BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    �




                     SENATE GOVERNANCE & FINANCE COMMITTEE
                            Senator Lois Wolk, Chair
          

          BILL NO:  SB 1252                     HEARING:  4/25/12
          AUTHOR:  Rubio                        FISCAL:  Yes
          VERSION:  4/9/12                      TAX LEVY:  No
          CONSULTANT:  Grinnell                 

                       STATE INFRASTRUCTURE AND FACEBOOK
          

               Diverts Revenue Increases from the Facebook IPO to 
                            infrastructure projects.


                           Background and Existing Law  

          In general, property held for personal use or investment 
          purposes is a capital asset, such as held-for-investment 
          stocks and securities.  When a capital asset is sold or 
          exchanged, the difference between the selling price and the 
          asset's adjusted basis, which is usually the amount the 
          taxpayer paid for the asset, is a capital gain or loss.  
          Federal law taxes capital gains at different rates than 
          earned income by applying a maximum tax rate of 35% on 
          short-term capital gains, and a maximum 15% rate on 
          long-term capital gains.  State law taxes all income 
          identically, with a maximum rate of 9.3%, or 10.3% for 
          taxpayers with income above $1 million (Proposition 63, 
          2000).

          Incorporated in 2004, Facebook, Inc. is a social networking 
          business that is currently privately held and operated.   
          Facebook estimates that 845 million people actively use its 
          website.  On February 1, 2012, Facebook indicated its 
          intent to begin to publicly sell its shares on NASDAQ, also 
          known as an Initial Public Offering (IPO).  Facebook 
          intends to sell $5 billion in stock, and values itself at 
          $100 billion.  The firm also estimated $1 billion in profit 
          in 2011, with $3.7 billion.  The IPO is estimated to take 
          place on May 17th or May 24th of this year, with private 
          markets indicating a price around $38 to $40 per share.  


                                   Proposed Law  

          Senate Bill 1252 requires the Department of Finance (DOF), 




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          in consultation with the Franchise Tax Board (FTB) and 
          Employment Development Department (EDD), to estimate and 
          report to the Controller the amount of taxes raised by the 
          state of California from the Facebook IPO on or before 
          February 1, 2013.  The Controller shall transfer that 
          amount from the General Fund to the State Infrastructure 
          Projects Fund, created by the bill, by March 1, 2013.  DOF, 
          in consultation with FTB and EDD, must then reconcile and 
          report the final increase in gains to the Controller on or 
          before December 31, 2013, and the Controller must transfer 
          the difference between the final increase and the estimated 
          one to the State Infrastructure Projects Fund on or before 
          January 31, 2014.  

          The bill allows the Legislature to appropriate funds from 
          the State Infrastructure Projects Fund to:
                 State transportation projects.
                 Levee, dam, or water treatment system erection, 
               construction, alteration, repair, or improvement.
                 Erection, construction, alteration, repair, or 
               improvement of buildings or structures of rail lines, 
               rail beds, stations, platforms, switches, yards, 
               terminals, parking lots, and any and all other 
               facilities and equipment necessary or convenient for 
               the conduct of rail transit service or for the 
               movement of passengers or goods via public transit 
               within the state.

          The measure also makes legislative findings and 
          declarations.


                               State Revenue Impact
           
          No estimate.


                                     Comments  

          1.   Purpose of the bill  .  SB 1252 simply ensures that 
          billions of dollars in one-time revenues from the 'Facebook 
          Effect' provide one-time services-namely critical 
          infrastructure needs throughout California.  Spending 
          one-time funds to balance the state budget has already 
          contributed significantly to California's budgeting 
          problems.  SB 1252 will ensure that the only 'Facebook 





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          Effect' that California sees is an increased investment on 
          infrastructure projects.

          2.   Looking for friends  .  The Legislature and the Governor 
          set the state's spending priorities each year when they 
          enact the State Budget.  SB 1252 sets three significant 
          precedents by setting aside revenue from one transaction 
          for specific purposes outside the budget process:
                 First, revenue from the state's general's taxes 
               aren;t dedicated to a specific purpose except for the 
               California Constitution's requirement that proceeds 
               from the gasoline excise tax and the sales tax on 
               gasoline being dedicated to transportation purposes.   
                The State Budget programs all general purpose 
               revenue, which includes capital gains revenue from the 
               Facebook IPO.  
                 Second, the Legislature has never specifically 
               designated and segregated revenue from one firm's IPO; 
               while Facebook is certainly one of the most 
               anticipated IPOs in recent years, will SB 1252 
               encourage future Legislatures into programming funds 
               from other popular firms for specified purposes?  
                 Lastly, never before have revenue estimates for any 
               single transaction or series of transactions, such as 
               an IPO, been directed to a specific purpose.  While 
               all state budgets rely on revenue estimates to 
               identify the amount of funds available to spend, those 
               estimates look at the economy as a whole to predict 
               revenues based on well-established indicators.  If 
               California-based Chevron announces record earnings 
               next year, should the Legislature isolate those 
               revenues and spend them for clean air programs outside 
               the Budget?  

          While California's tax system is inherently volatile due to 
          its reliance on the amount of unearned income received by 
          affluent taxpayers, there are options for balancing this 
          volatility.  The Legislature could divert all estimated 
          capital gains tax revenues from all taxpayers into a rainy 
          day or infrastructure fund, or allow taxpayers to pay taxes 
          on capital gains up to two taxable years following the year 
          the gain is realized, thereby smoothing the tax payment 
          amounts.   The Committee may wish to consider the precedent 
          established by SB 1252, whether it is an appropriate remedy 
          for inherent volatility, and whether the Budget process is 
          the better forum to consider the measure's infrastructure 





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          spending.

