BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                  AB 429
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          CONCURRENCE IN SENATE AMENDMENTS
          AB 429 (Brownley)
          As Amended  September 4, 2009
          Majority vote
           
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          |ASSEMBLY:  |79-0 |(June 2, 2009)  |SENATE: |35-0 |(September 10, |
          |           |     |                |        |     |2009)          |
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           Original Committee Reference:    ED.  

           SUMMARY  :  Requires examination of methods for making and  
          reporting valid comparisons of individual academic performance  
          over time, and for making potential improvements in the Academic  
          Performance Index (API) and state assessment system, so as to be  
          able to measure and report both a student's and a school's  
          academic growth over time.   Specifically,  this bill  :  

          1)Requires the advisory committee advising the Superintendent of  
            Public Instruction (SPI) on matters related to the API, to  
            make recommendations to the SPI by January 1, 2011, concerning  
            the establishment of a methodology for making the state's  
            assessment system longitudinally valid, and for measuring  
            academic growth more accurately and validly over time for  
            individual students and for schools.  

          2)Requires the advisory committee to consider the pilot study  
            made pursuant to provision 10 of Item 6110-113-0890 of Section  
            2.00 of the Budget Act of 2007 in making recommendations.

          3)Requires the SPI to forward the committee's recommendations,  
            immediately upon receipt, to the State Board of Education  
            (SBE), the appropriate policy and fiscal committees of the  
            Legislature and the Department of Finance (DOF), and requires  
            cost estimates and a timeline for the implementation of each  
            recommendation to be submitted as well.

          4)Requires the committee's recommendations be consistent with  
            any federal guidance under the Elementary and Secondary  
            Education Act of 1965 (ESEA) and the American Recovery and  
            Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA), including any guidance issued  
            for the Race to the Top (RTTT) grant programs.

          5)Prohibits these recommendations or any other proposal to  








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            develop longitudinally valid measures from being implemented  
            until funds are appropriated by the Legislature specifically  
            for that purpose.

           The Senate amendments  :

          1)Make technical changes and add coauthors.

          2)Change the date by which the advisory committee is required to  
            make recommendations to the SPI from July 1, 2011, to January  
            1, 2011.

          3)Change the date by which the SPI is required to forward the  
            committee's recommendations  to the SBE, Legislature and DOF  
            from October 1, 2011, to "immediately upon receipt."

          4)Require the recommendations be consistent with any federal  
            guidance under ESEA and the ARRA, including any guidance  
            issued for the RTTT grant programs.

           EXISTING LAW  :

          1)Requires the SPI, with the approval of the SBE, to develop and  
            implement the API to measure the performance of schools, and  
            to include a variety of indicators, including achievement test  
            results, attendance rates, and graduation rates in that  
            measure, and requires the SPI to establish an advisory  
            committee to provide advice on all appropriate matters  
            relative to the creation of the API.

          2)Directs the advisory committee by July 1, 2005, to make  
            recommendations to the SPI on the appropriateness and  
            feasibility of a methodology for generating a measurement of  
            academic performance by using unique pupil identifiers and  
            annual academic achievement growth to provide a more accurate  
            measure of a school's growth over time.

           AS PASSED BY THE ASSEMBLY  , this bill was substantially similar  
          to the version passed by the Senate.

           FISCAL EFFECT  :  According to the Senate Appropriations  
          Committee, $280,000 to $300,000 one-time General Fund (GF) costs  
          to fully analyze the issues and make recommendations, and  
          potential GF cost pressures in the millions to implement the  
          committee's recommendations.








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           COMMENTS  :  The SPI established, pursuant to SB 1 X1 (Alpert),  
          Chapter 3, Statutes of 1999-2000 First Extraordinary Session, an  
          advisory committee to advise the SPI and the SBE on all  
          appropriate matters relative to the creation of the API,  
          developed the API to measure the performance of schools and  
          districts.  Currently only achievement test results are  
          incorporated into the API, and the API is configured to produce  
          scores measuring a school's performance at each grade level and  
          content area at one point in time.  The API neither measures  
          growth for a specific group of students nor is based on  
          information for individual pupils; in other words the API only  
          reflects the differences in two cohorts of pupils who were in  
          one grade level in two different years or who were in successive  
          grades, rather than actual growth for a fixed set of students or  
          individual students over time.  At the same time, the state's  
          testing system has not been designed to produce test scores  
          (which provide the foundation for the API) that provide a  
          measure of real academic growth for individual pupils or  
          schools.

