BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



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          ASSEMBLY THIRD READING
          ACA 4 (Gatto, Niello, Ashburn)
          As Amended  October 7, 2010
          2/3 vote.  Urgency 

           SUMMARY  :  This Constitutional Amendment, which is called the  
          "Budget Stabilization Act," creates a reserve fund (colloquially  
          referred to as a "rainy day fund") to be used in economic  
          downturns. Annually 3% of General Fund (GF) revenue would be  
          deposited in this fund.  In addition this provision would  
          deposit unanticipated increases in revenues into this reserve  
          fund, and defines the process for calculation how unanticipated  
          revenue would be determined.  Specifically,  this Constitutional  
          Amendment  :

          1)Amends the existing Constitution budget reserve provision,  
            renamed the Budget Stabilization Fund, established by the  
            voters in Proposition 58 of 2004 and incorporates the  
            following changes:

             a)   Limits the suspend of the annual 3% transfer of funding  
               from GF to the Budget Stabilization Fund to years in which  
               funding in which the GF is receiving funding from the  
               Budget Stabilization Fund;

             b)   Increases the threshold, from 5% to 10% of overall GF,  
               which must be achieved before the contribution from the GF  
               to the Budget Stabilization Fund cease;

             c)   Creates the Supplemental Budget Stabilization Account,  
               which can only be used to pay for one-time capital outlay  
               and debt service obligations; and,

             d)   Defines that of the three percent of GF contributions to  
               the Budget Stabilization Fund, 1.5 percent must be  
               transferred to the Supplemental Budget Stabilization  
               Account each year.  

          2)Requires that certain unanticipated revenues be transferred to  
            the Budget Stabilization Fund.  

             a)   Defined unanticipated revenues as the lesser of:

               i)     Forecasted current year GF revenues exceeding the  








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                 forecasted budget year GF revenue; and,

               ii)              Estimated budget year GF revenue exceeding  
                 the forecasted GF defined in a).

             a)   Stipulates the uses of unanticipated revenues will be  
               transferred to the Budget Stabilization Fund except if  
               needed to satisfy GF obligations for education expenditures  
               as stipulated in Section 8 of the constitution, established  
               by Proposition 98.

          1)Specifies the use of funding in the Budget Stabilization Fund.  
             Restricts the transfer of funds from the Budget Stabilization  
            Fund to the GF.  This restriction:

             a)   Limits the transfer of funding from the Budget  
               Stabilization Fund to the GF to years when total forecasted  
               revenues for a fiscal year are not sufficient to cover the  
               prior year GF expenditures when adjusted for population and  
               inflation and/or when an emergency is declared by the  
               Governor.

             b)   Limits the amount transferred from the Budget  
               Stabilization Account to the GF to cover the shortfall,  
               which is defined to be the difference between total  
               forecasted revenues for a fiscal year are not sufficient to  
               cover the prior year GF expenditures, adjusted for  
               population and inflation.

             c)   Further limits the amount of funding that can be  
               transferred from the Budget Stabilization Fund to the GF to  
               cover a shortfall to be:

               i)     No more than 50% of the balance of the fund in the  
                 first year a transfer is made;

               ii)    No more than 50% of the remaining balance of the  
                 Budget Stabilization Fund if a transfer was made in the  
                 previous year;

               iii)   If transfers have been made in the previous years,  
                 than it is limited by the shortfall; and,

               iv)    This limit does not apply to transfers made in the  








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                 event of an emergency.

             d)   Allows, once the Budget Stabilization Funds equals 10%  
               of GF revenues, any unanticipated revenue to retire  
               outstanding budgetary obligations.  These obligations are  
               prioritized in the following way: 

               i)     First use of these funds would be for outstanding  
                 obligations for local government payments, articulated in  
                 Article XIII (Proposition 1A), transportation funding  
                 (Proposition 42) obligations, and bond indebtedness; and,  


               ii)    Any remaining funds could be used for one time  
                 expenditures, unfunded liabilities-including pension  
                 liabilities, transferred to the Budget Stabilization  
                 Fund, or returned to taxpayers on a one-time basis.

             e)   Allows borrowing from the Budget Stabilization Fund  
               within a fiscal year for cash management purposes.

          4)Requires that the Director of Finance forecast the revenue  
            amount for the budget year based upon a linear regression  
            analysis of revenues over the last twenty years.  This Article  
            also requires current year revenues to be estimated based upon  
            as similar methodology.  The forecast is adjusted to reflect  
            changes to the revenue levels that occurred due to policy  
            changes, such as increased revenue that from a tax increase.

          5)Urgency Clause.  Declares this bill take effect immediately as  
            an urgency statute.

           EXISTING LAW  :  Proposition 58 of 2004 contains provisions that  
          established a rainy day fund.  The proposal requires that a  
          special reserve-called the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA)-be  
          established in the state's GF. Three percent of annual GF  
          revenues are be transferred by the State Controller into the  
          account no later than September 30 of each fiscal year until the  
          balance in the account reaches $8 billion or 5% of GF revenues,  
          whichever is greater. The annual transfer requirement is in  
          effect whenever the balance falls below the $8 billion or 5%  
          target. 

          The annual transfers could be suspended or reduced for a fiscal  








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          year by an executive order issued by the Governor no later than  
          June 1 of the preceding fiscal year. 

          Funds in the BSA could be transferred from this account to the  
          GF through a majority vote of the Legislature and approval of  
          the Governor.  Spending of these monies from the GF could be  
          made for various purposes-including covering budget  
          shortfalls-generally with a two-thirds vote of the Legislature  
          (same as current law). 

           FISCAL EFFECT  :  This provision would result in increased funding  
          in the state "rainy day" reserve funds.  It would also increase  
          state spending on repaying budgetary borrowing and debt, and  
          infrastructure projects.  Finally, the additional reserve would  
          reduce the extent of state cash borrowing, allowing for some  
          savings in short-term cash borrowing costs.

           COMMENTS  :  This provision is very similar to Proposition 1A of  
          2009, which was rejected by voters in May of 2009.  The major  
          differences between the provisions of this amendment and  
          Proposition 1A are:

          1)Proposition 1A did not restrict the amount of funding that  
            could be withdrawn from the Budget Stabilization Fund in one  
            year.

          2)The Budget Stabilization Fund had to reach 12.5%, instead of  
            10% in this amendment, before the transfer to the fund would  
            cease and any additional funds could be used for one-time  
            purposes.

          3)The anticipated revenues trend line was calculated on a ten  
            year regression in Proposition 1A and is calculated on a  
            twenty year regression trend in this amendment.

          4)Proposition 1A was linked to Proposition 1B of 2009, and was a  
            funding source for that initiative.


           Analysis Prepared by:    Christian Griffith / BUDGET / (916)  
          319-2099


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