BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ó



                                                                     SB 696


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          Date of Hearing:   July 8, 2015


                           ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON INSURANCE


                                   Tom Daly, Chair


          SB  
          696 (Roth) - As Amended July 2, 2015


          SENATE VOTE:  38-1


          SUBJECT:  Insurance: principle-based reserving.


          SUMMARY:  Permits life insurers to use a new methodology, known  
          as principle based reserving (PBR), for determining the amount  
          of reserves required for some types of life insurance policies   
          Specifically, this bill:  


          1)Provides that PBR takes effect on January 1 of the year  
            following the first July 1 after PBR is adopted by at least 42  
            of the 55 jurisdictions within the National Association of  
            Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) representing 75% of the  
            premiums for life, health, and accident insurance policies  
            collected in all 55 jurisdictions.


          2)Provides that PBR only applies to policies issued on or after  
            its effective date.


          3)Provides that PBR only applies to nonforfeiture benefits on  
            policies issued on or after its effective date.








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          4)Requires all life insurers to annually submit an actuarial  
            analysis of the company's reserves based on the Valuation  
            Manual (VM) adopted by the NAIC.


          5)Provides that future changes to the VM shall become effective  
            on January 1 of the year following its adoption by NAIC and  
            the issuance of an order adopting the changes by the Insurance  
            Commissioner (commissioner).  


          6)Permits the commissioner to conduct an independent actuarial  
            analysis of a life insurance company's reserves if the company  
            fails to submit one or if the commissioner finds the submitted  
            analysis to be unacceptable.  


          7)Permits the commissioner to adopt regulations establishing a  
            process to discipline actuaries and insurers for misconduct  
            related to the insurer's actuarial opinion supporting the  
            insurer's reserving under PBR.


          8)Provides that documents and information provided to the  
            commissioner as part of the actuarial analysis are  
            confidential and not subject to disclosure under the  
            California Public Records Act, subpoena, or discovery and are  
            not admissible in any private civil action.


          9)Permits the commissioner to share documents and information  
            related to the actuarial analysis with other regulators, the  
            American Academy of Actuaries, and the NAIC if the recipient  
            agrees to maintain confidentiality.


          10)Provides that if the VM does not address a specific product  








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            or does so in a manner in conflict with California law, the  
            insurer must comply with the minimum reserve requirements  
            established by the Insurance Code or by a regulations and  
            bulletins issued by the commissioner.


          11)Permits the commissioner to conduct an actuarial examination,  
            at the insurer's expense, of a life insurer's reserves,  
            reserve assumptions, and reserve methodology.  


          12)Permits the commissioner to require a life insurer to change  
            any reserve assumption or methodology that, in the  
            commissioner's opinion, is necessary to comply with California  
            law or the VM.  The life insurer is required to subsequently  
            adjust reserves as required by the commissioner.


          13)Permits a life insurer using PBR to consider the particular  
            experience of its insureds, if that experience is  
            substantiated by credible statistical evidence, when  
            determining the level of reserves it is required to maintain.


          14)Requires a life insurer to develop governance and oversight  
            processes for the actuarial function under PBR and provide an  
            annual certification of those processes to the commissioner  
            and the directors of the life insurer.


          15)Requires a life insurer to share mortality, morbidity, policy  
            holder behavior, or expense experience data with the  
            commissioner as specified in the VM.


          16)Defines the PBR related information that is confidential.


          17)Permits the commissioner to hire one subject matter expert,  








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            exempt from the civil service, to lead the implementation of  
            PBR and permits the commissioner to set the salary for that  
            position without approval of the Department of Human  
            Resources.


          18)Permits the commissioner to assess life insurers for the cost  
            of implementing PBR.  The amount assess for each life insurer  
            varies based on the dollar value of life insurance premiums  
            collect by each insurer.  


          19)Requires that actuaries engaged by the commissioner maintain  
            confidentiality, be free of any conflicts of interest, and  
            disclose potential conflicts of interest.  


          20)Permits the commissioner to develop regulations regarding the  
            actuaries engaged by the commissioner and provides that the  
            initial regulations may be adopted as emergency regulations.


