleviate costs, Governor Brown issued an  
          order allowing the winter-blend gasoline to be sold early in the  
          state. 

          Select Committee Hearing - On November 15, 2012, the author held  
          an informational hearing under the Select Committee on Bay Area  
          Transportation which discussed California oil refineries,  
          gasoline supply, market power, and gas price volatility. At the  
          hearing, testimony was heard from the CEC, the Western States  
          Petroleum Association, Severin Borenstein (Director of UC Energy  
          Institute), and Robert McCullough (McCullough Research). 

          A report by the UC Energy Institute from 2004 examined fuel  
          price volatility and market power.<1> The report examined the  
          importation, refinement, and storage of fuel and the potential  
          for firms to exercise market power. Results of the study showed  
          that the exercise of market power could be used to explain price  
          volatility, but that volatility was also consistent with  
          competitive markets. The report highlighted the difficulty in  
          determining if fluctuations in the market are a result of  
          competitive forces or market manipulation.

          Another report by McCullough Research showed that the price  
          spikes occurred while crude oil prices were declining, and  
          inventories were increasing.<2> This report raised suspicions  
          about market manipulation by oil companies. Figure 1 shows the  
          trends of crude oil price per barrel (left axis) and price per  
          gallon of gasoline (right axis) in California, Oregon, and  
          Washington from February through November, 2012. The report  
          argues that the price spikes were not likely a result of oil  
          refinery fires that had occurred prior to the spikes.



          Figure 1: The costs of gasoline and crude oil from February  
          through November, 2012. Figure reproduced from McCullough  
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          <1> Market Power in California's Gasoline Market, Borenstein,  
          Bushnell, and Lewis, 2004, UC  Energy Institute,  
          http://www.ucei.berkeley.edu/
          <2> May and October 2012 Gasoline Price Skies on the West Coast,  
          McCullough Research, http://www.mresearch.com/reports.html









          Research Report and available at GasBuddy.com


          In response to the hearing and the McCullough report, six US  
          Senators, including CA Senators Boxer and Feinstein issued a  
          letter to U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder requesting an  
          investigation into possible market manipulation by gas  
          companies.

          Diversification of Fuel Markets - California has a comprehensive  
          program under AB 32 to reduce greenhouse-gasses (GHG)  
          implemented by the Air Resources Board. Included in these  
          mechanisms is the low-carbon fuel standard (LCFS), which  
          requires that the carbon intensity of the transportation fuels  
          in California be reduced incrementally to meet the 2020 target.  
          Regulated parties can earn fuel credits by diversifying  
          transportation fuels to include low carbon alternatives to  
          gasoline such as natural gas, biofuels, electricity, and  
          hydrogen fuel cells. 

          In 2015, transportation fuel distributors will be required to  
          participate in the Air Resources Board Cap and Trade program. By  
          further putting a price on carbon emission, market forces will  
          pressure gasoline and diesel to become more expensive. Thus,  
          this constitutes a further pressure to diversify transportation  
          fuels.

          Federal Regulation - The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) monitors  
          and regulates oil and gas industry companies. Mergers of  
          companies are scrutinized in the context of market  
          concentration, overall composition of the market, and  
          distribution of market shares of competing firms. The FTC  
          intervened in seven cases of mergers that directly affected  
          markets in California since 1981. 

          The FTC also polices non-merger anticompetitive activities. For  
          example, in 2003, the FTC filed complaint against Union Oil  
          Company of California that claimed the company falsely  
          represented that its research into low emissions reformulated  
          gasoline was publicly available while simultaneously applying  
          for a patent that would charge royalties if the California Air  
          Resources Board used its emissions information. 

                                       COMMENTS










           
              1.   Author's Intent.  According to the author this bill is  
               aimed at ensuring all Californians are not paying more at  
               the pump because of illegal price manipulation, and further  
               aims to ensure the state is on a longer term path to  
               decreased gas prices. The author argues that federal  
               statutes that are intended to prevent market manipulation  
               are insufficient, because they do not have regulatory  
               standards or methodologies by which to judge the acts,  
               practices, or courses of business, including whether  
               concentration of market power or price setting constitutes  
               an illegal practice. The Office established by this bill  
               would address these inadequacies. 

