BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    �






           SENATE TRANSPORTATION & HOUSING COMMITTEE       BILL NO: ab 1537
          SENATOR MARK DESAULNIER, CHAIRMAN              AUTHOR:  levine
                                                         VERSION: 4/21/14
          Analysis by:  Mark Stivers                     FISCAL:  yes
          Hearing date:  June 24, 2014



          SUBJECT:

          Housing element default densities

          DESCRIPTION:

          This bill, for purposes of the Bay Area housing element cycle  
          that runs from July 1, 2014 to December 31, 2023, redefines  
          Marin County and the cities under 100,000 population within the  
          county as suburban for purposes of the default densities.

          ANALYSIS:

          The Planning and Zoning Law requires cities and counties to  
          prepare and adopt a general plan, including a housing element,  
          to guide the future growth of a community.  Following a  
          staggered schedule, cities and counties located within the  
          territory of a metropolitan planning organization (MPO) must  
          revise their housing elements every eight years, and cities and  
          counties in rural non-MPO regions must revise their housing  
          elements every five years.  These five- and eight-year cycles  
          are known as the housing element planning period.  If a city or  
          county on an eight-year cycle fails to adopt a housing element  
          within 120 days of its due date, then the city or county must  
          revise and readopt its housing element at mid-point of the cycle  
          after four years.  

          Before each revision, each city and county receives its fair  
          share of housing through the regional housing needs assessment  
          (RHNA) process.  First, the Department of Housing and Community  
          Development (HCD) works with a council of governments to  
          determine the region's housing need.  A council of governments  
          then allocates the region's need to each city and county within  
          the region.  The RHNA allocation includes both an overall  
          housing need number and a breakdown of this overall need into  
          four income categories: above moderate-, moderate-, low-, and  
          very low-income households.  A housing element must identify  
          adequate sites with appropriate zoning to meet the city's or  




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          county's share of the RHNA by income category and ensure that  
          regulatory systems provide opportunities for, and do not unduly  
          constrain, housing development.  HCD reviews both draft and  
          adopted housing elements to determine whether or not they are in  
          substantial compliance with the law.  

          In establishing whether or not a given site is appropriately  
          zoned to accommodate housing affordable to very low- or  
          low-income households, housing element law relies on density as  
          a proxy for affordability.  In general, spreading fixed land  
          costs over a larger number of units will reduce the per-unit  
          land costs and thereby reduce the total development cost of each  
          unit.  A reduced per-unit cost allows market rents and sale  
          prices to be more affordable and reduces the public subsidy  
          required for affordable units.  

          As a result, housing element law requires a city or county to  
          demonstrate how its adopted densities accommodate the need for  
          affordable housing.  A city or county may make this  
          demonstration in either of two ways:

           Provide an analysis demonstrating how the adopted densities  
            accommodate lower-income housing, based on market demand,  
            financial feasibility, and recent development experience

           Document that adopted densities meet or exceed the following  
            "default densities" established in statute:

                 30 units per acre for metropolitan jurisdictions,  
               generally defined as any city or county over 25,000  
               population in a Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) with a  
               population of 2 million persons or greater and any city or  
               county over 100,000 population in any size MSA
                 20 units per acre for suburban jurisdictions, generally  
               defined as cities and counties under 25,000 population in  
               an MSA of 2 million persons or greater and jurisdictions  
               under 100,000 population in all other MSAs
                 15 units per acre for incorporated cities within  
               non-metropolitan counties and for non-metropolitan counties  
               that have micropolitan areas (i.e., Del Norte, Humboldt,  
               Lake, Mendocino, Nevada, Tehama, and Tuolumne counties)
                 10 units per acre for unincorporated areas in all  
               non-metropolitan counties

           This bill  , for purposes of the Bay Area housing element cycle  
          that runs from July 1, 2014 to December 31, 2023, redefines  




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          Marin County and the cities under 100,000 population within the  
          county as suburban for purposes of the default densities, which  
          means that sites within those jurisdictions are deemed  
          appropriate for low-income housing at 20 units per acre instead  
          of 30 units per acre.  The bill further requires a city or  
          county so redefined to report in 2019 and 2023 to HCD and the  
          Legislature regarding its progress in developing low- and very  
          low-income housing.
          
