BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    




                   Senate Appropriations Committee Fiscal Summary
                           Senator Christine Kehoe, Chair

                                           317 (Solorio)
          
          Hearing Date:  07/15/2010           Amended: 01/15/2010
          Consultant:  Dan Troy           Policy Vote: ED 7-0
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____
          BILL SUMMARY:  AB 317, an urgency measure, would, for the  
          2009-10 and 2010-11 school years, deem an epidemic to exist for  
          the purposes of granting emergency credit to school districts  
          for lost average daily attendance as a result of pupil absences  
          due to confirmed cases of the H1N1 virus and for pupil absences  
          in which the reasons for absence is "consistent with the  
          symptoms" of the H1N1 virus.  
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____
                            Fiscal Impact (in thousands)

           Major Provisions         2010-11      2011-12       2012-13     Fund
                                                                  
          H1N1-related absence              Potentially millions in lost  
          savings                    General*

          *Counts toward meeting the Proposition 98 minimum funding  
          guarantee
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____

          STAFF COMMENTS: This bill meets the criteria for referral to the  
          Suspense File.
          
          Current law provides general purpose funding to school districts  
          based on a pupil's average daily attendance (ADA), and, thus,  
          does not generally fund schools for pupil absences.  Current law  
          permits the Superintendent of Public Instruction (SPI) to credit  
          the level of ADA a district would otherwise have earned if the  
          district experiences material decreases in ADA due to certain  
          emergency circumstances.  These circumstances include fire,  
          flood, impassable roads, epidemic, earthquake, and other  
          specified conditions.  

          The H1N1 flu is a new type of flu, first identified in the US in  
          April of 2009, which can lead to respiratory disorders that have  
          in some cases led to hospitalization, or in extreme cases,  










          death.  Like other seasonal flu viruses, H1N1 can be spread from  
          person to person through coughing, sneezing or close contact.   
          Symptoms of H1N1 are similar to symptoms of seasonal flu  
          viruses, such as coughing, fever, loss of appetite, and  
          lethargy.  The Department of Public Health notes that that the  
          largest number of confirmed cases of H1N1 have occurred among  
          those in the age group 5 to 24, those at the greatest risk of  
          developing complications are those under the age of 5, pregnant  
          women, and people with chronic medical conditions (e.g., heart  
          disease, asthma, diabetes).  Public data indicates that  
          California experienced 2,000 severe cases, over 1,900 intensive  
          care unit cases, and 546 deaths attributable to the H1N1.

          In April of 2009, the Governor declared a state of emergency  
          related to the H1N1 virus.  This allowed districts to receive  
          ADA credit for the 2008-09 and, in many cases, the 2009-10  
          fiscal year (statute allows the SPI to extend the ADA credit  
          period into the next fiscal year if the district can demonstrate  
          that such an extension is essential to avoiding continued  
          material decreases).  
          Page 2
          AB 317 (Solorio)

          This bill would deem that an epidemic exists for the 2009-10 and  
          2010-11 fiscal years for the purposes of allowing the SPI to  
          credit districts for material decreases in ADA owing to pupil  
          absences due to confirmed cases of H1N1 and also to pupil  
          absences relating to symptoms consistent with H1N1.  Proponents  
          suggest this measure is necessary to protect school districts  
          from revenue losses due to circumstances beyond the control of  
          districts.

          In the 1990s, the Legislature became concerned that pupil  
          absences, for whatever reason, was associated with poor academic  
          performance and that funding school absences gave districts as  
          much incentive to collect notes from parents as it did to ensure  
          a pupil's attendance in school.  A pilot program conducted  
          earlier that decade suggested that eliminating excused absences  
          from funded ADA resulted in significant increases in school  
          attendance. Chapter 855 of the Statutes of 1997 (SB 727,  
          Rosenthal) changed the method by which local education agency  
          ADA was calculated for funding purposes by eliminating the  
          inclusion of "excused" absences (including illness, medical  
          appointments, funeral attendance, etc.). This change to ADA was  
          accompanied by a rebenching of a district's funding per unit of  
          ADA to account for the number of excused absences the district  










          experienced in the 1995-96 school year, effectively making the  
          change revenue neutral to districts.  So, while current law does  
          not literally fund districts for absences, excused or otherwise,  
          it has built in, since the passage of SB 727, funding for a  
          district's "normal" rate of absence. Indeed, to the extent  
          schools were able increase attendance rates, they would gain  
          more funding than they would under the previous system.

          The key questions posed by this bill are whether or not absences  
          related to H1N1 result in a substantive and unusual increase in  
          district absences, whether the provisions of the bill are  
          properly prescribed, and whether there is already sufficient  
          authority in current law to deal with an epidemic, should one be  
          determined to exist.  As enrollment and attendance data for the  
          2009-10 school year are not yet publicly available, it not yet  
          clear that statewide rates of absence are substantively  
          different from normal year to year variations.  As testing for  
          H1N1 was rarely conducted after the late spring/early summer of  
          2009, there is a lack of data to authoritatively document the  
          prevalence of H1N1.  

          By allowing districts to be credited with ADA for H1N1-related  
          absences for the 2009-10 and 2010-11 school years, this bill  
          would result in new costs for the state that might best be  
          understood a loss of otherwise expected savings.  An average  
          cost of a day of attendance for is approximately $33 (this  
          includes revenue limit and special education funding).  The  
          state's estimated K-12 ADA for the 2010-11 fiscal year is over  
          5.9 million and the state funds attendance (for most districts)  
          assuming 175 days in a school year.  This totals more than a  
          billion days of possible attendance.  Even a minor change in  
          statewide attendance can result in cost impacts in the millions  
          of dollars.  

          Staff further notes that the bill may be overly broad in its  
          current form.  The Department of Public Health notes that the  
          H1N1 symptoms are similar to symptoms of seasonal flu viruses.   
          By crediting district ADA for absences that are "consistent with  
          the symptoms of H1N1," the bill exposes the state to costs for  
          absences that are attributable to 
          Page 3
          AB 317 (Solorio)

          seasonal flu viruses and colds.  This would be costly and would  
          run counter to the provisions of SB 727.  











          Also, it is not clear that current law provisions are  
          insufficient to handle the existence of a true epidemic. The  
          Governor declared an epidemic relation to H1N1 in April of 2009  
          and the SPI was credited districts with lost ADA.  This bill  
          presupposes a similar problem for 2010-11.  It may be prudent to  
          wait and see if an H1N1 epidemic occurs during the school year.   
          If an outbreak occurs that current law cannot account for, there  
          would still be time for the Legislature to address the issue.