BILL ANALYSIS Ó SB 321 Page A Date of Hearing: July 13, 2015 ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON REVENUE AND TAXATION Philip Ting, Chair SB 321 (Beall) - As Amended May 27, 2015 Majority vote. Fiscal committee. SENATE VOTE: 40-0 SUBJECT: Motor vehicle fuel taxes: rates: adjustments SUMMARY: Modifies the method by which the State Board of Equalization (BOE) annually adjusts the motor vehicle "fuel tax swap" rate to take into account a five-year average of fuel prices, thereby smoothing perceived revenue volatility. Specifically, this bill: 1)Provides, for the 2015-16 fiscal year (FY), the BOE shall, on or before July 1, 2015, adjust the motor vehicle fuel excise tax rate so as to generate revenues equal to the amount of revenue loss attributable to the partial sales and use tax (SUT) exemption provided by Revenue and Taxation Code (R&TC) Section 6357.7, based on estimates made by the BOE reflecting the combined average of the actual fuel price over the SB 321 Page B previous four FYs and the estimated fuel price for the current FY, and that rate shall be effective during the 2015-16 FY. 2)Provides, for the 2016-17 FY and each FY thereafter, the BOE shall, on or before March 1 of the FY immediately preceding the applicable FY, adjust the motor vehicle fuel excise tax rate so as to generate revenues equal to the amount of revenue loss attributable to the partial SUT exemption provided by R&TC Section 6357.7, based on estimates made by the BOE reflecting the combined average of the actual fuel price over the previous four FYs and the estimated fuel price for the current FY, and that rate shall be effective during the state's next FY. 3)Provides that if, due to clear changes in either fuel prices or consumption in California, the BOE determines that the amount of revenue being generated by the excise tax will be significantly different than the estimates made by the BOE, the BOE may adjust the rate more frequently than annually, but no more frequently than every six months in order to reduce the potential volatility of the revenues. 4)Provides legislative intent that the amendments made by this bill shall not produce a net revenue gain in state taxes. EXISTING LAW: 1)Defines "motor vehicle fuel" under the Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax (MVFT) Law as gasoline and aviation gasoline. (R&TC Section 7326.) The term does not include jet fuel, diesel fuel, kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas, natural gas in liquid or gasesous form, alcohol, or racing fuel. (Id.) SB 321 Page C 2)Imposes, under the MVFT Law, an excise tax upon each gallon of fuel. (R&TC Section 7360.) 3)Provides, on and after July 1, 2010, a partial SUT exemption for "motor vehicle fuel", as defined in R&TC Section 7326. (R&TC Section 6357.7.) 4)Provides for the annual adjustment of the MVFT excise tax rate. Specifically, for the 2011-12 FY and each FY thereafter, the BOE must adjust the rate so as to generate revenues equalling the amount of revenue loss attibutable to the partial SUT exemption for motor vehicle fuel. This calculation is made annually by March 1, based on estimates made by the BOE, and the adjusted rate applies to the immediately following FY. (R&TC Section 7360(b)(2).) 5)Provides for a "true up" process to maintain revenue neutrality. Specifically, beginning with the rate adjustment calculated on or before March 1, 2012, the adjustment must also take into account the extent to which actual revenues derived resulted in a net revenue gain or loss for the FY ending prior to the rate adjustment date. (R&TC Section 7360(b)(3)) FISCAL EFFECT: Unknown COMMENTS: 1)The author has provided the following statement in support of this bill: Current law, known as the "gas tax swap", requires the BOE SB 321 Page D to annually adjust the state gasoline excise tax rate in order to collect roughly the same amount of revenue as the state would have collected if it still charged a sales tax on gasoline. The BOE does so by forecasting gasoline prices for the year. Difficulty in forecasting gas prices inevitably results in over- or under-collecting revenue and requires future adjustments to compensate for any discrepancy. That reconciliation leads to volatility and big swings in the amount of tax collected from year to year. This volatility is bad for taxpayers who experience big swings in prices at the pump, and for state and local governments, who face uncertainty when preparing multiyear budgets. SB 321 reduces this volatility by changing the way the BOE estimates gas prices. It requires BOE to base next year's gas price estimate on an average of the previous four years' actual prices (as opposed to its current one year model). It also allows BOE to adjust the tax rate more frequently than annually in cases where extreme changes in fuel prices will clearly affect predicted versus actual revenue. 