              2.   A Permanent Office.  The CEC is mandated to conduct much  
               of the analysis that is proposed in this bill. Under the  
               Petroleum Industry Information Reporting Act of 1980, the  
               CEC currently collects data on oil refinement, fuel  
               production and storage, and prices throughout the state.  
               The CEC then is required to analyze and interpret the data  
               in order to identify the cause of petroleum supply  
               shortages and significant changes in gasoline prices. The  
               CEC submits a report of its findings to the Governor and  
               Legislature with specified frequency. It appears the main  
               intent of this bill is already satisfied within the bounds  
               of current law.

               One difference is that the proposed Office would attempt to  
               define and investigate "market manipulation" explicitly.  
               The committee may wish to consider amendments that would  
               strike the establishment of the separate Office and  
               incorporate the bill's call to define and investigate  
               market manipulation within the existing scope of statute. 

               As proposed the Office would be permanent within the CEC,  
               which implies the Office will conduct this research on an  
               ongoing basis. The committee may wish to include a sunset  
               clause to perform a review of the efficacy of the Office  
               and its research findings before establishing it  
               permanently. 

               The bill does not establish a frequency for the proposed  
               reports to the Legislature. If the intent is to monitor the  
               fuel markets on an ongoing basis, then it should be  










               clarified how frequently the reports should be made to the  
               Legislature. Currently, the CEC reports to the Legislature  
               with a summary, analysis, and interpretation of its data on  
               transportation fuel markets quarterly (PRC �25358). The  
               committee might consider an amendment that incorporates the  
               research findings into currently mandated reporting  
               requirements of the CEC. 

             3.   Sphere of Influence?  The intent of the author is to  
               address gasoline and diesel fuel price volatility for  
               motorists within California. However, the language of the  
               bill is not specific to gasoline or diesel except for the  
               reporting of strategies to reduce overall demand of such.  
               This leaves an open question of whether the Office is  
               required to investigate other fuel markets related to  
               airplanes, trains, and ships that do not use gasoline or  
               diesel fuel. It also does not address if the natural gas  
               market for transportation vehicles (e.g., city busses)  
               should be included in the investigation. Furthermore, it is  
               unclear whether this office will be required to monitor and  
               analyze new fuel markets as they develop in the future. The  
               committee may wish to consider an amendment that clarifies  
               which fuel markets will be subject to monitoring and  
               investigation. 

              4.   Fuel Diversification.  One of the goals of the required  
               report to the Legislature describes strategies for  
               increasing fuel diversification and reducing overall demand  
               of gasoline and diesel. However, California already has  
               strategies to encourage fuel diversification. As described  
               in the previous section these are the LCFS and Cap and  
               Trade programs. In light of the significant effort already  
               put forth in this area, it seems unnecessary to charge  
               another entity to further study the problem. The committee  
               may wish to consider an amendment that strikes these  
               requirements from the bill.
                
              5.   Prior Legislation. In 2007, SB 412 (Simitian) required  
               the CEC to evaluate "market features that may facilitate or  
               impair the functioning of California's electricity and  
               natural gas markets, such as the potential for withholding  
               capacity, exercising market power, or otherwise engaging in  
               market manipulation practices or monopolistic behavior." SB  
               412 did not pass.











              6.   Double Referral  . Should this bill be approved by the  
               committee, it will be re-referred to the Senate Committee  
               on Transportation and Housing for its consideration.

                                       POSITIONS
           
           Sponsor:
           
          Author

           

          Support:
           
          Consumer Action
          Consumer Federation of California
          Environmental Defense Fund
          Sierra Club California
          The Greenlining Institute

           Oppose:
           
          Western States Petroleum Association

          









































          Kyle Hiner 
          SB 448 Analysis
          Hearing Date:  April 16, 2013