BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó



          SENATE COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS
                             Senator Ricardo Lara, Chair
                            2015 - 2016  Regular  Session

          SB 152 (Vidak) - Personal income taxes:  earned income credit
          
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          |Version: May 6, 2015            |Policy Vote: GOV. & F. 6 - 0    |
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          |Urgency: No                     |Mandate: No                     |
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          |Hearing Date: May 18, 2015      |Consultant: Robert Ingenito     |
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          This bill meets the criteria for referral to the Suspense File.




          


          Bill  
          Summary: SB 152 would create a refundable Earned Income Tax  
          Credit (EITC), upon appropriation of the Legislature, equal to  
          15 percent of the federal EITC.


          Fiscal  
          Impact: 
                 The fiscal impact depends in large part on future  
               funding decisions by the Legislature. The Franchise Tax  
               Board (FTB) estimates that, if there is no appropriation  
               made by the Legislature, this bill would reduce General  
               Fund revenues by $24 million in 2015-16, $120 million in  
               2016-17, and $120 million in 2017-18. Conversely, if the  
               Legislature does make a yearly appropriation, FTB estimates  







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               that this bill would reduce General Fund revenues by $240  
               million in 2015-16, $1.2 billion in 2016-17, and $1.2  
               billion in 2017-18.

                 Administration costs to FTB have not yet been  
               identified, but would likely be in the millions of dollars  
               annually (General Fund). 



          Background: Tax credits differ from other tax expenditures in that they  
          directly reduce income tax liability, as opposed to indirectly  
          by reducing taxable income. For instance, a one dollar credit  
          reduces tax liability by one dollar, whereas a tax deduction of  
          one dollar will reduce taxable income by one dollar, but reduces  
          tax liability by the marginal tax rate. For example, an  
          additional one dollar of deduction for a taxpayer in the 10  
          percent tax bracket reduces tax liability by 10 cents, while a  
          taxpayer in the 39.6 percent tax bracket reduces tax liability  
          by 39.6 cents.
          The federal EITC was enacted in 1975. It was originally intended  
          to be temporary in nature, to mitigate the impact of (1) the  
          Social Security payroll tax, and (2) rising food and energy  
          prices. Instead, the EITC was made permanent in 1978. The Tax  
          Reform Act of 1986 indexed both the maximum earned income and  
          phase-out income levels to inflation. The EITC differs from most  
          other tax credits in that it is partially or fully refundable. A  
          taxpayer with $100 in tax liability and $200 in a refundable tax  
          credit would receive a tax refund of $100.


          The EITC is considered both (1) an anti-poverty program and (2)  
          an alternative to cash-transfer programs because it incentivizes  
          work. The EITC is work-oriented in that the amount of the credit  
          is based on earnings. The amount of the credit (which varies  
          depending on the number of qualifying children in addition to  
          earned income) initially rises as earnings increase, then  
          reaches a plateau, and then falls as earnings increase further.  
          For example, for a couple with two children in 2014, the credit  
          is equal to 40 percent (the credit rate) of the first $13,700 in  
          earnings. The maximum credit of $5,460 is received by taxpayers  
          with earnings between $13,700 and $23,300. The credit phases out  
          at a rate of 21.06 percent (that is, it is reduced by 21.06  
          cents for every additional dollar of earnings) for earnings over  








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          $23,300 and is zero for taxpayers with earnings over $43,950.


          The value of the EITC has increased over time. For example, the  
          maximum credit for a worker with three children has increased  
          from $400 in 1978 (roughly $1,465 in 2014 dollars) to $6,143 in  
          2014.


          Current state law provides that individuals with income below  
          specified levels are not required to file a return, as the  
          standard deduction and personal exemption credit eliminate any  
          tax liability.  For 2013, these thresholds are $12,838 in  
          adjusted gross income for single filers, and $25,678 for married  
          individuals filing jointly.  These thresholds are increased  
          based on the number of dependents claimed and are increased  
          annually for inflation.


          Twenty-five states, the District of Columbia, and two local  
          jurisdictions (New York City and Montgomery County, Maryland)  
          currently provide the EITC in varying forms and amounts.


          Proposed Law:  
          This bill would allow a refundable tax credit, upon  
          appropriation of the Legislature, equal to 15 percent of the  
          federal EITC. The credit would be nonrefundable but could be  
          carried over in years when an appropriation is not made by the  
          Legislature.


