BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                       



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                                 THIRD READING


          Bill No:  SCA 10
          Author:   Ashburn
          Amended:  10/6/10
          Vote:     27 - Urgency

           
          PRIOR VOTES NOT RELEVANT 


           SUBJECT  :    State Finance:  Budget reform

           SOURCE  :     Author


           DIGEST  :     Senate Floor Amendments  of 10/6/10 deletes the  
          previous version of the bill relating to statewide  
          initiative measures.

          This constitutional amendment now strengthens the budget  
          reserve fund (colloquially referred to as a "rainy day  
          fund") to be used in economic downturns.  In addition to  
          the three percent of annual revenue designated for deposit  
          in the fund currently, this measure would deposit  
          unanticipated revenues into this reserve fund.

           ANALYSIS  :    Specifics of SCA 10:

          1.  Three Percent Annual Contributions  .  Amends the existing  
             constitutional budget reserve provisions, established by  
             the voters in Proposition 58 of 2004, to do the  
             following:

             A.    Limits the suspension of the annual three-percent  
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                transfer of funding from General Fund to the Budget  
                Stabilization Fund to truly bad revenue years, or  
                when revenue estimates are less than that necessary  
                to support the prior year's expenditures adjusted for  
                population and inflation. 

             B.    Increases target size of the reserve from 5  
                percent to 10 percent of General Fund revenue.  When  
                that threshold is met, the annual contribution from  
                the General Fund to the Budget Stabilization Fund  
                would not be required. 

             C.    Creates the Supplemental Budget Stabilization  
                Account, which can only be used to pay for one-time  
                capital outlay and debt service obligations.

             D.    Defines that of the three percent of General Fund  
                contributions to the Budget Stabilization Fund, half  
                must be transferred to the Supplemental Budget  
                Stabilization Account each year.  

          2.  Unanticipated Revenues  .  Requires that certain  
             unanticipated revenues be transferred to the Budget  
             Stabilization Fund:

             A.    Requires the Director of Finance to forecast the  
                revenue level for the current year and budget year  
                based upon a linear regression analysis of revenues  
                over the last twenty years. 

             B.    Defined unanticipated revenues as the lesser of:

                (1)      Current-year General Fund revenue estimate  
                   minus the current-year revenue forecast based a  
                   20-year revenue regression.

                (2)      Current-year General Fund resources  
                   estimate (revenue, transfers and prior-year  
                   balances) minus the expenditure forecast of  
                   prior year expenditure grown by population and  
                   inflation.

             C.    Directs the unanticipated revenues to the Budget  
                Stabilization Fund except if needed to satisfy  

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                General Fund obligations for education expenditures  
                as specified in Section 8 of the constitution,  
                established by Proposition 98.

          3.  Use of Reserve Funds  .  Specifies the use of funding in  
             the Budget Stabilization Fund.  Restricts the transfer  
             of funds from the Budget Stabilization Fund to the  
             General Fund.   This restriction:
             A.    Limits the transfer of funds from the Budget  
                Stabilization Fund to the General Fund to years when:

                (1)      Total forecast revenues for a fiscal year  
                   are not sufficient to cover the prior year  
                   General Fund expenditures, adjusted for  
                   population and inflation.

                (2)      An emergency, such as an earthquake,  
                   flood, or volcanic eruption is declared by the  
                   Governor.

             B.    Limits the amount transferred from the Budget  
                Stabilization Account to the General Fund to cover  
                the shortfall, which is defined to be the amount of  
                revenue needed (above the revenue estimate) to cover  
                the prior year General Fund expenditures, adjusted  
                for population and inflation. 

             C.    Further limits the amount of funding that can be  
                transferred from the Budget Stabilization Fund to the  
                General Fund to cover a shortfall to be:

                (1)      No more than fifty percent of the balance  
                   of the fund in the first year a transfer is  
                   made.

                (2)      No more than fifty percent of the  
                   remaining  balance of the Budget Stabilization  
                   Fund if a transfer was made in the previous  
                   year.

                (3)      If transfers have been made in the  
                   previous years, the amount is limited by the  
                   shortfall.


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                (4)      This limit does not apply to transfers  
                   made in the event of an emergency.

             D.    Once the Budget Stabilization Fund exceeds the  
                10-percent of General Fund revenue, directs  
                unanticipated revenues to retire outstanding  
                budgetary obligations in the following order:

                (1)      First use of these funds would be for  
                   outstanding obligations for local government  
                   payments, articulated in Article XIII  
                   (Proposition 1A), transportation funding  
                   (Proposition 42) obligations, and bond  
                   indebtedness.

                (2)      Any remaining funds could be used for one  
                   time expenditures, unfunded  
                   liabilities-including pension liabilities,  
                   transferred to the Budget Stabilization Fund, or  
                   returned to taxpayers on a one-time basis.

               E.      Allows borrowing from the Budget Stabilization  
                  Fund within a fiscal year for cash management  
                  purposes.

           Existing Law  :

          Proposition 58 of 2004 added constitutional provisions that  
          established a rainy day fund, called the Budget  
          Stabilization Account (BSA).  Three percent of annual  
          General Fund revenues are transferred by the State  
          Controller into the account no later than September 30 of  
          each fiscal year until the balance in the account reaches  
          $8 billion or five percent of General Fund revenues,  
          whichever is greater. The annual transfer requirement is in  
          effect whenever the balance falls below the $8 billion or  
          five percent target. 

          The annual transfers can be suspended or reduced for a  
          fiscal year by an executive order issued by the Governor no  
          later than June 1 of the preceding fiscal year. 

          Funds in the BSA can be transferred from this account to  
          the General Fund through a majority vote of the Legislature  

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          and approval of the Governor. Spending of these monies from  
          the General Fund could be made for various  
          purposes-including to cover budget shortfalls-generally  
          with a two-thirds vote of the Legislature (same as current  
          law).

           Comment  

          This proposal is similar to Proposition 1A of 2009, which  
          was rejected by voters in May of 2009.   

          The major differences between the provisions of this  
          measure and Proposition 1A are:

          1. Proposition 1A did not restrict the amount of funding  
             that could be withdrawn from the Budget Stabilization  
             Fund in one year.

          2. The Budget Stabilization Fund had to reach 12.5 percent,  
             instead of 10 percent in this measure, before the  
             transfer to the fund would cease and any additional  
             funds could be used for one-time purposes.

          3. The anticipated revenues trend line was calculated on a  
             ten year regression in Proposition 1A and are calculated  
             on a twenty year regression trend in this measure.

          4. Proposition 1A was linked to Proposition 1B of 2009, and  
             was a funding source for that initiative.

          FISCAL EFFECT  :    Appropriation:  No   Fiscal Com.:  Yes    
          Local:  No

          This bill results in increased funding in the state "rainy  
          day" reserve account.   It also increases state spending on  
          repaying budgetary borrowing and debt, and infrastructure  
          projects. Finally, the additional reserve reduces the  
          extent of state cash borrowing, resulting in reduced  
          external-borrowing costs.


          DLW:do  10/6/10   Senate Floor Analyses 

                       SUPPORT/OPPOSITION:  NONE RECEIVED

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