BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó






                                                                     SB 321


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          Date of Hearing:  July 13, 2015


                     ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON REVENUE AND TAXATION


                                 Philip Ting, Chair





          SB  
          321 (Beall) - As Amended May 27, 2015


          Majority vote.  Fiscal committee.  


          SENATE VOTE:  40-0


          SUBJECT:  Motor vehicle fuel taxes:  rates:  adjustments


          SUMMARY:  Modifies the method by which the State Board of  
          Equalization (BOE) annually adjusts the motor vehicle "fuel tax  
          swap" rate to take into account a five-year average of fuel  
          prices, thereby smoothing perceived revenue volatility.   
          Specifically, this bill:  


          1)Provides, for the 2015-16 fiscal year (FY), the BOE shall, on  
            or before July 1, 2015, adjust the motor vehicle fuel excise  
            tax rate so as to generate revenues equal to the amount of  
            revenue loss attributable to the partial sales and use tax  
            (SUT) exemption provided by Revenue and Taxation Code (R&TC)  
            Section 6357.7, based on estimates made by the BOE reflecting  
            the combined average of the actual fuel price over the  











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            previous four FYs and the estimated fuel price for the current  
            FY, and that rate shall be effective during the 2015-16 FY.  


          2)Provides, for the 2016-17 FY and each FY thereafter, the BOE  
            shall, on or before March 1 of the FY immediately preceding  
            the applicable FY, adjust the motor vehicle fuel excise tax  
            rate so as to generate revenues equal to the amount of revenue  
            loss attributable to the partial SUT exemption provided by  
            R&TC Section 6357.7, based on estimates made by the BOE  
            reflecting the combined average of the actual fuel price over  
            the previous four FYs and the estimated fuel price for the  
            current FY, and that rate shall be effective during the  
            state's next FY.  


          3)Provides that if, due to clear changes in either fuel prices  
            or consumption in California, the BOE determines that the  
            amount of revenue being generated by the excise tax will be  
            significantly different than the estimates made by the BOE,  
            the BOE may adjust the rate more frequently than annually, but  
            no more frequently than every six months in order to reduce  
            the potential volatility of the revenues.  


          4)Provides legislative intent that the amendments made by this  
            bill shall not produce a net revenue gain in state taxes.  


          EXISTING LAW:   


          1)Defines "motor vehicle fuel" under the Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax  
            (MVFT) Law as gasoline and aviation gasoline.  (R&TC Section  
            7326.)  The term does not include jet fuel, diesel fuel,  
            kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas, natural gas in liquid or  
            gasesous form, alcohol, or racing fuel.  (Id.)













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          2)Imposes, under the MVFT Law, an excise tax upon each gallon of  
            fuel.  (R&TC Section 7360.)      


          3)Provides, on and after July 1, 2010, a partial SUT exemption  
            for "motor vehicle fuel", as defined in R&TC Section 7326.   
            (R&TC Section 6357.7.)  


          4)Provides for the annual adjustment of the MVFT excise tax  
            rate.  Specifically, for the 2011-12 FY and each FY  
            thereafter, the BOE must adjust the rate so as to generate  
            revenues equalling the amount of revenue loss attibutable to  
            the partial SUT exemption for motor vehicle fuel.  This  
            calculation is made annually by March 1, based on estimates  
            made by the BOE, and the adjusted rate applies to the  
            immediately following FY.  (R&TC Section 7360(b)(2).)


          5)Provides for a "true up" process to maintain revenue  
            neutrality.  Specifically, beginning with the rate adjustment  
            calculated on or before March 1, 2012, the adjustment must  
            also take into account the extent to which actual revenues  
            derived resulted in a net revenue gain or loss for the FY  
            ending prior to the rate adjustment date.  (R&TC Section  
            7360(b)(3))


          FISCAL EFFECT:  Unknown


          COMMENTS:  


          1)The author has provided the following statement in support of  
            this bill:


               Current law, known as the "gas tax swap", requires the BOE  











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               to annually adjust the state gasoline excise tax rate in  
               order to collect roughly the same amount of revenue as the  
               state would have collected if it still charged a sales tax  
               on gasoline.  The BOE does so by forecasting gasoline  
               prices for the year.  Difficulty in forecasting gas prices  
               inevitably results in over- or under-collecting revenue and  
               requires future adjustments to compensate for any  
               discrepancy.  That reconciliation leads to volatility and  
               big swings in the amount of tax collected from year to  
               year.





