BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó



          SENATE COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATION
                              Senator Isadore Hall, III
                                        Chair
                                2015 - 2016  Regular 

          Bill No:           SB 494           Hearing Date:    4/28/2015
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          |Author:    |Hill                                                 |
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          |Version:   |4/22/2015                                            |
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          |Urgency:   |No                     |Fiscal:      |Yes             |
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          |Consultant:|Felipe Lopez                                         |
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          SUBJECT: Emergency services: seismic safety and  
          earthquake-related programs.


            DIGEST:    This bill creates the California Earthquake Safety  
          Fund to be used for seismic safety and earthquake-related  
          programs, including the earthquake early warning system.

          ANALYSIS:
          
          Existing law:
          
          1)Creates, within the office of the Governor, the Office of  
            Emergency Services (OES) which, under the Director of  
            Emergency Services, coordinates disaster response, emergency  
            planning, emergency preparedness, disaster recovery, disaster  
            mitigation, and homeland security activities. 

          2)Requires various entities, including OES, through a  
            public-private partnership, to develop a comprehensive  
            statewide earthquake early warning system in California, as  
            specified.

          3)Requires OES to identify funding for an earthquake early  
            warning system through single or multiple sources of revenues  
            that shall be limited to federal funds, funds from revenue  
            bonds, local funds, and private grants.  

          4)Prohibits General Fund moneys to be used for the establishment  







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            of an earthquake early warning system.

          5)Specifies that if funding is not identified by January 1,  
            2016, the provisions relating to the establishment of an  
            earthquake early warning system should be repealed.


          This bill:

          1)Creates the California Earthquake Safety Fund in the State  
            Treasury. 

          2)Specifies that upon appropriation by the Legislature, the  
            moneys in the fund shall be used for seismic safety and  
            earthquake-related programs, including the statewide  
            earthquake early warning system.

          3)Specifies that the California Earthquake Safety Fund may  
            accept grants, contributions, and appropriations from public  
            agencies, private foundations, entities, or individuals. 

          Background

          Purpose of the bill:  According to the author, while existing  
          law requires OES to develop a comprehensive statewide earthquake  
          early warning system, it does not establish a state fund capable  
          of accepting grants or contributions to implement the earthquake  
          early warning system in California.

          The author argues that SB 494 would establish the California  
          Earthquake Safety Fund to help fund and coordinate seismic  
          safety and earthquake-related programs, including the statewide  
          earthquake early warning system.

          California's Earthquake Overview:  California is a hotbed for  
          earthquake activity.  Ninety percent of the world's earthquakes  
          and approximately eighty percent of the world's largest  
          earthquakes occur along the Pacific Ring of Fire - a 25,000-mile  
          horseshoe shaped area in the Pacific Ocean, which extends from  
          the Western coast of South and North America to Eastern Asia,  
          Australia and New Zealand.  The Pacific Ring of Fire includes  
          the very active San Andreas Fault zone in California.  
           
          In January 2013, the Californian Institute of Technology and the  
          Japan Agency for Marine Earth Science and Technology published a  








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          study concluding for the first time that a statewide California  
          earthquake involving both the Los Angeles and San Francisco  
          metropolitan areas may be possible. 

          On August 24, 2014 at roughly 3:20 a.m. local time, an  
          earthquake occurred in and around the city of Napa, California.   
          The epicenter was located south of Napa, approximately 3.7 miles  
          northwest of the American Canyon near the West Napa Fault.  The  
          earthquake, measuring a 6.0 on the magnitude scale, was the  
          largest earthquake in the Bay Area since the 1989 Loma Prieta  
          earthquake.  The Napa earthquake resulted in one death and  
          approximately 200 people injured. Shortly after, Governor Jerry  
          Brown declared a state of emergency due to the damage and the  
          possibility of damage resulting from aftershocks.  It is  
          estimated that the earthquake caused over $400 million in  
          damage. 

          A silver lining of the earthquake was the success of earthquake  
          warning systems in providing warning times to nearby  
          communities. An experimental earthquake warning system being  
          developed by the UC Berkeley Seismological Laboratory issued a  
          warning 5 seconds before the earthquake arrived in Berkeley.   
          Similarly, Seismic Warning Systems, Inc. had installed on-site  
          warning systems at five fire stations in Vallejo in 2002.  These  
          systems commanded the bay doors to open at these fire stations  
          before the Earthquake arrived. 
           
