BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    







                SENATE COMMITTEE ON Public Safety
                   Senator John Vasconcellos, Chair   S
                      1999-2000 Regular Session       B

                                                      7
                                                      9
                                                       SB  
79 (Hayden)                                           
As Introduced December 7, 1998
Hearing date:  April 6, 1999
Penal Code
JM:jm




                   "  THREE STRIKES" LAW  -  

          RESTRICTION OF LIFE TERM TO CASES WHERE

     CURRENT CONVICTION IS A SERIOUS OR VIOLENT FELONY 

                               

                          HISTORY


Source:   Author

Prior Legislation: SB 2048 (Vasconcellos) 1998 - vetoed by  
Governor (as study bill)
            SB 1317 (Lee) 1997 - failed passage on Senate  
Floor
            SB 2089 (Marks) 1995 - failed passage on Senate  
Floor 
            AB 1444 (Kuehl) 1996 - failed passage in  
Assembly Public Safety
            Proposition 184, November 1994 - Enacted
            AB 971 (Jones/Costa) Chapter 12, Statutes of  
1994











                                              SB 79 (Hayden)
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Support: ACLU; California Public Defenders Association;  
         California Attorneys for Criminal Justice;  
         California NORML; Lutheran Office of Public  
         Policy; Families to Amend California's Three  
         Strikes; numerous individuals

Opposition:  California District Attorneys Association;  
California Correctional Peace 
         Officers Association; Committee on Moral Concerns;  
         California State Sheriff's Association; Doris Tate  
         Crime Victims Bureau



                                    KEY ISSUE
  
SHOULD A LIFE TERM IMPOSED UNDER THE "THREE STRIKES" LAW BE LIMITED TO CASES  
IN WHICH A DEFENDANT HAS BEEN CONVICTED OF A CURRENT SERIOUS OR VIOLENT  
FELONY, WITH TWO OR MORE SUCH PRIOR CONVICTIONS?


                          PURPOSE

The purpose of this bill is to require that a defendant in  
the current case be convicted of a serious or violent  
felony before a life term can be imposed under the "Three  
Strikes" law (which does require the prior convictions be  
serious or violent).

  Existing law  provides that a defendant, who is convicted of  
  any  current felony, with prior convictions of two or more  
"violent" or "serious" felonies, must receive a life  
sentence with a minimum term of 25 years.  (Penal Code  
section 667(a) and (d)(2)(i); section 1170.12(a) and  









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(c)(2)(A); and section 1192.7)<1>

  Existing law  further provides that where a defendant is  
convicted of  any  felony with a prior conviction for a  
single serious or violent felony, the sentence imposed must  
be twice the term otherwise provided as punishment.  (Penal  
Code section 667(d)(1) and section 1170.12(c)(1))

  Existing law  further provides that affected defendants may  
not receive probation, there is no limitation on the  
aggregate term, conduct credits are limited to 20% of the  
term (instead of the usual 50%), and any additional  
convictions must be imposed consecutively.  (Penal Code  
section 667(c) and section 1170.12(a))

  Existing law  , unlike five year serious felony enhancement  
provisions, does not require that prior qualifying  
convictions arise in separate cases, and qualifying prior  
"strike" convictions need not arise from separate  
transactions that can otherwise not be separately punished.  
 (People v. Fuhrman (1997) 16 Cal.4th 830; People v. Benson  
(1998) 18 Cal.4th 24, 30; Penal Code section 667(a))
  
Existing law  provides that a juvenile adjudication of a  
sixteen-year old must be counted as a prior "strike" if the  
offense otherwise qualifies as an adult strike or would  
establish presumptive unfitness for juvenile court under  
Welfare and Institutions Code section 707(b), and the minor  
was declared to be a ward of juvenile court for commission  
of an offense listed in Welfare and Institutions Code  
section 707(b).  (Penal Code section 667(d)(3) and section  
------------------------------
<1> The minimum term for any defendant with two prior  
serious or violent offenses must be at least 25 years.  In  
many cases, multiple terms of 25 years to life may be  
imposed - one for each count (separately charged offense)  
which does not arise from the same operative facts in the  
current case.  (Penal Code section 667(c)(6))  According to  
a complex formula, in a rare case, a different minimum term  
may be imposed if it would result in a longer sentence than  
25 years.  (Penal Code section 667(d)(2)(A)(i-iii))



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1170.12(b)(3))<2>
  
This bill  would require that a defendant be convicted in  
the current case of a serious or violent felony, with two  
or more prior serious or violent felony convictions, before  
a life term can be imposed.


                          COMMENTS


1.   Expressed Purpose of the Bill  

According to the author:

     Senate Bill 79 does not undo "Three Strikes."  Nor  
     does it renege on the promise made to voters in 1994  
     to get violent criminals off of our streets.  What SB  
     79 does is to revise current law to require a third  
     "strike" be a serious or violent felony - as the first  
     two must be.