2)This bill is supported by the California Transit Association, which notes the following: This bill would help smooth the volatility of gasoline tax SB 321 Page E revenue by altering the administrative process utilized by BOE to adjust the excise tax on gasoline. Specifically, this bill would require BOE to base its projected gas price estimate on an average of the previous four years' actual prices and the estimated price for the current year; and allow BOE to adjust the excise tax rate more frequently than annually in cases where fuel prices will clearly affect projected versus actual revenue. The California Transit Association believes these improvements to the process would greatly reduce the volatility of the gasoline tax, reducing greatly impacts to cities and counties. 3)This bill is supported by the BOE, which notes the following in its staff analysis: a) Effect of the bill : "This bill is intended to reduce potential volatility of the revenues generated by the gasoline tax by specifying the forecast method for fuel prices and allowing more frequent excise tax rate adjustments." b) No administrative difficulties with the forecast provisions : "Under the current fuel tax swap rate calculation, the two main components are the forecast and the true-up. The forecast is comprised of two factors: fuel price and fuel consumption quantity. The BOE's rate adjustments are expected to be revenue neutral and any out-year adjustments are intended to maintain revenue neutrality. Since this bill provides specifics to assist with the forecast of fuel prices, and adjustments as needed, it maintains the goal of revenue neutrality. Therefore, BOE staff does not foresee administrative difficulty with the forecast portion of the fuel tax swap rate adjustments." SB 321 Page F 4)Committee Staff Comments a) The fuel tax swap : In 2010, the Legislature enacted two "fuel tax swap" measures that modified the state taxation of both gasoline and diesel fuels. [ABx8 6 (Committee on Budget), Chapter 11, Statutes of 2010 and SB 70 (Committee on Budget and Fiscal Review), Chapter 9, Statutes of 2010.] The gasoline tax changes became operative on July 1, 2010, while the diesel fuel tax changes became operative on July 1, 2011. According to the Senate Committee on Governance and Finance, the fuel tax swap was enacted partly to allow the use of additional existing transportation revenue for highway purposes, including General Obligation bond debt service, where that debt service was related to transportation projects. i) The taxation of gasoline : The "fuel tax swap" exempted gasoline from the state General Fund SUT rate. To offset the revenue loss from this partial SUT exemption, the Legislature increased the gasoline excise tax rate from $0.18 per gallon to $0.353 per gallon. ii) The taxation of diesel fuel : In contrast, the diesel fuel excise tax rate was reduced under the "fuel tax swap", from $0.18 per gallon to $0.13 per gallon. The Legislature correspondingly increased the SUT rate on diesel fuel to offset lost excise tax revenues, resulting in the following rates: (1) 1.87% effective July 1, 2011; (2) 2.17% effective July 1, 2012; SB 321 Page G (3) 1.94% effective July 1, 2013; and, (4) 1.75% effective July 1, 2014, and thereafter. b) Revenue neutrality : The "fuel tax swap" provisions require the BOE to maintain revenue neutrality so that the revenues derived from the increased gasoline excise tax and the increased SUT on diesel equals the revenues that would have been derived had the gasoline SUT partial exemption and the diesel fuel excise tax reduction, respectively, never occurred. Thus, R&TC Sections 7360 and 60050 require the BOE annually to adjust the gasoline and diesel fuel excise tax rates, respectively, either upward or downward, to maintain revenue neutrality. This calculation requires BOE staff to develop a forecast of both consumption and price for both gasoline and diesel fuel. To this end, BOE staff works closely with the Department of Finance (DOF) and adopts the DOF's consumption forecasts. The BOE notes that its annual rate calculations also take into account the statutory "true up" requirements, which specify a one-year look back period to determine the difference between what was estimated for the previous FY and what was actually collected. c) The resulting rates : Since the enactment of the fuel tax swap, the BOE has adjusted the gasoline excise tax rate to maintain the required revenue neutrality through incremental increases and decreases as follows: i) July 1, 2011 : Increase of $0.004; SB 321 Page H ii) July 1, 2012 : Increase of $0.003; iii) July 1, 2013 : Increase of $0.035; iv) July 1, 2014 : Decrease of $0.035; and, v) July 1, 2015 : Decrease of $0.060. The diesel fuel excise tax rate, in turn, has been adjusted as follows: i) July 1, 2012 : Decrease of $0.03; ii) July 1, 2013 : Retain July 1, 2012 rate; iii) July 1, 2014 : Increase of $0.01; and, iv) July 1, 2015 : Increase of $0.02. d) What would this bill do ? This bill would modify the method by which the BOE annually adjusts the motor vehicle "fuel tax swap" rate to take into account a five-year average of fuel prices, thereby smoothing perceived revenue volatility.