          COMMENTS:

           1.Purpose of the bill  .  According to supporters, the default  
            density standards are in need of refinement due to  
            inconsistent outcomes.  Certain cities and counties within  
            larger multi-county MSAs are considered "metropolitan" under  
            the current default density standards despite being suburban  
            or rural in character.  Specifically, unincorporated Sonoma  
            County is considered "suburban" despite having a higher  
            population than unincorporated Marin County.  Instead, Marin  
            has the same default density standard as San Francisco due to  
            its inclusion in the same MSA.  This bill will refine the  
            default density housing formula to allow for suburban  
            designations in Marin County.  

            The author believes that this bill will help create momentum  
            for more affordable housing development in areas that have had  
            challenges in getting projects off the ground due to concerns  
            about high-density development.  Reducing the default density  
            will address local concerns and give cities and counties more  
            flexibility to zone land suitable for affordable housing in a  
            way that fits within the communities' individual  
            circumstances.   
          
           2.Affects three high-rent jurisdictions  .  While the bill does  
            not name names, the criteria listed in the bill change the  
            default densities for only three jurisdictions: the  
            unincorporated County of Marin and the cities of Novato and  
            San Rafael.  These three jurisdictions happen to be located in  
            what is arguably the most expensive county in the state, if  
            not the nation.  According to the National Low Income Housing  
            Coalition's Out of Reach report for 2013, Marin County is tied  
            with San Francisco and San Mateo Counties as the most  
            expensive counties in the nation for renting housing, in which  
            a working person must earn $37.62 per hour to afford the fair  
            market rent on a two-bedroom apartment.  Since then, the Marin  
            Independent Journal reports that rents in Marin during the  




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            first quarter of 2014 jumped 9.6% over the first quarter of  
            2013 and that occupancy was at 97.4% (95% is considered fully  
            occupied).  Already, an estimated 60 percent of the people  
            employed in Marin County are forced to commute from out of  
            county.  In addition, construction is in full swing on the  
            Sonoma-Marin Area Rail Transit (SMART) system, and Novato and  
            San Rafael will each have two stations.  Lowering densities in  
            these cities may frustrate efforts to bring riders to the new  
            system.  In spite of these conditions, this bill seems to  
            reflect the recent political sentiments in Marin County  
            against affordable housing and higher density housing in  
            general.  The committee may wish to consider whether or not it  
            is good policy to lower default densities and thereby increase  
            the cost of developing affordable and market rate housing in  
            one of the most expensive housing markets in the nation.  If  
            the committee wishes to allow lower densities for these  
            jurisdictions, it may wish to consider requiring jurisdictions  
            that choose to use the lower default densities to commit new  
            financial resources to affordable housing to offset the  
            increased per-unit costs of development.  
          
           3.Local governments already have the option to avoid default  
            densities  .  The default densities were a consensus  
            recommendation of the HCD-convened Housing Element Working  
            Group in 2004.  The idea was to create a safe harbor at which  
            densities would be presumed to promote affordability and to  
            eliminate the time-intensive analysis for cities and counties  
            that already used higher densities.  As described above,  
            housing element law does not require cities and counties to  
            use the default densities.  Instead, they may still complete  
            an analysis that demonstrates that lesser densities can  
            accommodate lower-income housing, based on market demand,  
            financial feasibility, and recent development experience.   
            Novato, for example, has chosen to do this.  Instead of using  
            the default density of 30 units per acre for the current  
            housing element cycle, the city chose to complete the analysis  
            and demonstrated to HCD's satisfaction that development at  
            densities of 23 units per acre can accommodate lower-income  
            housing.  As a result, not only is this bill unnecessary, but  
            it would lower the default densities below what Novato's  
            analysis showed was feasible for affordable housing.   
           
          4.The three jurisdictions already have adequate sites  .  For the  
            current housing element cycle due to end in July,  
            unincorporated Marin County, Novato, and San Rafael had to  
            identify sites to accommodate 320, 446, and 469 units of  




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            lower-income housing, respectively.  All three were able to do  
            so and received HCD approval of their housing elements.  In  
            the case of San Rafael, the city regularly allows densities up  
            to 40 units per acre, particularly in its downtown area.   
            Although due in 2009, Novato adopted its housing element in  
            late 2013 and applied an affordable housing overlay to five  
            new sites comprising roughly 10 acres.  Likewise, Marin County  
            adopted its element in late 2013 and applied an affordable  
            housing overlay allowing densities of 30 units per acre to  
            additional sites.  For the upcoming housing element cycle,  
            Marin County, Novato, and San Rafael have a lower-income  
            housing need of 87, 176, and 388 units, respectively.  Given  
            that little to no development has occurred since the adoption  
            of each jurisdiction's current element, the identified sites  
            are still available for the cities to use towards their new  
            and much smaller RHNA allocations.  Presumably, these  
            jurisdictions will have little trouble getting HCD approval of  
            their new housing elements.  As a result, this bill is not  
            necessary for the three affected jurisdictions to achieve  
            compliance with housing element law.  

