BILL ANALYSIS Ó SB 7 X2 Page 1 (Without Reference to File) SENATE THIRD READING SB 7 X2 (Hernandez) As Amended March 2, 2016 Majority vote SENATE VOTE: 25-11 SUMMARY: Raises the minimum legal smoking age from 18 to 21; conforms existing law regarding the purchase, sale, and enforcement of tobacco and tobacco products to reflect the new age limit; and, clarifies that these provisions are not intended to prohibit a local standard from imposing a more restrictive legal age to purchase or possess tobacco products. Deletes existing penalties applicable when a person under 18 years of age purchases, receives, or possesses certain tobacco products. Specifies that the provisions of this bill do not apply to active duty military personnel who are 18 years of age or older, and that an identification card issued by the United States Armed Forces will be considered proof of age for this purpose. Addresses chaptering out issues with AB 6 X2 (Cooper), SB 5 X2 (Leno), and AB 8 X2 (Wood) of the current legislative session. FISCAL EFFECT: According to the Senate Appropriations SB 7 X2 Page 2 Committee: 1)Likely ongoing costs in the tens of thousands to low hundreds of thousands per year for additional survey activities at retail stores that sell tobacco products (Cigarette and Tobacco Tax Surcharge Fund). 2)Current federal law requires the state to determine the rate at which individuals under 18 years of age are able to illegally purchase tobacco products. The Department of Public Health (DPH) conducts random inspections at about 750 retail locations annually to determine a statewide average rate at which retailers are not in compliance with state and federal law. The total annual cost to conduct the current survey is $400,000. Federal law would continue to require the DPH to conduct the existing survey. In addition, it is likely that under this bill DPH would expand the existing survey, to determine the rate at which individuals between 18 and 21 years of age are able to purchase tobacco products. 3)Likely ongoing costs in the hundreds of thousands per year for enforcement actions relating to illegal sales of tobacco products to individuals between 18 and 21 years of age (General Fund (GF) or tobacco tax funds). 4)Under current law, DPH enforces the law prohibiting the sale of tobacco products to minors by conducting compliance inspections using youth decoy purchasers and following up on complaints from the public. The total annual cost for DPH's enforcement program is $1.6 million per year. 5)By raising the minimum age to purchase tobacco products, this bill is likely to substantially increase DPH's enforcement workload, at least in the early years. In order to continue SB 7 X2 Page 3 to comply with federal restrictions on the sale of tobacco to individuals under age 18, it is likely that DPH will need to keep much of its existing enforcement program in place. In addition, DPH will likely need to take separate enforcement actions against retailers who sell tobacco products to individuals between 18 and 21 years of age. Over time, it is possible that DPH will be able to combine its enforcement activities, reducing overall costs. The total additional enforcement cost is unknown at this time, but is likely to be in the hundreds of thousands per year, based on existing enforcement costs. Because the state has fully allocated the existing federal funding for this program, any additional costs will be borne by the GF, tobacco tax funds, or other fund sources. 6)Reduced total excise tax and sales tax revenues on tobacco products of $68 million per year in the near term (various funds). The Board of Equalization (BOE) projects reduced tobacco excise tax revenues of about $43 million per year (about $4 million of which would come from the GF and the remainder from special funds that support a variety of public health programs). BOE estimates reduced sales tax revenues of about $25 million per year (about $13 million coming from the GF and the remainder coming from local government sales tax revenues). This tax loss analysis assumes a reduction in tobacco use proportional to the share of the population between 18 and 21. 7)Additional future reductions in tobacco excise and sales tax, likely over $100 million per year (various funds). In the long-run, this bill will reduce tobacco tax use both by prohibiting its use among those 18 to 21 and by reducing the long-term smoking rate in the adult population, because delaying initial tobacco use reduces the likelihood of long-term use. According to the federal Institute of Medicine, raising the legal minimum age to purchase tobacco products is likely to reduce the overall long-term smoking SB 7 X2 Page 4 rate amongst adults by 12%. This is because most long-term tobacco users begin using tobacco products before age 21 and a relatively low number of long-term tobacco product users begin using such products after age 21. 