BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    �




                   Senate Appropriations Committee Fiscal Summary
                           Senator Christine Kehoe, Chair


          AB 43 (Monning) - Medi-Cal eligibility.
          
          Amended: May 27, 2011           Policy Vote: Health 5-2
          Urgency: No                     Mandate: Yes
          Hearing Date: August 16, 2012                          
          Consultant: Brendan McCarthy    
          
          SUSPENSE FILE.
          
          
          Bill Summary: AB 43 would extend Medi-Cal eligibility to all 
          non-pregnant, non-Medicare eligible, childless adults with 
          income below 138 percent of the federal poverty level, pursuant 
          to a requirement of the federal Affordable Care Act.

          Fiscal Impact: By expanding Medi-Cal eligibility to all 
          childless adults under 65 years of age with household income 
          below 138 percent of the federal poverty level, the bill 
          substantially increases the eligible population, increasing 
          program costs. Recent simulations performed by researchers at 
          the University of California indicate that between 1.2 million 
          and 1.6 million additional people will enroll in Medi-Cal under 
          the expansion. Under the Affordable Care the federal financial 
          participation will be substantially higher than current practice 
          - starting at 100 percent and declining to 90 percent by 2020. 
          Costs and savings associated with the bill include:

              Increased federal spending for Medi-Cal - up to $5.5 
              billion per year starting in 2015-16, rising to about $6.5 
              billion per year in 2018-19

              Increased General Fund spending for Medi-Cal - up to $155 
              million per year in 2016-17, rising up to $452 million per 
              year in 2018-19.

              Increased costs to perform eligibility determinations and 
              provide case management of about $300 million per year (50% 
              General Fund and 50% federal funds).

              General Fund savings to other state health subsidy programs 
              - up to $290 million per year in 2013-14 rising up to about 
              $760 million per year by 2018-19. 








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              The state operates many programs to provide health coverage 
              to certain populations, such as the Major Risk Medical 
              Insurance Program, the AIDS Drug Assistance Program, and 
              others. Under the Affordable Care Act and this bill, a 
              significant number of people enrolled in those programs will 
              be eligible for Medi-Cal and will no longer need services 
              from those programs. Because of the enhanced federal match 
              for the newly eligible Medi-Cal population (and the varying 
              level of federal financial participation in those other 
              programs) the state will see significant General Fund 
              savings from the transition of some of those populations to 
              Medi-Cal.


          Note that the cost estimates above assume all newly-eligible 
          persons enroll in Medi-Cal. In practice, even with a mandate to 
          have health coverage, not all eligible persons will enroll, 
          therefore the costs above represent a likely upper bound of 
          additional costs. 

          Also, AB 43 does not eliminate any of the state's existing 
          health subsidy programs. While it is reasonable to assume that 
          many participants in those programs would transition to Medi-Cal 
          under the bill, some program participants may wish to remain in 
          their existing programs, for example if the program has access 
          to a more specialized network of providers than is available for 
          Medi-Cal beneficiaries. Therefore, the savings estimates above 
          may ultimately overstate the potential savings to the state, 
          absent changes to those other programs.

          Background: Under state and federal law, the Department of 
          Health Care Services operates the Medi-Cal program, which 
          provides health care coverage to pregnant women, children and 
          their parents with incomes below 100 percent of the federal 
          poverty level, as well as blind, disabled, or certain other 
          populations. Generally, the federal government provides a 50 
          percent federal match for state Medi-Cal expenditures. Under 
          federal law, most Medi-Cal services are only available to 
          citizens and legal immigrants.

          The federal Affordable Care Act requires states to expand 
          Medicaid (Medi-Cal in California) eligibility to persons under 
          65 years of age, who are not pregnant, not entitled to Medicare 








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          Part A or enrolled in Medicare Part B, and whose income does not 
          exceed 133 percent of the federal poverty level (effectively 138 
          percent of the federal poverty level as calculated under the 
          Affordable Care Act). 

          The Affordable Care Act provides a significantly enhanced 
          federal match for the Medicaid expansion. Under the law, the 
          federal government will pay for 100 percent of the cost of the 
          Medicaid expansion in 2013-14 declining to a 90 percent federal 
          match in the 2020 federal fiscal year.

          Proposed Law: AB 43 would implement the Medicaid expansion in 
          California, by expanding eligibility for Medi-Cal to all legal 
          residents under 65 years of age, who are not pregnant, not 
          eligible for Medicare, and whose income does not exceed 138 
          percent of the federal poverty level.

          The bill would permit the Department to phase in coverage for 
          these newly eligible individuals.

          The bill would require the Department (in accordance with the 
          state's existing Bridge to Reform Medicaid Waiver) to prepare a 
          transition plan to Medi-Cal for individuals who are eligible for 
          the Medicaid expansion and who are or will be covered as part of 
          the Bridge to Reform waiver.

          Related Legislation: 
              SB 677 (Hernandez) would prohibit the use of asset tests 
              for determining eligibility for Medi-Cal, with certain 
              exceptions. The bill would also require the use of modified 
              adjusted gross income when determining Medi-Cal eligibility, 
              with certain exceptions. That bill is in the Assembly Health 
              Committee.

              SB 1487 (Hernandez) would extend Medi-Cal eligibility to 
              former foster youth up to 26 years of age. The bill would 
              also state legislative intent to enact in state law any 
              provisions of the Affordable Care Act that are struck down 
              by the Supreme Court. That bill was held on this committee's 
              Suspense File.

          Staff Comments: The bill is keyed as a reimbursable mandate 
          because county social service programs perform eligibility 
          determinations for Medi-Cal and are responsible for certain case 








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          management. Those costs to the counties are reimbursed through 
          the Medi-Cal program.