          21)Provides that the actuary providing an opinion under PBR is  
            liable for their negligence or any injury they cause.


          22)Provides that PBR does not become operative until the  
            commissioner certifies that the staff and other resources  
            required to enforce PBR are in place.


          23)Makes numerous technical and clarifying changes to the  
            Insurance Code.


          EXISTING LAW:   


          1)Requires life insurers to establish reserves for life  








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            insurance policies according to statutory formulas that  
            incorporate uniform mortality and interest rate assumptions.  


          2)Requries those reserves to be funded with high quality assets  
            (generally highly rated government and corporate bonds).


          3)Permits life insurers to include reinsurance purchased as part  
            of its funding of reserves.


          4)Provides for direct financial regulation of a life insurer by  
            the insurance regulator in the insurer's home state.


          5)Permits a life insurer to sell products in another state state  
            if it obtains a certificate of authority from that state.


          FISCAL EFFECT:  The Senate Appropriations estimated CDI  
          administrative costs of $389,000 in FY 2015-16; $1.6 million in  
          FY 2016-17; and $1.0 million in FY 2017-18 and ongoing.





          COMMENTS: 


           


           1)Purpose  .  According to the author, life insurance products  
            have evolved far beyond traditional whole life products and  
            involve varying degrees of complexity and risk.  An insurance  
            product that poses less risk to the insurer should require  
            lower reserve levels, but the existing formulaic approach does  








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            not always take that into account.  For some products,  
            existing law requires life insurers to set aside higher  
            reserves than necessary for some products and too little for  
            others.  Applying inappropriate reserving requirements may  
            cause higher premium for some types of products and discourage  
            or eliminate the development of new products.  This bill would  
            apply PBR, a dynamic reserving method for new life insurance  
            policies based on a model law adopted by the NAIC.  PBR  
            replaces the current approach based on market-wide actuarial  
            data with an individualized approach that more closely  
            reflects the risks of modern life insurance products and the  
            individual experience of the insurer.  PBR is intended to more  
            precisely determine the reserving requirements according to  
            the individual characteristics of each product, incorporate  
            data on policyholder behavior (such as policy lapse rates)  
            from an insurer's own experience, and reflect random  
            variables.  For example, PBR would allow an insurer to use  
            life expectancy data from its own experience rather than rely  
            on standardized mortality tables.
           2)Reserves  .  When a new life insurance policy is issued, an  
            insurer is required to set aside money as a "reserve" to  
            ensure that sufficient funds are available to pay claims  
            against the policy, and that reserve amount is adjusted  
            periodically throughout the time the policy remains in force.   
            Reserve amounts are dictated by statutory formulas that apply  
            the same mortality and interest rate assumptions to all life  
            insurers. These assumptions are particularly powerful in life  
            insurance because of the "long tail" nature of life insurance  
            policies.  Life insurance policies remain in effect for  
            decades and the degree to which these assumptions vary from  
            the actual experience and economic conditions during the life  
            of the policy can have dramatic consequences for the financial  
            condition of a life insurer.  Reserves are an expense the life  
            insurer incurs as part of the sale of a life insurance policy,  
            and existing law requires that the reserves be composed of  
            very safe, liquid assets (generally high quality bonds).   
            Because the life insurer has to provide reserves upfront to  
            sell a policy, reserve requirements impact both the  
            profitability of an individual policy and the number/value of  








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            policies sold.   


           3)PBR  .  PBR is a new methodology developed by the NAIC that  
            allows life insurers to replace the uniform statutory  
            assumptions with assumptions based on the characteristics of  
            their own customers and their own economic forecast when  
            calculating reserve requirements.  PBR is embodied in a  
            document known as the "valuation manual" and its current  
            edition limits application of PBR to two types of life  
            insurance policies (term life and universal life policies with  
            secondary guarantees) that are issued after PBR becomes  
            effective.  Policies sold prior to PBR being implemented will  
            be subject to existing reserve requirements as long as those  
            policies are in force.