               This volatility is bad for taxpayers who experience big  
               swings in prices at the pump, and for state and local  
               governments, who face uncertainty when preparing multiyear  
               budgets. 





               SB 321 reduces this volatility by changing the way the BOE  
               estimates gas prices. It requires BOE to base next year's  
               gas price estimate on an average of the previous four  
               years' actual prices (as opposed to its current one year  
               model).  It also allows BOE to adjust the tax rate more  
               frequently than annually in cases where extreme changes in  
               fuel prices will clearly affect predicted versus actual  
               revenue.


          2)This bill is supported by the California Transit Association,  
            which notes the following:


               This bill would help smooth the volatility of gasoline tax  











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               revenue by altering the administrative process utilized by  
               BOE to adjust the excise tax on gasoline.  Specifically,  
               this bill would require BOE to base its projected gas price  
               estimate on an average of the previous four years' actual  
               prices and the estimated price for the current year; and  
               allow BOE to adjust the excise tax rate more frequently  
               than annually in cases where fuel prices will clearly  
               affect projected versus actual revenue.  The California  
               Transit Association believes these improvements to the  
               process would greatly reduce the volatility of the gasoline  
               tax, reducing greatly impacts to cities and counties.  


          3)This bill is supported by the BOE, which notes the following  
            in its staff analysis:


              a)   Effect of the bill  :  "This bill is intended to reduce  
               potential volatility of the revenues generated by the  
               gasoline tax by specifying the forecast method for fuel  
               prices and allowing more frequent excise tax rate  
               adjustments."  


              b)   No administrative difficulties with the forecast  
               provisions  :  "Under the current fuel tax swap rate  
               calculation, the two main components are the forecast and  
               the true-up.  The forecast is comprised of two factors:  
               fuel price and fuel consumption quantity.  The BOE's rate  
               adjustments are expected to be revenue neutral and any  
               out-year adjustments are intended to maintain revenue  
               neutrality.  Since this bill provides specifics to assist  
               with the forecast of fuel prices, and adjustments as  
               needed, it maintains the goal of revenue neutrality.   
               Therefore, BOE staff does not foresee administrative  
               difficulty with the forecast portion of the fuel tax swap  
               rate adjustments."













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          4)Committee Staff Comments 


              a)   The fuel tax swap  :  In 2010, the Legislature enacted two  
               "fuel tax swap" measures that modified the state taxation  
               of both gasoline and diesel fuels.  [ABx8 6 (Committee on  
               Budget), Chapter 11, Statutes of 2010 and SB 70 (Committee  
               on Budget and Fiscal Review), Chapter 9, Statutes of 2010.]  
                The gasoline tax changes became operative on July 1, 2010,  
               while the diesel fuel tax changes became operative on July  
               1, 2011.  According to the Senate Committee on Governance  
               and Finance, the fuel tax swap was enacted partly to allow  
               the use of additional existing transportation revenue for  
               highway purposes, including General Obligation bond debt  
               service, where that debt service was related to  
               transportation projects.  


                i)     The taxation of gasoline  :  The "fuel tax swap"  
                 exempted gasoline from the state General Fund SUT rate.   
                 To offset the revenue loss from this partial SUT  
                 exemption, the Legislature increased the gasoline excise  
                 tax rate from $0.18 per gallon to $0.353 per gallon.  


                ii)    The taxation of diesel fuel  :  In contrast, the  
                 diesel fuel excise tax rate was reduced under the "fuel  
                 tax swap", from $0.18 per gallon to $0.13 per gallon.   
                 The Legislature correspondingly increased the SUT rate on  
                 diesel fuel to offset lost excise tax revenues, resulting  
                 in the following rates:


                  (1)       1.87% effective July 1, 2011; 


                  (2)       2.17% effective July 1, 2012; 













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                  (3)       1.94% effective July 1, 2013; and, 


                  (4)       1.75% effective July 1, 2014, and thereafter.   
                      


              b)   Revenue neutrality  :  The "fuel tax swap" provisions  
               require the BOE to maintain revenue neutrality so that the  
               revenues derived from the increased gasoline excise tax and  
               the increased SUT on diesel equals the revenues that would  
               have been derived had the gasoline SUT partial exemption  
               and the diesel fuel excise tax reduction, respectively,  
               never occurred.  Thus, R&TC Sections 7360 and 60050 require  
               the BOE annually to adjust the gasoline and diesel fuel  
               excise tax rates, respectively, either upward or downward,  
               to maintain revenue neutrality.   This calculation requires  
               BOE staff to develop a forecast of both consumption and  
               price for both gasoline and diesel fuel.  To this end, BOE  
               staff works closely with the Department of Finance (DOF)  
               and adopts the DOF's consumption forecasts.  


               The BOE notes that its annual rate calculations also take  
               into account the statutory "true up" requirements, which  
               specify a one-year look back period to determine the  
               difference between what was estimated for the previous FY  
               and what was actually collected.  


              c)   The resulting rates  :  Since the enactment of the fuel  
               tax swap, the BOE has adjusted the gasoline excise tax rate  
               to maintain the required revenue neutrality through  
               incremental increases and decreases as follows:


                i)     July 1, 2011  :  Increase of $0.004; 













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                ii)    July 1, 2012  :  Increase of $0.003; 


                iii)   July 1, 2013  :  Increase of $0.035;


                iv)    July 1, 2014  :  Decrease of $0.035; and, 


                v)     July 1, 2015  :  Decrease of $0.060.


               The diesel fuel excise tax rate, in turn, has been adjusted  
               as follows:


                i)     July 1, 2012  :  Decrease of $0.03;


                ii)    July 1, 2013  :  Retain July 1, 2012 rate; 


                iii)   July 1, 2014  :  Increase of $0.01; and, 


                iv)    July 1, 2015  :  Increase of $0.02.  


              d)   What would this bill do  ?  This bill would modify the  
               method by which the BOE annually adjusts the motor vehicle  
               "fuel tax swap" rate to take into account a five-year  
               average of fuel prices, thereby smoothing perceived revenue  
               volatility.<1>  Specifically, this bill contains the  
               following three provisions:
             --------------------------


          <1>


           This bill would make no changes to the method for calculating  
          the diesel fuel excise tax rate.








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               i)     For the 2015-16 FY, the BOE would be required, on or  
                 before July 1, 2015, to adjust the motor vehicle fuel  
                 excise tax rate so as to generate revenues equal to the  
                 amount of revenue loss attributable to the partial SUT  
                 exemption, based on estimates reflecting the combined  
                 average of the actual fuel price over the previous four  
                 FYs and the estimated fuel price for the current FY.   
                 This rate would be effective during the 2015-16 FY.


               ii)    For the 2016-17 FY and each FY thereafter, the BOE  
                 would be required, on or before March 1 of the FY  
                 immediately preceding the applicable FY, to adjust the  
                 motor vehicle fuel excise tax rate based on estimates  
                 reflecting the same combined average of the actual fuel  
                 price over the previous four FYs and the estimated fuel  
                 price for the current FY.  This rate would then apply  
                 during the state's next FY.  


               iii)   Finally, this bill provides that if, due to clear  
                 changes in either fuel prices or consumption in the  
                 state, the BOE determines that the amount of revenue  
                 being generated by the excise tax will be significantly  
                 different than the estimates made by the BOE, the BOE may  
                 adjust the rate more frequently than annually, but no  
                 more frequently than every six months in order to reduce  
                 the potential volatility of the revenues.


              e)   Smoothing things out  :  Advocates of this bill contend  
               that this bill would address the potentially "jarring"  
               fluctuations in excise tax revenues by basing price  
               projections on multi-year historical price data.   
               Proponents further contend that this increased revenue  
               stability would benefit both consumers, who pay the tax,  
               and state and local agencies that rely on the revenues to  











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               build and maintain California's transportation  
               infrastructure.  