     In order to achieve any sense of justice, sentences  
     must be proportionate to the crime.  "Three Strikes"  
     fails in this sense because relatively minor criminals  
     are unjustly receiving sentences of 25-years-to-life.   
     Under "Three Strikes," drug addicts and petty thieves  
     are seen in the same light as cold-blooded,  
     first-degree murderers.  Should the punishment for  
     possession of any amount of cocaine be the same as for  
     premeditated murder?
     ---------------------------
<2> There is substantial overlap among the lists of violent  
felonies, serious felonies and crimes of presumptive  
juvenile unfitness.  However, a few crimes, such as  
residential burglary do not constitute unfitness crimes.   
The California Supreme Court has not finally determined  
whether a juvenile adjudication for a serious felony such  
as residential burglary counts as a "strike" in a later  
adult case.  This issue is before the Supreme Court in  
People v. Gentry S069817. 



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     Contrary to the arguments of the proponents of "Three  
     Strikes," the law does not merely put murderers, child  
     molesters and career criminals behind bars for life.   
     A recent study by the Justice Policy Institute found  
     that of the nearly 40,000 inmates imprisoned under the  
     "Three Strikes" law, the great majority were convicted  
     of non-violent crimes.  While thirty percent were  
     convicted of drug violations, another thirty-seven  
     percent were found guilty of property crimes.   
     Meanwhile, only one percent of "Three Strikes"  
     prisoners were convicted murderers.

     Further, the study found no correlation between  
     California's drop in crime and the "Three Strikes"  
     law.  Using data from the Department of Corrections  
     and the Department of Justice, the study revealed that  
     the counties most aggressively relying upon "Three  
     Strikes" did not enjoy the greatest reductions in  
     crime.  For example, San Francisco County, which uses  
     "Three Strikes" less than any other county in  
     California, experienced a greater decline in all  
     violent crime - murder, rape, and assault - than  
     counties such as Sacramento and Los Angeles that are  
     particularly active in "Three Strikes" prosecutions.  

     Another remarkable finding of the JPI study is that  
     the age group thought most likely to be affected (and  
     deterred from crime) by "Three Strikes" - previously  
     convicted felons between thirty and thirty-nine years  
     old - actually committed more crimes since the passage  
     of "Three Strikes."  This increase in crime among the  
     "Three Strikes" target age bracket bucks a clear trend  
     of falling crime rates.  This finding belies the  
     assertion that "Three Strikes" deters crime.

     The JPI report is the latest of many studies to use  
     hard data to contradict political rhetoric that "Three  
     Strikes" has made our streets safer.  Crime rates have  
     fallen in California, to be sure.  However, crime  




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     rates have fallen even more in states without "Three  
     Strikes" laws.  

     "Three Strikes" may make for good political rhetoric  
     and provide crime victims with a sense that their  
     personal tragedies have at least brought positive  
     changes in the criminal justice system, but what is  
     the cost of this essentially illusory benefit?   
     California is spending $4 billion a year to operate  
     the world's largest prison system, a system that  
     houses a much lower percentage of violent offenders  
     than in the past.  In 1997, violent criminals made up  
     only 42% of the prison population, while drug  
     offenders constituted 27%, up from only 8% since 1984.  
      And while the state has added 21 prisons since 1984  
     to accommodate the drug war and "Three Strikes," only  
     one university campus has been built to serve our  
     fast-growing population.

     "Three Strikes" proponents argue that the measure has  
     saved the state $21.7 billion by preventing more than  
     a million crimes and nearly 5,700 murders.  While  
     "Three Strikes" can be credited for taking some  
     criminals off of the street, the data shows that the  
     crime rate began falling before "Three Strikes" went  
     into effect.  Study after rigorous study has  
     demonstrated that an improved economy, changes in  
     demographics and other such factors likely have more  
     to do with the drop in crime than the "Three Strikes"  
     law.  

     SB 79 will retain the core of "Three Strikes' - the  
     law that the electorate believed they were passing in  
     1994.  Truly violent criminals will be removed from  
     society for life.  However, people who commit  
     relatively minor offenses, and whose prior convictions  
     may have occurred many years in the past, will not be  
     warehoused in prison at taxpayer expense.






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2.  " Three Strikes" in More Detail  

The "Three Strikes" law was enacted by AB 971 (Jones/Costa)  
Chapter 12, Statutes of 1994 and by Proposition 184.   
Mandatory provisions of "Three Strikes" beyond those listed  
in "existing law," above include:

           A juvenile adjudication (a findings by a  
       juvenile court judge that the minor committed a  
       crime) may constitute an adult strike prior,  
       although a juvenile cannot have a jury trial of  
       charges against him or her.  (See:  Comment #3  
       below.)

           A person sentenced under "Three Strikes" may  
       not be committed to any facility other than prison.

           "Three Strikes" prohibits plea-bargaining. 

