BILL ANALYSIS Ó SENATE COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATION Senator Isadore Hall, III Chair 2015 - 2016 Regular Bill No: SB 494 Hearing Date: 4/28/2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------- |Author: |Hill | |-----------+-----------------------------------------------------| |Version: |4/22/2015 | ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------ |Urgency: |No |Fiscal: |Yes | ------------------------------------------------------------------ ----------------------------------------------------------------- |Consultant:|Felipe Lopez | | | | ----------------------------------------------------------------- SUBJECT: Emergency services: seismic safety and earthquake-related programs. DIGEST: This bill creates the California Earthquake Safety Fund to be used for seismic safety and earthquake-related programs, including the earthquake early warning system. ANALYSIS: Existing law: 1)Creates, within the office of the Governor, the Office of Emergency Services (OES) which, under the Director of Emergency Services, coordinates disaster response, emergency planning, emergency preparedness, disaster recovery, disaster mitigation, and homeland security activities. 2)Requires various entities, including OES, through a public-private partnership, to develop a comprehensive statewide earthquake early warning system in California, as specified. 3)Requires OES to identify funding for an earthquake early warning system through single or multiple sources of revenues that shall be limited to federal funds, funds from revenue bonds, local funds, and private grants. 4)Prohibits General Fund moneys to be used for the establishment SB 494 (Hill) Page 2 of ? of an earthquake early warning system. 5)Specifies that if funding is not identified by January 1, 2016, the provisions relating to the establishment of an earthquake early warning system should be repealed. This bill: 1)Creates the California Earthquake Safety Fund in the State Treasury. 2)Specifies that upon appropriation by the Legislature, the moneys in the fund shall be used for seismic safety and earthquake-related programs, including the statewide earthquake early warning system. 3)Specifies that the California Earthquake Safety Fund may accept grants, contributions, and appropriations from public agencies, private foundations, entities, or individuals. Background Purpose of the bill: According to the author, while existing law requires OES to develop a comprehensive statewide earthquake early warning system, it does not establish a state fund capable of accepting grants or contributions to implement the earthquake early warning system in California. The author argues that SB 494 would establish the California Earthquake Safety Fund to help fund and coordinate seismic safety and earthquake-related programs, including the statewide earthquake early warning system. California's Earthquake Overview: California is a hotbed for earthquake activity. Ninety percent of the world's earthquakes and approximately eighty percent of the world's largest earthquakes occur along the Pacific Ring of Fire - a 25,000-mile horseshoe shaped area in the Pacific Ocean, which extends from the Western coast of South and North America to Eastern Asia, Australia and New Zealand. The Pacific Ring of Fire includes the very active San Andreas Fault zone in California. In January 2013, the Californian Institute of Technology and the Japan Agency for Marine Earth Science and Technology published a SB 494 (Hill) Page 3 of ? study concluding for the first time that a statewide California earthquake involving both the Los Angeles and San Francisco metropolitan areas may be possible. On August 24, 2014 at roughly 3:20 a.m. local time, an earthquake occurred in and around the city of Napa, California. The epicenter was located south of Napa, approximately 3.7 miles northwest of the American Canyon near the West Napa Fault. The earthquake, measuring a 6.0 on the magnitude scale, was the largest earthquake in the Bay Area since the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. The Napa earthquake resulted in one death and approximately 200 people injured. Shortly after, Governor Jerry Brown declared a state of emergency due to the damage and the possibility of damage resulting from aftershocks. It is estimated that the earthquake caused over $400 million in damage. A silver lining of the earthquake was the success of earthquake warning systems in providing warning times to nearby communities. An experimental earthquake warning system being developed by the UC Berkeley Seismological Laboratory issued a warning 5 seconds before the earthquake arrived in Berkeley. Similarly, Seismic Warning Systems, Inc. had installed on-site warning systems at five fire stations in Vallejo in 2002. These systems commanded the bay doors to open at these fire stations before the Earthquake arrived. How do Earthquake Early Warning Systems Work: While earthquakes cannot be predicted or prevented, using advanced