BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    �



                                                                  AB 2210
                                                                  Page  1

          Date of Hearing:  May 9, 2012

                       ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON LOCAL GOVERNMENT
                                Cameron Smyth, Chair
                    AB 2210 (Smyth) - As Amended:  April 30, 2012
           
          SUBJECT  :  County assessors: notification.

           SUMMARY  :   Requires a county assessor to, upon request, estimate 
          whether annual property valuations for the county have decreased 
          by 3% or more, and if so, to notify the requesting body and 
          other specified state and local agencies of the decrease.  
          Specifically,  this bill  :  

          1)Requires the assessor, within 30 days of receiving the request 
            by the governing body of the jurisdiction and in cooperation 
            with the tax collector, to estimate whether property 
            valuations have decreased by 3% or more. 

          2)Requires, if property valuations have decreased by an 
            estimated 3% or more, the assessor to issue a written report 
            notifying the requesting body before the end of the 30 day 
            period.

          3)Requires the assessor, within 15 days of notifying the 
            requesting body, to notify the Department of Finance, the 
            board of supervisors of the county, the governing board of 
            cities, affected school districts, and any other entity 
            affected by the estimated decrease in property valuation.

          4)Requires that, if the Commission on State Mandates determines 
            that this act contains costs mandated by the state, 
            reimbursement to local agencies and school districts for those 
            costs shall be made pursuant to existing law.

          5)Makes findings and declarations related to the need for 
            up-to-date financial revenue information at the county level. 

           EXISTING LAW  requires a county assessor, upon the request of the 
          governing body of the jurisdiction where the assessor performs 
          the duty of assessing taxes, to furnish an estimate of the 
          assessed valuation of property within the jurisdiction for the 
          succeeding fiscal year.

           FISCAL EFFECT  :  Unknown.  This bill is keyed fiscal and a 








                                                                  AB 2210
                                                                  Page  2

          state-mandated local program.

           COMMENTS  :

          1)AB 2210 is intended to ensure that local governments may 
            receive adequate notice of any substantial decrease in 
            property tax valuations in order to help them make more 
            informed budget decisions. This measure is author-sponsored.

          2)The genesis for this bill comes out of recent events in Los 
            Angeles County, where the Assessor is under investigation for 
            allegedly soliciting campaign contributions in exchange for 
            lowered property valuations.  As part of that investigation, 
            it became known that the Assessor alerted the Los Angeles 
            County Board of Supervisors in April 2012 that the county's 
            property valuations and resulting tax base would be 
            dramatically lower than what he had 


          forecast in December 2011.  Specifically, the Assessor 
            originally told the board in December 2011 that the estimated 
            decrease in the property tax base would be roughly $2.6 
            billion, but in his April 2012 communication to the board 
            revised the estimated decrease to $13.5 billion. 

          According to the author, "�a] drop of this magnitude has far 
            reaching impacts.  The state is required to ensure schools are 
            funded at minimum levels, so any drop in property tax falls on 
            the state to backfill.  Likewise, cities, school districts, 
            district hospitals, and other local municipalities that rely 
            on property taxes must adjust as property tax rolls are 
            adjusted.  The blind-sided nature of the announced drop in LA 
            County complicates matters even further for every level of 
            budget planning."

          3)Under existing law, the governing body of a local taxing 
            jurisdiction may ask (by February 20th) the assessor's office 
            to provide by May 15th an estimate of the assessed valuation 
            of the property within the jurisdiction.  The purpose would be 
            to give the governing body a rough sense of what kind of 
            revenues to expect from property taxes, which would then help 
            guide that body's budget-making process. 

          This bill would authorize a kind of "early warning" notification 
            if the assessor's estimate of property valuation for the 








                                                                  AB 2210
                                                                  Page  3

            succeeding year would constitute a decrease of 3% or more.  As 
            written, the assessor would be required to, upon request, 
            complete an estimation of property valuations within 30 days 
            of an initial request.  If valuations were estimated to drop 
            more than 3%, the assessor would be required to issue a 
            written report to the governing body before the 30 days had 
            elapsed. 