            NAIC commissioned a study of a prior version of the VM that  
            found term life insurance reserves would decrease  
            significantly across the board and that reserve requirements  
            for universal life policies with secondary guarantees (ULSG)  
            would vary from insurer to insurer.  This variance was  
            attributed to the disparity among insurers in how they have  
            implemented existing rules for establishing reserves for this  
            type of policy.  


            PBR doesn't become effective until at least 42 states  
            (representing at least 75% of premiums collected) adopt it.   
            At last report, 33 states have adopted PBR, but because New  
            York has rejected PBR it is virtually impossible for PBR to  
            become effective unless California adopts it (New York has  
            refused to adopt PBR in favor of a modification of the current  
            statutory formula that results in reserves that are lower than  
            current rules require but are above those that would be  
            required under PBR).  Effectively, the choice to make PBR the  
            national standard is California's to make.  










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           4)Excessive Reserves  .  The principal argument made in favor of  
            PBR is that it "right-sizes" reserves, and by doing so, it  
            will lower the cost of insurance.  Those lower costs can  
            manifest themselves in a number of ways.  Lower reserve  
            requirements allow insurers to write more policies with the  
            same amount of capital.  They also make new policies cheaper  
            to write which can manifest as either lower prices or  
            increased profit for the insurer, or both.  Determining the  
            "right" level of reserves is a vexing problem.  Because life  
            insurance policies are in force for decades, the "right" level  
            of reserves is highly dependent on how the economy performs  
            over that time period and whether the predicted life  
            expectancy is borne out by actual experience.  The existing  
            statutory formula for reserves responds to the inherent  
            uncertainty in these predictions by establishing conservative  
            assumptions about interest rates and mortality and applies  
            them across the board.  This system provides relative  
            certainty for the insurer regarding what the reserve  
            requirements for any policy will be over the life of the  
            policy, and imposes costs and benefits to individual insurers  
            based on how their particular book of business matches the  
            assumptions.


            PBR replaces those conservative, across the board assumptions  
            with assumptions based on each insurer's particular mix of  
            policyholders and economic forecast.  As actual loss  
            experience and economic performance deviates from the  
            insurer's initial set of assumptions over the life of an  
            individual policy, the insurer will have to adjust its  
            reserves accordingly.  Given the inherent difficulty of making  
            accurate long term economic forecasts, reserve requirements  
            will most certainly change over time.  Insurers and their  
            regulators believe the more individualized, iterative method  
            of reserving embodied in PBR a better match for life insurance  
            products with variable premium options (like ULSG).  An NAIC  
            study found that the impact of PBR on ULSG products was highly  
            varied depending on how individual insurers have applied  
            existing rules for establishing reserves.  Some insurers would  








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            see reserve requirements fall, and some insurers would see  
            reserve requirements rise.  


            Insurers and regulators also support the application of PBR to  
            term life insurance which is perhaps the most straightforward,  
            plain-vanilla life insurance product available.  The same NAIC  
            study found that reserve requirements for term life policies  
            would decline across the board (by large percentages) under  
            PBR.  This result is offered as evidence by both insurers and  
            regulators that existing reserve requirements are excessive.  


           5)Captives  .  One approach used by insurers to respond to their  
            belief that existing reserve requirements are excessive has  
            been an increased use of questionable "captive" reinsurance  
            arrangements.  Insurers often chose to purchase reinsurance to  
            spread some or all of the risk attached to its policies to  
            another insurer.  Insurers can use reinsurance agreements to  
            satisfy reserve requirements.  This is a well-accepted  
            practice and it can protect both insurers and policyholders.   
            Many entities offering reinsurance are licensed and regulated  
            as insurance companies, and as licensed reinsurers they are  
            required to provide high quality assets to secure the  
            reinsurance that they sell.  Some insurers choose to use  
            another entity within the parent holding company (known as a  
            "captive") as a reinsurer.  Captives are used in various lines  
            of insurance and are accepted, as a general matter, as  
            legitimate reinsurance by insurance regulators.  However life  
            insurers greatly increased their use of captive reinsurance  
            transactions in recent years.  Many of these reinsurance  
            transactions have been characterized as "shadow insurance"  
            where the life insurer purchases reinsurance from captive  
            reinsurer located in a jurisdiction with lower capital  
            requirements (commonly in offshore havens).  