               There is evidence to suggest that this methodology would  
               smooth out revenue fluctuations to a certain degree.  For  
               example, in the last four FYs, the actual excise tax rate  
               has fluctuated from a low of $0.357 in FY 2011-12 to a high  
               of $0.395 in FY 2013-14, representing a delta of $0.038 per  
               gallon.  Had the five-year smoothing methodology been  
               employed over this same time period, the state would have  
               experienced a high of $0.363 in FY 2014-15 and a low of  
               $0.333 in FY 2012-13, representing a delta of $0.03 per  
               gallon.  


               The smoothing function of the five-year methodology comes  
               into even starker relief when applied to the current FY.   
               As a result of lower fuel prices, BOE staff recommended a  
               motor vehicle fuel excise tax rate of $0.285 per gallon.   
               The BOE members subsequently voted to increase staff's  
               recommended excise tax rate to $0.300 effective July 1,  
               2015.  However, had the BOE used a five-year smoothing  
               methodology, it would have arrived at a per-gallon excise  
               tax rate of $0.326.  Thus, this bill will, at least in the  
               short term, "artificially" prop up excise tax revenues  
               received by the state.  Of course, assuming fuel prices  
               increase in the future, this methodology may also serve  
               artificially to constrain revenues in the not-so-distant  
               future.    


              f)   The proverbial ship has sailed  :  This bill currently  
               requires the BOE to adjust the motor vehicle fuel excise  
               tax rate for FY 2015-16 by July 1, 2015 using the newly  
               prescribed methodology.  Given that this bill's urgency  
               clause was deleted with the most recent set of amendments,  
               this bill, if enacted, will become operative on January 1,  
               2016.  Moreover, the BOE has already set the excise tax  











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               rates for the current 2015-16 FY.  Thus, the Committee may  
               wish to consider deleting the provisions applicable to FY  
               2015-16, thereby applying the bill prospectively to FYs  
               2016-17 and beyond. 


              g)   Twice a year  ?  This bill would authorize the BOE to  
               adjust the rate more frequently than annually.  The  
               Committee may wish to consider whether this authority is  
               advisable given the inherent administrative hassle (for  
               both retailers and the BOE) of changing the excise tax rate  
               for fuel.  


              h)   Related legislation  :  SB 433 (Berryhill) would transfer  
               responsibility for calculating the annual rate adjustments  
               under the "fuel tax swap" from the BOE to the DOF.  SB 433  
               (Berryhill) will be heard by this Committee today.  


          REGISTERED SUPPORT / OPPOSITION:




          Support


          Alpine County Board of Supervisors


          American Public Works Association, California Chapters


          Associated General Contractors


          California Alliance for Jobs












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          California Association of Councils of Government


          California State Association of Counties


          California State Council of Laborers


          California Transit Association


          City of Camarillo


          City of Glendale


          City of Goleta


          City of West Hollywood


          County of Contra Costa


          County of Mono


          County of Santa Cruz


          League of California Cities


          Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors












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          Orange County Transportation Authority


          Organization of SMUD Employees


          Planning and Conservation League


          Rural County Representatives of California


          San Bernardino Public Employees Association


          San Diego Association of Governments


          San Diego County Court Employees Association


          San Francisco Bay Area Rapid Transit District


          San Joaquin Valley Regional Transportation Planning Agencies


          San Luis Obispo Council of Governments


          San Luis Obispo County Employees Association


          Santa Clara County Board of Supervisors


          Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority












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          Self-Help Counties Coalition


          Transportation California


          United Contractors


          Urban Counties Caucus




          Opposition


          None on file




          Analysis Prepared by:M. David Ruff / REV. & TAX. / (916)  
          319-2098