8)Unknown, but significant health care cost savings to public payers (various funds). According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, estimates of annual direct health care costs related to smoking are between $130 billion and $180 billion per year, nationally. This bill is likely to reduce health care costs, by reducing tobacco use rates. If the long-term reduction in the expenditure of health care costs relating to smoking is proportional to the reduction in the use rate, total direct health care costs in the state would be reduced by as much as $2 billion per year in the long-run. A significant portion of those savings would likely accrue to public payers such as the Medi-Cal program and the California Public Employees' Retirement System. COMMENTS: According to the author, the health care impacts and cost to society of tobacco products has been widely documented and is no longer disputed. The author notes that adolescent brains are more vulnerable to nicotine addiction, and people who reach the age of 21 as non-smokers have a minimal chance of becoming a smoker. The author states that tobacco use results in increased health care costs and changing the legal age will positively influence the adoption rate of tobacco use. The author contends the legal age for tobacco is no more carved in stone than that of alcohol consumption or voting, both of which changed when society determined there was compelling evidence or need to re-examine those public policies. The author concludes the evidence and need are clear on the legal age for tobacco and now is time for us to make this change. BACKGROUND. SB 7 X2 Page 5 1)Health effects of smoking. Smoking is a major cause of many deadly health problems heart disease, aneurysms, bronchitis, emphysema, and stroke. Using tobacco can damage a womans reproductive health and hurt babies. Tobacco use is linked with reduced fertility and a higher risk of miscarriage, early delivery (premature birth), and stillbirth. It is also a cause of low birth-weight in infants and has been linked to a higher risk of birth defects and sudden infant death syndrome. Smoking causes 80% of all deaths from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and causes stroke and coronary heart disease, the leading causes of death in the United States. Smokers are 30% to 40% more likely to develop type 2 diabetes than nonsmokers, and people with diabetes who smoke are more likely than nonsmokers to have trouble with insulin dosing and with controlling their disease. Smoking causes more than 480,000 deaths each year in the Unites States, or about one in five deaths. The average annual smoking-attributable mortality rate in California for the years 2000-04 was 235 per 100,000. The range across states is 138.3 per 100,000 to 370.6 per 100,000. California ranks sixth lowest per capita among all 50 states in deaths attributed to smoking. If nobody smoked, one of every three cancer deaths in the United States would not happen. 2)Smoking and youth. California monitors smoking rates among high school students using the California Student Tobacco Survey (CSTS). The 2012 survey showed the percentage of California high school students who reported smoking a cigarette within the previous 30 days was 10.5%, or 297,000 students. Smoking among high school students in California is declining consistently and is lower than for the rest of the SB 7 X2 Page 6 United States. Student smoking rates declined 51% from 2000 to 2012; however, there are substantial differences in student smoking prevalence when examined by race or ethnicity. While rates declined for non-Hispanic whites, Hispanics, and Asian/Pacific Islanders, the rate for African-Americans increased by 15.9% over this same time period. 3)Youth use of electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes). According to the January 2015 State Health Officer's report on e-cigarettes, "A Community Health Threat," e-cigarette use is rising rapidly. In California, use among young adults ages 18 to 29 tripled in one year. The report notes that while the long-term health impact resulting from use of this product is presently unknown, it is known that e-cigarettes emit at least 10 chemicals that are found on California's Proposition 65 list of chemicals known to cause cancer, birth defects, or other reproductive harm. A study published July 27, 2015, in the Journal of Pediatrics surveyed almost 2,100 California high school students, and found that one-quarter had tried e-cigarettes. Ten percent were currently using e-cigarettes, and those current users where much more likely than their peers to also smoke cigarettes. E-cigarettes are currently defined in California law as products designed to deliver nicotine or other substances to a user in the form of a vapor. State law also prohibits anyone from selling or furnishing an e-cigarette to anyone under the age of 18. 4)Effect of raising the minimum legal smoking age. A March 2015 Institute of Medicine (IOM) report, Public Health Implications of Raising the Minimum Age of Legal Access to Tobacco Products, examined the impacts of raising the legal minimum smoking age to 19, 21, and 25. The IOM determined that relative to status quo projected decreases, raising the age to 19 would result in a 3% additional decrease; raising the age to 21, a 12% additional decrease; and, raising the age to 25, a 15% additional decrease. The IOM concluded that the age group most impacted by raising the minimum legal age would be SB 7 X2 Page 7 15 to 17 year olds for any of the three ages studied. The IOM argued that increasing the age for tobacco purchase will result in delayed use of such products, which in turn will decrease the prevalence of users. The IOM report stated that raising the smoking age to 21 would result in 200,000 fewer premature deaths and potentially millions of years of life gained for those born between 2000 and 2019. On June 9, 2015, the Santa Clara County Board of Supervisors adopted an ordinance to raise the purchase age for tobacco and electronic smoking products from 18 to 21, effective January 1, 2016. Santa Clara County is the first California county to pass such an ordinance. Analysis Prepared by: Lara Flynn / P.H. & D.S. / (916) 319-2097 FN: 0002646