          3.   The great unknown  .  Economic and stock market 
          projections are inherently difficult; estimating the state 
          tax revenue effects of a single IPO doubly so.  Each year, 
          both the DOF and the Legislative Analyst's Office issue 
          revenue estimates for the state budget, and this year they 
          disagreed by more than $3 billion, mostly due to differing 
          estimates of capital gains revenues.  While California 
          revenue estimators include some of the world's most 
          intelligent economists, their estimates are always 
          uncertain because they seek to predict the future.  As 
          such, by directing DOF, FTB, and EDD to estimate gains from 
          the Facebook IPO, SB 1252 asks a great deal of estimators.  
            The Committee may wish to consider relying on calculating 
          tax gains from a single IPO given the estimate's inherent 
          uncertainties.  

          4.   Friend request forthcoming  ?  According to LAO's 
          overview of the Governor's 2012-13 Budget, "Facebook Inc., 
          a privately held company headquartered in Palo Alto, may 
          proceed with an initial public offering (IPO) of its stock 
          in 2012. Facebook reportedly is considering issuing $10 
          billion of stock in an IPO that would value the company at 
          over $100 billion. Other companies also are considering 
          IPOs in the coming years.   In the coming months, the 
          state's revenue forecasts will need to be adjusted somewhat 
          to account for the possibility of hundreds of millions of 
          dollars of additional revenues related to the Facebook IPO. 
          These revenues could affect the budgetary outlook beginning 
          in 2012-13. We caution that it will be impossible to 
          forecast IPO-related state revenues with any precision, and 
          it is likely that little information about the state 
          revenue gain from the Facebook IPO will be available before 
          investors file tax returns in April 2013. (Even then, due 
          to the confidentiality of individual taxpayer information, 
          we are unlikely to know precisely how much state revenues 
          increased due to Facebook's IPO.)   In considering the size 
          of the Facebook IPO effect in the coming months, revenue 
          forecasters will have a difficult task. Our office's income 
          models are based on historical trends and, therefore, 
          already assume that some level of IPO activity occurs for 
          California companies each year. Moreover, in our recent 
          forecasts, our office has deliberately built in "extra" 
          capital gains (above those generated by our model) in 2010, 
          2011, and 2012 to try to account for a variety of factors, 





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          including the surprisingly strong PIT receipts in some 
          recent months. Finally, Facebook-related capital gains 
          likely will prove to be a relatively small percentage of 
          California's overall capital gains in 2012. If the stock 
          market as a whole has an unusually strong or weak year, 
          that fact could change forecasted capital gains up or down 
          by much more than the positive Facebook effect."  The 
          Committee may wish to consider adding LAO to the bill's 
          revenue estimation procedure.

          5.   Status updates  .  In an IPO, taxpayers that currently 
          hold equity shares (stock) in Facebook may seek gains by 
          selling their shares at higher prices after the IPO.  These 
          taxpayers could have been founding members of the firm, 
          bought stock from founders or on private markets prior to 
          the IPO, or acquired stock by exchanging cash for stock, as 
          Microsoft did when it swapped $240 million for a 1.6% share 
          in Facebook in 2007.   Employees can also be paid directly 
          in stock or in options, which allows employees to purchase 
          stock at a predetermined price in the future.  For each of 
          these taxpayers, their gain will be the sales price after 
          the IPO minus the amount they paid for it.  However, the 
          amount of tax each employee will pay is impossible to know. 
           Additionally, employees or individuals holding majority 
          shares cannot sell until 90 or 180 days after the IPO, 
          known as a "lock-out" period, intended to ensure that the 
          firm can be publicly traded for enough time to show 
          viability before owners can profit.  

          6.   The social network  .  As mentioned above, Facebook 
          employees can exercise their options at any time.  When an 
          employee exercises an option, he or she realizes a taxable 
          gain equal to the difference of the price of the option and 
          the public or private market price.  They again realize a 
          capital gain if and when they sell the stock, which can 
          happen at the same time they exercise the option.  
          According to Facebook, CEO Mark Zuckerberg will exercise 
          options to purchase 120 million shares at six cents per 
          share.  If the stock reaches a price of $40 when he sells, 
          he will make $4.8 billion in profit taxable as personal 
          income.  The personal income tax revenue will only happen 
          once, as Facebook plans to pay Zuckerberg a salary of $1 
          per year in the future.  Additionally, Facebook may deduct 
          the entire value of all the options for Zuckerberg and all 
          other employees as business expenses, which could well 
          reduce or eliminate Facebook's corporate taxes, and 





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          generate net operating losses which could offset future 
          taxes.  

          7.   Another look  .  As the measure directly affects the 
          2012-13 State Budget by dedicating yet-to-be realized 
          revenue from the budget year, the Committee may wish to 
          consider sending the measure to the Rules Committee for 
          possible referral to the Committee on Budget and Fiscal 
          Review.

          8.   Likes and dislikes  .  Committee staff recommends the 
          following amendments:
                 Taxpayers don't realize gains in calendar years, 
               they do in taxable years.  (Page 3, line 23).
                 Any revenue gains from the Facebook IPO will not be 
               realized exclusively in the 2012 taxable year.  The 
               calculation, transfer, reconciliation functions should 
               take place annually. (Pages 3 and 4).
                 If final gains are greater than estimated ones, the 
               bill requires the Controller to transfer the 
               difference to the infrastructure fund.  However, if 
               final gains are less than estimated ones, the bill 
               doesn't require the Controller to transfer the excess 
               back to the general fund (Pages 3 and 4).


                         Support and Opposition  (4/19/12)

           Support  :  American Council of Engineering Companies of 
          California

           Opposition  :  Unknown.