           "Three Strikes" eliminates any "washout"  
       period, requiring that any prior serious or violent  
       felony conviction be used regardless of when it  
       occurred. 

           Under "Three Strikes," the prosecuting attorney  
       must plead and prove each prior felony conviction. 

           "Three Strikes" may only be amended by a  
       two-thirds vote of the Legislature or a ballot  
       measure approved by the electorate. 

3.   Issues Related to Prior Juvenile Offenses (Adjudications) to  
  Establish Prior "Strikes" in Adult Prosecutions  

The "Three Strikes" law defines a prior juvenile adjudication as  









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a prior strike "conviction"<3> where the following are shown:

           The minor was at least 16 years old;

           The minor was found to be fit for juvenile court  
       treatment;

           The prior offense was one which rendered him or her  
       presumptively unfit for juvenile court (Welfare and  
       Institutions Code section 707(b)) or is defined as a  
       "serious" or "violent" felony for purposes of adult  
       sentencing;

           The minor was adjudged to be a ward of the juvenile  
       court for a crime of presumptive unfitness.  (Penal Code  
       sections 667(d)(3) and section 1170.12 (b)(3))

Arguably, these provisions are internally inconsistent or vague.  
 The California Supreme Court in People v. Davis (1997) 15  
Cal.4th 1096, a 4 to 3 decision, held that no special "fitness"  
hearing was necessary to render a juvenile adjudication a  
"strike" in a later adult prosecution, as such a finding is  
implied in every juvenile adjudication.  (Id, at 1098-1102.)   
The ruling in Davis was contrary to the belief of many  
practitioners.  Some district attorneys sought specific findings  
of fitness by judges or admissions of fitness as part of plea  
agreements in juvenile cases to insure that a juvenile offense  
would later constitute a prior "strike" conviction.   

The court in Davis left "for another day" the determination of  
whether juvenile serious felonies such as first degree burglary,  
which are not listed as crimes of presumptive unfitness in  
Welfare and Institutions Code (W&I) section 707(b), constitute  
strikes.  (Id, at 1103.)  That day will apparently dawn with the  
issuance of the ruling in People v. Gentry, S069817.  The  
--------------------------------
<3> Juvenile delinquency matters are technically civil, not  
criminal, cases.  As the purpose of juvenile court law is  
rehabilitation of the minor and public safety, jury trials  
are not allowed and the minor may not refuse probation.   
(See:  Welfare and Institutions Code section 202 et seq.)



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appellate court in Gentry held that a prior juvenile offense  
must be listed in Welfare and Institutions Code section 707(b)  
in order to constitute a strike in a later adult prosecution.  

The Supreme Court has let stand an appellate decision contrary  
to Gentry, in People v. Griggs (1997) 53 Cal.App.4th 57, that  
held that failure of the "Three Strikes" law to clearly state  
that all juvenile serious felonies constitute strikes in later  
adult cases was a "drafting error."  If the Supreme Court so  
finds, the drafting error will be momentous.  

Many, if not most, practitioners believed that juvenile crimes  
such as first degree burglary did not constitute strikes, and  
thousands of juveniles admitted such offenses upon advice of  
counsel consistent with that belief.  Even where minors did not  
admit the commission of serious felonies, they were not entitled  
to jury trials.

4.   Differentiation among Felonies  
 
Existing law differentiates between the severity of crimes.  
 Thus, some felony offenses, such as rape or murder, have  
higher penalties than others do, such as theft.  

Under "Three Strikes," any felony conviction, not only a  
serious or violent felony conviction, following a violent  
or serious prior, results in a sentence of twice the normal  
length.  With any two violent or serious felony priors, a  
new felony conviction results in a life sentence.  Thus,  
"Three Strikes" makes no distinction in severity between  
different felonies. 

For example, a person who was convicted of breaking into a  
neighbor's garage, whether attached to the home or not, on  
two occasions in order to steal a bicycle, and who was  
placed on probation for the offenses, would have two  
serious prior offenses.  Any residential burglary is  
defined as a "serious" felony, whether it occurs in the day  
or night and whether or not someone is actually in the  
residence.  Any third felony, such as theft of $400 worth  




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of property, results in a life term under the provisions of  
"Three Strikes," regardless of whether or not he or she had  
ever acted violently or dangerously. Two counts of theft  
not committed on one occasion or arising from the same  
facts - two separate incidents - charged in one case will  
yield two, consecutive terms of twenty-five years to life.   
 

Since the third felony can be any felony, forgery of a $10  
check, petty theft with a prior, or possession of a stolen  
radio with two prior serious felonies would result in a  
life sentence.

This bill would limit application of "Three Strikes" to  
serious and violent felonies, as listed in Comment #3.

