BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    




            SENATE REVENUE & TAXATION COMMITTEE

            Senator Lois Wolk, Chair

                                                      SB 96 - Ducheny

                                           Introduced: January 26, 2009

                                                                       

            Hearing: June 10, 2009     Tax Levy         Fiscal: Yes




            SUMMARY:  Modifies Personal Income Tax Brackets;  
                      Establishes 9%, 9.5%, 10%, 10.5%, and 11%  
                      Brackets.


                      

                 EXISTING LAW applies the following tax rates by income  
            band for single filers for tax year 2008 (breakpoints are  
            double the below thresholds for joint filers; breakpoints  
            for head of household filers 68.058% of joint filers):







                 EXISTING LAW adds .25 percent, or twenty five basis  
            points, to the tax rate for all brackets the 2009 and 2010  
            tax years (ABx3 3, Evans, 2009).   The .25 increase would  
            have applied for the 2011 and 2012 had voters approved  
            Proposition 1A (2009) in the May 19, 2009 special election.  
             The Franchise Tax Board indexes the bracket breakpoints  
            for inflation each year by measuring changes in the  
            California Consumer Price Index.  The brackets are  
            cumulative, meaning that the 1% tax rate applies to the  
            first $7,168 of any taxpayer's taxable income; the 2% rate  
            applies to that marginal amount of income between $7,168  








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            and $16,994, and so forth, regardless of the taxpayer's  
            total amount of taxable income.

                 EXISTING LAW also applies a 7% rate to alternative  
            minimum income.  Generally, the AMT seeks to ensure that  
            higher income taxpayers who can use exclusions, deductions,  
            and credits pay some minimum amount of tax.  

                 EXISTING LAW further applies a 1% surcharge upon  
            incomes over $1 million for all filing statuses to fund  
            mental health programs (Proposition 63, 2004)

                 THIS BILL revises the above brackets starting in the  
            2009 tax year in the following ways (changes also apply to  
            taxpayers filing as married filing jointly or head of  
            household in the same manner as existing brackets):

                             Reduces the current 9.3 (2008)/ 9.55  
                      (2009 and 2010) to 9% for taxpayers filing  
                      separately with taxable incomes between $47,055  
                      and $60,000.
                             Enacts a 9.5% bracket for taxpayers with  
                      taxable income between $60,000 and $125,000.

                             Enacts a 10% bracket for taxpayers with  
                      taxable income between $125,000 and $250,000.

                             Enacts a 10.5% bracket for taxpayers with  
                      taxable income between $250,000 and $500,000.

                             Enacts an 11% bracket for taxpayers with  
                      taxable income above $500,000.  The Proposition  
                      63 surcharge would also apply for these  
                      taxpayers, pushing the marginal rate for  
                      taxpayers with more than $1 million in taxable  
                      income to 12%.

                 THIS BILL also increases the alternative minimum tax  
            amount from 7% to 8.5%.


            FISCAL EFFECT: 








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                 According to the Franchise Tax Board, SB 16 results in  
            revenue gains of $1.2 billion in 2009-10, $2.2 billion in  
            2010-11, and $2.9 billion in 2011-12.


            COMMENTS:

            

            A.   Purpose of the Bill

                 According to the Author, "Working families spend more  
            of their income on necessities and a proportionally larger  
            share of those dollars in the local economy.  A small tax  
            cut during these recessionary times, therefore, would act  
            as a stimulus to local California businesses at a critical  
            juncture.  During the past two decades income disparities  
            between those on the higher end of the economic ladder and  
            those of lesser means, has grown at a significant rate.   
            This growing disparity makes it harder to count upon  
            working families to support critical government services.   
            Additionally, since those in higher income brackets receive  
            a much larger return on federally deductible state property  
            and income taxes, Californians would receive more of their  
            money back in federal returns, making the bill a useful  
            tool in obtaining a larger share of return on the money  
            that Californians send to Washington, DC. Finally, the  
            state has gone to the higher 10% and 11% tax brackets  
            during difficult economic times.  Under Governor Reagan the  
            personal income tax was increased to 10 and 11% and then  
            again under the Wilson administration to help solve the  
            $14.3 billion dollar budget deficit the state faced in  
            1991.



            B.   Marty McFly is Alive and Well

                 SB 96 proposes to take California's income tax rates  
            back to the future by increasing rates on higher-income  
            taxpayers in a way similar, but not identical, to measures  








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            taken in the early 1990's.  Between 1991 and 1996,  
            California applied 10 and 11% rates on income above  
            $100,000 and $200,000 respectively (SB 169, Alquist, 1991),  
            and ended when voters elected against extending the higher  
            income tax rates (Proposition 217, 1996).  The bill seeks  
            to increase state revenues during a time of extreme fiscal  
            stress by applying a strategy previously used during the  
            last severe recession in California.  



