BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó



                                                                    AB 2847


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          Date of Hearing:  May 4, 2016


                        ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS


                               Lorena Gonzalez, Chair


          AB  
          2847 (Patterson) - As Amended April 11, 2016


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          Urgency:  No  State Mandated Local Program:  NoReimbursable:  No


          SUMMARY:


          This bill adds the following two reporting elements to the  
          High-Speed Rail Authority's (HSRA's) Business Plan and Project  
          Update Report. 









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          1)Projected financing costs, if financing is proposed for a  
            segment or combination of segments.


          2)Identification of any significant changes in scope for project  
            segments identified in the previous version of each report,  
            and an explanation of adjustments in cost and schedule  
            attributable to these changes.


          FISCAL EFFECT:


          Any costs for the HSRA to incorporate the additional reporting  
          elements should be minor and absorbable.


          COMMENTS:


          1)Background. The HSRA was required to prepare a business plan  
            by March 1, 2014, and must provide a updated plan every two  
            years thereafter, that includes:

             a)   The types of services it expects to develop and a  
               chronology for construction; 
             b)   A forecast of the expected patronage, service level, and  
               operating and maintenance costs for Phase I of the system;
             c)   Alternative financing scenarios for different levels of  
               service;
             d)   Expected schedule of completing environmental review and  
               initialing and completing construction for segments of  
               Phase I;
             e)   An estimate, description, and confidence level of the  
               total anticipated federal, state, local and other funds; 
             f)   Any written agreements with public and private entities  
               to fund components of the system;
             g)   Alternative public-private development strategies for  








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               Phase I; and,
             h)   Risks associated with construction, technology,  
               financing and other aspects of the project, and the  
               Authority's strategy for managing risks.  

            In February, the authority released its Draft 2016 Business  
            Plan, which signaled a major shift in its proposed planning  
            and construction of the high-speed rail system. Rather than  
            pursue a south-oriented Initial Operating Segment (IOS) from  
            the City of Merced in the Central Valley through the Tehachapi  
            Mountains to the San Fernando Valley in Los Angeles County,  
            the Authority is now proposing a north-oriented IOS, from the  
            Central Valley to San Jose.  The Authority also updated its  
            plans, cost estimates, and schedule for the remainder of Phase  
            I (San Francisco to Los Angeles/Anaheim by 2029) and  
            eventually Phase II (Sacramento and San Diego).

          1)Purpose. In its March review of the Business Plan, the  
            Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) identified additional items  
            that could be added to the business plan to better inform the  
            Legislature and help maintain oversight of the project.  AB  
            2847 implements these recommendations. 

             a)   The LAO notes that "the information provided by HSRA  
               [High-Speed Rail Authority] in the business plan and other  
               documents can be difficult to compare over time."  
               Essentially, if the scope of project segments change from  
               one report to the next, it is impossible to make an  
               "apples-to-apples" comparison of costs and schedule, and to  
               identify any concerns or trends. This bill requires the  
               authority to identify any significant changes in scope of  
               segments described in previous reports and provide an  
               explanation of any adjustments of costs and schedule  
               attributable to the changes.

             b)   Second, AB 2847 requires the Authority to include all  
               projected finance costs, for any financing proposed for a  
               segment or combination of segments. Providing detailed  
               information about financing costs will help the Legislature  








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               understand the complete funding picture.  

          Analysis Prepared by:Chuck Nicol / APPR. / (916)  
          319-2081