BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    




                   Senate Appropriations Committee Fiscal Summary
                           Senator Christine Kehoe, Chair

                                           429 (Brownley)
          
          Hearing Date:  08/27/2009           Amended: 07/24/2009
          Consultant:  Dan Troy           Policy Vote: ED 8-0
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____
          BILL SUMMARY:   AB 429 would require an advisory committee to  
          make recommendations to the Superintendent of Public  
          Instruction, by July 1, 2011, for development of a  
          longitudinally valid assessment system in which annual academic  
          growth can be measured for both a school and a pupil over time.   

          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____
                            Fiscal Impact (in thousands)

           Major Provisions         2009-10      2010-11       2011-12     Fund
                                                                  
          Longitudinal assessment           $280 to $300, one time;  
          potential cost              General
                                             pressures in the millions to  
          implement
                                             the committee's  
          recommendations
          _________________________________________________________________ 
          ____

          STAFF COMMENTS: SUSPENSE FILE.  AS PROPOSED TO BE AMENDED.
          
          Current law requires the Superintendent of Public Instruction  
          (SPI) to establish a committee to advise the SPI and the State  
          Board of Education (SBE) on the creation of the Academic  
          Performance Index (API) and make recommendations on the  
          feasibility of measuring academic performance utilizing unique  
          pupil identifiers.   Current law also requires the SPI, with the  
          approval of the SBE, to develop and implement the API to measure  
          the performance of schools, and to include a variety of  
          indicators, including achievement test results, attendance  
          rates, and graduation rates in that measure, and requires the  
          SPI to establish an advisory committee to provide advice on all  
          appropriate matters relative to the creation of the API.  

          The API is designed to produce scores measuring a school's  










          performance at each grade level and content area at one point in  
          time.  While the Department of Education calculates a measure  
          that compares this performance from one year to the next, this  
          "growth API" does not measure growth for a specific group of  
          students and is not based on information for individual pupils.   
          Given that, the measure may only be reflecting the differences  
          in two cohorts of pupils, say, last year's third grade class vs.  
          this year's third grade class.  The current state testing system  
          does not measure the actual growth for the same students over  
          time.

          Federal law (NCLB) requires states to measure student  
          proficiency in grades 3 through 8 and in specific subjects in  
          high school. The NCLB accountability measure calls for  
          increasing percentages of pupils to achieve specified levels of  
          proficiency over time with the goal of having all pupils deemed  
          "proficient" by 2013. By contrast, the state's accountability  
          measures call for schools to improve each year in relation to  
          that school's performance in the prior year.  The two different  
          systems result in schools judged to be failing under the federal  
          system, while perhaps succeeding on the state index.
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          AB 429 (Brownley)

          California and other states have requested federal waivers to  
          allow the use of a system that rewards growth, rather than  
          requiring all pupils to meet set levels of performance. The  
          federal government rejected California's request because  
          California will not have an operational longitudinal database in  
          place until the California Longitudinal Pupil Achievement Data  
          System (CALPADS) is implemented in 2010.  Also, the state  
          assessment system does not produce pupil scores that can be  
          compared from year to year, as described earlier.

          There are many other approaches and methodologies that could be  
          employed to allow comparisons over time.  The trade-off among  
          these procedures is generally between the increased validity and  
          accuracy of the results, and the cost and time involved in  
          implementing that approach.  A "vertical scaling" process would  
          allow a student's growth to be tracked as the student moves up  
          the score scale that runs from the lowest grade level up through  
          the highest scores at the highest grade level and which would  
          reflect a progression through the content. Vertical scaling  
          would eliminate most of the problems   associated with using the  
          API to compare school and district performance across time.   
          Other possible approaches rely on statistical procedures to  










          estimate what score, on the average, should be achieved in a  
          given year based on the previous year's score or other  
          information.  In this way a student's or a school's actual score  
          can be compared to the projected score, and a judgment could be  
          made about whether the student or school grew at a greater or  
          lesser rate than average. A vertical scaling process would be  
          the most costly and comprehensive of the approaches, while  
          direct statistical methods would be relatively cheap and quick,  
          though would have more validity concerns.

          The 2007 Budget Act required a study of academic growth measures  
          to evaluate multiple approaches for measuring individual pupil  
          annual growth on the state standards.  The study examined  
          several approaches to measuring growth, including vertical  
          scaling and different statistical mediations.  The study  
          recommended that the state proceed with a regression based  
          approach, consider the development of vertical scales, and not  
          pursue certain specific statistical approaches.  

          This bill directs the advisory committee to make recommendations  
          on the best course for the state to proceed toward a  
          longitudinally valid system for pupils and schools.  No  
          implementation of proposed changes would occur unless funds were  
          specifically appropriated toward that purpose.

          The Department of Education indicates costs of $280,000 to  
          $300,000 to complete to fully analyze the issues and make  
          recommendations.  Depending on the outcome, there could be  
          significant costs pressures to implement the recommendations.   
          If the committee recommended a revision of the content standards  
          to create a valid vertical scaling assessment system, costs  
          would likely be in the tens of millions.  Other potential  
          recommendations could be far less costly. The bill provides that  
          the recommendations of the committee could not be implemented  
          unless funds are appropriated for the purpose.

          AS PROPOSED TO BE AMENDED:

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          AB 429 (Brownley)
          
          Author's amendments would express Legislative intent (rather  
          than require) that the advisory committee make recommendations  
          for the development of valid growth measure.