5.   Violent and Serious Felonies Defined  

"Three Strikes" incorporates the definitions of violent and  
serious felonies as they existed on June 30, 1993.  For all  
practical purposes, all "violent" felonies are "serious"  
felonies.<4> Thus the eligible "strikes" are aptly  
demonstrated by the serious felony list, with additional  
notations for violent offenses.  

Serious and violent felonies, as defined by Penal Code  
section 667.5(b) and section 1192.7, as they existed on June  
-------------------------------
<4> Continuous sexual abuse of a child is a violent felony,  
but is not listed as a serious felony.  Continuous sexual  
abuse of child would, however, generally involve repeated  
sexual crimes against a child which are individually listed  
as serious felonies in any event, such as lewd acts with a  
child or forcible oral copulation of a child.  Continuous  
sexual abuse is generally charged in conjunction with other  
crimes in order to fully punish relatives and intimates of  
sexually abused children who abuse their special access and  
control over the victims, and to lessen difficulty of proof  
as to individual acts where the victim is very young and  
has an undeveloped sense of time.  (Penal Code section  
288.5)



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30, 1993, include the following: 

      a.  Murder or voluntary manslaughter (serious and  
       violent)
       
      b.  Mayhem (serious, and violent if by force or  
       threat of retaliation)
       
      c.  Rape (serious and violent)
       
      d.  Sodomy by force, violence, duress, menace, or  
       fear of bodily injury (serious and violent)
       
      e.  Oral copulation by force, violence, duress,  
       menace or fear of bodily injury (serious and  
       violent)
       
      f.  Lewd act with child under fourteen years of age  
       (serious and violent)
       
      g.  Any felony punishable by death or life  
       imprisonment (serious and violent)

      h.  Any felony in which defendant inflicts great  
       bodily injury on defendant or personally uses a  
       firearm (serious and violent)
       
      i.  Attempted murder (serious and violent)
       
      j.  Assault with intent to commit rape/robbery   
       (serious)
       
      k.  Assault with a deadly weapon on peace officer  
       (serious)
       
      l.  Assault by life prisoner on a non-inmate  
       (serious)
       
      m. Assault with a deadly weapon by inmate (serious)
       




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      n.  Arson (serious, and violent if causes great  
       bodily injury)
       
      o.  Exploding a destructive device with intent to  
       injure (serious)
       
      p.  Explosion causing great bodily injury or mayhem  
       (serious)
       
      q.  Explosion with intent to murder (serious and  
       violent)
       
      r.  Burglary of inhabited dwelling (serious, and  
       violent if resident is present and weapon used)
       
      s.  Robbery or bank robbery (serious, and violent if  
       the robbery was a residential robbery  with the use  
       of a weapon)

      t.  Kidnapping (serious, and violent if for purposes  
       of sex crimes against a child)
       
      u.  Inmate taking a hostage (serious)

      v.  Attempted death or life crime (serious)
       
      w.  Any felony where defendant personally uses a  
       dangerous or deadly weapon (serious)
       
      x.  Sale or furnishing heroin, cocaine, PCP, or  
       methamphetamine to a minor (serious)
       
      y.  Forcible foreign object rape (serious, and  
       violent in most cases)
       
      z.  Grand theft involving a firearm (serious)
       
      aa.  Attempts to commit any felony listed in a-z  
       except assault (serious) 





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6.   Judicial Discretion  

The California Supreme Court held in People v. Superior  
Court of San Diego County (Romero), (1996) 13 Cal. 4th 497,  
that for purposes of "Three Strikes," a court may on its  
own motion strike a prior felony conviction allegation in  
the furtherance of justice.  However, the court's  
discretion to strike prior offenses is limited.  "Its  
exercise must proceed in strict compliance with section  
1385(a) and is subject to review for abuse." (Ibid.)  

The court must consider the rights of both the defendant  
and of society and may not strike a prior solely for  
reasons of judicial convenience or because of court  
congestion or of an agreement to plead guilty, or because  
of personal disagreement with the effects of the "Three  
Strikes" law.  Courts must focus on the nature of the  
present offenses, the defendant's background and other  
"individualized considerations." 

In People v. Williams (1998) 17 Cal.4th 148, the California  
Supreme Court further strictly limited the discretion of  
trial court to dismiss a prior conviction.  The court in  
Williams essentially held that a trial court abuses its  
discretion in dismissing a prior strike if the defendant's  
criminality has been unbroken. This is true even where the  
defendant's current conviction, as was the case in  
Williams, is not for a serious or violent felony (a  
conviction that qualifies as a prior "strike."  A defendant  
who seeks relief through a dismissal of a prior "strike"  
must establish that he or she should be treated as though  
he or she falls outside the scope of the "Three Strikes"  
law.  (Id, at 161.)

A trial court's discretion to deem a "wobbler" to be a  
misdemeanor pursuant to Penal Code section 17(b), and the  
Alvarez decision  (People v. Alvarez (1997) 14 Cal.4th  
968), may be slightly wider than the discretion to dismiss  
a prior conviction.  However such a decision must also be  




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made only after consideration of all relevant facts,  
including a defendant's prior qualifying ("serious" or  
"violent") convictions under the "Three Strikes" law, such  
a discretionary decision is also of limited scope. 