            Moreover, while zoning ordinances generally set maximum  
            densities, developers may propose individual projects at  
            lesser densities if that makes economic and political sense.   
            Instead of continuing the debate in these communities over the  
            maximum densities allowed by the zoning ordinances as this  
            bill does, it may be more effective to focus on permitting  
            individual projects at densities that can work.  A project  
            with a density of 25 units per acre will likely be more  
            politically attractive if the maximum zoning density is 30  
            units per acre rather than 25.

           5.Bad precedent  .  Although housing element compliance is at its  
            highest rate in history, roughly 20% of jurisdictions do not  
            have HCD-approved housing elements.  The reasons vary, but  
            most often the lack of HCD approval is due to a failure to  
            identify enough sites with appropriate densities to  
            accommodate lower-income housing.  Generally, local political  
            pressures are the barrier to compliance.  If the three  
            jurisdictions in Marin County are successful in winning  
            special legislation to reduce their default densities, this  
            will surely encourage other jurisdictions to do likewise.  The  
            committee may wish to consider whether this bill sets a  
            troublesome precedent.
          
           6.Reporting redundant  .  This bill requires the three  




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            jurisdictions to report in 2019 and 2023 to HCD and the  
            Legislature regarding their progress in developing low- and  
            very low-income housing.  Government Code 65400 already  
            requires each city and county to report annually to HCD on the  
            status of the housing element and progress in its  
            implementation, including progress in meeting the city's or  
            county's RHNA allocation.  Instead of redundant reporting, the  
            committee may wish to require the jurisdictions to readopt  
            their housing elements after four years at the original  
            default densities if they have permitted less than 50% of  
            their RHNA allocation for lower-income households.  
          
           7.Arguments in opposition  .  Opponents of the bill point to the  
            fact that default densities are not mandatory.  In  
            establishing the adequacy of sites for affordable housing,  
            local governments can either zone the site at the default  
            density or provide HCD with an analysis demonstrating that the  
            site is adequate to support lower-income housing development  
            at its zoned density level.  

            Opponents also point to the issue that default density  
            standards were instituted after a lengthy working group  
            process involving a diverse group of stakeholders.  In  
            opponents' view, the bill is a result of local opposition to  
            affordable housing, and legislating to accommodate this narrow  
            opposition is the wrong approach.  Opponents point to the  
            current lack of availability of affordable housing for low-  
            and moderate-income individuals and families and contend that  
            this bill will have the effect of making it even more costly  
            to develop affordable housing in Marin County.
           
          8.Technical amendment  .  Add a provision to Section 2 of the bill  
            stating that it shall take effect on January 1, 2024.  

           9.Chaptering conflict  .  This bill has a chaptering conflict with  
            AB 1690 (Gordon).  The author will need to resolve this  
            conflict prior to final passage.

          Assembly Votes:

               Floor:                            62-4
               Appr:     17-0
               H&CD:       7-0
               L Gov:      8-0

          POSITIONS:  (Communicated to the committee before noon on  




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          Wednesday,                                             June 18,  
          2014.)

               SUPPORT:  Association of Bay Area Governments
                         Bel Marin Keys Community Service District
                         BRIDGE Housing Corporation
                         California State Association of Counties
                         Center for Sustainable Neighborhoods
                         City of Novato
                         Domus Development
                         EAH Housing
                         Eden Housing
                         Habitat for Humanity California
                         League of California Cities
                         Marin Association of Realtors
                         Marin County Board of Supervisors
                         Marin County Council of Mayors and Council  
          Members
                         Non-Profit Housing Association of Northern  
          California
                         Transportation Authority of Marin

               OPPOSED:  California Rural Legal Assistance Foundation
                         Western Center on Law and Poverty