          There is a broad spectrum of methodologies that could be  
          employed to either eliminate or work around this inability to  
          make comparisons over time.  On one end of that spectrum might  
          be a full vertical scaling effort, which would allow a student's  
          growth to be tracked as the student moves up the score scale  
          that runs from the lowest grade level up through the highest  
          scores at the highest grade level and which would reflect a  
          progression through the content.  Since the API is an  
          aggregation of STAR test scores, vertical scaling of the test  
          scores would eliminate most of the problems associated with  
          using the API to compare school and district performance across  
          time.  At the other end of the spectrum might be approaches that  
          rely on statistical procedures to estimate or project what  
          score, on the average, should be achieved in a given year based  
          on the previous year's score or other information.  In this way  
          a student's or school's actual score can be compared to the  
          projected score, and a judgment could be made about whether the  
          student or school grew at a greater or lesser rate than the  
          average.  There are many other approaches and methodologies that  
          could be employed to allow comparisons over time.  The trade-off  
          among these procedures is generally between the increased  
          validity and accuracy of the results, and the cost and time  
          involved in implementing that approach.  At the two ends of the  
          spectrum, a vertical scaling process would be the most involved  








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          of the approaches, while direct statistical mediations would be  
          less costly and faster; on the other hand statistical mediation  
          does not solve the underlying problems and would suffer from  
          greater validity problems.

          This bill does not presume that any of these approaches is best  
          in terms of either maximizing the validity and accuracy of the  
          comparisons of individual scores or aggregate API measure that  
          will eventually be compared over time, or in terms of minimizing  
          the costs of producing these comparable measures.  Instead this  
          bill directs the advisory committee, with the expertise to  
          balance these goals, to make recommendations on the best course  
          for the state to proceed; the bill does, however, constrain the  
          advisory committee by requiring it to solve this lack of  
          longitudinal comparability for both individual assessment  
          results and for the state's aggregate accountability measure.   
          In other words, this bill leads the advisory committee to those  
          many possible approaches where individual test scores that can  
          validly be compared over time are developed and used to build up  
          to an API that is also longitudinally valid.  What this approach  
          rules out is an approach that mediates the aggregate API measure  
          without allowing the underlying individual test scores to be  
          compared over time.

          This bill also requires the SPI to forward the advisory  
          committee's recommendations, immediately upon receipt, along  
          with cost estimates and a timeline for implementation, to the  
          SBE, the appropriate policy and fiscal committees of the  
          Legislature, and the Department of Finance; in addition, the  
          bill prohibits these recommendations or any other proposal to  
          develop longitudinally valid measures from being implemented  
          until funds are appropriated by the Legislature specifically for  
          that purpose.  Making a change in how we measure progress of  
          both students and schools potentially has significant impacts on  
          individual students, schools and school districts in terms both  
          the state and the federal accountability system, as well as in  
          overall school reform; a change of this significance should have  
          the involvement of the Legislature and the Governor.  This is  
          especially true given the increased importance that these  
          changes have taken on with respect to guidance issued by the  
          U.S. Department of Education regarding the Race to the Top grant  
          programs under ARRA.  For example, the application criteria  
          under RTTT that calls for states to use pupil performance data  
          in the evaluation of teachers only makes sense if a state's  
          testing system is designed to produce scores that clearly  








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          measure growth in individual pupil performance from year to  
          year.  As long as comparisons of a pupil scores over time are  
          invalid, any conclusion about whether specific factors (e.g.,  
          programs or teachers) contributed to growth in a student's  
          performance will be equally invalid.

          Provision 10 of Item 6110-113-0890 of section 2.00 of the Budget  
          Act of 2007 required a study of academic growth measures to  
          evaluate multiple approaches for measuring individual pupil  
          annual growth on the state standards.  The study examined five  
          approaches to measuring growth, including vertical scaling and  
          different statistical mediations.  The study recommended that  
          the state proceed with a regression based approach, consider the  
          development of vertical scales, and not pursue certain specific  
          statistical approaches; the study also provided caveats about  
          the validity problems involved in these approaches, the  
          possibility of misunderstanding or misinterpretation of the  
          resulting comparisons, and the unintended consequences that  
          could occur with the release of growth information to students  
          and parents.  


           Analysis Prepared by  :    Gerald Shelton / ED. / (916) 319-2087

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