          Furthermore, the assessor's office would be required to notify 
            the Department of Finance, the county board of supervisors, 
            the governing boards of the cities within that county, all 
            affected school districts, and any other public entity 
            affected by the decrease in property valuation within 15 days 
            of notifying the governing body that made the initial request.

            According to the Santa Clara County Assessor's Office (SCCAO), 
            "�t]he idea of assessors forecasting assessed values was 
            started in 1965, and was originally limited to Los Angeles 
            County.  The practice was expanded in the early 1970's in 
            response to hyper inflation and significant economic 
            turbulence.  It was created for a bygone, pre-Proposition 13 
            era when assessors were raising assessed values en masse." 

          4)This bill is opposed by SCCAO, which contends that assessors 
            should not be in the estimation business at all:  "By 
            necessity, training and law, assessors must look backward on 
            transactions that have actually occurred in the real estate 
            marketplace.  Assessors do not possess the skill set or 
            information required to accurately project future property tax 
            revenue. Forecasting is the proper role of economists and 
            budget analysts.  As assessor, I regularly decline requests by 
            cities and school districts to provide projections, and would 
            be unable to comply, with any degree of accuracy or 
            reliability, the estimates demanded in AB 2210?

          The problem faced by Los Angeles County, whereby County 
            officials relied on the assessor to forecast property tax 
            revenue, only to subsequently learn that the forecast missed 
            the projected targets, underscores why AB 2210 is the wrong 
            solution?The problem in Los Angeles, the only county I am 
            aware of in which the assessor was requested to provide these 
            types of "hard and fast" estimates to their Board of 
            Supervisors, has not surfaced before because most years 
            assessed values were increasing, so policy makers were not 
            concerned if an assessor's conservative estimates did not 








                                                                  AB 2210
                                                                  Page  4

            reflect actual property tax revenue."

            SCCAO points out that it does provide preliminary semi-annual 
            data on assessment roll activity to the Department of Finance, 
            but the data is heavily qualified and used only as part of a 
            larger data set: "?our comments are based on limited data 
            available, and are typically driven by point-in-time workload 
            completion statistics, and  not  changes in the market place.  
            Moreover, since the deadline for businesses to report their 
            business personal property is May 7th, we obviously have no 
            reliable information regarding the unsecured assessment roll 
            until mid-June?Real time data is useful in indicating trends.  
            However, I would jeopardize the trust, confidence and 
            credibility of my office by rendering projections that are not 
            based upon reliable, current market data."

          5)SCCAO contends that this bill should move away from mandating 
            future roll estimates: "Instead of applying a flawed and 
            outdated practice to all of California, I would recommend that 
            you amend AB 2210 to  prohibit  assessors from forecasting 
            assessed values.  In the final analysis you do not want the 
            governmental entity that is constitutionally mandated to 
            enroll accurate assessed values, to also be predicting those 
            same values in advance.  I would urge you to work with 
            assessors to provide more timely information about the current 
            state of the assessment roll and the work completed."

          The Committee may wish to inquire as to what specific interim 
            data could be provided by assessors to local decision-making 
            bodies that would be more reliable and useful in budget 
            planning than the general estimate already required upon 
            request under existing law.

          6)This bill is keyed a state mandate which means that if the 
            Commission on State Mandates deems this a reimbursable 
            mandate, then the state could be responsible for the notice 
            and other costs associated with this bill.

           7)Supporting arguments  :  According to the author, "�t]he 
            scandals in the Cities of Bell and Vernon demonstrated the 
            need for more transparency in local government.  Likewise, the 
            brewing scandal in the Los Angeles County Assessor's Office 
            proves that further transparency is needed to ensure that 
            governing bodies have the appropriate information to make 
            informed decisions when budgeting?"








                                                                  AB 2210
                                                                  Page  5


           Opposition arguments  :  According to the Santa Clara County 
            Assessor's Office, "�a]s proposed, AB 2210 would amplify 
            statewide the very problem you are seeking to correct. 
            Thousands of cities, schools and counties would come to rely 
            upon estimates from the assessor that are little more than an 
            informed guess."

           







          REGISTERED SUPPORT / OPPOSITION  :

           Support 
           
          None on file

           Opposition 
           
          Santa Clara County Assessor's Office
           
          Analysis Prepared by  :    Hank Dempsey / L. GOV. / (916) 319-3958