BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    �



                                                                      



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          |SENATE RULES COMMITTEE            |                    SB 15|
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                                 THIRD READING


          Bill No:  SB 15
          Author:   DeSaulnier (D) and Wolk (D), et al.
          Amended:  5/19/11
          Vote:     21

           
           SENATE GOVERNANCE & FINANCE COMMITTEE  :  8-0, 3/30/11
          AYES:  Wolk, Huff, DeSaulnier, Hancock, Hernandez, Kehoe, 
            La Malfa, Liu
          NO VOTE RECORDED:  Fuller

           SENATE BUDGET & FISCAL REVIEW COMMITTEE  :  14-0, 5/12/11
          AYES:  Leno, Huff, Anderson, DeSaulnier, Emmerson, Evans, 
            Fuller, Hancock, La Malfa, Liu, Lowenthal, Rubio, Wolk, 
            Wright
          NO VOTE RECORDED:  Alquist, Simitian


           SUBJECT  :    State budget

           SOURCE  :     State Controller John Chiang
                      California Forward


           DIGEST  :    This bill places additional reporting 
          requirements on the Department of Finance (DOF) related to 
          the annual budget process.

           ANALYSIS  :    Under the current State Constitution, the 
          Legislature has the power to appropriate State funds and 
          make midyear adjustments to those appropriations.  The 
          annual State budget act is the Legislature's primary method 
          of authorizing expenses for a particular fiscal year.  
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          Also, under the current State Constitution, the Governor is 
          required to propose a balanced budget by January 10 for the 
          next fiscal year (beginning July 1) and the Legislature is 
          required to pass the annual budget act by June 15.  Under 
          current law, the Governor may also reduce or eliminate 
          specific appropriation items using his or her "line-item 
          veto" power and the Legislature may override a veto with a 
          two-thirds vote in each house.  However, once the budget 
          has been approved by the Legislature and the Governor, 
          current law provides the Governor with limited authority to 
          reduce spending during the year without legislative 
          approval.

           Proposed Law
           
          This bill commencing in 2015, or earlier if funding for its 
          purposes is appropriated in the annual Budget Act, requires 
          that the Director of Finance provide the Legislature 
          updated projections of state revenues and state 
          expenditures on or before October 15 of each year.

          This bill requires the Governor to submit a budget for both 
          the budget year and the succeeding fiscal year.  The budget 
          shall contain itemized statements, provisional language, 
          performance measurement standards for state agencies and 
          programs, recommended state expenditures, and a projection 
          of anticipated state revenues, including revenues 
          anticipated to be one-time revenue.

          This bill also requires that the budget contain a 
          projection of state expenditures and revenues for the three 
          fiscal years following the fiscal year succeeding the 
          budget year and budget plans for those three fiscal years.  


          If the expenditures exceed estimated revenues in the budget 
          year or succeeding fiscal year, this bill requires that the 
          Governor to recommend reductions in expenditures or the 
          sources of additional revenues, or both.  The bill further 
          requires an analysis of the recommendations on the 
          long-term impact that expenditure reductions or additional 
          revenues have on the economy of California.

          This bill also requires the Governor to submit to the 

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          Legislature, annually with the budget, any legislation 
          needed to implement appropriations contained in the budget 
          and a five-year capital infrastructure and strategic growth 
          plan.

          This bill requires that if the Governor's budget expands or 
          creates a new program or expands the scope of an existing 
          program, which results in an increase in state costs or 
          reduces a state tax in the budget year or succeeding year, 
          the proposal must be accompanied by a statement identifying 
          state program reductions or additional revenue that are 
          equal or greater than the net increase in the state costs 
          of the new or expanded program or tax expenditure.  

          This bill also states that it is the intent of the 
          Legislature to establish an oversight process one year 
          after the enactment of this legislation for evaluating and 
          improving the performance of all programs undertaken by the 
          state or by local entities on behalf of the state, based on 
          performance standards.  

           Comments
           
          This bill seeks to provide more information to the 
          Legislature so that they will better understand the impacts 
          of decisions they make on the fiscal health of the state in 
          subsequent budget years.  One-time solutions adopted by the 
          Legislature can provide for temporary budgetary relief and 
          have a role, but in recent years ongoing budgetary 
          reductions have also been needed to bring expenditures in 
          line with long-term revenue projections.  This bill seeks 
          to introduce more information into the process to inform 
          decision makers of the impacts and tradeoffs of budgetary 
          decisions.

          The DOF currently prepares a five year projection commonly 
          referred to as the multi-year projection.  These 
          projections are not included in budget submissions on the 
          department's Web site, but are officially transmitted to 
          the Legislature on the day the budget is released.  It is 
          unclear whether incorporating this information more 
          officially in the DOF's submissions would increase the 
          likelihood that the Legislature uses this information to 
          inform a final budget package.  Ultimately, there are many 

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          factors entering into final decisions on the budget package 
          and this information is just one of those inputs. 

          This bill requires the DOF to do an analysis of the 
          long-term impacts that expenditure reductions or additional 
          revenues have on the economy of California.  The DOF has 
          explored general equilibrium modeling to measure the 
          economic impacts of budgetary policies in the past.  
          However, this modeling was found to be highly sensitive to 
          the assumptions used in the model and was eventually 
          discontinued by the DOF because it did not provide the type 
          of information that was directly valuable to forecasting 
          revenues and budget planning.  While this sort of analysis 
          may be interesting from an academic perspective, it would 
          significantly increase the workload of the DOF and likely 
          not provide significant value to the budget making process.

           FISCAL EFFECT  :    Appropriation:  No   Fiscal Com.:  Yes   
          Local:  No

          According to the Senate Budget Committee analysis:

          The direct fiscal effects of this bill are a few million 
          and are dependent upon how this bill is implemented by the 
          Administration.  The Department of Finance currently does a 
          five year projection when preparing the annual budget bill 
          and makes an estimate of the multi-year impact of policies 
          it proposes.  However, this bill may require a more 
          detailed analysis be done for the second budget year and 
          also requires additional analyses that are not currently 
          required, such as an analysis of the impact of budgetary 
          expenditures and revenues on the economy.

          There may be unknown savings attributable to this bill 
          based on better more informed multi-year planning by the 
          Administration and the Legislature.  However, these effects 
          will ultimately depend on future actions by the 
          Administration and Legislature.

           SUPPORT  :   (Verified  5/19/11)

          State Controller John Chiang (co-source)
          California Forward (co-source)
          AARP

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          American Association of University Women
          American Federation of State, County and Municipal 
          Employees
          Bay Area Council
          Business Council of San Joaquin County
          California Alliance of Child and Family Services
          California Church IMPACT
          California Partnership for the San Joaquin Valley
          California Senior Advocates League
          California State Student Association
          Contra Costa Council
          Fresno Business Council
          Greenlining Institute
          Half Moon Bay Coastside Chamber of Commerce
          Huntington Beach Chamber of Commerce
          Kern County Taxpayers Association
          Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce
          Marin Builders' Association
          San Francisco Chamber of Commerce
          San Gabriel Valley Economic Partnership
          San Mateo County Economic Development Association
          Santa Clara and San Benito Counties Building and 
            Construction Trades Council
          Santa Cruz County Medical Society
          Saving California Communities
          State Building and Construction Trades Council of 
          California
          Silicon Valley Leadership Group
          Valley Industry and Commerce Association 
          WELL Network



          AGB:kc  5/19/11   Senate Floor Analyses 

                         SUPPORT/OPPOSITION:  SEE ABOVE

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