BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    �



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          ASSEMBLY THIRD READING
          AB 1963 (Huber)
          As Amended May 29, 2012
          Majority vote 

           REVENUE & TAXATION                                              
                                                        (vote not 
          relevant)
           -------------------------------- 
          |     |                          |
           -------------------------------- 
           SUMMARY  :  Requires the Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) to 
          submit a report to the Legislature assessing potential changes 
          to the state income and sales and use tax (SUT) laws to reduce 
          revenue volatility, diversify revenue sources, and improve 
          California's economic climate.    Specifically,  this bill  :

          1)States that it is the Legislature's intent to reduce General 
            Fund (GF) revenue volatility, as identified in the January 
            2005 report by the LAO.  Provides that, to achieve this 
            objective, the Legislature must have an analysis of the 
            methods by which a reduction in revenue volatility may be 
            achieved without a reduction or increase in the total 
            available revenue. 
           
           2)Requires the LAO report to include:
           
              a)   A review of California's current and historical revenue 
               volatility, including the percentage of the gross state 
               product that is made up by the GF budget over a period of 
               10 years;
              
              b)   Proposals for tax reforms that would end California's 
               revenue volatility, are sum revenue neutral, and do not 
               require amendments to the California Constitution.  
               Provides that, to the extent possible, the LAO shall use 
               dynamic revenue modeling in determining viable proposals;
              
              c)   An explanation of the calculations needed to determine 
               revenue neutrality;
              
              d)   An analysis of the effect a reduction of taxation on 
               individual income would have upon state revenues and 
               revenue volatility; and, 








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              e)   An analysis of the effect of imposing a tax on the sale 
               or use of services, concurrent with a reduction of the SUT 
               rate.  Provides that this analysis shall include whether a 
               credit or exemption to the services tax should apply to the 
               sale of services between businesses.  This analysis shall 
               also include the positive or negative revenue impact of 
               excluding the following services from taxation:
              
                i)     Necessary or licensed medical services;
                
                ii)    Services related to education;
                
                iii)   Automotive repair services;
                
                iv)    Accounting, auditing, and other services provided by 
                 licensed accountants or licensed accounting firms;
                
                v)     Legal services provided by licensed attorneys;
                
                vi)    Services related to agriculture and livestock;
                
                vii)   Services related to housing, real estate, and 
                 construction; 
                
                viii)  Services related to banking; and, 
                
                ix)    Securities and investment management services.   

          EXISTING LAW  imposes:

          1)Taxes under the Personal Income Tax Law based upon taxable 
            income, at specified rates.

          2)A sales tax on retailers for the privilege of selling tangible 
            personal property (TPP), absent a specific exemption.  The tax 
            is based upon the retailer's gross receipts from TPP sales in 
            this state.  

           FISCAL EFFECT  :  Assembly Revenue and Taxation Committee staff 
          estimates that this bill would have no impact on GF revenues.  

           COMMENTS  :  The author has provided the following statement in 
          support of this bill:









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               According to the Legislative Analyst's Office, the basic 
               elements of California's current state tax system were 
               put in place in the late 1920s and early 1930s.  With 
               the exception of Prop 13, California's tax system has 
               remained largely unchanged. 

               Approximately 80 percent of the state's own-source 
               revenue comes from three sources: the personal income 
               tax (PIT), the sales and use tax (SUT) and the 
               corporation tax (CT), with the largest source of 
               �General Fund] dollars being derived from the PIT. 

               As a result, the current tax system has failed to adapt 
               to a "21st Century" economy where services and 
               E-commerce play a major role.  The �General Fund] has 
               become heavily dependent upon the PIT, which accounts 
               for roughly 40 percent of all state revenues and 
               one-half of General Fund revenues.  This is problematic 
               because most of the PIT is generated by a relatively 
               small number of taxpayers with the highest incomes, thus 
               making the PIT revenue stream very volatile - producing 
               huge surpluses in the good economic times and huge 
               deficits when the economy take�s] a turn for the worse.

               AB 1963 seeks to examine what effect diversifying and 
               stabilizing the state's revenue stream would have on 
               stabilizing our manic tax revenue structure.  


          Assembly Revenue and Taxation Committee Staff Comments:

           What does this bill do  ?  This bill would require the LAO to 
          submit a report to the Legislature assessing potential changes 
          to the state's income and SUT laws in order to reduce revenue 
          volatility, diversify revenue sources, and improve California's 
          economic climate.  The LAO would be required to submit the 
          report on or before July 1, 2013.    


           Analysis Prepared by  :    M. David Ruff / REV. & TAX. / (916) 
          319-2098 


                                                               FN: 0003934 









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