            C.   Bracketology

                 California's income tax rates are well known for their  
            progressivity, where marginal rates increase as income  
            grows.  Progressive income tax systems rely on both equity  
            considerations, where the wealthy are taxed at higher rates  
            than the poor because they can better afford to pay the  
            tax, and the economic concept of diminishing marginal  
            utility, where more affluent taxpayers have a smaller need  
            for each additional marginal dollar than those with less  
            income; however, conservatives argue for equal tax rates  
            upon all amounts of income (the "flat tax") using equity  
            and efficiency arguments too.  Federal law and all states  
            applying an income tax do so using a progressive system,  
            although the degree of progressivity varies from state to  
            state.  

                 As part of the budget agreement enacted in February of  
            this year, California enacted income tax increases to make  
            the state's income tax system less progressive by  
            increasing each rate by 25 basis points, thereby ensuring  
            that all taxpayers with income tax liabilities shoulder the  
            burden of tax increase.  SB 96 repeals the less progressive  
            changes that will currently apply in 2009 for considerably  
            more progressive income tax rates.  In doing so, the bill  
            presents a clear choice for policymakers by shifting the  
            costs of financing public services from taxpayers with less  
            income to those with more.  

                 According to FTB, SB 96 would have the following tax  
            effect for each taxpayer, net of federal deductibility  








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            (taxpayers can blunt the impact of increased state income  
            taxes by deducting them from income for federal tax,  
            resulting in lower federal revenues, so the federal  
            government pays some of SB 96's tax increase).

                  



             ----------------------------------------------------------- 
            |For single    |       |        |        |        |         |
            |taxpayers     |       |        |        |        |         |
            |--------------+-------+--------+--------+--------+---------|
            |AGI (Adjusted |       | $      | $      |        |         |
            |Gross Income) |$60,000 |100,000 |200,000 |$500,000 |$1,000,000 |
            |              |       |        |        |        |         |
            |--------------+-------+--------+--------+--------+---------|
            |Deductions    |       | $      | $      |        |         |
            |              |$10,000 |15,000  |30,000  |$70,000 |$125,000 |
            |--------------+-------+--------+--------+--------+---------|
            |Net tax       | -$100 | -$145  | -$14   | $1,525 | $6,061  |
            |change        |       |        |        |        |         |
            |--------------+-------+--------+--------+--------+---------|
            |              |       |        |        |        |         |
            |--------------+-------+--------+--------+--------+---------|
            |For joint     |       |        |        |        |         |
            |taxpayers     |       |        |        |        |         |
            |--------------+-------+--------+--------+--------+---------|
            |AGI           |       |        |        |        |         |
            |              |$100,000 |$200,000 |$500,000 |$1,000,000 |$2,000,000 |
            |--------------+-------+--------+--------+--------+---------|
            |deductions    |       |        |        |        |         |
            |              |$20,000 |$40,000 |$100,000 |$150,000 |$200,000 |
            |--------------+-------+--------+--------+--------+---------|
            |Net tax       | -$176 | -$316  | $173   | $2,979 | $12,661 |
            |change        |       |        |        |        |         |
             ----------------------------------------------------------- 




            D.   Of Geese and Golden Eggs








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                 The personal income tax, especially in California, has  
            been roundly criticized as a volatile revenue source with  
            exacerbates California feast-or-famine fiscal condition.   
            Income tax receipts as a share of California's total  
            revenues have grown considerably over the years, growing  
            from 11.3% of total revenues in 1950-51 to a peak of 57.5%  
            of total revenues in 2000-01, but receded to 53.4% in  
            2007-08.  Because of the progressive structure, 88.5% of  
            personal income tax revenue comes from the top 20% of  
            taxpayers by income, with the top 1% of taxpayers, 144 in  
            all, pay almost half of total income tax receipts.   
            California's ability to finance public services relies in  
            large part on the economic fortunes of a very small set of  
            taxpayers.  Because the income of these taxpayers include a  
            larger share from capital gains, which are much more  
            volatile than wages, California has seen changes of 10% or  
            more in total income tax receipts in ten of the last  
            thirteen years.  

                 However, income volatility is not inherently  
            undesirable; the phenomenon only becomes a problem if the  
            state assumes that income tax receipts are predictable.  To  
            demonstrate this concept, erstwhile Senate Revenue and  
            Taxation Committee consultant Martin Helmke created the  
            "Parable of the Goose that Laid the Golden Eggs."   
            According to the parable, two islands both had magical  
            geese that laid golden eggs; however, one goose always laid  
            one egg per year, whereas the other laid eggs on an  
            unpredictable schedule: some years the goose produced  
            several eggs, but would then fail to make any for several  
            years.  The people of the island housing the less  
            consistent goose grew frustrated with the lack of  
            predictability of wealth, eventually killing the goose, and  
            ending the future flow of golden eggs.  The parable seeks  
            to demonstrate the lesson that income unpredictability and  
            volatility is only a problem when one expects stability and  
            capitalizes decisions assuming such stability. 












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            Support and Opposition

                 Support:California Professional Firefighters  
            Association



                 Oppose:California Taxpayers' Association

                        Howard Jarvis Taxpayers' Association


            ---------------------------------

            Consultant: Colin Grinnell