The very limited use of sentencing discretion by trial  
judges has been clearly demonstrated by applicable data.   
Commitments to prison under the "Three Strikes" law stayed  
virtually constant after the Romero and Alvarez decisions.   
 (Three Strikes Update, Legislative Analyst's Office,  
October 1997.)

7.   Current Data from the California Department of  
  Corrections Shows Who is in Prison under "Three Strikes  "

     a)     Total prison population, March 29, 1999          
         159,911
            Total prison population, March 29, 1998          
         156,662
            Percentage increase in the last year             
                              2%


     b)     March 4, 1999 DOC data analysis of "Three Strikes"  
       prison population:
            Total cases under the "Three Strikes" law  
       account for approximately 30%
             of prison inmates.

         Second "strike" (one prior strike conviction)  
       inmates total              39,997
         Third "strike" (two prior strike convictions)  
       inmates total                5,043  
               Total "strike" inmates                          
       45,040

     c)     Breakdown of "strike" offenses by types of crimes  
       for which inmates were sentenced to prison:

         "Second Strike" Cases (one prior "serious" felony):




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              Crimes against Persons                              
              20.0%
              Drug Crimes                                         
              31.8%
              Property Crimes                                     
             35.9 %
              "Other" Crimes                                      
         10.4%
              Missing Data                                        
                1.9%

                            "Second Strike" inmates with  
                          non-serious/nonviolent current offenses are  
               approximately 78%.

               "Third Strike" Cases:

                    Drug Crimes                               
       19.4 %
                    Property Crimes                           
       31.6 %
                    Crimes against Persons                     
       40.2%
                    "Other" Crimes                         8.9%
                    Missing Data                                 
       1.2%

                            "Third Strike" Inmates with  
               nonserious/nonviolent current 
                            offenses are approximately 50%.

     d)     Specific Crime Comparisons:

               Inmates Serving "Second Strike" (Doubled) Terms:

               Simple Possession of 
                   (non-marijuana) Controlled Substances:    
                8,157
               All Sex Crimes                                




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                        1,237
               Robbery (with and without weapons)            
                                                             
                             3,061
               Commercial (non-residential) Burglary         
                             3,287
               Residential Burglary                          
                                                             
                                                             
                             1,978
               Murder (first and second degree)              
                                                             
                                222  
               Total "Second Strike" Inmates                 
                                                             
                                                             
                           39,997

         Inmates Serving "Third Strike" (Twenty-five Years to  
       Life) Terms:

                        Simple Possession of 
                            (non-marijuana) Controlled  
       Substances       498
                        All Sex Crimes                            
        239
                        Robbery (with and without weapons)        
             912
                        Commercial (non-residential) Burglary     
              347
                        Residential Burglary                      
             580
                        Murder (first and second degree)          
             161  
                        Total "Third Strike" Inmates:             
          5,043

8.   Justice Policy Institute Statistical Study on Implementation  
and Effects of "Three Strikes  "




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The Justice Policy Institute (JPI) along with the University of  
California, Irvine School of Social Ecology doctoral candidate  
Mark Males recently published a study, Striking Out, on the  
implementation of the "Three Strikes" law in various California  
counties.  The study used data collected by the Department of  
Corrections and the California Department of Justice from the  
twelve largest counties in California.

     a)     Data on the numbers and proportions of defendants  
       sentenced pursuant to "Three Strikes" by county:

          The JPI study examined the data on the defendants sent  
          to prison from each of the twelve largest counties  
          under "Three Strikes" sentences.  The data included  
          raw numbers and the proportion of "Three Strikes"  
          sentences in contrast to other prison terms from each  
          county.  The study concluded that the proportion of  
          defendants sent to prison under "Three Strikes"  
          reflected the charging policies of the county district  
          attorney.

          The authors of the study concluded that a county's  
          reliance upon, or heavy use of, the "Three Strikes"  
          law in sentencing did not correlate to lower rates of  
          crimes.  

          Counties such as Alameda and San Francisco that sent a  
          very smaller percentage of defendants to prison under  
          "Three Strikes" sentences had greater decreases in  
          crime, particularly violent crime, than did counties  
          such as Sacramento and Los Angeles, that relied  
          heavily upon "Three Strikes" in charging and  
          sentencing clients.


                      Table 3 from Striking Out
                                  
The counties sentencing the most heavily under "There Strikes"  
do not show the biggest crime declines.




