BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó



                                                                     SB 321  


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          Date of Hearing:  August 26, 2015


                        ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS


                                 Jimmy Gomez, Chair


          SB 321  
          (Beall) - As Amended August 18, 2015


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          |Policy       |Revenue and Taxation           |Vote:|9 - 0        |
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          Urgency:  No  State Mandated Local Program:  NoReimbursable:  No


          SUMMARY:


          This bill modifies, for FY 2016-17 and each FY thereafter, the  
          method by which the Board of Equalization (BOE) annually adjusts  
          the motor vehicle fuel (gasoline) tax swap to reflect a combined  
          five-year average of fuel prices instead of single-year fuel  
          prices when determining the motor vehicle fuel excise tax,  
          reducing revenue volatility.  The bill stipulates the change in  
          methodology is not intended to produce a net revenue gain.


          FISCAL EFFECT:










                                                                     SB 321  


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          Minor and absorbable administrative costs to BOE; insignificant  
          impact to state revenue.


          COMMENTS:


          1)Purpose.  The fuel tax swap was enacted in 2010, partly to  
            allow the use of additional existing transportation revenue to  
            fund transportation projects.  The tax swap requires BOE to  
            annually adjust the state gasoline excise tax rate to ensure  
            the state collects approximately the same amount of revenue  
            from the excise tax as it would have collected under the  
            previous sales tax.  The rate adjustment requires BOE to  
            forecast gasoline prices and consumption for each coming year,  
            often leading to over- or under-collection of revenue as a  
            result of price volatility and requiring further adjustment to  
            reconcile discrepancies.


            The author and supporters contend the adjustments can cause  
            significant volatility in the amount of revenue collected from  
            gasoline sales, leading to state and local budgeting  
            difficulties, and cause uncertainty for consumers over prices  
            at the pump.  This bill is intended to smooth that volatility  
            by requiring BOE to base the gas price estimate on an average  
            of the previous four years' actual prices and the estimated  
            price for the current year.  Actual pricing data over the past  
            five years suggest this methodology would have reduced excise  
            tax volatility, albeit moderately. 


          2)Short-Term Stability, Long-Term Revenue Neutrality.  The fuel  
            tax swap requires BOE to maintain revenue neutrality, and this  
            bill reaffirms that requirement while expanding the look-back  
            period.  As a result, excise tax adjustments will begin to lag  
            behind actual fluctuations in price and consumption.  In  
            periods of declining prices and/or consumption, prior periods  
            of higher demand may artificially inflate the revenue forecast  








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            and lead to higher excise taxes, while in periods of rising  
            prices and/or consumption, prior periods of weaker demand may  
            artificially constrain the revenue forecast and lead to lower  
            excise taxes.  Over time, these effects will offset, and BOE  
            expects the overall revenue impact to be neutral.


          Analysis Prepared by:Joel Tashjian / APPR. / (916)  
          319-2081