            According to a study published by Federal Reserve Bank of  
            Minneapolis, 








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               "In contrast to traditional reinsurance with unaffiliated  
               (i.e., third-party) reinsurers, these transactions do not  
               transfer risk because the liabilities stay within the  
               holding company?We find that liabilities ceded to shadow  
               reinsurers grew rapidly from $11 billion in 2002 to $364  
               billion in 2012. This activity now exceeds total  
               unaffiliated reinsurance in the life insurance industry,  
               which was $270 billion in 2012. Life insurers using shadow  
               insurance tend to be larger and capture 48 percent of the  
               market share for both life insurance and annuities. These  
               companies ceded 25 cents of every dollar insured to shadow  
               reinsurers in 2012, up significantly from 2 cents in 2002."


             


            In addition to the question of whether such captive  
            transactions provide any real risk transfer, some regulators  
            have been concerned with the adequacy of assets backing up  
            these reinsurance transactions.  The New York Department of  
            Financial Services (New York) reviewed "shadow insurance"  
            transactions by New York life insurers and found that a number  
            of captive reinsurers were allowed to use "hollow assets" such  
            as a letters of credit or a promise that the holding company  
            will pay any claims on the reinsurance (referred to as a  
            "naked parental guarantee") as reserves.  New York also found  
            that these transactions had the perverse effect of boosting  
            the "risk-based capital" scores (a regulatory measure of a  
            life insurer's financial well-being). 





            Many have attributed the increase in shadow insurance to a  
            series of rules imposed by the NAIC for ULSG policy reserves  








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            beginning in 2000.  These rules significantly increased the  
            amount of reserves required for ULSG policies.  There is a  
            diversity of opinion among regulators and insurers regarding  
            both the implementation of these rules and whether the rules  
            require insurers to keep excessive reserves.  The New York  
            State Department of Financial Services has been among the most  
            critical of these captive transactions characterizing them as  
            "financial alchemy."  However, the Iowa Insurance Commissioner  
            has characterized these captive transactions a rational  
            response to excessive reserving requirements.  Wherever the  
            merits of the argument lie between these two perspectives, the  
            NAIC has adopted, as part of its work on PBR, an interim  
            requirement for captive reinsurers to provide sufficient, high  
            quality assets to secure their reinsurance commitments.  The  
            NAIC is in the process of developing changes to the model law  
            governing the credit granted for reinsurance to make these  
            requirements permanent.  California, like the other states,  
            will need to enact the new model law when it is adopted by the  
            NAIC to maintain its accreditation status with the NAIC.





            Solving the problems presented by troublesome captive  
            reinsurance transactions is one of the principal arguments  
            offered in support of PBR.  PBR will do this by reducing  
            reserve requirements and eliminating the disparity between  
            existing statutory accounting and GAAP accounting that  
            generates a tax advantage for insurers using captives.  Many  
            regulators are convinced that the "shadow insurance" problem  
            will be solved by the combination of new NAIC rules on  
            captives and PBR.  





           6)DOI Infrastructure  .  In order to work as intended, PBR  








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            requires the commissioner to develop a much more robust  
            regulatory program for life insurers.  The bill provides the  
            commissioner with significant additional resources through an  
            assessment on life insurers. The bill also allows the  
            commissioner to charge individual insurers the cost of  
            individual reviews of their compliance with PBR.  However, it  
            is not sufficient to provide the added revenue. That revenue  
            must be appropriated and staff hired and contracts completed  
            before the commissioner has the means to effectively police  
            PBR.  The bill provides that PBR does not become operative  
            until the commissioner certifies to the Legislature that the  
            funding and personnel required to enforce PBR are in place.  


          REGISTERED SUPPORT / OPPOSITION:




          Support


          Association of California Life and Health Insurance Companies  
          (co-sponsor)


          California Department of Insurance (CDI) (co-sponsor)


          Affordable Life Insurance Alliance


          Pacific Life Insurance Company


          Pacific Life Insurance Company


          USAA








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          Opposition


          None received




          Analysis Prepared by:Paul Riches / INS. / (916)  
          319-2086