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               Sentencing Rates:             Postlaw change* in  
rate of:
                                    3rd                   2nd &  
3rd                                                               
       All
                                  Strike                   Strikes*   
                      Homicide          Violent           Index  

Sacramento               3.6                        26            
                  -22.1                 -6.4                -3.2
Los Angeles              3.6                        33.5          
                 -27.9               -28.2              -27.5
San Diego                 3.4                        35.3         
                  -38.2               -22.8              -28.1
Riverside                   2.7                        27.1       
                    -25.7              -18                 -24
Fresno                       2.6                        21.5      
                      -20                   -1.4                 
-9.2
Santa Clara                2.6                          23.4          
                    -24.6                   9                  
  -18.9  
Avg. Six Heaviest    3.1                        27.8              
               -26.4              -12.7              -18.5

Orange                     2.4                         21.1       
                    -30.9               -15.6              -28.8
San Bernardino        2.1                        17               
                -23.9               -20.9              -16.1
Contra Costa            1.4                        15.7           
                 -32.9               -21.7              -15
Ventura                    1.3                        18.8        
                    -26.6               -24.3              -22
Alameda                  0.7                          5.9         
                   -24.2               -17.2              -13.7
San Francisco           0.3                            4.9            
                  -31.8                 -28                  -24.5
  Avg. Six Lightest    1.4                        13.9              
              -28.4               -21.3                -2.0




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                              *Sentencing rate is per 1,000  
felonies by county.  Postlaw change compares 
                                reported crime rate for  
1995-1997 (postlaw) to that of 1991-1993 (prelaw).

(Source:  California Criminal Justice Statistics Center;  
California Department of Corrections, Date Analysis Unit.)

       The JPI study authors summarized their conclusions about  
       county by county use of "Three Strikes" and crime rates:

          Data clearly shows that counties that  
          vigorously and strictly enforce the "Three  
          Strikes" law did not experience a decline in  
          any crime category relative to more lenient  
          counties.  The absence of any difference in  
          relative crime rates occurred despite the  
          fact that the six largest counties [in terms  
          of use of "Three Strikes"] applied the law  
          at a rate 2.2 times greater than the six  
          counties that invoked the law least.  Even  
          more remarkable, the sevenfold greater use  
          of "Three Strikes" in Sacramento and Los  
          Angeles was not associated with a bigger  
          crime decline than in Alameda and San  
          Francisco, two counties that rarely use the  
          law.  In fact, San Francisco, the county  
          which uses "Three Strikes" most sparingly,  
          witnessed a greater decline in violent  
          crime, homicides and all index crime than  
          most of the six heaviest enforcing counties.

     b)  Data as to the ages of defendants sentenced pursuant to  
"Three Strikes":

       The data indicated that the target population for  
       deterrence from "Three Strikes" - felons between thirty  
       and forty years of age - were not likely deterred from  
       crime, as crime rates grew in this age group after "Three  




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                                              SB 79 (Hayden)
                                                      Page 20


       Strikes" in comparison with other age groups in  
       California:

       The JPI Study Concluded:

          Under deterrence and selective  
          incapacitation theory, one would expect that  
          the most dramatic declines would occur in  
          the over thirty age group, since this is the  
          population disproportionately targeted by  
          "Three Strikes". In contrast, declines among  
          the twenty to twenty-four year old age  
          groups would be negligible because smaller  
          proportions of felons from this population  
          are receiving enhanced sentences.  However,  
          age group crime patterns reveal a directly  
          opposite effect than what would be predicted  
          by the selective incapacitation and  
          deterrence arguments for "Three Strikes."   
          The table and graph below compare age group  
          crime patterns for the three years after the  
          law took effect (1995-1997) and the three  
          years prior to the law's enactment  
          (1991-1993).  An analysis of crime data for  
          these years does not support the "Three  
          Strike" crime reduction through selective  
          incapacitation and deterrence effect.

   Table 1:  Older offenders are more heavily sentenced under  
                          "Three Strikes"

                               Number sentenced for:              
     Number of 3rd Strike sentences per 1,000
                           2nd Strike                   3rd Strike    
                     Violent Crimes                 Felonies  

Under 20                 470                              14      
                                0.1                               
     0
20-24                   5,009                             176     




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                                              SB 79 (Hayden)
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                                1.7                               
     0.5
25-29                   7,603                             653     
                                7.1                               
     1.9
30-39                 15,297                          2,224       
                            13.9                                  
  3.8
40-49                   5,873                          1,071      
                             16.7                                 
   4.6
50+                       1,111                              220     
                                10.7                                
      3.5
  Total                 35,363                            4,368 

(Source:  California Department of Corrections, Data Analysis  
Unit.  Second-Strike Cases,
June 30, 1998)

9.  Bill Jones, California Secretary of State and Co-Author of the  
  "Three Strikes" Law  :  
  Five-Year Report on the Success of "Three Strikes  "

In a press release dated February 26, 1999, Secretary Jones  
asserts that the "Three Strikes" law is responsible for the  
decline in crime in California:  

     The theory was simple, if we could incarcerate the small  
     percentage of criminals who commit the vast majority of  
     crimes, we could effectively lower the crime rate and save  
     thousands of lives.  Five years later, we have witnessed a  
     reduction in crime that is greater than even the most  
     optimistic "Three Strikes" supporters predicted.