          This bill would require FTB to adjust the phase-out percentages  
          and the maximum investment income amount for inflation, measured  
          by the Department of Industrial Relations as specified.  
          Additionally the bill would require FTB to do the following:  


                 Administer enforcement activities to address improper  
               payments.


                 Collaborate with the Employment Development Department  
               (EDD) to develop criteria for, and a process to verify,  








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               taxpayer income information using wage and withholding  
               data.


                 Establish criteria for, and a process to identify,  
               high-risk returns that may be subject to increased  
               verification procedures and suspension of payments until  
               the information is verified. 


                 Submit a yearly report to the Legislature that includes  
               information on the eligibility for the credit, use of the  
               credit, and information regarding improper payments.  


          SB 152 would take effect immediately as a tax levy and applies  
          to taxable years 2016 through 2023.




          Related  
          Legislation: 
                 SB 38 (Liu, 2015), would create a refundable EITC equal  
               to 30 or 100 percent of the federal EITC. SB 38 will be  
               heard in this Committee on May 18th 2015.


                 AB 43 (Stone, 2015), would create a refundable EITC  
               equal to 15, 35, or 60 percent of the federal EITC, as  
               specified. AB 43 is pending before the Assembly Revenue and  
               Taxation Committee.


                 SB 1189 (Liu, 2014), would have provided a nonrefundable  
               EITC equal to 15 percent of the federal EITC. SB 1189  
               failed to pass out this Committee.















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          Staff  
          Comments: The actual revenue loss associated with the bill is  
          difficult to estimate with precision. In order to claim the  
          federal EITC, a qualifying taxpayer must file a federal income  
          tax return. This is the only way to claim the credit, even for  
          those taxpayers who do not earn sufficient income to be required  
          to file. As a result, it has been estimated that in 2009, about  
          800,000 Californians (about 20 percent of those eligible) failed  
          to claim EITC refunds worth $1.2 billion. The revenue estimate  
          for this bill must incorporate assumptions regarding (1) whether  
          the introduction of the state-level EITC increases the extent to  
          which the federal EITC is claimed, and (2) the future growth of  
          wage income (and by extension the growth of the economy).  
          Greater EITC participation and a stronger wage growth would  
          increase the revenue loss associated with this bill.
          FTB notes several implementation considerations, all of which  
          would have a fiscal impact:


                 Many taxpayers eligible for the federal EITC have no  
               California income tax return filing requirement.  These  
               non-filers would be required to file a California income  
               tax return to claim the proposed state EITC, which could  
               impact the department's programs and costs.


                 Typically, refund returns are filed early in the filing  
               season.  If taxpayers claiming the California EITC file  
               late in the filing season, after they receive their federal  
               EITC, that behavior could have a major impact on the  
               processing of returns and possibly cause delays in the  
               issuance of refunds.  The taxpayer error rate on the  
               federal EITC and the fraud concerns cause the IRS to adjust  
               many returns.  Consequently, the correct federal EITC  
               amount may be unknown until after the taxpayer has filed  
               the state return, claimed the proposed California credit,  
               and received a refund.  FTB could be required to issue an  
               assessment to retrieve incorrect refunds and incur costs to  
               do so.


                 Relying on the EITC under federal law may present  
               implementation problems for Registered Domestic Partners  
               (RDPs).  RDPs are required to file California income tax  








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               returns using the rules applicable to married individuals.   
               If the author's intent is to allow EITCs for RDPs, a rule  
               should be included in the bill to address the difference  
               between federal and state law.


                 Historically, the department has had significant  
               problems with refundable credits and fraud.  These problems  
               are aggravated because if a refund is made that is later  
               determined to be fraudulent, the refund commonly cannot be  
               recovered.  Striking the refund provision from this credit  
               would substantially reduce the department's concerns  
               regarding fraud.


          Finally, the Governor's 2015-16 May Revision proposes an EITC,  
          which would provide a refundable tax credit for wage income for  
          households with income limits of $6,580 (zero dependents) up to  
          $13,870 (three or more dependents). The credit would match 85  
          percent of the federal credits up to half of the federal  
          phase-in range; and then, begin to taper off relative to these  
          maximum wage amounts. The credit would be available beginning  
          with tax returns filed for wages earned in 2015. The tax credit  
          is estimated to reduce revenues by $380 million annually  
          beginning in 2015-16, and benefit an estimated 825,000 families.  
          The estimated average household benefit is $460 per year, with a  
          maximum credit of $2,653.




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