science and technology has in the past-detected seismic activity and provided advanced warning. The objective of earthquake early warning systems is to rapidly detect the occurrence of an earthquake, estimate the level of ground shaking to be expected, issue a warning before significant ground shaking begins, and estimate the location and the magnitude of the earthquake. This is not the same as earthquake prediction, which currently is not possible. When an earthquake occurs, the earthquake produces different types of shock waves, which travel at different speeds. The fastest and weakest of these waves are called P-waves. Technology exists that can detect the energy from P-waves to estimate the location and the magnitude of the earthquake. This method can provide warning before the more destructive S-wave arrives. The S-wave is responsible for most of the strong SB 494 (Hill) Page 4 of ? shaking that usually creates the most damage during earthquakes. The amount of warning time at a particular location depends on the distance from the earthquake epicenter. Locations very close to the earthquake epicenter will receive relatively little or no warning whereas locations far removed from the earthquake epicenter would receive more warning time but may not experience damaging shaking. Studies on earthquake early warning methods in California concluded that the warning time would range from a few seconds to a few tens of seconds, depending on the distance from the earthquake epicenter. However, very large earthquakes emanating from the San Andreas Fault could produce significantly more warning time because the affected area would be much larger. Regardless of the warning time, earthquake early warning systems can provide adequate time to slow down and stop trains, stop cars from entering tunnels, automatically shut down dangerous machinery, and countless other benefits. Taking such actions before an earthquake arrives can reduce damage and casualties during and after an earthquake. Earthquake early warning systems are currently in place in Japan and Mexico and many other countries throughout the world are currently in the process of developing such systems. Overview of SB 135: In 2013 the California Legislature passed and the Governor signed SB 135 (Chapter 342, Statutes of 2013), which requires the California Governor's Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES), in collaboration with various entities, to develop a comprehensive statewide earthquake early warning system in California. The bill further requires Cal OES to identify funding for the system but specifically prohibits general fund money to be used. SB 135 also specifies that if funding is not identified by January 1, 2016, the provisions of the bill will be repealed. Cal OES is currently in the process of identifying funding for the project. Cal OES has set up a working group composed of the United State Geological Survey, the California Geological Survey, California Seismic Safety Commission, UC Berkeley Seismological Laboratory, California Institute of Technology as well as other interest groups to establish best practices for an earthquake early warning system in California. The working SB 494 (Hill) Page 5 of ? group meets throughout the year and is in the process of establishing an implementation plan that will describe the system requirements, minimum standards, management structure, cost estimates and funding sources, and public education guidelines. The California Geological Survey (CGS) estimates its costs associated with developing the system would be approximately $23 million in the first year and approximately $16 million annually thereafter. These costs include realigning CGS' ground stations, purchasing additional instrumentation, upgrading existing instrumentation and communications networks, and staffing the system 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Federal Action: In addition, the federal government is currently working on an earthquake early warning system that would cover all the western states, including California. In December 2014, the United States Congress approved a $5 million dollar allocation in order to expand funding for development of the system. In February 2015, President Obama proposed spending an additional $5 million in the upcoming federal budget on the West Coast's earthquake early warning network. Prior/Related Legislation SB 31 (Padilla), Chapter 342, Statutes of 2013. The bill required OES, in collaboration with various entities, to develop a comprehensive statewide earthquake early warning system in California. AB 928 (Blakeslee), 2009-2010 Legislative Session. The bill would have required the High-Speed Rail Authority to develop an earthquake early warning system and coordinate development of that system with various state agencies. (Held in Assembly Governmental Organization Committee) FISCAL EFFECT: Appropriation: No Fiscal Com.: Yes Local: No SUPPORT: None received SB 494 (Hill) Page 6 of ? OPPOSITION: None received