Secretary Jones cited California Department of Justice (DOJ)  
statistics that overall crime in California is down 38% and that  
murder and robbery rates are down by 50%.  He attributes the  
decline to the "Three Strikes" law.  Secretary Jones further  
argues that "Three Strikes" has deterred recidivists:  




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                                              SB 79 (Hayden)
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     [I]n 1994, the year that "Three Strikes" was put in place,  
     more parolees left the state than entered for the first  
     time since 1976.  That trend continues to this day.

The actual number of parolees leaving--as opposed to  
entering--California is not stated in the report.  The report  
does not indicate whether "parolees leaving" have been formally  
transferred to other states for supervision, absconded or have  
left California after successfully completing parole, including  
those who may have been residents of other states prior to  
conviction in California.

The data from DOC indicates that a very small change in raw  
numbers and proportions of California parolees who have opted  
for sister-state supervision since "Three Strikes."  Less than  
2% of California parolees are in out-of-state supervision.  

DOC data further reflects a less than 7% increase in the number  
of California parolees who have opted for supervision in other  
states since "Three Strikes" became law.  This occurred over a  
period of a time in which the numbers of prison inmates, and  
hence the parole population, rose significantly.  

Data from Department of Corrections on California parolees in  
out-of-state supervision:

     Out-of-state parole supervision for 1993                     
      2045
     Out-of-state parole supervision for 1995                     
      2764
     Out-of-state parole supervision for 1998                     
      2193

     Total parole population on March 28, 1999                
     112,614
     Percentage of parolees out-of-state                          
        2%

Similar trends are reflected in the numbers of out-of-state  




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                                              SB 79 (Hayden)
                                                      Page 23


parolees who have opted for supervision in California.  The  
numbers initially fell from 2,271 in 1993 to 1,275 in 1997.   
However, in 1998 the number of out-of-state parolees in  
California began rising again to 1,284.  As of March 28, 1999,  
1,316 sister state parolees are under California supervision.   
This is occurring during a period when crime rates are declining  
nationwide.

Finally, Secretary Jones argues that "[t]he economic savings to  
the people of California from the reduction in crime during the  
"Three Strikes" era is between $8.2 billion and $21.7 billion."

10.   Cost of "Three Strikes  "

On February 20, 1996, the Senate Committees on Judiciary,  
Criminal Procedure, and Budget and Fiscal Review held a  
joint informational hearing on "The Impact of 'Three  
Strikes' Law on the Civil and Criminal Justice System in  
California."  Representatives were invited from state and  
county correctional systems, judges, city and county  
representatives, district attorneys, defense counsel,  
police and sheriffs' representatives, and independent penal  
and fiscal experts.

At the six-hour hearing, the Committees learned that the  
impact of "Three Strikes" has varied widely between  
counties, but courts, jails and prosecution and defense  
efforts have been impacted in virtually all counties.

The Legislative Analyst's office noted at the hearing that  
although more than 90% of all felony cases are disposed of  
through plea bargaining in which the defendant ultimately  
agrees to plead guilty, many fewer offenders are agreeing  
to plead guilty in "Three Strikes" cases, presumably  
because of the much longer sentences.  This has resulted in  
many more cases going to trial and many more defendants  
being held in county jail awaiting or undergoing trial.

The backlog of criminal cases has pushed some misdemeanor  
and low-level felony cases out of court, as well as civil  




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                                              SB 79 (Hayden)
                                                      Page 24


cases in some jurisdictions.  The "Three Strikes" law has  
limited the ability of public defenders' offices to handle  
misdemeanor cases for indigent defendants.  

Because of the impact "Three Strikes" cases have on jails,  
some counties are no longer booking misdemeanants and are  
releasing more sentenced and pre-sentenced "Three Strikes"  
offenders from custody.  Assaults within the jail systems  
have increased, apparently due to the number of "Three  
Strikes" cases, where the inmates are facing substantially  
longer terms.

Recent data continues to document the cost of the "Three  
Strikes" law, particularly in Los Angeles County, which  
prosecutes approximately 40% of the "Three Strikes" cases  
statewide.  Through 1997, the cost of "Three Strikes" cases  
to the Los Angeles County Public Defender's Office has been  
over $80 million, costs to the prosecution totaled  
approximately $75 million and costs to the Sheriff were  
approximately $140 million.  Because of the impact on Los  
Angeles County, it has filed a claim with the Commission on  
State Mandates for $322 million for the costs of "Three  
Strikes" to the county through 1997.

