BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    �




                   Senate Appropriations Committee Fiscal Summary
                            Senator Kevin de Le�n, Chair


          SB 1189 (Liu) - Income Tax: Earned Income Tax Credit
          
          Amended: April 29, 2014         Policy Vote: G&F 5-0
          Urgency: No                     Mandate: No
          Hearing Date: May 12, 2014      Consultant: Robert Ingenito
          
          This bill meets the criteria for referral to the Suspense File.


          Bill Summary: SB 1189 would establish a nonrefundable state  
          Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), equal to 15 percent of the  
          federal EITC. 

          Fiscal Impact:
                 The Franchise Tax Board (FTB) estimates that this bill  
               would reduce General Fund revenues by $24 million in  
               2014-15, $120 million in 2015-16, and $130 million in  
               2016-17.

                 The FTB would incur increased administrative costs to  
               incur the provisions of the bill. Specifically, the bill's  
               requirements would impact FTB's programming, printing,  
               processing, mailing, and storage costs for tax returns.  
               These costs are currently unknown, but would likely amount  
               to a minimum of hundreds of thousands of dollars annually  
               (General Fund).

                
          Background: Tax credits differ from other tax expenditures in  
          that they directly reduce income tax liability, as opposed to  
          indirectly by reducing taxable income. For instance, a one  
          dollar credit reduces tax liability by one dollar, whereas a tax  
          deduction of one dollar will reduce taxable income by one  
          dollar, but reduces tax liability by the marginal tax rate. For  
          example, an additional one dollar of deduction for a taxpayer in  
          the 10 percent tax bracket reduces tax liability by 10 cents,  
          while a taxpayer in the 39.6 percent tax bracket reduces tax  
          liability by 39.6 cents.

          The federal EITC was enacted in 1975. It was originally intended  
          to be temporary in nature, to mitigate the impact of (1) the  
          Social Security payroll tax, and (2) rising food and energy  








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          prices. Instead, the EITC was made permanent in 1978. The Tax  
          Reform Act of 1986 indexed both the maximum earned income and  
          phase-out income levels to inflation. The EITC differs from most  
          other tax credits in that it is partially or fully refundable. A  
          taxpayer with $100 in tax liability and $200 in a refundable tax  
          credit would receive a tax refund of $100.

          The EITC is considered both (1) an anti-poverty program and (2)  
          an alternative to cash-transfer programs because it incentivizes  
          work. The EITC is work-oriented in that the amount of the credit  
          is based on earnings. The amount of the credit (which varies  
          depending on the number of qualifying children in addition to  
          earned income) initially rises as earnings increase, then  
          reaches a plateau, and then falls as earnings increase further.  
          For example, for a couple with two children in 2014, the credit  
          is equal to 40 percent (the credit rate) of the first $13,650 in  
          earnings. The maximum credit of $5,460 is received by taxpayers  
          with earnings between $13,650 and $17,830. The credit phases out  
          at a rate of 21.06 percent (that is, it is reduced by 21.06  
          cents for every additional dollar of earnings) for earnings over  
          $17,830 and is zero for taxpayers with earnings over $43,756.

          The value of the EITC has increased over time. For example, the  
          maximum credit for a worker with three children has increased  
          from $400 in 1978 (roughly $1,465 in 2014 dollars) to $6,143 in  
          2014.

          Current state law provides that individuals with income below  
          specified levels are not required to file a return, as the  
          standard deduction and personal exemption credit eliminate any  
          tax liability.  For 2013, these thresholds are $12,562 in  
          adjusted gross income for single filers, and $25,125 in adjusted  
          gross income for married individuals filing jointly.  These  
          thresholds are increased based on the number of dependents  
          claimed and are increased annually for inflation.

          Twenty-five states, the District of Columbia, and two local  
          jurisdictions (New York City and Montgomery County, Maryland)  
          currently provide the EITC in varying forms and amounts. 

          Proposed Law: SB 1189 would allow a nonrefundable state tax  
          credit equal to 15 percent of the federal EITC. SB 1189 would  
          take effect immediately as a tax levy and be effective beginning  
          in the 2015 tax year. The bill would sunset at the end of 2025,  








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          and would require FTB to report annually to the Legislature  
          regarding utilization of the credit.

          Related Legislation: 
                 AB 1974 (Dickinson), of the 2011-12 Legislative Session,  
               would have established a refundable EITC equal to 15  
               percent of the federal EITC.  AB 1974 was held by the  
               Assembly Appropriations Committee.

                  AB 1196 (Allen), of the 2011-12 Legislative Session,  
               would have established a refundable EITC equal to 15  
               percent of the federal EITC.  AB 1196 was held by the  
               Assembly Appropriations Committee. 


          Staff Comments: FTB reports that taxpayer error rate and fraud  
          concerns on the federal EITC cause the IRS to adjust many  
          returns. Consequently, the correct federal EITC amount may be  
          unknown until after the taxpayer has filed the state return,  
          claimed the proposed California credit, and received a refund.  
          To the extent that this occurs, FTB would be required to issue  
          assessments to correct and collect tax due as result of a change  
          to the federal EITC, which would increase administrative costs.

          The actual revenue loss associated with the bill is difficult to  
          estimate with precision. In order to claim the federal EITC, a  
          qualifying taxpayer must file a federal income tax return. This  
          is the only way to claim the credit, even for those taxpayers  
          who do not earn sufficient income to be required to file. As a  
          result, it has been estimated that in 2009, about 800,000  
          Californians (about 20 percent of those eligible) failed to  
          claim EITC refunds. The revenue estimate for SB 1189 must  
          incorporate assumptions regarding (1) whether the introduction  
          of the state-level EITC increases the extent to which the  
          federal EITC is claimed, and (2) the future growth of wage  
          income (and by extension the growth of the economy). Greater  
          EITC participation and a stronger wage growth would increase the  
          revenue loss associated with this bill.