<1> Specifically, this bill contains the following three provisions: -------------------------- <1> This bill would make no changes to the method for calculating the diesel fuel excise tax rate. SB 321 Page I i) For the 2015-16 FY, the BOE would be required, on or before July 1, 2015, to adjust the motor vehicle fuel excise tax rate so as to generate revenues equal to the amount of revenue loss attributable to the partial SUT exemption, based on estimates reflecting the combined average of the actual fuel price over the previous four FYs and the estimated fuel price for the current FY. This rate would be effective during the 2015-16 FY. ii) For the 2016-17 FY and each FY thereafter, the BOE would be required, on or before March 1 of the FY immediately preceding the applicable FY, to adjust the motor vehicle fuel excise tax rate based on estimates reflecting the same combined average of the actual fuel price over the previous four FYs and the estimated fuel price for the current FY. This rate would then apply during the state's next FY. iii) Finally, this bill provides that if, due to clear changes in either fuel prices or consumption in the state, the BOE determines that the amount of revenue being generated by the excise tax will be significantly different than the estimates made by the BOE, the BOE may adjust the rate more frequently than annually, but no more frequently than every six months in order to reduce the potential volatility of the revenues. e) Smoothing things out : Advocates of this bill contend that this bill would address the potentially "jarring" fluctuations in excise tax revenues by basing price projections on multi-year historical price data. Proponents further contend that this increased revenue stability would benefit both consumers, who pay the tax, and state and local agencies that rely on the revenues to SB 321 Page J build and maintain California's transportation infrastructure. There is evidence to suggest that this methodology would smooth out revenue fluctuations to a certain degree. For example, in the last four FYs, the actual excise tax rate has fluctuated from a low of $0.357 in FY 2011-12 to a high of $0.395 in FY 2013-14, representing a delta of $0.038 per gallon. Had the five-year smoothing methodology been employed over this same time period, the state would have experienced a high of $0.363 in FY 2014-15 and a low of $0.333 in FY 2012-13, representing a delta of $0.03 per gallon. The smoothing function of the five-year methodology comes into even starker relief when applied to the current FY. As a result of lower fuel prices, BOE staff recommended a motor vehicle fuel excise tax rate of $0.285 per gallon. The BOE members subsequently voted to increase staff's recommended excise tax rate to $0.300 effective July 1, 2015. However, had the BOE used a five-year smoothing methodology, it would have arrived at a per-gallon excise tax rate of $0.326. Thus, this bill will, at least in the short term, "artificially" prop up excise tax revenues received by the state. Of course, assuming fuel prices increase in the future, this methodology may also serve artificially to constrain revenues in the not-so-distant future. f) The proverbial ship has sailed : This bill currently requires the BOE to adjust the motor vehicle fuel excise tax rate for FY 2015-16 by July 1, 2015 using the newly prescribed methodology. Given that this bill's urgency clause was deleted with the most recent set of amendments, this bill, if enacted, will become operative on January 1, 2016. Moreover, the BOE has already set the excise tax SB 321 Page K rates for the current 2015-16 FY. Thus, the Committee may wish to consider deleting the provisions applicable to FY 2015-16, thereby applying the bill prospectively to FYs 2016-17 and beyond. g) Twice a year ? This bill would authorize the BOE to adjust the rate more frequently than annually. The Committee may wish to consider whether this authority is advisable given the inherent administrative hassle (for both retailers and the BOE) of changing the excise tax rate for fuel. h) Related legislation : SB 433 (Berryhill) would transfer responsibility for calculating the annual rate adjustments under the "fuel tax swap" from the BOE to the DOF. SB 433 (Berryhill) will be heard by this Committee today. REGISTERED SUPPORT / OPPOSITION: Support Alpine County Board of Supervisors American Public Works Association, California Chapters Associated General Contractors California Alliance for Jobs SB 321 Page L California Association of Councils of Government California State Association of Counties California State Council of Laborers California Transit Association City of Camarillo City of Glendale City of Goleta City of West Hollywood County of Contra Costa County of Mono County of Santa Cruz League of California Cities Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors SB 321 Page M Orange County Transportation Authority Organization of SMUD Employees Planning and Conservation League Rural County Representatives of California San Bernardino Public Employees Association San Diego Association of Governments San Diego County Court Employees Association San Francisco Bay Area Rapid Transit District San Joaquin Valley Regional Transportation Planning Agencies San Luis Obispo Council of Governments San Luis Obispo County Employees Association Santa Clara County Board of Supervisors Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority SB 321 Page N Self-Help Counties Coalition Transportation California United Contractors Urban Counties Caucus Opposition None on file Analysis Prepared by:M. David Ruff / REV. & TAX. / (916) 319-2098