The RAND Corporation reported on the cost of "Three  
Strikes" implementation.  The first, a 1994 study,  
determined that full implementation of "Three Strikes"  
could reduce crime by 21% at a cost to the state of an  
additional $5.5 billion per year, primarily for prison  
operations.  RAND researcher, Dr. Peter Greenwood, Ph.D.,  
testified at an Assembly Committee on Public Safety hearing  
in October 1997 on "Three Strikes and Judicial Discretion"  
that approximately 10% of the reduction in crime in  
California could be attributed to the "Three Strikes" law.

Another RAND study, Diverting Children From a Life of  
Crime:  Measuring Costs and Benefits, concludes that a  
combination of graduation incentives and parent training  
could achieve a similar amount of crime reduction for less  
than $1 billion, or less than 20% of the cost of the "Three  




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                                              SB 79 (Hayden)
                                                      Page 25


Strikes" program.

11.   Prison Saturation Population Numbers  

The Associated Press, in an article printed in the April 2,  
1999 issue of the Sacramento Bee reported that California  
prisons are dangerously overcrowded.  Current DOC data  
shows a prison population of approximately 160,000.  The  
design capacity of all facilities is approximately 80,000.   
The prison system is thus at 200% of capacity.

The Bee article, "April 2001, No More Room at Inn," quoted  
Robert Presley, Director of Youth and Adult Correctional  
Agency (YACA) on the conditions in California prisons.   
Presley told the AP that the prison system "is approaching  
critical mass . . . [By] April, 2001 . . . we will have  
exhausted every cranny and nook."   

Every "cranny and nook" includes converted gymnasiums, with  
bunk beds in long rows, and other rooms and spaces never  
designed to house inmates.  Despite saturation inmate  
numbers, the electorate has not approved a prison  
construction (general obligation) bond in a decade.  Other  
forms of prison financing, including a complex leasing  
arrangement between state agencies, is more expensive than  
general obligation bonds.  Such measures raise  
constitutional budget issues and have not found easy  
passage in the Legislature.  
















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                                              SB 79 (Hayden)
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Director Presley noted in the AP article that YACA will  
seek to increase drug treatment for prisoners.  The Little  
Hoover Commission has found such treatment to be quite  
successful in reducing recidivism.  However, under the  
"Three Strikes" law, an inmate serving a life term for a  
current drug offense cannot be released for at least twenty  
years.  Neither society nor inmates could see substantial  
benefits from drug treatment for inmates imprisoned for  
life at a current annual cost of about $23,000.    

WOULD "THREE STRIKES" IMPACT ON THE JUSTICE SYSTEM BE  
LESSENED, WITHOUT APPRECIABLE DANGER TO PUBLIC SAFETY, BY  
LIMITING LIFE TERMS TO CASES IN WHICH THE DEFENDANT IN THE  
CURRENT OFFENSE WAS CONVICTED OF A SERIOUS OR VIOLENT  
FELONY AND BY DIVERTING THE INCARCERATION SAVINGS INTO  
ALTERNATIVE PROGRAMS?

12.   Argument in Support  

California Attorneys for Criminal Justice writes in  
support:

     The proposal to amend the "Three Strikes" law to  
     require that the third strike be a serious or violent  
     crime has grown in acceptance in recent years as the  
     effect of the current law has become clear to more and  
     more people, both criminal justice professionals and  
     lay people.  In a recent editorial, Joseph P. Charney,  
     a deputy district attorney in Los Angeles and an  
     adjunct professor at Loyola Law School wrote in  
     support of this bill:  "Justice must be measured,  
     rational and proportionate or it isn't justice.  Any  
     legislation that promotes a punishment scheme not in  
     conformity with this basic principal of fairness is  
     unjust.  California's "Three Strikes" law, providing  
     life sentences for relatively minor offenses is such a  
     law . . . Besides disproportionate incarceration, the  
     "Three Strikes" law diminishes our system of justice  
     in other ways.  By permitting lifetime incarceration  











                                              SB 79 (Hayden)
                                                      Page 27


     for both minor and heinous crimes, punishment loses  
     its moral compass." (Los Angeles Times, March 8, 1999)

13.   Opposition to This Bill  

California District Attorneys Association writes in  
opposition:

     [This] measure would require that the third strike  
     against a person be a violent or serious felony.  Even  
     though in 1994 CDAA supported a version of the "Three  
     Strikes" law which would have required a violent of  
     serious felony for a strike, we do not believe that  
     the law now needs to be amended.  We feel that five  
     years of the "Three Strikes" law has shown that the  
     current law, as passed by the voters, is working.  In  
     addition, we believe that two recent court decisions,  
     People v. Romero (1996) and People v. Alvarez (1997)  
     have provided sufficient safety valves for the "Three  
     Strikes" law.  These decisions allowed judges to throw  
     out previous strikes or reduce a third strike from a  
     wobbler to a misdemeanor.  CDAA strongly believes that  
     these court decisions, coupled with a prosecutor's  
     right to not pursue a third strike, remove much of the  
     argued necessity of a measure such as your SB 79.
                        *****************