           How do Earthquake Early Warning Systems Work:  While earthquakes  
          cannot be predicted or prevented, using advanced science and  
          technology has in the past-detected seismic activity and  
          provided advanced warning.  The objective of earthquake early  
          warning systems is to rapidly detect the occurrence of an  
          earthquake, estimate the level of ground shaking to be expected,  
          issue a warning before significant ground shaking begins, and  
          estimate the location and the magnitude of the earthquake.  This  
          is not the same as earthquake prediction, which currently is not  
          possible. 

          When an earthquake occurs, the earthquake produces different  
          types of shock waves, which travel at different speeds.  The  
          fastest and weakest of these waves are called P-waves.  
          Technology exists that can detect the energy from P-waves to  
          estimate the location and the magnitude of the earthquake. This  
          method can provide warning before the more destructive S-wave  
          arrives. The S-wave is responsible for most of the strong  








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          shaking that usually creates the most damage during earthquakes.

          The amount of warning time at a particular location depends on  
          the distance from the earthquake epicenter.  Locations very  
          close to the earthquake epicenter will receive relatively little  
          or no warning whereas locations far removed from the earthquake  
          epicenter would receive more warning time but may not experience  
          damaging shaking.  

          Studies on earthquake early warning methods in California  
          concluded that the warning time would range from a few seconds  
          to a few tens of seconds, depending on the distance from the  
          earthquake epicenter.  However, very large earthquakes emanating  
          from the San Andreas Fault could produce significantly more  
          warning time because the affected area would be much larger.

          Regardless of the warning time, earthquake early warning systems  
          can provide adequate time to slow down and stop trains, stop  
          cars from entering tunnels, automatically shut down dangerous  
          machinery, and countless other benefits.  Taking such actions  
          before an earthquake arrives can reduce damage and casualties  
          during and after an earthquake.   

          Earthquake early warning systems are currently in place in Japan  
          and Mexico and many other countries throughout the world are  
          currently in the process of developing such systems.

          Overview of SB 135:  In 2013 the California Legislature passed  
          and the Governor signed SB 135 (Chapter 342, Statutes of 2013),  
          which requires the California Governor's Office of Emergency  
          Services (Cal OES), in collaboration with various entities, to  
          develop a comprehensive statewide earthquake early warning  
          system in California.  The bill further requires Cal OES to  
          identify funding for the system but specifically prohibits  
          general fund money to be used.  SB 135 also specifies that if  
          funding is not identified by January 1, 2016, the provisions of  
          the bill will be repealed.  
           
          Cal OES is currently in the process of identifying funding for  
          the project.  Cal OES has set up a working group composed of the  
          United State Geological Survey, the California Geological  
          Survey, California Seismic Safety Commission, UC Berkeley  
          Seismological Laboratory, California Institute of Technology as  
          well as other interest groups to establish best practices for an  
          earthquake early warning system in California.  The working  








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          group meets throughout the year and is in the process of  
          establishing an implementation plan that will describe the  
          system requirements, minimum standards, management structure,  
          cost estimates and funding sources, and public education  
          guidelines.

          The California Geological Survey (CGS) estimates its costs  
          associated with developing the system would be approximately $23  
          million in the first year and approximately $16 million annually  
          thereafter.  These costs include realigning CGS' ground  
          stations, purchasing additional instrumentation, upgrading  
          existing instrumentation and communications networks, and  
          staffing the system 24 hours a day, seven days a week. 

          Federal Action:  In addition, the federal government is  
          currently working on an earthquake early warning system that  
          would cover all the western states, including California. In  
          December 2014, the United States Congress approved a $5 million  
          dollar allocation in order to expand funding for development of  
          the system.  In February 2015, President Obama proposed spending  
          an additional $5 million in the upcoming federal budget on the  
          West Coast's earthquake early warning network.  
           
          
          Prior/Related Legislation
          
          SB 31 (Padilla), Chapter 342, Statutes of 2013. The bill  
          required OES, in collaboration with various entities, to develop  
          a comprehensive statewide earthquake early warning system in  
          California. 

          AB 928 (Blakeslee), 2009-2010 Legislative Session.  The bill  
          would have required the High-Speed Rail Authority to develop an  
          earthquake early warning system and coordinate development of  
          that system with various state agencies.  (Held in Assembly  
          Governmental Organization Committee)

          FISCAL EFFECT:                 Appropriation:  No    Fiscal  
          Com.:             Yes          Local:          No


           SUPPORT:  

          None received  









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          OPPOSITION:

          None received